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Volume 3, Issue 47, September 17th 2008<br />

Inside <strong>REFIRE</strong><br />

<strong>REFIRE</strong> is a twice-monthly report focused<br />

on providing market intelligence and back-<br />

ground analysis to finance professionals in<br />

German and continental European real es-<br />

tate investment.<br />

Whatever your particular area of specialisa-<br />

tion, we think you’ll find timely, incisive in<strong>for</strong>-<br />

mation within our pages, helping to in<strong>for</strong>m<br />

you of the key deals, the numbers, the mar-<br />

kets, the players and the people.<br />

The areas we focus on are:<br />

US Funds in Europe<br />

European REITs<br />

German Real Estate Finance<br />

German Non-Per<strong>for</strong>ming Loans (NPLs)<br />

Retail Property Funds<br />

Mortgage Securitisation<br />

CMBS/RMBS<br />

French SIIC’s<br />

Refinancing<br />

Euro-zone Property Financing<br />

<strong>REFIRE</strong> has an extensive network of con-<br />

tacts in the field of continental European real-<br />

estate finance, which enables us to bring you<br />

the latest and most relevant news. However,<br />

we always want to know more about what’s<br />

going on in this dynamic sector, so make<br />

sure your company is keeping us in<strong>for</strong>med<br />

of your moves. Send your media communi-<br />

cations to news@refire-online.com <strong>for</strong> our<br />

consideration.<br />

CONTENTS in this Issue:<br />

DEALS ROUNDUP / from page 3<br />

EDITORIAL / page 4<br />

REPORT - /Market <strong>Report</strong> page 6<br />

UPCOMING EVENTS / page 12<br />

PEOPLE…JOBS…MOVES / pae 14<br />

SUBSCRIPTION FORM / page 20<br />

Over-extended €1.5bn residential in<strong>vestor</strong><br />

<strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> <strong>files</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>insolvency</strong><br />

Germany saw its first major bankruptcy of the recent wave of highly-leveraged<br />

investment in residential housing last week, when <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> Asset Management<br />

filed <strong>for</strong> <strong>insolvency</strong> in the district court in Charlottenburg in Berlin. The<br />

company owns more than 28,000 residential units and about 700 commercial<br />

properties, mainly in eastern Germany, with total holdings valued at �€1.5 billion.<br />

Insolvency administrators are already in discussion with potential buyers<br />

of assets from <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong>’s property holdings, one of the largest residential<br />

in<strong>vestor</strong>s on the market.<br />

The company’s biggest creditor is Credit<br />

Suisse. <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> is thought to have<br />

debt finance on its properties of �€1.3bn,<br />

of which �€1.1bn was financed by Credit<br />

Suisse. Of this, �€300m is believed to be<br />

still on Credit Suisse’s books, with the rest<br />

having been securitised. <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> also<br />

has mezzanine financing of �€200m, partly<br />

also owed to Credit Suisse, which was arranged<br />

in 2007 as part of a planned IPO.<br />

The stock market listing, due to be underwritten<br />

by Credit Suisse, was subsequently<br />

aborted. <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> had problems<br />

refinancing in March this year, while the<br />

bank imposed stricter conditions including<br />

the appointment of a new, independent<br />

CEO and further asset collateralisation.<br />

The Blackstone Group is also helping<br />

Credit Suisse to reorganise the debt.<br />

<strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> is the holding company of<br />

Kurdish-born Austrian entrepreneur Cevdet<br />

Caner, with the company registered<br />

in Jersey in the Channel Islands. The main<br />

office is in London, while its over 200 German<br />

companies report to the Berlin-based<br />

<strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> Asset Management, with<br />

back office support based in Linz in Austria.<br />

According to Hartwig Albers <strong>for</strong> the<br />

<strong>insolvency</strong> administrator, the <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong><br />

properties will now be bundled into smaller<br />

portfolios and sold. “According to management,<br />

the properties cover their costs,<br />

but are collectively financed at more than<br />

100% of the purchase price. It’s clear that<br />

the creditors have been trying to get rid of<br />

the influence of Mr Caner in the ongoing<br />

Invista report ranks German<br />

property ‘top’ <strong>for</strong> growth<br />

The German real estate market is expected<br />

to deliver “above-trend” growth over the<br />

next five years despite fears the economy<br />

will be impacted by the more restrictive<br />

credit climate, according to a report by Invista<br />

Real Estate Investment Management,<br />

.....see page 2<br />

Property purchase tax set to<br />

rise in Hamburg<br />

Hamburg looks set to follow Berlin in raising<br />

the property acquisition tax rate from<br />

its current 3.5% to 4.5%. The proposal<br />

is currently be<strong>for</strong>e the Hamburg senate,<br />

and if enacted, would likely mean the immediate<br />

imposition of the tax on all property<br />

and land purchases see page11<br />

Henderson sees 60bps rise<br />

in German yields by 2009<br />

British fund manager Henderson Global In<strong>vestor</strong>s<br />

sees property yields in Germany rising<br />

by a further 60 basis points by the end<br />

of 2009, as the German market continues to<br />

adapt to the market of increased cross-border<br />

investment in Europe. .....see page 11<br />

TLG Immobilien moves ahead<br />

with privatisation plans<br />

The Berlin-based TLG Immobilien, the<br />

federally-owned property company specialising<br />

in property in the eastern states<br />

of Germany, is pressing on with its plans<br />

to privatise itself by the end of this year,<br />

with several bidders.... .......see page 15


<strong>REFIRE</strong><br />

Real Estate Finance<br />

<strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Report</strong> Europe<br />

