vestor Level One files for insolvency - Intelligence Report - REFIRE
vestor Level One files for insolvency - Intelligence Report - REFIRE
vestor Level One files for insolvency - Intelligence Report - REFIRE
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Volume 3, Issue 47, September 17th 2008<br />
Inside <strong>REFIRE</strong><br />
<strong>REFIRE</strong> is a twice-monthly report focused<br />
on providing market intelligence and back-<br />
ground analysis to finance professionals in<br />
German and continental European real es-<br />
tate investment.<br />
Whatever your particular area of specialisa-<br />
tion, we think you’ll find timely, incisive in<strong>for</strong>-<br />
mation within our pages, helping to in<strong>for</strong>m<br />
you of the key deals, the numbers, the mar-<br />
kets, the players and the people.<br />
The areas we focus on are:<br />
US Funds in Europe<br />
European REITs<br />
German Real Estate Finance<br />
German Non-Per<strong>for</strong>ming Loans (NPLs)<br />
Retail Property Funds<br />
Mortgage Securitisation<br />
CMBS/RMBS<br />
French SIIC’s<br />
Refinancing<br />
Euro-zone Property Financing<br />
<strong>REFIRE</strong> has an extensive network of con-<br />
tacts in the field of continental European real-<br />
estate finance, which enables us to bring you<br />
the latest and most relevant news. However,<br />
we always want to know more about what’s<br />
going on in this dynamic sector, so make<br />
sure your company is keeping us in<strong>for</strong>med<br />
of your moves. Send your media communi-<br />
cations to news@refire-online.com <strong>for</strong> our<br />
consideration.<br />
CONTENTS in this Issue:<br />
DEALS ROUNDUP / from page 3<br />
EDITORIAL / page 4<br />
REPORT - /Market <strong>Report</strong> page 6<br />
UPCOMING EVENTS / page 12<br />
PEOPLE…JOBS…MOVES / pae 14<br />
SUBSCRIPTION FORM / page 20<br />
Over-extended €1.5bn residential in<strong>vestor</strong><br />
<strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> <strong>files</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>insolvency</strong><br />
Germany saw its first major bankruptcy of the recent wave of highly-leveraged<br />
investment in residential housing last week, when <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> Asset Management<br />
filed <strong>for</strong> <strong>insolvency</strong> in the district court in Charlottenburg in Berlin. The<br />
company owns more than 28,000 residential units and about 700 commercial<br />
properties, mainly in eastern Germany, with total holdings valued at �€1.5 billion.<br />
Insolvency administrators are already in discussion with potential buyers<br />
of assets from <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong>’s property holdings, one of the largest residential<br />
in<strong>vestor</strong>s on the market.<br />
The company’s biggest creditor is Credit<br />
Suisse. <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> is thought to have<br />
debt finance on its properties of �€1.3bn,<br />
of which �€1.1bn was financed by Credit<br />
Suisse. Of this, �€300m is believed to be<br />
still on Credit Suisse’s books, with the rest<br />
having been securitised. <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> also<br />
has mezzanine financing of �€200m, partly<br />
also owed to Credit Suisse, which was arranged<br />
in 2007 as part of a planned IPO.<br />
The stock market listing, due to be underwritten<br />
by Credit Suisse, was subsequently<br />
aborted. <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> had problems<br />
refinancing in March this year, while the<br />
bank imposed stricter conditions including<br />
the appointment of a new, independent<br />
CEO and further asset collateralisation.<br />
The Blackstone Group is also helping<br />
Credit Suisse to reorganise the debt.<br />
<strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> is the holding company of<br />
Kurdish-born Austrian entrepreneur Cevdet<br />
Caner, with the company registered<br />
in Jersey in the Channel Islands. The main<br />
office is in London, while its over 200 German<br />
companies report to the Berlin-based<br />
<strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> Asset Management, with<br />
back office support based in Linz in Austria.<br />
According to Hartwig Albers <strong>for</strong> the<br />
<strong>insolvency</strong> administrator, the <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong><br />
properties will now be bundled into smaller<br />
portfolios and sold. “According to management,<br />
the properties cover their costs,<br />
but are collectively financed at more than<br />
100% of the purchase price. It’s clear that<br />
the creditors have been trying to get rid of<br />
the influence of Mr Caner in the ongoing<br />
Invista report ranks German<br />
property ‘top’ <strong>for</strong> growth<br />
The German real estate market is expected<br />
to deliver “above-trend” growth over the<br />
next five years despite fears the economy<br />
will be impacted by the more restrictive<br />
credit climate, according to a report by Invista<br />
Real Estate Investment Management,<br />
.....see page 2<br />
Property purchase tax set to<br />
rise in Hamburg<br />
Hamburg looks set to follow Berlin in raising<br />
the property acquisition tax rate from<br />
its current 3.5% to 4.5%. The proposal<br />
is currently be<strong>for</strong>e the Hamburg senate,<br />
and if enacted, would likely mean the immediate<br />
imposition of the tax on all property<br />
and land purchases see page11<br />
Henderson sees 60bps rise<br />
in German yields by 2009<br />
British fund manager Henderson Global In<strong>vestor</strong>s<br />
sees property yields in Germany rising<br />
by a further 60 basis points by the end<br />
of 2009, as the German market continues to<br />
adapt to the market of increased cross-border<br />
investment in Europe. .....see page 11<br />
TLG Immobilien moves ahead<br />
with privatisation plans<br />
The Berlin-based TLG Immobilien, the<br />
federally-owned property company specialising<br />
in property in the eastern states<br />
of Germany, is pressing on with its plans<br />
to privatise itself by the end of this year,<br />
with several bidders.... .......see page 15
<strong>REFIRE</strong><br />
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© 2008 <strong>REFIRE</strong> Ltd.<br />
restructuring negotiations. The key thing<br />
now is to establish properly-functioning<br />
administration to assuage tenants fears<br />
and secure the rental stream.”<br />
<strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> started buying low-cost and<br />
social residential housing in 2005 and<br />
2006 in cities including Frankfurt, Berlin,<br />
Dresden and Halle. It planned to sell the<br />
properties to tenants or other in<strong>vestor</strong>s at<br />
a higher price. With interest rates low and<br />
leverage finance freely available, the company<br />
was able to rapidly build its portfolio.<br />
According to Dr. Thomas Beyerle,<br />
head of research at Frankfurt-based property<br />
fund manager Degi, the administrators<br />
are likely to sell off the portfolio in tranches<br />
of �€10-15m, at a steep discount to original<br />
purchase prices. Many in<strong>vestor</strong>s, calculating<br />
on continuing spreads between rental<br />
income and financing costs, had paid over<br />
�€800 per sq.m. <strong>for</strong> average-quality housing.<br />
“Very few of the active in<strong>vestor</strong>s in<br />
residential property, with adequate equity<br />
capital, would be in a position to buy major<br />
portfolios now”, he said. “Numerous<br />
in<strong>vestor</strong>s, those who are shortly due to<br />
refinance their borrowings, are going to<br />
be <strong>for</strong>ced into distressed sales.” This will<br />
have the inevitable effect of falling prices<br />
and ultimately lower property valuations,<br />
he added.<br />
Some of the better properties are likely<br />
to prove attractive to major listed and private<br />
residential companies such as Germany’s<br />
largest residential landlord Deutsche<br />
Annington, part of the UK’s Terra Firma<br />
group, and the listed Deutsche Wohnen<br />
AG. Many smaller groups are also likely to<br />
be interested, including municipal housing<br />
associations who may be able to achieve<br />
benefits of scale and efficiency in adding to<br />
their holdings, if they can buy at the right<br />
price.<br />
Wijnand Donkers, CEO of Deutsche<br />
Annington, was quoted in reports as saying<br />
his company may be interested in certain<br />
of the <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> properties. “We are<br />
also interested in smaller portfolios from<br />
any companies that have to withdraw from<br />
the market”, he said.<br />
2<br />
Michael Zahn, CEO of Berlin-based<br />
Deutsche Wohnen, said that they would<br />
be interested in distressed portfolios that<br />
came on the market, particularly if they<br />
were the right sort of properties to boost<br />
the company’s holdings in the Berlin area.<br />
But, referring to the quality of the <strong>Level</strong><br />
<strong>One</strong> properties, he added, “However, given<br />
what we know of the <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> properties,<br />
they are unlikely to have the development<br />
potential that we are looking <strong>for</strong> in our portfolios.”<br />
Commenting on the collapse of <strong>Level</strong><br />
<strong>One</strong>, the Deutsche Mieterbund, (the<br />
German Tenants Association) reiterated<br />
their long-term opposition to the acquisition<br />
of over 700,000 apartments by private<br />
equity groups during the low interest-rate<br />
era. Spokesman Ulrich Ropertz said,<br />
“<strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong>’s <strong>insolvency</strong> just confirms our<br />
stand that residential housing is not a trading<br />
commodity <strong>for</strong> private equity in<strong>vestor</strong>s.”<br />
Within days of <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong>’s <strong>insolvency</strong><br />
filing, a further victim of higher financing<br />
costs also filed <strong>for</strong> <strong>insolvency</strong> in the same<br />
Berlin court. Three subsidiary companies<br />
of the British-owned, Berlin-based Titan<br />
Holdings found themselves with the same<br />
problems as <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong>. The companies<br />
own and manage about 3,000 residential<br />
and commercial properties in eastern<br />
Germany. Rising vacancy rates and higher<br />
interest repayments on leveraged borrowings<br />
on poor-quality properties meant that<br />
the sums no longer added up.<br />
<strong>REFIRE</strong>: The <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> <strong>insolvency</strong> is<br />
a high-profile case, due to the size of the<br />
holdings and the geographic location of<br />
most of the residential property so quickly<br />
acquired by the group. But it is not untypical<br />
in its structure of how so many of<br />
these deal were stitched together at a time<br />
of plenty, using minimal equity and heavy<br />
borrowings at low interest rates. Most<br />
of the deals were based on assumptions<br />
that were always optimistic about rates of<br />
privatisation, achievable rent levels, and indeed<br />
the future demand <strong>for</strong> the quality of
3<br />
