Body Mass Index: From Quételet to Evidence ... - Giorgio Bedogni

In: Body Mass Index: New Research ISBN 1-59454-282-1
Editor: Linda A. Ferrera, pp. 1-12 © 2004 Nova Science Publishers, Inc.
Body Mass Index: From Quételet
to Evidence-Based Medicine
Chapter 1
Giorgio Bedogni, ∗
Centro Studi Fegato, AREA Science Park, Basovizza, Trieste, Italy;
Cattedra di Nutrizione Umana, Università di Modena and Reggio Emilia, Italy
Claudio Tiribelli and Stefano Bellentani
Centro Studi Fegato, AREA Science Park, Basovizza, Trieste, Italy
Abstract
The ratio of body weight to squared stature, nowadays known as the body mass index
(BMI), was proposed as an index of body shape in the late 19 th century. BMI was
rediscovered in the late 20 th century as an index of body fat and started to be employed in
population studies to investigate the association between body adiposity and disease. From
these studies, BMI emerged as an important predictor of morbidity and mortality. However,
BMI is not a pure index of adiposity because its numerator (body weight) is the sum of fat-
and fat-free-tissues. Moreover, its association with disease is influenced by other factors such
as age, gender, ethnic background, dietary habits and physical activity. Despite these limits, in
our era of Evidence-based Medicine, the assessment of BMI is a central step in the evaluation
and treatment of obesity, diabetes, hypertension and dyslipidemia and other complications of
overweight.
∗ Send correspondence to: Dr Giorgio Bedogni, Centro Studi Fegato, Bldg Q, AREA Science Park,
Strada Statale 14 / km 163.5, 34012 Basovizza (Trieste), ITALY. Phone: +39-040-3757840; Fax: +39-
040-3757832; E-mail: giorgiobedogni@libero.it.

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Giorgio Bedogni, Claudio Tiribelli and Stefano Bellentani
Quételet’ s Index
The ratio of body weight to squared stature (W/S 2 ), nowadays known as the body mass
index (BMI), was proposed as a measure of body shape by the Belgian anthropologist
Adolphe Quételet in the late 19 th century [1-4]. W/S 2 was then just one of the many indexes
used by anthropologists to control body weight for stature, i.e. to measure body shape [5], and
was the option preferred by Quételet for adults [2, 3]. Of the plethora of weight-stature
indexes developed in the last two hundred years [5], W/S 2 is however the only one still in use
today. Surprisingly, it is also the only one not to be remembered with the name of its inventor
[3, 5]. Even if Quételet did not use W/S 2 as an adiposity or prognostic index as we do today,
the lack of acknowledgement for its discovery is surprising in view of the immense
contributions given by this man to the fields of anthropology and statistics (not to mention
sociology and astronomy) [2, 4, 6]. For instance, by showing that the heights of French
conscripts and the chest circumferences of Scottish soldiers tended to be normally distributed,
Quételet made the fundamental discovery that the normal curve could be used other than an
error law applied to the movements of planets. He literally brought the normal curve from the
skies to the earth, in the hope of building a new science of man [1]. This finding was central
to the development of both anthropometry and statistics. Thus, even if W/S 2 is not used today
as it was by Quételet, we should always recall the great contributions of its inventor to
anthropometry when using “his” index [3].
Body Mass Index as an Index of Adiposity
W/S 2 might have been one of the many forgotten weight-stature indexes if it had not been
rediscovered as an index of adiposity more than one hundred years after its introduction. The
demonstration of an association between W/S 2 and body fat gave a new life to Quételet’ s
index and the new name of BMI [5, 7-10]. As a demonstration of the success encountered by
W/S 2 , the term “body mass index” entered the Medical Subject Heading of the National
Library of Medicine in 1990. Here, BMI is defined as “one of anthropometric measures of
body mass; it has the highest correlations with skinfolds and body density”. This definition
reflects the fact that skinfolds [11] and body densitometry [12] were used to measure body fat
in the first validation studies of BMI.
The search for anthropometric indexes of adiposity has been fuelled by the hypothesis
that excess body fat could be a risk factor for chronic disease [13]. Due to its simplicity, BMI
offered the opportunity to study the relationship between body fat and disease in population
studies. However, even if BMI is associated with fat-free tissues less than other weightstature
indexes [5, 13], its numerator (weight) is the sum of fat and fat-free tissues so that
BMI cannot be considered a pure index of adiposity (Figure 1). It should also be noted that,
while the association of BMI with morbidity and mortality is now very clear (see next
paragraph), only recently the association between body fat and chronic disease started to be
investigated. The measurement of body fat requires in fact methods that are difficult to use in

