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The Economist - January 29th, 2005

The Economist - January 29th, 2005

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Monsanto<br />

Lord of the seeds<br />

Jan 27th <strong>2005</strong><br />

From <strong>The</strong> <strong>Economist</strong> print edition<br />

A good move to buy the world leader in vegetable seeds<br />

MONSANTO, the world leader in genetically modified (GM) grains and oilseeds, is buying a second<br />

blade for its plough: California-based Seminis, the leader in vegetable seeds. Seminis made a<br />

small loss in 2003-04 and news of the $1.4 billion buy cut Monsanto's share price by 6%. But it<br />

may yet prove a smart move.<br />

Seminis brings four benefits. One, a huge range of new crops—almost any vegetable you can<br />

name and some that you can't—to join Monsanto's maize, soya and others. Two, an extra $550ma-year<br />

turnover as Monsanto's focus shifts from its $3.2 billion (but slow-growing) herbicide<br />

business into seeds and GM, whose $2.35 billion sales in its latest reported 12 months were 24%<br />

up on a year earlier. Three, a worldwide network, including a new operations centre in China and a<br />

two-year-old one in India, two huge potential markets. Four, a non-GM image.<br />

Seminis was founded in 1994 by Alfonso Romo, a Mexican tycoon, as part of his Savia group. At<br />

the time he dreamed of GM, but Seminis made heavy losses, and in 2003 he sold to Fox Paine, an<br />

American private-equity firm that is now profitably selling out. Mr Romo's string of acquisitions<br />

created a firm that is widely (and wisely) decentralised. Much of its research and sales lies in<br />

Europe. Facing European fears and rules, however, Seminis has not tried to push GM there.<br />

Indeed, it sells very little GM anywhere: its many new varieties arise from advanced use of the old<br />

technique of cross-pollination. <strong>The</strong> link with Monsanto, suggests Gillian Turco of Rabobank, a<br />

Dutch bank that specialises in agribusiness, might, paradoxically, be exactly what the GM cause<br />

needs. Biotechnology does not mean just GM. Give consumers something as unusual as Seminis's<br />

mini-watermelon, downsized—but not by GM—to suit one person, not eight, and they may realise<br />

they are already in the biotech era, and over time lose their fear of GM.<br />

Well, perhaps, though enemies of GM argue persuasively that Europeans already know very well<br />

that their food results from cross-breeding, but still think GM a step too far. Monsanto itself says it<br />

will carry on with Seminis's traditional technology, though it might use GM in the longer term. GM<br />

farming is spreading rapidly outside Europe, but, given the hassle that Monsanto's present GM<br />

crops have met, that slow approach may be wise.<br />

Copyright © 2006 <strong>The</strong> <strong>Economist</strong> Newspaper and <strong>The</strong> <strong>Economist</strong> Group. All rights reserved.

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