.................................................<br />
DEALS ROUNDUP<br />
these apartments, without serious further<br />
investment in upgrading and renovation.<br />
The investments depended frequently on<br />
the Greater Fool theory as an exit strategy,<br />
but <strong>for</strong> most later in<strong>vestor</strong>s the chickens<br />
are now coming home to roost.<br />
There are many in<strong>vestor</strong>s weeks or<br />
months away from a similar fate as <strong>Level</strong><br />
<strong>One</strong>. Many deals will be done behind<br />
closed doors, as the last thing the banks<br />
want right now is to flood the market with<br />
property portfolios, driving the price down<br />
even further. The utopian prices paid by<br />
eager buyers are likely to become the stuff<br />
of legend, all the more so since recent<br />
large portfolio deals such as the Whitehall<br />
Funds purchase of the LEG in North<br />
Rhine-Westphalia triggered a spate of<br />
markdowns in the realistic value of listed<br />
companies’ residential holdings.<br />
Germany/Study<br />
Invista report ranks German<br />
property ‘top’ <strong>for</strong> growth<br />
The German real estate market is expected<br />
to deliver “above-trend” growth over the<br />
next five years despite fears the economy<br />
will be impacted by the more restrictive<br />
credit climate, according to a report by Invista<br />
Real Estate Investment Management,<br />
the UK’s largest listed real estate<br />
fund management group.<br />
In its annual European Property Market<br />
Relative Attractiveness report published last<br />
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week, Invista ranks countries in Europe according<br />
to risk-adjusted per<strong>for</strong>mance prospects<br />
over the next five years. The top per<strong>for</strong>mer<br />
was Germany, which moved up from<br />
seventh place last year, displacing the UK<br />
market from its first place ranking last year.<br />
Italy came second, moving up from 11th<br />
place. Netherlands retained the same third<br />
place ranking from 2007 while Belgium<br />
moved up four places from eighth place last<br />
year and France, which dropped one place<br />
from fourth place last year.<br />
In its quarterly investment report, which<br />
included the Relative Attractiveness report,<br />
Invista said that in<strong>vestor</strong>s should look beyond<br />
the short-term volatility of the property market<br />
and concentrate on larger, longer-term<br />
issues of economic growth, liquidity and per-
.................................................<br />
EDITORIAL<br />
A bird’s-eye view of the Frankfurt commercial property market<br />
Two weeks ago <strong>REFIRE</strong> was granted the<br />
privilege of the latest bird’s eye view of the<br />
Frankfurt office market. Literally. As a<br />
guest of global project developer Tishman<br />
Speyer, we donned our hard hats,<br />
stepped artfully through the mud of the<br />
city’s largest building-site, and rattled<br />
our way 150m skywards in the rickety<br />
cage elevator used by construction<br />
workers to schlep materials up to the<br />
higher floors of the Opernturm, Frankfurt’s<br />
newest skyscraper.<br />
The views from the 38th floor of the raw<br />
concrete edifice were naturally spectacular,<br />
although we clutched tightly to any protruding<br />
rail that looked as if it was firmly set and<br />
dried in concrete Despite our dizziness, it<br />
was obvious that this will be a magnificent<br />
bank headquarters when the building is finally<br />
finished in a year’s time, and a worthy<br />
addition to Frankfurt’s corporate skyline.<br />
The project is a joint venture between<br />
Tishman Speyer and the Swiss bank UBS,<br />
who has also committed to leasing half the<br />
property <strong>for</strong> their new Frankfurt headquarters.<br />
The rents payable will be the highest<br />
in the city – as befits the quality and location<br />
of the property. But there’s still time to<br />
rent the other half of the property, and share<br />
a prestige address with Switzerland’s leading<br />
bank. Assuming, of course, that it still<br />
is Switzerland’s leading bank by the time it<br />
comes to move in.<br />
Whatever the two partners see from the<br />
windy heights of their latest creation, they’ve<br />
come to the conclusion that now is a good<br />
time to sell. They’ve put the property on the<br />
market, reputedly <strong>for</strong> between €�550m and<br />
€�650m, which would make it Frankfurt’s biggest<br />
property deal of the year, should it find<br />
a buyer soon.<br />
While the investment market in Frankfurt<br />
has collapsed by 90% this year, the rental<br />
market has per<strong>for</strong>med strongly. In the first<br />
half of this year more new space was rented<br />
out than over the same period last year, credit<br />
crisis notwithstanding. The figures <strong>for</strong> the full<br />
year are likely to hold up well and compare<br />
favourably with 2007 – in contrast with cities<br />
like London, which are bearing the full brunt<br />
of the deepening financial crisis.<br />
Peak rents in Frankfurt have risen, and in<br />
theory will be pushed even<br />
higher by the lucky new tenants<br />
of the Opernturm. This<br />
positions Frankfurt as the<br />
indisputable leader <strong>for</strong> office<br />
rents in German commercial<br />
centres, despite a stubborn<br />
vacancy rate which hovers<br />
at around 11%, depending<br />
on how tolerant you are of the various definitions<br />
of ‘vacancy’. Another Tishman Speyer<br />
creation just down the road from the Opernturm,<br />
the 17-year-old Messeturm, once<br />
Europe’s tallest building, is also occupied by<br />
prestigious banking clients – but stands half<br />
empty.<br />
Commerzbank, whose headquarters<br />
building overtook the Messeturm as Germany’s<br />
highest, has now bought out Dresdner<br />
Bank, also based in Frankfurt. This will have<br />
consequences <strong>for</strong> employment and demand<br />
<strong>for</strong> office space in the city. Thousands of jobs<br />
will be rationalised once Commerzbank has<br />
fulfilled its social charter obligations to its new<br />
employees over the next three years.<br />
On the plus side, there are less new shortterm<br />
office projects in the pipeline in Frankfurt<br />
than in any major German city except <strong>for</strong><br />
Berlin. This should provide some protective<br />
buffer against the downside. But Frankfurt’s<br />
property market, which has remained relatively<br />
immune to the drastically-changing<br />
global financial landscape, will soon start to<br />
feel the chill winds that are turning the banking<br />
world on its head elsewhere.<br />
The stability and ‘staidness’ of the banking<br />
industry in Frankfurt, seen by its defendants<br />
as a healthy counterweight to its boomand-bust<br />
cousins in the more dynamic and<br />
free-wheeling London and New York, cannot<br />
in itself provide the motor <strong>for</strong> new banking<br />
developments in Europe. London’s pre-eminent<br />
position in Europe will remain unchallenged,<br />
despite the <strong>for</strong>thcoming layoffs and<br />
the shrinkage in the banking industry which<br />
will be a feature of the coming years.<br />
4<br />
But stability and staidness are good <strong>for</strong> property<br />
in<strong>vestor</strong>s who take the trouble to understand<br />
the local pillars on which German prosperity<br />
is based. Germany still manufactures<br />
products of quality which have stood the test<br />
of time. The regional nature of the country disperses<br />
these economic fruits into the smaller<br />
towns and provincial areas, where people enjoy<br />
stability of employment and good incomes.<br />
And live and work in good properties that provide<br />
solid yields to their in<strong>vestor</strong>s.<br />
There may still be some ‘juice’ left in the<br />
trophy properties in the busier central business<br />
districts of Germany’s large cities. But<br />
there is now also a lot more risk. For stable<br />
and above-average returns, the German<br />
regions continue to provide healthy opportunities<br />
<strong>for</strong> shrewd in<strong>vestor</strong>s. Read our interview<br />
in this issue with Pino Sergio of WGF<br />
AG, a Düsseldorf property trading company.<br />
In our view, WGF remains earth-bound, innovative,<br />
and focused on adding value to its<br />
properties, its enterprise, its in<strong>vestor</strong>s and its<br />
partners. By issuing bonds (Hypothekenanleihe)<br />
to finance its investments, it taps into a<br />
broad base of risk-averse in<strong>vestor</strong>s who are<br />
nonetheless guaranteed a superior return on<br />
funds, while enabling WGF to avoid going<br />
cap-in-hand to bankers to finance its projects.<br />
This is a sustainable business model,<br />
and we expect to see more companies<br />
adopting a similar model.<br />
We have often exhorted <strong>REFIRE</strong> readers<br />
to jump in their cars and go <strong>for</strong>aging around<br />
the smaller German towns looking <strong>for</strong> value<br />
in property. These properties may not make<br />
the headlines, but with the help of a strong<br />
local partner, they can provide attractive returns<br />
with low risk. Watching investments<br />
in Fannie or Freddie, or Lehman or Merrill<br />
or AIG or Washington Mutual or a host of<br />
other companies, supposedly as safe as the<br />
houses that they back, being flushed down<br />
the pan, we know how the unthinkable can<br />
quickly become the horror of the un<strong>for</strong>gettable.<br />
We’d sooner settle <strong>for</strong> a staid 7% return<br />
on our money over the leaner years ahead.<br />
Charles Kingston, Editor
5<br />
.....from page 3<br />
<strong>for</strong>mance.<br />
It concluded that Germany was “well positioned” to deliver<br />
above-trend growth over the next five years, benefiting from tax<br />
and labour market re<strong>for</strong>ms, improvements to productivity and<br />
competitiveness, and the relaxation of immigration laws to alleviate<br />
skills shortages.<br />
Invista said it favoured ‘low-beta’ markets such as Germany<br />
and Italy as they offered diversified investment opportunities and<br />
returns can be enhanced over the medium term through active<br />
asset management.<br />
Poorer per<strong>for</strong>mers were the smaller, less-liquid property markets,<br />
such as Portugal, Czech Republic and Hungary, which fell in<br />
the rankings with higher levels of expected pricing volatility.<br />
Tim Francis, head of continental European research at Invista,<br />
said: ‘The global economic events of the last 12 months<br />
have <strong>for</strong>ced in<strong>vestor</strong>s to reassess their attitudes towards property<br />
risk and pricing.<br />
‘Our research indicates which markets are expected to fare<br />
better over the medium term, and in our opinion, low-beta markets<br />
are better positioned to deliver attractive risk-adjusted returns.<br />
Despite recent weak economic data, we believe the German<br />
property market should consolidate its position as a key<br />
investment target <strong>for</strong> diversified in<strong>vestor</strong>s.’<br />
Germany/Banking<br />
Private equity funds may bid <strong>for</strong> Düsseldorfer<br />
Hypothekenbank<br />
A number of private equity funds are showing interest in buying<br />
the stricken Düsseldorfer Hypothekenbank (Düsselhyp),<br />