Body Mass Index: From Quételet to Evidence-Based Medicine 3
population studies because of logistical, economical and technical problems, besides the
invasive nature of some of them [14].
Figure 1. The two- and five-compartment models of body composition applied to the reference man.
Body weight (BW) is the sum of fat mass (FM) and fat-free mass (FFM), which in turn is the sum of
total body water (TBW), protein mass (PM), mineral mass (MM) and glycogen.
BMI explains from 36 to 64% of the variability of percent body fat in adults and from 20
to 75% in children [15-18]. The error made by BMI in estimating percent body fat is usually
acceptable at the population level but not at the individual level. To avoid misunderstandings,
it must be pointed out that this is a problem of every indirect body composition technique, i.e.
of every technique making use of predictive algorithms to estimate a body compartment [13].
The limitation of BMI as a measure of adiposity in the individual is exemplified by Figure 2
which reports the results obtained in 1413 Italian women aged 60-88 years [18]. The standard
error of the estimate associated with the prediction of percent body fat from BMI in this
population is 4.1%. The percent standard error of the estimate, obtained by dividing the
standard error of the estimate by the mean value of percent body fat, is 11%. Even if this
value is somewhat high, it can still be accepted for population studies. However, since the
inter-individual variability in the percent body fat-BMI relationship is high, BMI cannot be
used as an index of adiposity at the individual level. For instance, by looking at the regression
plot in Figure 2, it may be observed that a woman with a BMI of 28 kg / m 2 may have a
percent body fat comprised between 30 and 50%.

4
Giorgio Bedogni, Claudio Tiribelli and Stefano Bellentani
Figure 2. Relationship between percent body fat and BMI in a sample of 1423 Italian elderly women.
Abbreviations: R 2 = coefficient of determination; SEE = standard error of the estimate; SEE% = percent
standard error of the estimate. Modified from Bedogni et al. [18].
The traditional approach to establish the accuracy of BMI as an index of body fat is to
perform a regression analysis as described above. Another approach, which is more suitable
for screening purposes, is based on the calculation of the sensitivity (true positive rate) and
specificity (true negative rate) of BMI in detecting excess body fat [19]. BMI has generally a
low sensitivity and a high specificity in detecting excess adiposity. For instance, in a study of
934 Italian children aged 8-12 years [20], sensitivity and specificity of BMI in detecting a
value of percent body fat greater than the 85 th percentile were 0.39 and 0.99 for the 95 th
percentile and 0.65 and 0.95 for the 85 th percentile of BMI, respectively. When a direct
measure of adiposity is needed, skinfold thicknesses offer a low-cost and easy way to
evaluate subcutaneous adipose tissue [17]. In the study performed on Italian children [20], the
sensitivity of the log-transformed sum of four skinfolds (biceps, triceps, subscapular and
suprailiac [14]) in detecting excess adiposity were 0.75 and 0.94 for the 85 th percentile. Thus,
the use of the 85 th percentile of the sum of four skinfolds instead of the 85 th percentile of BMI
may increase the sensitivity of screening programs of excess adiposity in children without any
relevant loss in specificity.
The use of BMI as an index of adiposity is more difficult in children than in adults
because of varying growth rates and maturity levels [21]. Standardization of BMI for age is
always necessary in children to avoid spurious interpretations [21]. Likewise, similar values
of BMI may reflect a different body composition in elderly as compared to young adults [22].
For instance, when matched with young women of similar weight and stature, elderly women
have higher body fat and lower fat-free mass, total body water and bone mineral content [23].
There is also increasing evidence that the relationship between body fat and BMI may differ
among individuals of different ethnic background [24, 25]. This evidence, together with that
derived from epidemiological studies of morbidity and mortality (see next paragraph), has
suggested the need of ethnic-specific BMI cut-off points [26].