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Tel: +49-69-49085-785<br />

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Margarete May, Rechtsanwältin<br />

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Publisher:<br />

<strong>REFIRE</strong> Ltd.,<br />

49 Sandymount Avenue,<br />

Ballsbridge<br />

Dublin 4, Ireland<br />

Real Estate Finance <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Report</strong> Europe<br />

(<strong>REFIRE</strong>) is published 22 times a year, at the beginning<br />

and in the middle of each month, with<br />

two holiday breaks. <strong>REFIRE</strong> is editorially independent<br />

of any selling or investing institutions. In<strong>for</strong>mation<br />

contained in <strong>REFIRE</strong> is under copyright<br />

protection and is based on sources believed to<br />

be reliable, though their complete accuracy cannot<br />

be fully guaranteed. Neither the in<strong>for</strong>mation<br />

contained in <strong>REFIRE</strong> nor the opinions expressed<br />

therein constitute or are to be construed as constituting<br />

an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy<br />

or sell investments. <strong>REFIRE</strong> accepts no liability<br />

<strong>for</strong> actions based on the in<strong>for</strong>mation herein.<br />

© 2008 <strong>REFIRE</strong> Ltd.<br />

restructuring negotiations. The key thing<br />

now is to establish properly-functioning<br />

administration to assuage tenants fears<br />

and secure the rental stream.”<br />

<strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> started buying low-cost and<br />

social residential housing in 2005 and<br />

2006 in cities including Frankfurt, Berlin,<br />

Dresden and Halle. It planned to sell the<br />

properties to tenants or other in<strong>vestor</strong>s at<br />

a higher price. With interest rates low and<br />

leverage finance freely available, the company<br />

was able to rapidly build its portfolio.<br />

According to Dr. Thomas Beyerle,<br />

head of research at Frankfurt-based property<br />

fund manager Degi, the administrators<br />

are likely to sell off the portfolio in tranches<br />

of �€10-15m, at a steep discount to original<br />

purchase prices. Many in<strong>vestor</strong>s, calculating<br />

on continuing spreads between rental<br />

income and financing costs, had paid over<br />

�€800 per sq.m. <strong>for</strong> average-quality housing.<br />

“Very few of the active in<strong>vestor</strong>s in<br />

residential property, with adequate equity<br />

capital, would be in a position to buy major<br />

portfolios now”, he said. “Numerous<br />

in<strong>vestor</strong>s, those who are shortly due to<br />

refinance their borrowings, are going to<br />

be <strong>for</strong>ced into distressed sales.” This will<br />

have the inevitable effect of falling prices<br />

and ultimately lower property valuations,<br />

he added.<br />

Some of the better properties are likely<br />

to prove attractive to major listed and private<br />

residential companies such as Germany’s<br />

largest residential landlord Deutsche<br />

Annington, part of the UK’s Terra Firma<br />

group, and the listed Deutsche Wohnen<br />

AG. Many smaller groups are also likely to<br />

be interested, including municipal housing<br />

associations who may be able to achieve<br />

benefits of scale and efficiency in adding to<br />

their holdings, if they can buy at the right<br />

price.<br />

Wijnand Donkers, CEO of Deutsche<br />

Annington, was quoted in reports as saying<br />

his company may be interested in certain<br />

of the <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> properties. “We are<br />

also interested in smaller portfolios from<br />

any companies that have to withdraw from<br />

the market”, he said.<br />

2<br />

Michael Zahn, CEO of Berlin-based<br />

Deutsche Wohnen, said that they would<br />

be interested in distressed portfolios that<br />

came on the market, particularly if they<br />

were the right sort of properties to boost<br />

the company’s holdings in the Berlin area.<br />

But, referring to the quality of the <strong>Level</strong><br />

<strong>One</strong> properties, he added, “However, given<br />

what we know of the <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> properties,<br />

they are unlikely to have the development<br />

potential that we are looking <strong>for</strong> in our portfolios.”<br />

Commenting on the collapse of <strong>Level</strong><br />

<strong>One</strong>, the Deutsche Mieterbund, (the<br />

German Tenants Association) reiterated<br />

their long-term opposition to the acquisition<br />

of over 700,000 apartments by private<br />

equity groups during the low interest-rate<br />

era. Spokesman Ulrich Ropertz said,<br />

“<strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong>’s <strong>insolvency</strong> just confirms our<br />

stand that residential housing is not a trading<br />

commodity <strong>for</strong> private equity in<strong>vestor</strong>s.”<br />

Within days of <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong>’s <strong>insolvency</strong><br />

filing, a further victim of higher financing<br />

costs also filed <strong>for</strong> <strong>insolvency</strong> in the same<br />