and are thought to have carried out due diligence on the<br />
bank with a possible sale of the bank be<strong>for</strong>e the end of the<br />
year, according to the bank’s interim report.<br />
Düsselhyp ran into trouble in April as a result of the financial<br />
market crisis, with its then owners, the Schuppli family, <strong>for</strong>ced to<br />
sell the bank to the German Banking Association’s depositor<br />
guarantee fund. The bank, although a minnow in the area of<br />
public and municipal financing compared to the dominant players<br />
Eurohypo and Hypo Real Estate, was not directly in danger of<br />
collapse at the time, but the emergency sale was thought critical<br />
to protect a loss of confidence in the German Pfandbrief, of which<br />
Düsselhyp is a licensed issuer.<br />
The bank had been in the process of refocusing its activities<br />
on property financing and away from the lower-margin public<br />
sector financing, but volatility on the markets earlier this year had<br />
stretched the bank beyond its risk limits. Despite a further injection<br />
of �€100m by the Schuppli family and with a further �€50m<br />
on call, the new higher costs of refinancing ultimately made the<br />
bank’s new plan unfeasible. The German Banking Association<br />
CC-10-8036_AD_RIFIRE.qxp:97 x 258 mm online 12.09.2008 10:33 U<br />
www.refire-online.com<br />
Creating Value from<br />
German Real Estate<br />
Residential Properties Commercial Properties Student Homes<br />
With 5600m equity raised and an investment<br />
volume of more than 51.2bn CORESTATE Capital AG<br />
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<strong>REFIRE</strong> INTERVIEW:<br />
Pino Sergio, CEO of WGF AG<br />
<strong>REFIRE</strong> sat down recently with the<br />
top management team at WGF AG,<br />
Westfälische Grundbesitz und Finanzverwaltung<br />
AG, to discuss the company’s<br />
regional investment strategy,<br />
and its views on the direction of the<br />
German real estate market.<br />
We have reported a number of<br />
times on the unusual approach WGF<br />
takes in both partnering with in<strong>vestor</strong>s<br />
and in refinancing its own holdings.<br />
The company has placed three<br />
residential mortgage-backed securities<br />
(Hypothekenanleihe) on the market,<br />
the most recent in May this year,<br />
that are freely tradeable on the Düsseldorf<br />
stock exchange. The bonds,<br />
which have investment-grade status,<br />
guarantee an interest return of 6.5%<br />
and are closely monitored by Creditre<strong>for</strong>m<br />
Rating AG.<br />
WGF can there<strong>for</strong>e avoid bank financing<br />
on its holdings, while taking<br />
advantage of market conditions to<br />
buy undervalued properties at highly<br />
competitive prices.<br />
Below are some excerpts from our<br />
talk with Mr Pino Sergio (pictured),<br />
WGF’s <strong>for</strong>thright CEO :<br />
<strong>REFIRE</strong>: WGF’s strengths are in regional investing.<br />
What’s wrong with Germany’s major<br />
cities?<br />
Pino Sergio: It irritates me to see how the<br />
whole German real estate industry seems to<br />
be so focused on the five or 6 major city locations.<br />
Naturally <strong>for</strong> much commercial property<br />
investment this makes sense – to be close<br />
to the centres of administration and business.<br />
But the prospects in the regional centres are<br />
grossly under-estimated, both <strong>for</strong> residential<br />
and commercial investments. We had an international<br />
in<strong>vestor</strong> recently who was turned<br />
off by the idea of investing in an office building<br />
in the city of Essen, because he was afraid he<br />
wouldn’t be able to exit in ten years. He was<br />
drawn to a similar-quality property in Düsseldorf<br />
that offered 6%, instead of the 9% in<br />
Essen, because he was convinced that Düsseldorf<br />
would remain financially stronger than<br />
Essen. But if you take the higher returns on<br />
your leveraged investment<br />
in Essen over a<br />
ten year period, on a<br />
modern building in a<br />
good location with a<br />
solid tenant, the returns<br />
will more than<br />
compensate <strong>for</strong> any<br />
perceived extra risk<br />
by going outside the<br />
major office centres.<br />
The same applies to a whole host of smaller<br />
towns, where quality properties won’t simply<br />
disappear or face competition from newer<br />
smarter properties a few streets away.<br />
“The returns in regional centres<br />
will more than compensate <strong>for</strong><br />
any perceived extra risk in going<br />
outside Germany’s major urban<br />
centres”<br />
Where do you look to find value?<br />
As an in<strong>vestor</strong>, you can find good value even<br />
on the outskirts of the larger towns, in business<br />
parks and less fashionable properties.<br />
Even in outlying areas of Düsseldorf I can buy<br />
a property <strong>for</strong> �€4.50 (per sq.m. per month<br />
equivalent) and find solid tenants <strong>for</strong> whom<br />
the stability factor of an af<strong>for</strong>dable rent is key<br />
to their calculations. They’re likely to stay<br />
longer, hire more staff, and cost me as an<br />
in<strong>vestor</strong> less in advertising, agency fees, asset<br />
managing, and absorbing vacancy losses<br />
than in a more high-profile location. The net<br />
overall yield can be much higher.<br />
Does this just apply to the office sector?<br />
The same applies to residential. The higher<br />
up the rental chain I go as an in<strong>vestor</strong>, the<br />
more problems I’m potentially going to have<br />
from well-heeled tenants, who because of the<br />
high rent they’re paying, will call me up to solve<br />
6<br />
every little problem they have with their apartment.<br />
They may be paying top rent, but they’re<br />
also likely to move on more frequently, leaving<br />
me with higher administration costs. I’ve also<br />
had to pay (and finance) a lot more to buy the<br />
property. The difference in yield can be 1.5-<br />
2.0% by going outside<br />
the desirable city-centre<br />
locations. Frankly, I can<br />
af<strong>for</strong>d a higher volume of<br />
investment outside the<br />
core centres. There is<br />
fear among in<strong>vestor</strong>s that<br />
their exit is less assured<br />
in lesser-known regions,<br />
and they’ll sacrifice yield<br />
<strong>for</strong> the com<strong>for</strong>t of feeling<br />
they’ll be able to sell later.<br />
This applies even to regional centres<br />
that have seen their industrial infrastructures<br />
change rapidly over the last ten years. Maybe<br />
yields have come down from 12% to 8%<br />
or even 7.5%, in line with incomes and business<br />
prospects, but these are factored in to<br />
the lower price level <strong>for</strong> in<strong>vestor</strong>s. The yields<br />
are still better than in many larger urban centres.<br />
The risk-reward ratio is higher. And if I<br />
can af<strong>for</strong>d three properties in smaller towns<br />
as against just one in a city like Frankfurt, then<br />
I can more easily sell a part of my holdings<br />
if I need to quickly adapt to adverse circumstances.<br />
Hence I probably have a more secure<br />
exit <strong>for</strong> my investment, with less overall<br />
risk.<br />
You’re talking of investing in small towns, like<br />
Steinfurt, Oer-Erkenschwick, Moers...?<br />
I can give you an example of a major British<br />
in<strong>vestor</strong>, who hardly anybody has heard of.<br />
This group has aggressively invested �€2.3 billion<br />
over the last three years in mainly residential<br />
property in small regional German towns,<br />
like Oer-Erkenschwick, since you mention it.<br />
They did so solely <strong>for</strong> the better per<strong>for</strong>mance<br />
<strong>for</strong> their fund. They have an average yield at<br />
the moment of 8.6%, despite a vacancy rate<br />
of 15%. When they lower the vacancy rate,<br />
the returns will be even higher. Show me<br />
many other funds that are returning this level<br />
of yield. You won’t find many.
7<br />
You’ve got to remember that <strong>for</strong> most<br />
Germans, the idea of buying an apartment<br />
as an investment <strong>for</strong> their pension<br />
fund, if they don’t already own the four<br />
walls in which they live, just wouldn’t enter<br />
their heads. Buying their own place is, of<br />
course, a dream <strong>for</strong> many. But this is the<br />
great strength and attraction of the German<br />
residential market <strong>for</strong> in<strong>vestor</strong>s – the<br />
tenant who wouldn’t buy the place he rents<br />
is himself largely protected by the German<br />
social market economy, and represents a<br />
steady stream of safe rental income.<br />
“Show me many other funds<br />
that are returning an average<br />
yield of over 8.6%. You won’t<br />
find many.”<br />
So what’s changed in the German investment<br />
climate?<br />
Here’s my advice to <strong>for</strong>eign in<strong>vestor</strong>s. By all<br />
means look at core locations <strong>for</strong> part of your<br />
investment. But if you’re interested in larger<br />
volume, go to the B1 and C1 locations where<br />
you can invest in more volume and have less<br />
competition. Work with a good local partner<br />
who knows the local market and can provide<br />
your local facility management. Foreign in<strong>vestor</strong>s<br />
still fall into the trap of working with<br />
a major asset manager here who will have to<br />
send staff up to outlying regions where they<br />
can’t possibly get to grips with local realities.<br />
What’s the future <strong>for</strong> portfolio sales?<br />
There may be some mergers of the biggest<br />
housing associations, but in this financial climate<br />
bigger deals like the LEG sale to Whitehall<br />
Funds are probably unrealistic. The future<br />
is in smaller portfolio deals. In the past, with<br />
high due diligence and legal and other costs,<br />
investments under �€�20m didn’t make much<br />
sense. In<strong>vestor</strong>s had to cover all their costs<br />
from the 1-2% spread above their refinancing<br />
costs. The big corporate lawyers don’t<br />
come cheap. A smaller regional lawyer has<br />
the same expertise and offers the same insurance,<br />
so the lowered due diligence costs<br />
can make smaller investments worthwhile.<br />
The British in<strong>vestor</strong> with the �2.3 billion portfolio<br />
built it up just like this, using a smaller legal<br />
practice, local accountants, and valuers with<br />
offices throughout Germany, so they could<br />
buy portfolios under �€�5m. This is the area we<br />
like to operate in at WGF, portfolios between<br />
�€�1m and up to �€�20m.<br />
You’ve clearly got strong views on what trips<br />
up international in<strong>vestor</strong>s… How does WGF<br />
do this better?<br />
<strong>Report</strong>ing is German, and should remain<br />
German. We can interpret all the key figures<br />
<strong>for</strong> international partners. Bigger international<br />
in<strong>vestor</strong>s became obsessed with getting their<br />
German partners to adapt to Anglo-Saxon<br />
reporting systems, and this has caused no<br />
end of problems. In<strong>vestor</strong>s should stop trying<br />
to get their local German partners to jump<br />
through hoops so they get standardised<br />
reporting. It costs time and money, and<br />