Body Mass Index: From Quételet to Evidence-Based Medicine 5
Body Mass Index as A Prognostic Indicator
The great success encountered by BMI in our century is largely explained by its
prognostic ability [22, 27-30]. The degree to which the association between BMI and disease
is influenced by body fat is not yet known but it must remembered that BMI is not a pure
index of body fat [5, 13]. For instance, both BMI and skinfolds are associated with disease
[31-33] but the relationships are different so that studies using BMI as an index of adiposity
should be interpreted with caution [33]. In addition, many factors influence the association
between BMI and disease, the most significant being age, gender, ethnic background, dietary
habits, physical activity and body fat distribution [13].
After an extensive review of the literature, the World Health Organization has classified
the diseases associated with a high BMI in adults in three categories [27]: 1) the first (slightly
increased risk, i.e. relative risk comprised between 1.0 and 2.0) includes cancer (breast,
endometrium and colon), alterations of reproduction and fertility, polycystic ovary syndrome,
low back pain, increased anesthetic risk and fetal defects; 2) the second (moderately
increased risk, i.e. relative risk comprised between 2.0 and 3.0) includes chronic heart
disease, hypertension, osteoarthritis (knees), hyperuricemia and gout; and 3) the third (greatly
increased risk, i.e. relative risk greater than 3.0) includes gallbladder disease, dyslipidemia,
insulin resistance, breathlessness and sleep apnea. In the last years, obesity has also emerged
a strong risk factor for fatty liver [34]. In line with this conclusion is the finding that BMI is
the single best predictor of an elevated alanine aminotransferase level in the general
population [35].
BMI may be associated with disease also during childhood and adolescence [15, 16, 36].
The World Health Organization has classified the health consequences of obesity in children
in three categories [27]: 1) the first category (high prevalence) includes faster growth,
psychosocial problems, persistence into adulthood (for late onset and severe obesity),
dyslipidemia and high blood pressure (not frank hypertension); 2) the second category
(intermediate prevalence) includes fatty liver, abnormal glucose metabolism and persistence
into adulthood (depending on age of onset and severity); and 3) the third category (low
prevalence) includes orthopedic complications, sleep apnea, polycystic ovary syndrome,
pseudotumor cerebri, gallbladder disease and hypertension.
Most of the available data on the relationship between weight and mortality support the
hypothesis of a curvilinear (J-shaped) association, with an increased risk of death among the
very heavy and the very lean [37-52]. However, most of the studies suggesting that leanness
may be a risk factor for death have been criticized for not having excluded smokers and
subjects with coexisting disease [27, 53, 54]. On the other hand, some studies controlling for
smoking status and concomitant disease have suggested that the relationship between excess
weight and the risk of death may be linear, without an excess of mortality among the very
lean [45, 46, 49, 51]. However, the lowest mortality rate was always found in subjects with a
value of BMI comprised between 18.5 and 25.0 kg/m 2 and this explains the choice of the cutpoints
for normal weight made by the World Health Organization [27] (see next paragraph).
A recent study, performed in more than 1 million US individuals followed for 14 years,
supports the hypothesis of a J-shaped relationship between BMI and mortality [55]. A

6
Giorgio Bedogni, Claudio Tiribelli and Stefano Bellentani
curvilinear association between BMI and mortality was in fact detected in: 1) current or
former smokers with a history of disease; 2) current or former smokers without a history of
disease; 3) subjects who had never smoked and with a history of disease; and 4) subjects who
had never smoked and without a history of disease. In line with the expectations, smoking and
a history of disease increased the risk of mortality among the very lean and the very heavy. In
healthy people who had never smoked, the nadir of the curve for BMI and mortality was
found at a value of BMI of 23.5 to 24.9 kg / m 2 in men and 22.0 to 23.4 kg / m 2 in women.
White males and females with BMI of 40.0 kg / m 2 and over had a relative risk of death of
2.58 and 2.00, respectively, as compared with those with a BMI between 23.5 and 24.9 kg /
m 2 (Figure 3). Black men and women with the highest BMI had however lower risks of death
(1.35 and 1.21). A high BMI was most predictive of death from cardiovascular disease,
especially in men. Collectively, the risk of death from all causes increased throughout the
range of moderate and severe overweight for both men and women in all age groups.
Figure 3. Relationship between the risk of death and BMI in US white mean and women. The graph
was drawn from the data of Calle et al. [55].