Berlin court. Three subsidiary companies<br />

of the British-owned, Berlin-based Titan<br />

Holdings found themselves with the same<br />

problems as <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong>. The companies<br />

own and manage about 3,000 residential<br />

and commercial properties in eastern<br />

Germany. Rising vacancy rates and higher<br />

interest repayments on leveraged borrowings<br />

on poor-quality properties meant that<br />

the sums no longer added up.<br />

<strong>REFIRE</strong>: The <strong>Level</strong> <strong>One</strong> <strong>insolvency</strong> is<br />

a high-profile case, due to the size of the<br />

holdings and the geographic location of<br />

most of the residential property so quickly<br />

acquired by the group. But it is not untypical<br />

in its structure of how so many of<br />

these deal were stitched together at a time<br />

of plenty, using minimal equity and heavy<br />

borrowings at low interest rates. Most<br />

of the deals were based on assumptions<br />

that were always optimistic about rates of<br />

privatisation, achievable rent levels, and indeed<br />

the future demand <strong>for</strong> the quality of


3<br />

.................................................<br />

DEALS ROUNDUP<br />

these apartments, without serious further<br />

investment in upgrading and renovation.<br />

The investments depended frequently on<br />

the Greater Fool theory as an exit strategy,<br />

but <strong>for</strong> most later in<strong>vestor</strong>s the chickens<br />