doesn’t work.<br />
“In<strong>vestor</strong>s should stop trying to<br />
get their local German partners<br />
to jump through hoops so they<br />
get standardised reporting. It<br />
costs time and money, and it<br />
doesn’t work.”<br />
You’re not just offering advice, then?<br />
We’re not brokers, we’re essentially property<br />
traders. We take an opportunistic approach<br />
to property, but with a focus on the<br />
exit. If in<strong>vestor</strong>s want us to put together a<br />
portfolio <strong>for</strong> �1m with a yield of 8%, we’ll go<br />
out and do it. We’ll assemble the portfolio<br />
in between 6 and 24 months, and we’ll<br />
hold the stock on our own books till the<br />
client is ready. We’ll offer a basic, a standard,<br />
and a premium package to meet the<br />
in<strong>vestor</strong>’s needs.<br />
Here’s what’s interesting <strong>for</strong> international<br />
in<strong>vestor</strong>s, and we’ve done this with<br />
our last couple of deals. We offer in<strong>vestor</strong>s<br />
a rental guarantee, underwritten by us<br />
with a bank guarantee. This helps in<strong>vestor</strong>s<br />
overcome their fears of loss of rental<br />
income, or uncertainty about the location.<br />
www.refire-online.com<br />
We’ll carry the risk, handle all the asset and<br />
property management, and at the end of<br />
the guarantee period, we’ll have done all<br />
the work that will ensure the properties are<br />
well primed <strong>for</strong> a profitable exit. Our in<strong>vestor</strong><br />
knows that our mutual interests are<br />
aligned. The in<strong>vestor</strong> gets his 7.5% or 8%<br />
yield without all the headache of managing<br />
the properties locally, and the fear of<br />
getting swamped in properties or locations<br />
that he doesn’t really understand.<br />
“It’s not that there’s a shortage<br />
of capital. It’s that the basic<br />
premise underpinning such investments<br />
in the German market<br />
has changed.”<br />
So what’s your Unique Selling Proposition?<br />
We see ourselves as being partners, without<br />
having to go setting up a joint venture<br />
and allocate share participations. We don’t<br />
want to have to call board meetings <strong>for</strong> every<br />
minor decision. The roles are clearly<br />
defined. You’re the in<strong>vestor</strong>, and we’re the<br />
service provider. But we’ve got our money<br />
invested in the deal too, and we’ve provided<br />
the in<strong>vestor</strong> with a strategy that he<br />
otherwise wouldn’t have.<br />
In<strong>vestor</strong>s have come to understand that<br />
without a strong subsidiary in the country,<br />
or a reliable partner, it’s not going to work<br />
<strong>for</strong> them in Germany. If they’ve got money,<br />
and work with companies like WGF,<br />
they’ve got both.<br />
How is the financial crisis affecting <strong>for</strong>eign<br />
investment in Germany?<br />
It’s not that there’s a shortage of capital.<br />
It’s that the premise underpinning such<br />
investments in the German market has<br />
changed. Two years ago most in<strong>vestor</strong>s<br />
didn’t care about a regional strategy, a<br />
strong local partner, what the costs of due<br />
diligence and other professional charges<br />
were. Questions of quality in property or<br />
asset management were brushed aside.<br />
Now he wants a partner who is just as<br />
committed to achieving the yield targets
that he has set as he is, a partner who’s<br />
got his own skin in the game. When you<br />
as an in<strong>vestor</strong> have to stump up 25-30%<br />
equity capital just to keep your existing<br />
lines of credit open and not go bankrupt,<br />
then you want to work with people who<br />
put their own money on the line. That’s<br />
what we do.<br />
Can the recent popularity of investing in<br />
retail continue?<br />
Thousands of in<strong>vestor</strong>s have piled into<br />
this sector in the last couple of years, often<br />
happy to buy a big box property with<br />
a 20-year lease with Aldi, Lidl, or other<br />
out-of-town retailers. But a lot of these<br />
are in places where people wouldn’t build<br />
any more, which may suffer from the trend<br />
back into the cities. I think a lot of this kind<br />
of retail investment is suspect, we won’t<br />
see the same frantic building of these kind<br />
of shopping centres again <strong>for</strong> a while.<br />
What’ll happen with retail rents?<br />
Take a leading retailer like H&M, whom you<br />
might find in several locations in a city centre.<br />
They’ll pay a higher price <strong>for</strong> their presence<br />
on the top shopping streets and to invest in<br />
their brand, but meanwhile they’ll shun 20year<br />
lease contracts in favour of 5-year leases<br />
with a option to extend, and an option to sublet.<br />
On balance, in the larger cities, I don’t<br />
think rents will fall significantly in the prime<br />
shopping locations. In secondary cities and<br />
smaller towns they may even rise, as retailers<br />
shy away from moving into the bigger cities<br />
until the economic storm clouds that threaten<br />
us with doom and gloom slowly disappear.<br />
You’re very outspoken on the issue of sustainability...<br />
This is not just a passing fad, but a seriously<br />
important aspect of our real estate investment.<br />
America, and particularly Britain, are<br />
Exclusively <strong>for</strong> commercial properties<br />
Marketplace. Know-How. Europe.<br />
8<br />
very much at the <strong>for</strong>efront of developments<br />
here, while here in Germany there is a lack<br />
of a unified approach in its application to the<br />
residential sector. The recognised quality<br />
certification in other markets is reflected directly<br />
in prices, and our lack of this in Germany<br />
can lead to confusion when in<strong>for</strong>med<br />
in<strong>vestor</strong>s wonder if they will be hit with ecological<br />
upgrading and improvement costs<br />
later. But when have this certification in 5-10<br />
years here, the burden will fall more on the<br />
tenants than the in<strong>vestor</strong>s, as the tenants will<br />
favour the sustainable properties . The drastic<br />
increases in charges over the last few years,<br />
which every tenant has to pay in addition to<br />
his ‘cold’ or basic rent, have led to sweeping<br />
changes in tenants’ attitudes to their energy<br />
charges, and this is proving to be the catalyst.<br />
Remember, this is Germany and most<br />
disputes in our social market economy are<br />
resolved in favour of the tenant. Smart in<strong>vestor</strong>s<br />
take this into account and plan and<br />
budget accordingly. (END)
9<br />
...from Page 5<br />
then stepped in to protect the bank, pending<br />
a sale to a new owner (see <strong>REFIRE</strong> issue May<br />
5th 2008).<br />
Although it is thought there were originally<br />
about eight interested candidates, this has<br />
since been whittled down to two or three.<br />
We reported at the time that Deutsche Bank<br />
had turned down a possible purchase, while<br />
Hypovereinsbank had also declined. Eurohypo<br />
is busy digesting its own fellow- Commerzbank<br />
subsidiary Essen Hyp, while Hypo<br />
Real Estate last year absorbed Depfa. The<br />
remaining bidders are thought to be private<br />
equity funds, although it’s not clear whether<br />
any purchase would include the Pfandbriefissuing<br />
business, a sensitive issue in domestic<br />
banking circles.<br />
Louis Hagen, the head of the Verband<br />
Deutscher Pfandbriefbanken, the association<br />
of Pfandbrief-issuing banks, said at the<br />
time of the custodianship, “Whoever takes<br />
over the bank would have to guarantee that<br />
they could sustainably handle the Pfandbrief<br />
business. This would place big demands on<br />
anybody taking over the whole bank. Obviously<br />
we want to avoid a bank who couldn’t<br />
see this through.”<br />
Germany/Acquisitions<br />
GPT Halverton presses<br />
ahead in Germany, but parent<br />
group planning disposals<br />
The London-based pan European fund<br />
manager GPT Halverton is pressing<br />
ahead with investments in Germany despite<br />
heavy write-downs at its Australian<br />
parent company GPT Group, amid plans<br />
<strong>for</strong> other European disposals of assets held<br />
by GPT Halverton and its other European<br />
fund, Hamburg Trust.<br />
GPT Halverton has just bought 11 retail<br />
park properties in Germany <strong>for</strong> its �€136.5m<br />
retail fund German Retail Partnership<br />
(GRP). The fund, which expects to be fully<br />
invested in early 2009, invests mainly in foodanchored<br />
retail properties, including those<br />
leased by discount food store Aldi. It paid<br />
�€27.8m <strong>for</strong> the properties from nine separate<br />
sellers, with a total sales area of 19,000 sq.m.<br />
Two of the properties are based in North<br />
Rhine-Westphalia, Germany’s most populous<br />
state, four in Bavaria, three in Rhineland<br />
Palatinate, and a further two in the eastern<br />
states. All the properties were fully let to tenants<br />
including discount store chains Aldi,<br />
Netto, Edeka, Rewe and Lidl.<br />
GPT’s German Retail Fund closed in December<br />
last year, having raised capital from<br />
institutional European in<strong>vestor</strong>s including clients<br />
of CBRE In<strong>vestor</strong>s, ING Real Estate<br />
Select and Henderson Global In<strong>vestor</strong>s.<br />
The latest buys bring the value of the fund up<br />
to �€136.5m, with a further �€50m of purchases<br />
currently under due diligence. It aims to<br />
acquire around €�285 million of real estate and<br />
expects to be fully invested by the first quarter<br />
of 2009, according to the company.<br />
Matthew Walker, director of the GPT<br />
fund, said current market conditions were<br />
proving a boost to GPT, adding: “All these<br />
assets have the potential to add short-term<br />
value through active asset management.<br />
www.refire-online.com<br />
The majority of the income from these properties<br />
is from high-quality German retail tenants,<br />
offering excellent covenant strength….<br />
We expect to see more attractively-priced<br />
opportunities such as these, as many <strong>for</strong>eign<br />
in<strong>vestor</strong>s in Germany have withdrawn due to<br />
the lack of suitably-priced debt.”<br />
The parent company in Australia, real estate<br />
investment trust GPT Group, has come<br />
under heavy pressure recently after reporting<br />
a first-half loss and taking write-downs of<br />
A$344m on its property holdings worldwide.<br />
CEO Nic Lyons said recently that it may sell<br />
up to a third of it’s A$14bn of assets due to<br />
the impact of the credit crisis, and to “create<br />
a more conservative financial structure reflective<br />
of the current climate.”<br />
GPT Group has already identified A$1.3bn<br />
of Australian assets to sell, and plans further<br />
sales in Europe of assets held by its Europebased<br />
funds GPT Halverton and Hamburg<br />
Trust. It also plans to sell all A$1.9bn of the<br />
European assets it holds in a joint venture<br />
with fellow-Australian in<strong>vestor</strong> Babcock &<br />
EUROHYPO The leading specialist bank <strong>for</strong> commercial<br />
real estate and public sector fi nance<br />
Had we been around<br />
then, this would have<br />
been fi nanced by us.<br />
a passion <strong>for</strong> solutions.