Body Mass Index: From Quételet to Evidence-Based Medicine 7
A recent study, performed on about 900000 US individuals followed for 16 years, offers
important new information on the relationship between BMI and the risk of death from cancer
[56]. In men with BMI ≥ 40 kg/m 2 , the relative risk of death from cancer was 1.52 as
compared to men with BMI between 18.5 and 24.9 kg/m 2 ; in women with BMI ≥ 40 kg/m 2 ,
the relative risk of death from cancer was 1.62 as compared to women with BMI between
18.5 and 24.9 kg/m 2 . In both genders, BMI was significantly associated with higher rates of
death due to cancer of the esophagus, colon and rectum, liver, gallbladder, pancreas, and
kidney; the same was observed also for death due to non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma and multiple
myeloma. Significant trends of increasing risk with higher BMI values were observed for
death from cancers of the stomach and prostate in men and for death from cancers of the
breast, uterus, cervix, and ovary in women. On the basis of these associations, it was
estimated that the current patterns of overweight in the United States may account for 14 and
20 percent of all deaths from cancer in men and women respectively [56].
Body Mass Index at Work
The classification of overweight proposed by the World Health Organization for adults is
given in Table 1 [27]. This classification, based on the association between BMI and
mortality (see previous paragraph), may not apply to non-caucasian populations [27]. This has
been reemphasized more recently by an ad hoc committee of the World Health Organization
asked to assess the need of different BMI cut-points for different ethnic backgrounds [26]. It
should be noted that in this classification the term “overweight” applies to every value of
BMI equal or greater than 25.0 kg/m 2 so that obesity (BMI equal or greater than 30 kg/m 2 ) is
a “special case” of overweight [27]. In the classification of the US Expert Panel on the
Identification, Evaluation and Treatment of Overweight in Adults [29], the term “overweight”
is used instead to label a value of BMI comprised between 25.0 and 29.9 kg/m 2 . A
classification of overweight for children should ideally be based on an association of BMI
with disease such as that recognized for adults [57-59]. Because of the scarcity of data,
however, BMI has been proposed as an index of adiposity in children mainly because of its
association with adult BMI [15, 16, 60, 61]. The International Obesity Task Force (IOTF) has
suggested to employ a value of BMI greater than the 95 th percentile for age to diagnose
“overweight” and one comprised between the 85 th and 95 th percentile for age to diagnose a
“risk of overweight” in children [15, 16, 62]. Cole et al. have developed international
reference values of BMI to be used in children and adolescents [62]. They have averaged the
centile curves of about 190000 children aged 2-18 years obtained from six cross-sectional
studies (Brazil, Great Britain, Hong Kong, Netherlands, Singapore and United States) and
developed age- and sex-specific cut-points that, at an age of 18 years, pass through the cutpoints
of 25.0 and 30.0 kg/m 2 , the values used to define adult overweight and obesity (Table
2). Even if this definition is less arbitrary than others and offers the possibility of performing
international comparisons, it should not be considered alternative to the use of local reference
values (when available) because the two methods give often discordant results [63-65]. There
is also some controversy as to whether BMI has the same prognostic value in adult and
elderly subjects. The relative risk of death associated with adiposity seems in fact to decrease

8
Giorgio Bedogni, Claudio Tiribelli and Stefano Bellentani
with increasing age [40, 46, 47, 50, 51]. In the study of Calle et al. [55], however, both
relative and absolute measures of risk indicated that heavier men and women have an
increased risk of death at all ages. The optimal BMI for longevity fell between 20.5 and 24.9
kg/m 2 for men and women at all ages.

Body Mass Index: From Quételet to Evidence-Based Medicine 9
Table 1. Classification of Body Mass Index (BMI) for Adults [17] (See Text)
Classification BMI (kg / m 2 ) Risk of co-morbidities
Underweight < 18.5 Low (but risk of other problems increased)
Normal range 18.5 – 24.9 Average
Overweight ≥ 25.0 -
Pre-obese 25.0 – 29.9 Increased
Obese class I 30.0 – 34.9 Moderate
Obese class II 35.0 – 39.9 Severe
Obese class III ≥ 40.0 Very severe
Table 2. International cut-off Points of BMI
for the Diagnosis of Overweight and Obesity in Children Defined
to Pass through BMI of 25 and 30 kg/m 2 at Age 18 [62] (See Text)
Age (years) BMI 25 kg / m2 BMI 30 kg / m 2
Males Females Males Females
2 18.41 18.02 20.09 19.81
2.5 18.13 17.76 19.80 19.55
3 17.89 17.56 19.57 19.36
3.5 17.69 17.40 19.39 19.23
4 17.55 17.28 19.29 19.15
4.5 17.47 17.19 19.26 19.12
5 17.42 17.15 19.30 19.17
5.5 17.45 17.20 19.47 19.34
6 17.55 17.34 19.78 19.65
6.5 17.71 17.53 20.23 20.08
7 17.92 17.75 20.63 20.51
7.5 18.16 18.03 21.09 21.01
8 18.44 18.35 21.60 21.57
8.5 18.76 18.69 22.17 22.18
9 19.10 19.07 22.77 22.81
9.5 19.46 19.45 23.39 23.46
10 19.84 19.86 24.00 24.11
10.5 20.20 20.29 24.57 24.77
11 20.55 20.74 25.10 25.42
11.5 20.89 21.20 25.58 26.05
12 21.22 21.68 26.02 26.67
12.5 21.56 22.14 26.43 27.24
13 21.91 22.58 26.84 27.76
13.5 22.27 22.98 27.25 28.20
14 22.62 23.34 27.63 28.57
14.5 22.96 23.66 27.98 28.87
15 23.29 23.94 28.30 29.11
15.5 23.60 24.17 28.60 29.29
16 23.90 24.37 28.88 29.43
16.5 24.19 24.54 29.14 29.56
17 24.46 24.70 29.41 29.69
17.5 24.73 24.85 29.70 29.84
18 25 25 30 30

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