are now coming home to roost.<br />

There are many in<strong>vestor</strong>s weeks or<br />

months away from a similar fate as <strong>Level</strong><br />

<strong>One</strong>. Many deals will be done behind<br />

closed doors, as the last thing the banks<br />

want right now is to flood the market with<br />

property portfolios, driving the price down<br />

even further. The utopian prices paid by<br />

eager buyers are likely to become the stuff<br />

of legend, all the more so since recent<br />

large portfolio deals such as the Whitehall<br />

Funds purchase of the LEG in North<br />

Rhine-Westphalia triggered a spate of<br />

markdowns in the realistic value of listed<br />

companies’ residential holdings.<br />

Germany/Study<br />

Invista report ranks German<br />

property ‘top’ <strong>for</strong> growth<br />

The German real estate market is expected<br />

to deliver “above-trend” growth over the<br />

next five years despite fears the economy<br />

will be impacted by the more restrictive<br />

credit climate, according to a report by Invista<br />

Real Estate Investment Management,<br />

the UK’s largest listed real estate<br />

fund management group.<br />

In its annual European Property Market<br />

Relative Attractiveness report published last<br />

IT‘S A KIND OF MAGIC<br />

MEET OUR ACES AT EXPO REAL ON STAND B1-131<br />

EXPECT MORE<br />

www.driversjonas.eu<br />

www.refire-online.com<br />

week, Invista ranks countries in Europe according<br />

to risk-adjusted per<strong>for</strong>mance prospects<br />

over the next five years. The top per<strong>for</strong>mer<br />

was Germany, which moved up from<br />

seventh place last year, displacing the UK<br />

market from its first place ranking last year.<br />

Italy came second, moving up from 11th<br />

place. Netherlands retained the same third<br />

place ranking from 2007 while Belgium<br />

moved up four places from eighth place last<br />

year and France, which dropped one place<br />

from fourth place last year.<br />

In its quarterly investment report, which<br />

included the Relative Attractiveness report,<br />

Invista said that in<strong>vestor</strong>s should look beyond<br />

the short-term volatility of the property market<br />

and concentrate on larger, longer-term<br />

issues of economic growth, liquidity and per-


.................................................<br />

EDITORIAL<br />

A bird’s-eye view of the Frankfurt commercial property market<br />

Two weeks ago <strong>REFIRE</strong> was granted the<br />

privilege of the latest bird’s eye view of the<br />

Frankfurt office market. Literally. As a<br />

guest of global project developer Tishman<br />

Speyer, we donned our hard hats,<br />

stepped artfully through the mud of the<br />

city’s largest building-site, and rattled<br />

our way 150m skywards in the rickety<br />

cage elevator used by construction<br />

workers to schlep materials up to the<br />

higher floors of the Opernturm, Frankfurt’s<br />

newest skyscraper.<br />

The views from the 38th floor of the raw<br />

concrete edifice were naturally spectacular,<br />

although we clutched tightly to any protruding<br />

rail that looked as if it was firmly set and<br />

dried in concrete Despite our dizziness, it<br />

was obvious that this will be a magnificent<br />

bank headquarters when the building is finally<br />

finished in a year’s time, and a worthy<br />

addition to Frankfurt’s corporate skyline.<br />

The project is a joint venture between<br />

Tishman Speyer and the Swiss bank UBS,<br />

who has also committed to leasing half the<br />

property <strong>for</strong> their new Frankfurt headquarters.<br />

The rents payable will be the highest<br />

in the city – as befits the quality and location<br />

of the property. But there’s still time to<br />

rent the other half of the property, and share<br />

a prestige address with Switzerland’s leading<br />

bank. Assuming, of course, that it still<br />

is Switzerland’s leading bank by the time it<br />

comes to move in.<br />

Whatever the two partners see from the<br />

windy heights of their latest creation, they’ve<br />

come to the conclusion that now is a good<br />

time to sell. They’ve put the property on the<br />

market, reputedly <strong>for</strong> between €�550m and<br />

€�650m, which would make it Frankfurt’s biggest<br />

property deal of the year, should it find<br />

a buyer soon.<br />

While the investment market in Frankfurt<br />

has collapsed by 90% this year, the rental<br />

market has per<strong>for</strong>med strongly. In the first<br />

half of this year more new space was rented<br />

out than over the same period last year, credit<br />

crisis notwithstanding. The figures <strong>for</strong> the full<br />

year are likely to hold up well and compare<br />

favourably with 2007 – in contrast with cities<br />

like London, which are bearing the full brunt<br />

of the deepening financial crisis.<br />

Peak rents in Frankfurt have risen, and in<br />

theory will be pushed even<br />

higher by the lucky new tenants<br />

of the Opernturm. This<br />

positions Frankfurt as the<br />

indisputable leader <strong>for</strong> office<br />

rents in German commercial<br />

centres, despite a stubborn<br />

vacancy rate which hovers<br />

at around 11%, depending<br />

on how tolerant you are of the various definitions<br />

of ‘vacancy’. Another Tishman Speyer<br />

creation just down the road from the Opernturm,<br />

the 17-year-old Messeturm, once<br />

Europe’s tallest building, is also occupied by<br />

prestigious banking clients – but stands half<br />

empty.<br />

Commerzbank, whose headquarters<br />

building overtook the Messeturm as Germany’s<br />

highest, has now bought out Dresdner<br />

Bank, also based in Frankfurt. This will have<br />

consequences <strong>for</strong> employment and demand<br />

<strong>for</strong> office space in the city. Thousands of jobs<br />

will be rationalised once Commerzbank has<br />

fulfilled its social charter obligations to its new<br />

employees over the next three years.<br />

On the plus side, there are less new shortterm<br />

office projects in the pipeline in Frankfurt<br />

than in any major German city except <strong>for</strong><br />

Berlin. This should provide some protective<br />

buffer against the downside. But Frankfurt’s<br />

property market, which has remained relatively<br />

immune to the drastically-changing<br />

global financial landscape, will soon start to<br />

feel the chill winds that are turning the banking<br />

world on its head elsewhere.<br />

The stability and ‘staidness’ of the banking<br />

industry in Frankfurt, seen by its defendants<br />

as a healthy counterweight to its boomand-bust<br />

cousins in the more dynamic and<br />

free-wheeling London and New York, cannot<br />

in itself provide the motor <strong>for</strong> new banking<br />

developments in Europe. London’s pre-eminent<br />

position in Europe will remain unchallenged,<br />

despite the <strong>for</strong>thcoming layoffs and<br />

the shrinkage in the banking industry which<br />

will be a feature of the coming years.<br />

4<br />

But stability and staidness are good <strong>for</strong> property<br />

in<strong>vestor</strong>s who take the trouble to understand<br />

the local pillars on which German prosperity<br />

is based. Germany still manufactures<br />

products of quality which have stood the test<br />

of time. The regional nature of the country disperses<br />

these economic fruits into the smaller<br />

towns and provincial areas, where people enjoy<br />

stability of employment and good incomes.<br />

And live and work in good properties that provide<br />

solid yields to their in<strong>vestor</strong>s.<br />

There may still be some ‘juice’ left in the<br />

trophy properties in the busier central business<br />

districts of Germany’s large cities. But<br />

there is now also a lot more risk. For stable<br />

and above-average returns, the German<br />

regions continue to provide healthy opportunities<br />

<strong>for</strong> shrewd in<strong>vestor</strong>s. Read our interview<br />

in this issue with Pino Sergio of WGF<br />

AG, a Düsseldorf property trading company.<br />

In our view, WGF remains earth-bound, innovative,<br />

and focused on adding value to its<br />

properties, its enterprise, its in<strong>vestor</strong>s and its<br />

partners. By issuing bonds (Hypothekenanleihe)<br />

to finance its investments, it taps into a<br />

broad base of risk-averse in<strong>vestor</strong>s who are<br />

nonetheless guaranteed a superior return on<br />

funds, while enabling WGF to avoid going<br />

cap-in-hand to bankers to finance its projects.<br />

This is a sustainable business model,<br />

and we expect to see more companies<br />

adopting a similar model.<br />

We have often exhorted <strong>REFIRE</strong> readers<br />

to jump in their cars and go <strong>for</strong>aging around<br />

the smaller German towns looking <strong>for</strong> value<br />

in property. These properties may not make<br />

the headlines, but with the help of a strong<br />

local partner, they can provide attractive returns<br />

with low risk. Watching investments<br />

in Fannie or Freddie, or Lehman or Merrill<br />

or AIG or Washington Mutual or a host of<br />

other companies, supposedly as safe as the<br />

houses that they back, being flushed down<br />

the pan, we know how the unthinkable can<br />

quickly become the horror of the un<strong>for</strong>gettable.<br />

We’d sooner settle <strong>for</strong> a staid 7% return<br />

on our money over the leaner years ahead.<br />

Charles Kingston, Editor


5<br />

.....from page 3<br />

<strong>for</strong>mance.<br />

It concluded that Germany was “well positioned” to deliver<br />

above-trend growth over the next five years, benefiting from tax<br />

and labour market re<strong>for</strong>ms, improvements to productivity and<br />

competitiveness, and the relaxation of immigration laws to alleviate<br />

skills shortages.<br />

Invista said it favoured ‘low-beta’ markets such as Germany<br />

and Italy as they offered diversified investment opportunities and<br />

returns can be enhanced over the medium term through active<br />

asset management.<br />

Poorer per<strong>for</strong>mers were the smaller, less-liquid property markets,<br />

such as Portugal, Czech Republic and Hungary, which fell in<br />

the rankings with higher levels of expected pricing volatility.<br />

Tim Francis, head of continental European research at Invista,<br />

said: ‘The global economic events of the last 12 months<br />

have <strong>for</strong>ced in<strong>vestor</strong>s to reassess their attitudes towards property<br />

risk and pricing.<br />

‘Our research indicates which markets are expected to fare<br />

better over the medium term, and in our opinion, low-beta markets<br />

are better positioned to deliver attractive risk-adjusted returns.<br />

Despite recent weak economic data, we believe the German<br />

property market should consolidate its position as a key<br />

investment target <strong>for</strong> diversified in<strong>vestor</strong>s.’<br />