.....from page 9<br />
Brown, starting from December 2009. The<br />
two partners were early in<strong>vestor</strong>s in the German<br />
market, building up residential and commercial<br />
property holdings since the beginning<br />
of the decade.<br />
Germany/Financing<br />
IVG sells caverns into fund<br />
<strong>for</strong> �€1.7bn, CEO resigns<br />
After months-long speculation as to the<br />
fate of the Bonn-based IVG Immobilien-<br />
AG’s specialty caverns division, the die<br />
was finally cast when IVG, Germany’s largest<br />
listed real estate company, opted to sell<br />
70 of its underground storage caverns into<br />
a newly set-up Special Fund <strong>for</strong> �€1.7bn. It<br />
will use the proceeds to reduce debt.<br />
IVG said the new fund would acquire 40<br />
operational caverns at Etzel near the northern<br />
German port of Bremerhaven which are let<br />
out to third parties. It will also acquire 30 additional<br />
underground facilities that are still under<br />
construction but <strong>for</strong> which long-term tenancy<br />
agreements have been reached. Under the<br />
terms of the deal, IVG will sell the properties<br />
between 2008 and 2014 as they become<br />
complete. IVG will receive €�836m from the<br />
fund in the current fiscal year.<br />
The fund acquiring the caverns will be<br />
the largest established by the company to<br />
date. IVG will invest �€50 million in the vehicle,<br />
while institutional in<strong>vestor</strong>s have subscribed<br />
<strong>for</strong> €�680 million, leaving another �€120 million<br />
still to be raised. However, the company<br />
said talks with in<strong>vestor</strong>s had reached „an advanced<br />
stage“ and that the vehicle should be<br />
fully invested by the middle of November.<br />
IVG began examining the realisation of<br />
value from its subsidiary IVG Caverns back in<br />
February this year, when it weighed up either<br />
selling the entire business or only a part of it to<br />
an in<strong>vestor</strong> or to a fund developed by IVG. It<br />
EUROHYPO The leading specialist bank <strong>for</strong> commercial<br />
real estate and public sector fi nance<br />
10<br />
said selling to a fund guaranteed earnings<br />
and long-term cash contributions. Rental<br />
income from the caverns should produce<br />
about �€50m annually, or 6.1%.<br />
The deal is expected to lead to earnings<br />
be<strong>for</strong>e interest of �€261 million in 2008 and<br />
�€574 million between 2009 and 2014.<br />
IVG chief executive Wolfhard Leichnitz<br />
said that the company had solid earnings<br />
potential by developing at least 60 additional<br />
caverns. “The demand <strong>for</strong> secure deposit<br />
facilities <strong>for</strong> the short as well as long-term<br />
storage of oil and gas will increase further,”<br />
he said.<br />
IVG recently reported a 72% decline in net<br />
profits and a likely halving of profits <strong>for</strong> the full<br />
year (see <strong>REFIRE</strong> issue August 26th 2008),<br />
with earnings being hit by falling asset values<br />
and rising debt. The share price has fallen by<br />
over 50% this year on in<strong>vestor</strong> fears of high<br />
debt levels and low equity. After the caverns<br />
deal was announced, the share price plunged<br />
further, with analysts saying that the way the<br />
deal was structured will provide IVG with little<br />
immediate cash flow to service debt. IVG has<br />
separately said that it plans further non-core<br />
asset sales of �€500m to cut back on debt<br />
levels.<br />
This week the company announced that<br />
Mr Leichnitz is resigning as CEO effective end<br />
of the month.<br />
Germany/Banking<br />
Deutsche Bank buys 30% of<br />
Postbank<br />
After much to-ing and fro-ing, Deutsche<br />
Bank finally agreed last week to buy<br />
29.75% of Postbank, Germany’s largest<br />
retail bank. Parent company, Deutsche<br />
Post, has been in talks <strong>for</strong> weeks with<br />
potential buyers <strong>for</strong> its majority stake in<br />
Postbank and Spanish group, Banco<br />
Santander, which has a long involvement<br />
with German retail banking through<br />
its credit card operations, also arrived to<br />
express last minute interest in the sale.<br />
The deal has now been done with<br />
Deutsche Bank paying �€2.8 billion <strong>for</strong> one-
11<br />
third of Postbank. The move is in line with<br />
Deutsche Bank’s strategy of furthering its<br />
consumer banking businesses to balance its<br />
investment banking operations.<br />
The attraction of Postbank <strong>for</strong> Deutsche<br />
Bank is its 14.5 million retail customers and<br />
850 branches, and the acquisition will allow<br />
Deutsche Bank to sell its real estate and investment<br />
services through the retail network.<br />
The transaction values Postbank at<br />
�€57.25 per share and includes an option <strong>for</strong><br />
Deutsche Bank to buy another 18% of Postbank<br />
within 36 months, at �€55 per share. In<br />
addition, Deutsche Post has an option to sell<br />
another 20.25% of Postbank to Deutsche<br />
Bank. Under Germany’s regulatory regime,<br />
taking a stake of over 30% in Postbank<br />
would require Deutsche Bank to make an offer<br />
<strong>for</strong> the entire business.<br />
The deal is the latest in a spate of M&A<br />
activity in the German banking sector over<br />
the past few months, and comes on top of<br />
Commerzbank’s �€9.8bn mega-merger with<br />
Allianz’s Dresdner Bank. After the deal,<br />
which will be done in two stages between<br />
now and end-2009, Allianz will hold a stake<br />
of nearly 30% in the combined bank.<br />
In mid-August, US in<strong>vestor</strong> Lone Star<br />
stepped in to take over troubled German<br />
bank IKB <strong>for</strong> an amount of �€80-100m. In<br />
July, Deutsche Bank was outbid by unlisted<br />
French bank Credit Mutuel <strong>for</strong> Citigroup’s<br />
German retail operations in a �€4.9bn cash<br />
deal.<br />
Germany/Legislation<br />
Property purchase tax set to<br />
rise in Hamburg<br />
Hamburg looks set to follow Berlin in raising<br />
the property acquisition tax rate from<br />
its current 3.5% to 4.5%. The proposal is<br />
currently be<strong>for</strong>e the Hamburg senate, and<br />
if enacted, would likely mean the immediate<br />
imposition of the tax on all property<br />
and land purchases.<br />
So far Berlin has been the only federal<br />
state in Germany to impose the higher rate of<br />
tax, once legislation had changed to permit<br />
the federal states to determine their own tax<br />
level. The tax in all other states is currently at<br />
3.5%. If Hamburg raises its rate, and hardpressed<br />
other states then follow suit, then the<br />
tax rate on property will have risen from 2% to<br />
4.5% over a period of 12 years.<br />
Meanwhile, Germany’s Upper House of<br />
Parliament (Bundesrat) is currently debating<br />
a separate proposal whereby the rate of<br />
property tax payable on existing buildings<br />
be subject to less generous write-offs where<br />
vacancy rates in a particular property have<br />
increased. As the current law stands, property<br />
owners can claim a property tax rebate<br />
where rental income falls by more than 20%<br />
due to factors beyond the owners’ control<br />
(e.g. unexpected departure of a tenant, with<br />
no successor). Typically this could be at a<br />
rate of four-fifths the rate of the reduced property<br />
income, or a tax reduction of 40% where<br />
rental income falls by 50%.<br />
The government’s Finance Committee is<br />
responding to demands from the states of<br />
www.refire-online.com<br />
Berlin and Bremen to abolish the tax rebate<br />
altogether, although what looks more likely is<br />
a new compromise whereby the tax rebate<br />
will kick in only when the loss of rental income<br />
reaches a threshold of 50%. In that case,<br />
according to government plans, the rebate<br />
would be set at 25%, and would reach the<br />
50% threshold only in the case of a 100%<br />
fall in rental income, i.e. complete vacancy. A<br />
decision by the Upper House is expected on<br />
September 19th, be<strong>for</strong>e being presented to<br />
the Lower House (Bundestag).<br />
Germany/Study<br />
Henderson sees 60bps rise<br />
in German yields by 2009<br />
British fund manager Henderson Global<br />
In<strong>vestor</strong>s sees property yields in Germany<br />
rising by a further 60 basis points by the<br />
end of 2009, as the German market continues<br />
to adapt to the market of increased<br />
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.......from page 11<br />
cross-border investment in Europe.<br />
The volatility of Germany’s traditionally<br />
lower yield swings of about 50 bps over the<br />
economic cycle will increase to about 100<br />
bps, according to Stefan Wundrak, head of<br />
research at Henderson. “In an international<br />
context that’s still not a lot, but <strong>for</strong> Germany<br />
it’s a remarkable change”, he said.<br />
Henderson see initial yields in the office<br />
sector in Germany’s major commercial centres<br />
rising from their current 4.9% to 5.4-<br />
5.6%, while prices in secondary locations<br />
should fall further. Once prices have corrected<br />
a bit further, Wundrak sees the best Total<br />
Returns in Hamburg, Munich and a number<br />
of smaller regional cities, where returns of 7-<br />
10% should be achievable. “These sort of<br />
returns would have been marvellous over<br />
the last five years or indeed ever in Germany,<br />
where average Total Returns on commercial<br />
property (according to IPD’s definition) between<br />
2003 and 2007 have been about 2%”,<br />
he said.<br />
The increased volatility on the German<br />
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market would make the timing of entry and<br />
exit points more critical, he said. Plenty of<br />
buyers in 2006 and 2007 would likely become<br />
sellers soon, and he suggested that,<br />
if the German market adapts flexibly<br />
to the new more restrictive financial<br />
climate, a good entry point <strong>for</strong> in<strong>vestor</strong>s<br />
would be the middle of 2009.<br />
Another positive aspect that Henderson<br />
refer to in their study is that Germany<br />
is still in a phase of rising rental<br />
prices, in contrast to France and the Netherlands<br />
which have reached the peak of their<br />
rental cycles. Britain and Spain were already<br />
in the downward phase, said Henderson.<br />
Europe/Sustainability<br />
JPMorgan sees share price<br />
benefits <strong>for</strong> ‘greener’ listed<br />
companies<br />
Green and sustainable building has obviously<br />
become a major issue <strong>for</strong> real estate<br />
12<br />
in<strong>vestor</strong>s over the past year, and has certainly<br />
been occupying the minds of both<br />
property in<strong>vestor</strong>s and government legislators.<br />
Nowhere more<br />
so than in Germany,<br />
traditionally strong in<br />
the areas of conservation,<br />
recycling, ecology<br />
and the environment.<br />
All the more surprising,<br />
there<strong>for</strong>e, that a new<br />
study by investment bank JPMorgan shows<br />
that German listed property companies get<br />
the poorest scores among European peers in<br />
their ef<strong>for</strong>ts to integrate sustainability in their<br />
property holdings. Anecdotal evidence suggests<br />
that ‘green’ buildings offering tenants<br />
much lower energy consumption can command<br />
premiums of up to 16% more than<br />
non-green properties in the current market,<br />
with a raft of new measures on environmental<br />
improvements due to come from Brussels in<br />
the coming years.<br />
Harm Meijer, an analyst at JPMorgan,<br />
studied the sustainability strategies of 32<br />
listed property companies across Europe.<br />
The winners were two British commercial<br />
property companies, British Land and<br />
Land Securities, both of whom converted<br />
to UK REIT status when the legislation was<br />
introduced at the beginning of last year. Both<br />
scored a maximum of five points (on a scale<br />
of zero to five) as a result of the high weighting<br />
given to green buildings in their existing<br />
portfolios and plans <strong>for</strong> further sustainability<br />
improvements. Within the eurozone, the best<br />
per<strong>for</strong>mers were the Spanish commercial<br />
property market leader Metrovacesa and<br />
the Franco-Dutch shopping-centre group<br />
Unibail-Rodamco, both with 3.5 points.<br />
There were poor scores <strong>for</strong> Germany’s<br />
listed contenders Alstria Office REIT AG,<br />
housing company Gagfah AG and IVG Immobilien<br />
AG, who all scored zero, along<br />
with the Italian company Beni Stabili and<br />
Switzerland’s largest property company PSP<br />
Swiss. In what sounded like a harsh assessment,<br />
Meijer commented, “None of these five<br />
companies showed any meaningful commitment<br />
to the issue of sustainability.” Ouch.
