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The Arab-German Trade Directory - Ghorfa

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Egypt<br />

Occupying the northeast corner of the African continent, Egypt is bisected<br />

by the highly fertile Nile valley, where most economic activity takes place.<br />

One of the largest economies in the <strong>Arab</strong><br />

world, Egypt is rich in resources and boasts<br />

thriving tourism and agricultural sectors.<br />

Its natural resources include oil, natural gas,<br />

iron ore, phosphates, manganese, limestone,<br />

gypsum, talc, asbestos, lead and zinc. <strong>The</strong><br />

country borders the Mediterranean Sea,<br />

between Libya and the Gaza Strip, and the<br />

Red Sea north of Sudan, and includes the<br />

Asian Sinai Peninsula.<br />

Population<br />

Egypt has the largest population in the <strong>Arab</strong><br />

world, but only the fourth-largest economy<br />

after Saudi <strong>Arab</strong>ia, the UAE and Algeria.<br />

Egypt's GDP per head at market exchange<br />

rates is expected to rise steadily throughout<br />

the forecast period (2009-2013), after<br />

falling in the period 2002-04 in dollar terms<br />

as a result of slow growth and the 45%<br />

depreciation of the Egyptian pound against<br />

the US currency between 2000 and end-<br />

2003. Real annual GDP growth is expected<br />

to average around 6%, which will almost<br />

double real GDP per head in dollar terms<br />

owing to the pound's strong appreciation.<br />

Egypt will continue to be a relatively<br />

attractive market. <strong>The</strong> size of its population<br />

makes it an important and influential<br />

market, with huge potential, and one that<br />

will continue to grow fast.<br />

<strong>The</strong> Egypt section<br />

is sponsored by<br />

This expanding middle class has substantial<br />

disposable income, and is prepared to spend<br />

it on consumer goods. Over the forecast<br />

period, there will be increasingly strong<br />

demand for items such as cars, mobile<br />

phones, flat-screen televisions and home<br />

computers.<br />

Economy<br />

Egypt’s primary economic strength stems<br />

from its diversity in comparison with the<br />

rest of the region. In 2008/2009, hydrocarbons<br />

extractions constituted 15%; manufacturing<br />

16.6%; agriculture nearly 13.7%; wholesale<br />

and retail trade 11.5%; construction and real<br />

estate 7.1%; financial and telecommunications<br />

services 6.8%; and externally oriented<br />

sources, such as the Suez Canal, 2.7% and<br />

tourism 3.5%.<br />

Reforms<br />

<strong>The</strong> Egyptian economy has been gaining<br />

thanks to the wide-ranging reforms that the<br />

country began implementing in 2004 and<br />

the subsequent awakening of domestic demand<br />

long depressed due to decades of slow<br />

growth. <strong>The</strong> reforms now have a measurable<br />

impact on the country’s economic performance<br />

and have sustained high growth for the past<br />

10 years. Changes in economic policy have<br />

been made to minimise the state's role. <strong>The</strong><br />

prime drivers of the economy are foreign<br />

direct investment (FDI), remittances, Suez<br />

Canal fees and tourism.<br />

In 2005, Egypt reduced personal and corporate<br />

tax rates, reduced energy subsidies, and<br />

privatized several enterprises. <strong>The</strong> stock<br />

market boomed, and GDP grew about 7%<br />

each year since 2006.Despite these achievements,<br />

the government has failed to raise living<br />

standards for the average Egyptian, and has<br />

had to continue providing subsidies for<br />

basic necessities.<br />

<strong>The</strong> subsidies have contributed to a sizeable<br />

budget deficit - roughly 7% of GDP in<br />

2007-08. FDI has increased significantly in<br />

the past two years, but the government will<br />

need to continue its aggressive pursuit of<br />

reforms in order to sustain the spike in investment<br />

and growth and begin to improve economic<br />

conditions for the broader population.<br />

Egypt's export sectors - particularly natural<br />

gas - have bright prospects.<br />

Oil & Gas<br />

Egypt’s crude oil and condensates reserves<br />

were at 4.19 bn barrels in mid-2008<br />

according to government figures, but rising<br />

to 4.4 bn in June 2009 following new<br />

discoveries. This would last some 15 years<br />

at current extraction rates. <strong>The</strong> mature<br />

fields in the Gulf of Suez produce about<br />

50% of the country's oil, but exploration<br />

activity is focused on frontier areas such as<br />

the Western Desert near the Libyan border,<br />

the offshore Mediterranean and Sinai.<br />

Exploration is largely undertaken by<br />

foreign companies, especially BP of the UK<br />

and Eni of Italy, in partnership with the<br />

state-owned Egyptian General Petroleum<br />

Corporation (EGPC). Eni, which produces<br />

500,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day in<br />

Egypt, of which 1.4bn cu ft/day is gas, has<br />

said that it will invest US $6bn in the oil<br />

sector until 2010, with its partners<br />

providing another US $6bn. Two-thirds of<br />

oil output is refined domestically. Because<br />

of depletion in the ageing Gulf of Suez<br />

oilfields, crude oil production has declined<br />

significantly since 1996, when it reached a<br />

high of 922,000 b/d, to around 667,000 b/d

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