Germany/Banking<br />

Private equity funds may bid <strong>for</strong> Düsseldorfer<br />

Hypothekenbank<br />

A number of private equity funds are showing interest in buying<br />

the stricken Düsseldorfer Hypothekenbank (Düsselhyp),<br />

and are thought to have carried out due diligence on the<br />

bank with a possible sale of the bank be<strong>for</strong>e the end of the<br />

year, according to the bank’s interim report.<br />

Düsselhyp ran into trouble in April as a result of the financial<br />

market crisis, with its then owners, the Schuppli family, <strong>for</strong>ced to<br />

sell the bank to the German Banking Association’s depositor<br />

guarantee fund. The bank, although a minnow in the area of<br />

public and municipal financing compared to the dominant players<br />

Eurohypo and Hypo Real Estate, was not directly in danger of<br />

collapse at the time, but the emergency sale was thought critical<br />

to protect a loss of confidence in the German Pfandbrief, of which<br />

Düsselhyp is a licensed issuer.<br />

The bank had been in the process of refocusing its activities<br />

on property financing and away from the lower-margin public<br />

sector financing, but volatility on the markets earlier this year had<br />

stretched the bank beyond its risk limits. Despite a further injection<br />

of �€100m by the Schuppli family and with a further �€50m<br />

on call, the new higher costs of refinancing ultimately made the<br />

bank’s new plan unfeasible. The German Banking Association<br />

CC-10-8036_AD_RIFIRE.qxp:97 x 258 mm online 12.09.2008 10:33 U<br />

www.refire-online.com<br />

Creating Value from<br />

German Real Estate<br />

Residential Properties Commercial Properties Student Homes<br />

With 5600m equity raised and an investment<br />

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<strong>REFIRE</strong> INTERVIEW:<br />