13<br />
Meijer believes that there is a correlation<br />
between a company’s commitment to sustainability<br />
and the per<strong>for</strong>mance of its share<br />
price. As an example within the eurozone he<br />
gives the share prices of Metrovacesa and<br />
Unibail-Rodamco over the last three years<br />
as having per<strong>for</strong>med 26.11% better than the<br />
worst five per<strong>for</strong>mers.<br />
Germany/Privatisation<br />
East German specialist TLG<br />
moves closer to privatisation<br />
The Berlin-based TLG Immobilien, the<br />
federally-owned property company specialising<br />
in property in the eastern states<br />
of Germany, is pressing on with its plans to<br />
privatise itself by the end of this year. An<br />
IPO had originally been envisaged, but that<br />
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is now considered unrealistic in the current<br />
capital-raising climate.<br />
TLG Immobilien was originally set up to<br />
manage non-core properties of the larger<br />
<strong>for</strong>mer industrial companies in East Germany,<br />
and has expanded its remit into a fullyfledged<br />
regional property company, with its<br />
focus on Berlin, the Dresden-Leipzig-Halle<br />
axis, and the Baltic coast. Originally owning<br />
and managing 27,000 properties, this<br />
had been reduced to under 1500 by early<br />
this year, valued at about �€1.5bn<br />
Known to be among those currently doing<br />
due diligence on the TLG’s books are<br />
the US financial in<strong>vestor</strong> groups Oaktree<br />
and Lone Star, with another American bidder<br />
also thought to be in the hunt. Binding<br />
offers have to be submitted by the end of<br />
September, while the deal is expected be<br />
concluded by the end of October.<br />
www.refire-online.com<br />
Germany/Results<br />
First-half profits tumble at<br />
HSH Nordbank<br />
Along with most of its fellow Landesbanken,<br />
the northern-German HSH Nordbank<br />
saw its first-half profits tumble after taking<br />
heavy write-downs, and announced<br />
a packet of measures including staff cutbacks<br />
of about 15% by 2010.<br />
Gross profit in the first half came in at<br />
�€129m, compared to �€727m <strong>for</strong> the same<br />
period last year. The bank wrote down a<br />
further �€511m after taking �€1.3bn in writedowns<br />
last year. Net pre-tax profit shrank<br />
from €�871m to �€99m.<br />
Bank CEO Hans Berger said, “The crisis<br />
will last at least another 18 months, into 2010,<br />
but our operating strength will enable us to<br />
see this through.” The bank’s business mod-<br />
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� Due Diligence<br />
� Technical Services<br />
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(Red Book/ BelWertV)<br />
“The independent<br />
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REAG in EUROPA<br />
Czech Republic, France, Germany, Great Britain,<br />
Greece, Italy, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia,<br />
Spain, Turkey
...... ...........................................<br />
UPCOMING EVENTS<br />
EVENTS/ CONFERENCES<br />
Sept-Oct-November 2008<br />
September 15th-16th, Monday-Tuesday<br />
2008 GRI Europe, Paris<br />
The annual European gathering of the<br />
Global Real Estate Institute, with the tradi-<br />
tional GRI <strong>for</strong>mat.<br />
More at: www.globalrealestate.org<br />
September 17th-18th, Wednesday-<br />
Thursday<br />
Business Arena, Nordic Real Estate<br />
Investment Conference, Stockholm<br />
The 8th annual two-day conference, organ-<br />
ised by the trade magazine Fastighetsnytt<br />
and arranged together with leading compa-<br />
nies from the region, the event has become<br />
the number 1 congress <strong>for</strong> the region, and<br />
offers a comprehensive programme.<br />
More at: www.businessarena.eu<br />
September 21st23rd, Sunday-Tuesday<br />
CoreNet Global Summit, Berlin<br />
This year’s summit, taking place <strong>for</strong> the first<br />
time in Germany this year, will focus on the<br />
theme Productivity Puzzle - Redefining the<br />
Work Environment. Among those sched-<br />
uled to speak is the Mayor of Berlin, Klaus<br />
Wowereit.More info at: www.corenet-<br />
global.org<br />
September 24th, Wednesday<br />
ICSC Baltic States Retail Real Estate<br />
Conference, Vilnius, Lithuania<br />
The International Council of Shopping<br />
Centres’ Baltic State National Committee is<br />
holding its first conference, entitled Baltics<br />
Retail - What Comes Next? It focuses on<br />
local trends, retail regeneration, and retailer<br />
panel discussions.<br />
.More info at: www.icsc.org<br />
September 25th-26th, Thursday-Friday<br />
EPIC European Property Italian Confer-<br />
ence, Rome<br />
Dedicated to Italian real estate relationships<br />
with international finance, EPIC is billed as an<br />
open house where all stakeholders can share<br />
ideas, buildand strengthen their networks,<br />
expand knowledge and develop strategies <strong>for</strong><br />
new business.<br />
More info at: www.epic.it<br />
October 6th-8th, Monday-Wednesday<br />
Expo Real 2008, Munich<br />
Along with the MIPIM in Cannes in March, the<br />
EXPO REAL in Munich is one of the two largest<br />
real estate trade fairs in the European calendar,<br />
and considered a must by 1,823 exhibitors<br />
from 43 countries in 2007, along with 23,800<br />
visitors from 77 countries<br />
More info at: www.exporeal.net<br />
October 13th-15th, Wednesday-Friday<br />
14th Annual CEREAN Conference, Istan-<br />
bul, Turkey.<br />
The annual conference <strong>for</strong> the umbrella organi-<br />
sation <strong>for</strong> the emerging eastern Europe real<br />
estate associations.<br />
More info at: www.cerean2008istanbul.com<br />
October 20th-2st, Monday-Tuesday<br />
IIA Initiative Immobilien Aktie, Frankfurt,<br />
Germany<br />
Under 8th annual event where over 30 listed<br />
German property companies the theme pres-<br />
ent their strategies and provide opportunities to<br />
meet top management.<br />
.More at: www.initiative-immobilie-aktie.de<br />
October 23rd, Thursday<br />
IEIF Colloquium, Paris<br />
Under the theme Global Storm - What does it<br />
mean <strong>for</strong> real estate? A French-language event<br />
by the IEIF Institute <strong>for</strong> Real Estate and Prop-<br />
erty Company Savings brings together over<br />
250 professionals in a twice-yearly symposium.<br />
More info at: www.ieif.org<br />
October 27th-29th, Monday-Wednesday<br />
European Alternative & Institutional In-<br />
vesting Summit, Monte Carlo, Monaco<br />
Opal Financial Group’s 8th annual Summit<br />
brings together instituional investment and<br />
private wealth managment professionals <strong>for</strong><br />
discussion on investment challenges and<br />
opportunities in alternative investments.<br />
More info at: jrose(at)opalgroup.net<br />
November 6th-7th, Thursday-Friday<br />
Property Investment Prospects, Hä-<br />
meenlinna, Finland<br />
The <strong>for</strong>um gathers major Finnish and<br />
international real estate professionals and<br />
in<strong>vestor</strong>s in the Russian, Baltic and Finnish<br />
markets. Key themes are business <strong>for</strong>e-<br />
sights and potential in Russia and Europe<br />
and the potential impact of climate change.<br />
More info at: www.propertyinvest.fi<br />
November 19th-21st, Wednesday-<br />
Thursday<br />
NAREIT Annual Convention, San Diego,<br />
Cali<strong>for</strong>nia<br />
The largest event on the NAREIT calendar,<br />
this year widening its focus with more inter-<br />
national discussion panels, to include some<br />
on the emerging REIT markets in Europe<br />
More at: www.nareit.com<br />
November 20th-21st, Thursday-Friday<br />
European Mortgage Federation annual<br />
conference, Brussels<br />
The annual event brings together a wide<br />
range of participants in Europe’s hous-<br />
ing finance industry. Themes this year will<br />
centre on the EU White Paper focused on<br />
the credit crisis, access to funding, and<br />
sustainability<br />
More at: www.emfconference.org<br />
14
15<br />
....from page 11<br />
el, based around shipping, real estate and renewable<br />
energy was still sound, he said, “but<br />
profitability and efficiency have to be sustainably<br />
improved.” He announced cuts in the<br />
bank’s overseas offices<br />
and the sale of non-core<br />
shareholdings to reduce<br />
the bank’s cost levels by<br />
�€100m, and remain on<br />
target <strong>for</strong> its state goal of<br />
an after-tax IRR of more<br />
than 10% by 2010.<br />
The bank’s announcement has caused a<br />
political outcry in Hamburg and the northern<br />
state of Schleswig-Holstein, due to feared<br />
lower dividend payments to the state, while<br />
labour unions have accused the bank of mismanagement.<br />
CEO Berger said the bank<br />
was sticking to its full-year gross profit <strong>for</strong>ecast<br />
of �€400m, and assured his opponents<br />
of maintained dividend payments. The bank<br />
said it still aimed <strong>for</strong> a stock exchange listing<br />
once the market turbulence had subsided.<br />
Separately, the bank said that it had arranged<br />
and underwritten a sterling £325<br />
million, 5-year facility <strong>for</strong><br />
Big Yellow, the market<br />
leader <strong>for</strong> self-storage<br />
facilities in the UK. The<br />
financing will replace a<br />
similar facility provided<br />
by a syndicate of bank<br />
led by Royal Bank of Scotland.<br />
The facility will be secured by fixed charges<br />
over Big Yellow’s portfolio of complete<br />
and open self storage properties which are<br />
almost all owned freehold. These stores<br />
provide nearly 250,000 sq.m. of space<br />
available <strong>for</strong> rental. Big Yellow has been<br />
expanding rapidly in recent years, with its<br />
centrally-located stores throughout London<br />
and other larger cities.<br />
Networking with real estate professionals on<br />
www.ourbania.com<br />
Design the global real estate network:<br />
• Create an in<strong>for</strong>mative profile.<br />
• Link your profile to real estate projects that excite you.<br />
• Describe your projects and link them with photos and<br />
interesting articles from professional journals.<br />
• Discover your colleagues’ projects.<br />
• Cultivate your contacts and expand your business network.<br />
Benefit from the real estate community on<br />
www.ourbania.com<br />
www.ourbania.com<br />
www.refire-online.com<br />
Germany/Funds<br />
German open-ended funds<br />
see strong net inflow<br />
In<strong>vestor</strong> capital flowing into Germany’s<br />
43 open-ended property funds showed<br />
a strong net inflow in July of �€1.2bn, up<br />
from �376m in June, according to the BVI,<br />
the association of German funds and asset<br />
managers. The funds have seen their<br />
volumes rise to over �€87bn by August from<br />
�€79.5bn at the beginning of the year.<br />
DekaBank property funds were the biggest<br />
beneficiary in the first half of the year,<br />
adding a net �€1.3bn, followed by Axa IM<br />
with a net �€797m and Union Investment<br />
with �€742m.<br />
According to IPD in Germany, the funds<br />
produced a yield of 5.3% in the first half of<br />
2008, with some of the better per<strong>for</strong>mers<br />
reaching 6%. A recent study based
....from page 13<br />
on recent funds inflows by Martin Praum<br />
and John Perry, two London analysts at<br />
Deutsche Bank, suggested that with leverage,<br />
the funds now have at least �€16bn extra<br />
to invest, not counting the proceeds of sales<br />
made since May 2006.<br />
The open-ended funds are aggressively<br />
looking to take advantage of falling markets<br />
and a strong euro by investing in the UK,<br />
US and elsewhere. With yields in parts of<br />
the UK having risen from 3.75% last year<br />
to up to 6.5% at the moment, in<strong>vestor</strong>s like<br />
Deka Immobilien Investment are re-entering<br />
the UK market which they abandoned three<br />
years ago, most recently buying two London<br />
properties <strong>for</strong> €240m. Schroders recently<br />
set up a �600m fund <strong>for</strong> German institutional<br />
in<strong>vestor</strong>s to buy shopping centres, office<br />
and logistic properties in the UK, and reports<br />
SEARCHING FOR NEW<br />
MARKETS? NEW STRATEGIES?<br />
NEW PROJECTS?<br />
Welcome to EXPO REAL, the business and networking<br />
plat<strong>for</strong>m of 40,000 professionals from across the<br />
global property industry.<br />
Online ticket reservation and all other in<strong>for</strong>mation:<br />
www.exporeal.net<br />
EXPO REAL – 11th International Commercial Property Exposition<br />
Monday 6 – Wednesday 8 October 2008<br />
New Munich Trade Fair Centre<br />
that they’re now buying properties at up to a<br />
40% discount on pre-crunch prices.<br />
The mood among Germany’s closedended<br />
funds is nowhere near as optimistic,<br />
according to Scope Analysts in Berlin<br />
in their twice-yearly study of fund initiators<br />
and brokers. Pessimism is at its highest<br />
<strong>for</strong> five years, they reported, particularly<br />
among their brokers. 16% of their brokers<br />
described the selling environment as poor,<br />
up from 7% over the same period last year.<br />
The percentage of fund initiators taking such<br />
a gloomy outlook rose from 2% to 13% in<br />
the period. Apart from the credit crunch, the<br />
main reasons given are the still high prices<br />
and a shortage of suitable properties, plus<br />
the high interest rates <strong>for</strong> more liquid capital<br />
investments. Their focus is now more on<br />
German properties.<br />
Germany/Financing<br />
Belgian bank KBC expands<br />
German financing business<br />
16<br />
KBC Bank Deutschland AG, the German<br />
branch of Belgian KBC Bank, is making<br />
steady steps as a niche commercial property<br />
financier in Germany after starting up<br />
in the market at the beginning of 2007.<br />
The bank has specialised in financing small<br />
and mid-sized companies expanding on<br />
the German market, taking the financing<br />
risk onto its own books.<br />
Since setting up in Germany, KBC has<br />
financed 42 projects with a total credit volume<br />
of �€440m. In the first half of this year it<br />
financed about �€200m of property deals, and<br />
plans to open a new office in northern Germany.<br />
Given the climate, the bank has set
17<br />
modest goals <strong>for</strong> its German operations, but<br />
nonetheless board director Michael Wolber<br />
said last week, “We’re very satisfied. Our<br />
strategy of both accompanying international<br />
clients to Germany and at the same time to<br />
be a partner <strong>for</strong> German property companies<br />
is certainly working out well.”<br />
Germany/Disposals<br />
Hypo Real Estate sells Collineo<br />
to Sal. Oppenheim<br />
As part of its drive to focus on its core financing<br />
activities, Munich-based property<br />
finance bank Hypo Real Estate last week<br />
sold its asset management subsidiary<br />
Collineo Asset Management to Luxembourg-based,<br />
family-owned bank group<br />
Sal. Oppenheim jr. & Cie, in a deal expected<br />
to be completed by the end of the<br />
year.<br />
Collineo, based in Dortmund, provides<br />
specialist finance <strong>for</strong> structured finance prod-<br />
GPR 250 Europe<br />
GPR 250 Germany<br />
Graph of Total Return Per<strong>for</strong>mance of Europe and Germany in �€� currency over the past twelve months<br />
<strong>REFIRE</strong> charts courtesy of GPR<br />
ucts and manages MBS, ABS and CDO<br />
portfolios worth several billion euros in Europe<br />
and the US, several of which have come<br />
under pressure as a result of sub-prime exposure.<br />
A spokesman <strong>for</strong> Sal. Oppenheim<br />
said that the portfolios were of mixed quality,<br />
but the good ones had considerable value<br />
and would be of interest as alternative investments<br />
<strong>for</strong> several of the bank’s clients. No<br />
price <strong>for</strong> the sale of the company to Sal. Oppenheim<br />
was available.<br />
Separately, Hypo also said last week that<br />
it had provided a �€264m term loan facility to<br />
ProLogis European Properties Fund II<br />
to refinance 34 distribution facilities throughout<br />
central Europe. The facilities have more<br />
than �700,000 sq.m let to global customers of<br />
Prologis, in Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia<br />
and Hungary. Aareal Bank, Deutsche<br />
Postbank and Helaba Landesbank Hessen-Thüringen<br />
co-managed the deal.<br />
Meanwhile, Hypo just barely managed to<br />
avoid being ejected from membership of the<br />
DAX 30 leading industrials in the latest shuffle<br />
GRAPH-3<br />
Total Return Per<strong>for</strong>mance GPR 250 Index (��<br />
Page 1<br />
www.refire-online.com<br />
last week. The bank, whose market capitalisation<br />
has halved since the beginning of the<br />
year, was on the verge of relegation but was<br />
saved when steel manufacturer Salzgitter’s<br />
share price also tumbled.<br />
Europe/Financing<br />
Helaba finances office deals<br />
<strong>for</strong> Luxembourg and Norwegian<br />
partners<br />
Frankfurt-based Helaba’s unit “Real<br />
Estate Financing International In<strong>vestor</strong>s”<br />
was active over the past few weeks<br />
on two sizeable deals <strong>for</strong> international in<strong>vestor</strong>s.<br />
The bank said it was providing a loan<br />
of �€71.5m <strong>for</strong> the Luxembourg-based<br />
fund Alpina Real Estate to finance two<br />
office buildings in Hamburg. Alpina is investing<br />
about �€300m in property deals in<br />
Germany, Austria and Switzerland, mainly<br />
in high-quality office projects. The first<br />
Sep-07 Oct-07 Nov-07 Dec-07 Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 May-08 Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08<br />
Source: Global Property Research, 2008<br />
150<br />
125<br />
100<br />
75<br />
50<br />
25<br />
0
property, the Hansa Forum in the city centre,<br />
is a mixed-use office and retail centre<br />
with 14,000 sq.m. of lettable space, while<br />
the second, the seven-story Hansa Carree,<br />
consists of six buildings and about<br />
2 0 , 0 0 0<br />
sq.m of<br />
office and<br />
1 , 3 0 0<br />
sq.m of<br />
retail space.<br />
Helaba also acted as lead arranger,<br />
agent and underwriter in financing five<br />
properties worth €�125m bought by Norwegian<br />
investment company Prime Office<br />
Germany. The financed properties<br />
are two yet-to-be-constructed buildings<br />
and three others in the portfolio, with<br />
about 36,000 sq.m of lettable space, with<br />
a 91% occupancy rate. The Norwegian<br />
group, set up by the investment companies<br />
Bjömstad Skjerven Agerup (BSA)<br />
and Orkla Finans Kapital<strong>for</strong>valtning, is<br />
focused on investing in German commercial<br />
property funds and private equity.<br />
GPR 250 Europe<br />
GPR 250 Germany<br />
<strong>REFIRE</strong> charts courtesy of GPR<br />
Germany/Acquisitions<br />
Carlyle Group buys prime<br />
Düsseldorf site <strong>for</strong> development<br />
Shrugging off the fears that have led many<br />
project developers to slow down on major<br />
new German commitments, the US private<br />
equity firm The Carlyle Group has<br />
bought a prime site in Düsseldorf which it<br />
plans to re-develop, in line with its strategy<br />
of buying prestigious single assets in<br />
established central business districts.<br />
It bought the site, at Cecilienallee 6-9,<br />
from DEKA Immobilienfonds, an openended<br />
fund owned by the Frankfurt-based<br />
DEKA Bank. No price <strong>for</strong> the deal was<br />
disclosed, although Nord/LB is providing<br />
the financing <strong>for</strong> the deal.<br />
Carlyle Europe Real Estate plans to<br />
demolish the existing property when tenancies<br />
expire in August 2009 and to then<br />
construct a new modern office building<br />
in its place with 14,000 sq.m of space.<br />
Commenting on the deal, Carlyle’s Ger-<br />
GRAPH-1<br />
Total Return Per<strong>for</strong>mance GPR 250 Index (��<br />
Page 1<br />
18<br />
many managing director Wulf Meinel<br />
said that Düsseldorf appealed because of<br />
its economic strength and stability among<br />
Germany’s major centres. He added:<br />
“This investment is totally in line with our<br />
strategy of identifying attractive properties<br />
with significant upside potential from<br />
demolishing existing outdated buildings<br />
and developing modern, state-of-the-art<br />
premises in strong local markets.”<br />
Carlyle has three Europe Real Estate<br />
Partners funds now active in Europe.<br />
The funds have invested in office, retail,<br />
and logistic real estate portfolios with an<br />
area of about 600,000 m² in Germany,<br />
and include, amongst others, Gänsemarkt<br />
45, Freshfields-Haus and BrahmsQuartier<br />
in Hamburg, the Versatel building in Stuttgart<br />
and Lindenpark in Hannover.<br />
The third European real estate fund,<br />
Carlyle Europe Real Estate Partners<br />
III (CEREP III), was recently closed at �€2.2<br />