Pino Sergio, CEO of WGF AG<br />

<strong>REFIRE</strong> sat down recently with the<br />

top management team at WGF AG,<br />

Westfälische Grundbesitz und Finanzverwaltung<br />

AG, to discuss the company’s<br />

regional investment strategy,<br />

and its views on the direction of the<br />

German real estate market.<br />

We have reported a number of<br />

times on the unusual approach WGF<br />

takes in both partnering with in<strong>vestor</strong>s<br />

and in refinancing its own holdings.<br />

The company has placed three<br />

residential mortgage-backed securities<br />

(Hypothekenanleihe) on the market,<br />

the most recent in May this year,<br />

that are freely tradeable on the Düsseldorf<br />

stock exchange. The bonds,<br />

which have investment-grade status,<br />

guarantee an interest return of 6.5%<br />

and are closely monitored by Creditre<strong>for</strong>m<br />

Rating AG.<br />

WGF can there<strong>for</strong>e avoid bank financing<br />

on its holdings, while taking<br />

advantage of market conditions to<br />

buy undervalued properties at highly<br />

competitive prices.<br />

Below are some excerpts from our<br />

talk with Mr Pino Sergio (pictured),<br />

WGF’s <strong>for</strong>thright CEO :<br />

<strong>REFIRE</strong>: WGF’s strengths are in regional investing.<br />

What’s wrong with Germany’s major<br />

cities?<br />

Pino Sergio: It irritates me to see how the<br />

whole German real estate industry seems to<br />

be so focused on the five or 6 major city locations.<br />

Naturally <strong>for</strong> much commercial property<br />

investment this makes sense – to be close<br />

to the centres of administration and business.<br />

But the prospects in the regional centres are<br />

grossly under-estimated, both <strong>for</strong> residential<br />

and commercial investments. We had an international<br />

in<strong>vestor</strong> recently who was turned<br />

off by the idea of investing in an office building<br />

in the city of Essen, because he was afraid he<br />

wouldn’t be able to exit in ten years. He was<br />

drawn to a similar-quality property in Düsseldorf<br />

that offered 6%, instead of the 9% in<br />

Essen, because he was convinced that Düsseldorf<br />

would remain financially stronger than<br />

Essen. But if you take the higher returns on<br />

your leveraged investment<br />

in Essen over a<br />

ten year period, on a<br />

modern building in a<br />

good location with a<br />

solid tenant, the returns<br />

will more than<br />

compensate <strong>for</strong> any<br />

perceived extra risk<br />

by going outside the<br />

major office centres.<br />

The same applies to a whole host of smaller<br />

towns, where quality properties won’t simply<br />

disappear or face competition from newer<br />

smarter properties a few streets away.<br />

“The returns in regional centres<br />

will more than compensate <strong>for</strong><br />

any perceived extra risk in going<br />

outside Germany’s major urban<br />

centres”<br />

Where do you look to find value?<br />

As an in<strong>vestor</strong>, you can find good value even<br />

on the outskirts of the larger towns, in business<br />

parks and less fashionable properties.<br />

Even in outlying areas of Düsseldorf I can buy<br />

a property <strong>for</strong> �€4.50 (per sq.m. per month<br />

equivalent) and find solid tenants <strong>for</strong> whom<br />

the stability factor of an af<strong>for</strong>dable rent is key<br />

to their calculations. They’re likely to stay<br />

longer, hire more staff, and cost me as an<br />

in<strong>vestor</strong> less in advertising, agency fees, asset<br />

managing, and absorbing vacancy losses<br />

than in a more high-profile location. The net<br />

overall yield can be much higher.<br />

Does this just apply to the office sector?<br />

The same applies to residential. The higher<br />

up the rental chain I go as an in<strong>vestor</strong>, the<br />

more problems I’m potentially going to have<br />

from well-heeled tenants, who because of the<br />

high rent they’re paying, will call me up to solve<br />

6<br />

every little problem they have with their apartment.<br />

They may be paying top rent, but they’re<br />

also likely to move on more frequently, leaving<br />

me with higher administration costs. I’ve also<br />

had to pay (and finance) a lot more to buy the<br />

property. The difference in yield can be 1.5-<br />

2.0% by going outside<br />

the desirable city-centre<br />

locations. Frankly, I can<br />

af<strong>for</strong>d a higher volume of<br />

investment outside the<br />

core centres. There is<br />

fear among in<strong>vestor</strong>s that<br />

their exit is less assured<br />

in lesser-known regions,<br />

and they’ll sacrifice yield<br />

<strong>for</strong> the com<strong>for</strong>t of feeling<br />

they’ll be able to sell later.<br />

This applies even to regional centres<br />

that have seen their industrial infrastructures<br />

change rapidly over the last ten years. Maybe<br />

yields have come down from 12% to 8%<br />

or even 7.5%, in line with incomes and business<br />

prospects, but these are factored in to<br />

the lower price level <strong>for</strong> in<strong>vestor</strong>s. The yields<br />

are still better than in many larger urban centres.<br />

The risk-reward ratio is higher. And if I<br />

can af<strong>for</strong>d three properties in smaller towns<br />

as against just one in a city like Frankfurt, then<br />

I can more easily sell a part of my holdings<br />

if I need to quickly adapt to adverse circumstances.<br />

Hence I probably have a more secure<br />

exit <strong>for</strong> my investment, with less overall<br />

risk.<br />

You’re talking of investing in small towns, like<br />

Steinfurt, Oer-Erkenschwick, Moers...?<br />

I can give you an example of a major British<br />

in<strong>vestor</strong>, who hardly anybody has heard of.<br />

This group has aggressively invested �€2.3 billion<br />

over the last three years in mainly residential<br />

property in small regional German towns,<br />

like Oer-Erkenschwick, since you mention it.<br />

They did so solely <strong>for</strong> the better per<strong>for</strong>mance<br />

<strong>for</strong> their fund. They have an average yield at<br />

the moment of 8.6%, despite a vacancy rate<br />

of 15%. When they lower the vacancy rate,<br />

the returns will be even higher. Show me<br />

many other funds that are returning this level<br />

of yield. You won’t find many.


7<br />

You’ve got to remember that <strong>for</strong> most<br />

Germans, the idea of buying an apartment<br />

as an investment <strong>for</strong> their pension<br />

fund, if they don’t already own the four<br />

walls in which they live, just wouldn’t enter<br />

their heads. Buying their own place is, of<br />

course, a dream <strong>for</strong> many. But this is the<br />

great strength and attraction of the German<br />

residential market <strong>for</strong> in<strong>vestor</strong>s – the<br />

tenant who wouldn’t buy the place he rents<br />

is himself largely protected by the German<br />

social market economy, and represents a<br />

steady stream of safe rental income.<br />

“Show me many other funds<br />

that are returning an average<br />

yield of over 8.6%. You won’t<br />

find many.”<br />

So what’s changed in the German investment<br />

climate?<br />

Here’s my advice to <strong>for</strong>eign in<strong>vestor</strong>s. By all<br />