billion. With leverage, this should give<br />
Carlyle’s pan-European team of 46 people<br />
up to about �€9 billion to invest. The<br />
Sep-03 Mar-04 Sep-04 Mar-05 Sep-05 Mar-06 Sep-06 Mar-07 Sep-07 Mar-08<br />
Source: Global Property Research, 2008<br />
400<br />
350<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0
19<br />
Carlyle Group now manages �€3.4 billion<br />
of real estate in Europe, and along with<br />
several other major private equity groups<br />
such as Apollo Management and the<br />
Blackstone Group, has also been raising<br />
funds to increase its investment in distressed<br />
European assets.<br />
A thank you to our sponsors:<br />
Europe/Website<br />
Ourbania.com as networking<br />
site <strong>for</strong> the real estate industry<br />
We’re happy to give a little plug here to<br />
Ourbania.com, a networking website<br />
set up by mortgage finance provider Eu-<br />
GALABALL<br />
D E R<br />
IMMOBILIEN<br />
2 0 0 8<br />
Class A Sponsors Class B Sponsors<br />
www.refire-online.com<br />
8 . N o v. 2 0 0 8<br />
K u r h a u s W i e s b a d e n<br />
Unique Galaball Event of the german<br />
and international real estate economy<br />
Meet commuicators and decisionmakers<br />
3 course gala dinner and show of<br />
illusions by circus owner André<br />
Sarrasani<br />
Presented by Caroline Beil<br />
International top bands and show acts<br />
in the whole Kurhaus<br />
Promoters<br />
Architekten- und Stadtplanerkammer Hessen, Deutsche Immobilien-Akademie (DIA), gif Gesellschaft für<br />
immobilienwirtschaftliche Forschung e.V., IMMOEBS e.V., <strong>REFIRE</strong> Real Estate Finance <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Report</strong> Europe<br />
Organisator: Strumpf Eventmanagement OHG - Friedrichstr. 10 - 65817 Eppstein / Germany - Galaball-Hotline: +49 (800) GALABALL<br />
Further in<strong>for</strong>mation and tickets:www.galaball-immobilien.de<br />
rohypo, which will appeal in particular to<br />
younger members of the real estate profession<br />
worldwide, and particularly those<br />
who are used to networking on social<br />
interaction sites on the internet such as<br />
Facebook or XING.<br />
Ourbania’s target market is much nar-<br />
R E A G
ower than these well-established sites, although<br />
they work the same way. Developers,<br />
architects, in<strong>vestor</strong>s, analysts, valuers,<br />
facility managers, brokers, engineers and<br />
planners will find it useful, we think – in fact,<br />
anybody contributing in some way to the life<br />
cycle of individual commercial buildings. The<br />
language of the website is English, in keeping<br />
with the international background of most of<br />
the site’s visitors.<br />
The website was launched at the MIPIM<br />
in March under the auspices of Germany’s<br />
federal Economics and Technology ministry<br />
in Berlin. The site revolves around individual<br />
Don’t move - or if you do, move east<br />
It’s a common complaint in Germany by landlords that the socalled<br />
‘Mietspiegel’ or maximum permissible residential rent fixed<br />
in a neighbourhood, discourages investment by keeping rents<br />
artificially low at landlords’ expense. New development, too, is<br />
said to be hindered by the low level of rents achievable. However,<br />
recent research shows that, at least <strong>for</strong> new tenancies, residential<br />
rents are rising strongly in Germany’s largest cities as in<strong>vestor</strong>s<br />
and landlords find ways to raise rent levels.<br />
A recent study by Jones Lang LaSalle shows a widening<br />
discrepancy between the rents payable by new tenants (‘offered<br />
rents’) and those who don’t move, whose rents are protected by<br />
law, in Berlin, Düsseldorf, Frankfurt, Hamburg and Munich. The<br />
study delved into individual neighbourhoods within these cities to<br />
provide a more complete picture than other more general studies.<br />
The JLL study examined 130,000 in its City Profile from the<br />
first half of this year, and found that the ‘offered rents’ were diverging<br />
strongly from rents payable by sitting tenants. New tenants in<br />
the most desirable parts of Berlin, such as Prenzlauer Berg and<br />
Mitte, were paying nearly �8.00 per sq.m <strong>for</strong> a renovated apartment<br />
in an older building, nearly 50% more than indicated by the<br />
‘Mietspiegel’ <strong>for</strong> the neighbourhoods.<br />
According to Stefan Mergen, responsible <strong>for</strong> residential valuations<br />
at JLL, “This trend is going to continue, and will be probably<br />
even more extreme than expected. It just shows that the<br />
‘Mietspiegel’ is being completely ignored, in favour of what the<br />
market will bear. We’re seeing the same thing in Hamburg and<br />
the other larger cities.”<br />
The research institute Empirica, which carries out its own<br />
studies on rental levels, confirmed JLL’s findings of generally rising<br />
rents nationwide. It found that in 70% of 118 German cities the<br />
‘offered rents’ have been rising steadily since the last quarter of<br />
commercial property projects, with users who<br />
played a role in the property’s development<br />
cleverly linked up, able to send secure messages<br />
to each other, and discuss new projects.<br />
Over 500 property projects worldwide<br />
are currently featured on the site. Registration<br />
is free. You can join the community at www.<br />
ourbania.com<br />
Germany/Banking<br />
SEB plans change to structure<br />
of German unit<br />
Swedish bank SEB said last week it was chang-<br />
2005. In Neubrandenburg, <strong>for</strong> example, it found that the average<br />
rent had risen by 26% within the ten quarters, from �4.27 to �5.36 per<br />
sq.m/month. The ‘Mietspiegel’ certainly wouldn’t permit that.<br />
Meanwhile, a company called F&B Forschung und Beratung<br />
für Wohnen, Immobilien und Umwelt GmbH has just produced<br />
the “Mietspiegelindex 2008”, a comprehensive guide <strong>for</strong> all the recommended<br />
official rent levels throughout Germany. The researchers<br />
examined rent levels <strong>for</strong> a 65 sq.m apartment, built to normal or<br />
average specifications in a normal or average area. While the average<br />
rent comes to �5.91 per sq.m/month, there are wide regional<br />
variations.<br />
In the northern part of Germany, most rents correspond to the<br />
average. But in the south, in the states of Baden Württemberg<br />
and Bavaria, and in the middle (Hesse and Rhineland-Palatinate)<br />
the average rents are �7.21 and �6.32 respectively (per sq.m/month),<br />
tenants pay considerably more. North Rhine-Westphalia is slightly<br />
below average, while in the eastern states, including Berlin, rents are<br />
well below average.<br />
The average rent in Munich at �9.81 is 66% above the national<br />
average, and is the highest in the country. Even towns well outside<br />
the centre of Munich rank among the highest in the country, with<br />
the towns of Germering and Dachau ranked two and three on the<br />
national list.<br />
Berlin is the place to live cheaply, with apartments in the western<br />
part of the city 3% below the national average, and east Berlin 10%<br />
below the mean. Renting in Munich is thus fully 70% more expensive<br />
<strong>for</strong> its inhabitants than living in the nation’s capital – where else<br />
do you find this? To really save money, live in an eastern German<br />
city, none of which feature in the top 30 most expensive places to<br />
rent. Then rent a newly-built apartment, which in contrast to the<br />
west will cost less than a renovated older building. With all these<br />
savings you can buy an excellent computer, and plenty of broadband<br />
capacity. And then become a telecommuter…<br />
20<br />
ing its structure to separate its retail banking<br />
business from merchant banking and real estate<br />
operations in Germany.<br />
The market has recently speculated that<br />
SEB might hive off its German retail banking division,<br />
acquired some years ago from Germany’s<br />
labour union bank BfG. SEB did not mention a<br />
possible sale, but did say that it wanted to take<br />
advantage of the merger and acquisition landscape<br />
in Germany. In a statement, the bank<br />
said, “The organisational change is of internal<br />
character solely and will have no implications on<br />
daily operations. SEB Asset Management is not<br />
part of the organisational change process.”
21<br />
Lead Sponsor:<br />
The Ninth Annual 29-30 OCTOBER 2008<br />
EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE<br />
OPPORTUNITY & PRIVATE<br />
FUND INVESTING FORUM<br />
Raj Bhandari, ADAM REALTY PARTNERS PVT. LTD<br />
Gwynne M. Murphy, AETOS CAPITAL, LLC<br />
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Edward Casal, AVIVA CM<br />
Marty Kandrac, THE BLACKSTONE GROUP INTERNATIONAL<br />
Peter Kasch, CATALYST CAPITAL LLP (London)<br />
Geza Toth-Feher, CB EQUITY PARTNERS GMBH<br />
Ethan Penner, CB RICHARD ELLIS INVESTORS<br />
Ramsey Mankarious, CEDAR CAPITAL PARTNERS LTD.<br />
Mark Battistoni, CHATHAM FINANCIAL EUROPE LTD<br />
Erwin F Stouthamer, COMPOSITION CAPITAL PARTNERS<br />
David Rendall, CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD INVESTORS<br />
Ken Nitzberg, DEVON SELF STORAGE<br />
Elizabeth Mcloughlin, EASTCAP GROUP<br />
Dr. Dirk Söhnholz, FERI INSTITUTIONAL ADVISORS GMBH<br />
Karim Merchant, GID INVESTMENT ADVISERS LLC<br />
Frank Croston, HAMILTON HOTEL PARTNERS LLP<br />
Scott O’Donnell, HARBERT MANAGEMENT CORP., EUROPE<br />
Alasdair Evans, HERMES<br />
Lars Huber, HINES EUROPE<br />
Aniruddha Joshi, HIRCO PLC<br />
Jonathan J L Driscoll, HOJASCO CAPITAL LTD<br />
David Scott, INTERNATIONAL PROPERTY HOLDINGS GROUP<br />
Michael Siefert, MADISON INTERNATIONAL REALTY<br />
Oliver Smith, MANSFORD LLP<br />
Lloyd Lee, MARATHON ASSET MANAGEMENT<br />
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For The Most Current In<strong>for</strong>mation Please Visit: www.imn.org/ukop/refirem<br />
Tel: 1-212-768-2800 | Fax: 1-212-768-2484 | Email: mail@imn.org<br />
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LANDMARK HOTEL LONDON<br />
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REAL ESTATE FUNDS & PENSION SCHEMES SPEAKING AS OF AUGUST 19 CURRENTLY INCLUDE:<br />
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INITIAL CORPORATE SPONSORS AS OF AUGUST 19 CURRENTLY INCLUDE:<br />
OVER 700 EXECUTIVES ATTENDED LAST YEAR’S EVENT
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Real Estate Finance <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Report</strong><br />
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