means look at core locations <strong>for</strong> part of your<br />

investment. But if you’re interested in larger<br />

volume, go to the B1 and C1 locations where<br />

you can invest in more volume and have less<br />

competition. Work with a good local partner<br />

who knows the local market and can provide<br />

your local facility management. Foreign in<strong>vestor</strong>s<br />

still fall into the trap of working with<br />

a major asset manager here who will have to<br />

send staff up to outlying regions where they<br />

can’t possibly get to grips with local realities.<br />

What’s the future <strong>for</strong> portfolio sales?<br />

There may be some mergers of the biggest<br />

housing associations, but in this financial climate<br />

bigger deals like the LEG sale to Whitehall<br />

Funds are probably unrealistic. The future<br />

is in smaller portfolio deals. In the past, with<br />

high due diligence and legal and other costs,<br />

investments under �€�20m didn’t make much<br />

sense. In<strong>vestor</strong>s had to cover all their costs<br />

from the 1-2% spread above their refinancing<br />

costs. The big corporate lawyers don’t<br />

come cheap. A smaller regional lawyer has<br />

the same expertise and offers the same insurance,<br />

so the lowered due diligence costs<br />

can make smaller investments worthwhile.<br />

The British in<strong>vestor</strong> with the �2.3 billion portfolio<br />

built it up just like this, using a smaller legal<br />

practice, local accountants, and valuers with<br />

offices throughout Germany, so they could<br />

buy portfolios under �€�5m. This is the area we<br />

like to operate in at WGF, portfolios between<br />

�€�1m and up to �€�20m.<br />

You’ve clearly got strong views on what trips<br />

up international in<strong>vestor</strong>s… How does WGF<br />

do this better?<br />

<strong>Report</strong>ing is German, and should remain<br />

German. We can interpret all the key figures<br />

<strong>for</strong> international partners. Bigger international<br />

in<strong>vestor</strong>s became obsessed with getting their<br />

German partners to adapt to Anglo-Saxon<br />

reporting systems, and this has caused no<br />

end of problems. In<strong>vestor</strong>s should stop trying<br />

to get their local German partners to jump<br />

through hoops so they get standardised<br />

reporting. It costs time and money, and<br />

doesn’t work.<br />

“In<strong>vestor</strong>s should stop trying to<br />

get their local German partners<br />

to jump through hoops so they<br />

get standardised reporting. It<br />

costs time and money, and it<br />

doesn’t work.”<br />

You’re not just offering advice, then?<br />

We’re not brokers, we’re essentially property<br />

traders. We take an opportunistic approach<br />

to property, but with a focus on the<br />

exit. If in<strong>vestor</strong>s want us to put together a<br />

portfolio <strong>for</strong> �1m with a yield of 8%, we’ll go<br />

out and do it. We’ll assemble the portfolio<br />

in between 6 and 24 months, and we’ll<br />

hold the stock on our own books till the<br />

client is ready. We’ll offer a basic, a standard,<br />

and a premium package to meet the<br />

in<strong>vestor</strong>’s needs.<br />

Here’s what’s interesting <strong>for</strong> international<br />

in<strong>vestor</strong>s, and we’ve done this with<br />

our last couple of deals. We offer in<strong>vestor</strong>s<br />

a rental guarantee, underwritten by us<br />

with a bank guarantee. This helps in<strong>vestor</strong>s<br />

overcome their fears of loss of rental<br />

income, or uncertainty about the location.<br />

www.refire-online.com<br />

We’ll carry the risk, handle all the asset and<br />

property management, and at the end of<br />

the guarantee period, we’ll have done all<br />

the work that will ensure the properties are<br />

well primed <strong>for</strong> a profitable exit. Our in<strong>vestor</strong><br />

knows that our mutual interests are<br />

aligned. The in<strong>vestor</strong> gets his 7.5% or 8%<br />

yield without all the headache of managing<br />

the properties locally, and the fear of<br />

getting swamped in properties or locations<br />

that he doesn’t really understand.<br />

“It’s not that there’s a shortage<br />

of capital. It’s that the basic<br />

premise underpinning such investments<br />

in the German market<br />

has changed.”<br />

So what’s your Unique Selling Proposition?<br />

We see ourselves as being partners, without<br />

having to go setting up a joint venture<br />

and allocate share participations. We don’t<br />

want to have to call board meetings <strong>for</strong> every<br />

minor decision. The roles are clearly<br />

defined. You’re the in<strong>vestor</strong>, and we’re the<br />

service provider. But we’ve got our money<br />

invested in the deal too, and we’ve provided<br />

the in<strong>vestor</strong> with a strategy that he<br />

otherwise wouldn’t have.<br />

In<strong>vestor</strong>s have come to understand that<br />

without a strong subsidiary in the country,<br />

or a reliable partner, it’s not going to work<br />

<strong>for</strong> them in Germany. If they’ve got money,<br />

and work with companies like WGF,<br />

they’ve got both.<br />

How is the financial crisis affecting <strong>for</strong>eign<br />

investment in Germany?<br />

It’s not that there’s a shortage of capital.<br />

It’s that the premise underpinning such<br />

investments in the German market has<br />

changed. Two years ago most in<strong>vestor</strong>s<br />

didn’t care about a regional strategy, a<br />

strong local partner, what the costs of due<br />

diligence and other professional charges<br />

were. Questions of quality in property or<br />

asset management were brushed aside.<br />

Now he wants a partner who is just as<br />

committed to achieving the yield targets


that he has set as he is, a partner who’s<br />

got his own skin in the game. When you<br />

as an in<strong>vestor</strong> have to stump up 25-30%<br />

equity capital just to keep your existing<br />

lines of credit open and not go bankrupt,<br />

then you want to work with people who<br />

put their own money on the line. That’s<br />

what we do.<br />

Can the recent popularity of investing in<br />

retail continue?<br />

Thousands of in<strong>vestor</strong>s have piled into<br />

this sector in the last couple of years, often<br />

happy to buy a big box property with<br />

a 20-year lease with Aldi, Lidl, or other<br />

out-of-town retailers. But a lot of these<br />

are in places where people wouldn’t build<br />

any more, which may suffer from the trend<br />

back into the cities. I think a lot of this kind<br />

of retail investment is suspect, we won’t<br />

see the same frantic building of these kind<br />

of shopping centres again <strong>for</strong> a while.<br />

What’ll happen with retail rents?<br />

Take a leading retailer like H&M, whom you<br />

might find in several locations in a city centre.<br />

They’ll pay a higher price <strong>for</strong> their presence<br />

on the top shopping streets and to invest in<br />

their brand, but meanwhile they’ll shun 20year<br />

lease contracts in favour of 5-year leases<br />

with a option to extend, and an option to sublet.<br />

On balance, in the larger cities, I don’t<br />

think rents will fall significantly in the prime<br />

shopping locations. In secondary cities and<br />

smaller towns they may even rise, as retailers<br />

shy away from moving into the bigger cities<br />

until the economic storm clouds that threaten<br />

us with doom and gloom slowly disappear.<br />

You’re very outspoken on the issue of sustainability...<br />

This is not just a passing fad, but a seriously<br />

important aspect of our real estate investment.<br />

America, and particularly Britain, are<br />

Exclusively <strong>for</strong> commercial properties<br />

Marketplace. Know-How. Europe.<br />

8<br />

very much at the <strong>for</strong>efront of developments<br />

here, while here in Germany there is a lack<br />

of a unified approach in its application to the<br />

residential sector. The recognised quality<br />

certification in other markets is reflected directly<br />

in prices, and our lack of this in Germany<br />

can lead to confusion when in<strong>for</strong>med<br />

in<strong>vestor</strong>s wonder if they will be hit with ecological<br />

upgrading and improvement costs<br />

later. But when have this certification in 5-10<br />

years here, the burden will fall more on the<br />

tenants than the in<strong>vestor</strong>s, as the tenants will<br />

favour the sustainable properties . The drastic<br />

increases in charges over the last few years,<br />

which every tenant has to pay in addition to<br />

his ‘cold’ or basic rent, have led to sweeping<br />

changes in tenants’ attitudes to their energy<br />

charges, and this is proving to be the catalyst.<br />

Remember, this is Germany and most<br />

disputes in our social market economy are<br />

resolved in favour of the tenant. Smart in<strong>vestor</strong>s<br />

take this into account and plan and<br />

budget accordingly. (END)


9<br />

...from Page 5<br />

then stepped in to protect the bank, pending<br />

a sale to a new owner (see <strong>REFIRE</strong> issue May<br />

5th 2008).<br />

Although it is thought there were originally<br />

about eight interested candidates, this has<br />

since been whittled down to two or three.<br />

We reported at the time that Deutsche Bank<br />

had turned down a possible purchase, while<br />

Hypovereinsbank had also declined. Eurohypo<br />

is busy digesting its own fellow- Commerzbank<br />

subsidiary Essen Hyp, while Hypo<br />

Real Estate last year absorbed Depfa. The<br />

remaining bidders are thought to be private<br />

equity funds, although it’s not clear whether<br />

any purchase would include the Pfandbriefissuing<br />

business, a sensitive issue in domestic<br />

banking circles.<br />

Louis Hagen, the head of the Verband<br />

Deutscher Pfandbriefbanken, the association<br />

of Pfandbrief-issuing banks, said at the<br />

time of the custodianship, “Whoever takes<br />

over the bank would have to guarantee that<br />

they could sustainably handle the Pfandbrief<br />

business. This would place big demands on<br />

anybody taking over the whole bank. Obviously<br />

we want to avoid a bank who couldn’t<br />

see this through.”<br />

Germany/Acquisitions<br />

GPT Halverton presses<br />

ahead in Germany, but parent<br />

group planning disposals<br />

The London-based pan European fund<br />

manager GPT Halverton is pressing<br />

ahead with investments in Germany despite<br />

heavy write-downs at its Australian<br />

parent company GPT Group, amid plans<br />

<strong>for</strong> other European disposals of assets held<br />

by GPT Halverton and its other European<br />

fund, Hamburg Trust.<br />

GPT Halverton has just bought 11 retail<br />

park properties in Germany <strong>for</strong> its �€136.5m<br />

retail fund German Retail Partnership<br />

(GRP). The fund, which expects to be fully<br />

invested in early 2009, invests mainly in foodanchored<br />

retail properties, including those<br />

leased by discount food store Aldi. It paid<br />

�€27.8m <strong>for</strong> the properties from nine separate<br />

sellers, with a total sales area of 19,000 sq.m.<br />

Two of the properties are based in North<br />

Rhine-Westphalia, Germany’s most populous<br />

state, four in Bavaria, three in Rhineland<br />

Palatinate, and a further two in the eastern<br />

states. All the properties were fully let to tenants<br />

including discount store chains Aldi,<br />

Netto, Edeka, Rewe and Lidl.<br />

GPT’s German Retail Fund closed in December<br />

last year, having raised capital from<br />

institutional European in<strong>vestor</strong>s including clients<br />

of CBRE In<strong>vestor</strong>s, ING Real Estate<br />

Select and Henderson Global In<strong>vestor</strong>s.<br />

The latest buys bring the value of the fund up<br />

to �€136.5m, with a further �€50m of purchases<br />

currently under due diligence. It aims to<br />

acquire around €�285 million of real estate and<br />

expects to be fully invested by the first quarter<br />

of 2009, according to the company.<br />

Matthew Walker, director of the GPT<br />

fund, said current market conditions were<br />

proving a boost to GPT, adding: “All these<br />

assets have the potential to add short-term<br />

value through active asset management.<br />

www.refire-online.com<br />

The majority of the income from these properties<br />

is from high-quality German retail tenants,<br />

offering excellent covenant strength….<br />

We expect to see more attractively-priced<br />

opportunities such as these, as many <strong>for</strong>eign<br />

in<strong>vestor</strong>s in Germany have withdrawn due to<br />

the lack of suitably-priced debt.”<br />

The parent company in Australia, real estate<br />

investment trust GPT Group, has come<br />

under heavy pressure recently after reporting<br />

a first-half loss and taking write-downs of<br />

A$344m on its property holdings worldwide.<br />

CEO Nic Lyons said recently that it may sell<br />

up to a third of it’s A$14bn of assets due to<br />

the impact of the credit crisis, and to “create<br />

a more conservative financial structure reflective<br />

of the current climate.”<br />

GPT Group has already identified A$1.3bn<br />

of Australian assets to sell, and plans further<br />

sales in Europe of assets held by its Europebased<br />

funds GPT Halverton and Hamburg<br />

Trust. It also plans to sell all A$1.9bn of the<br />

European assets it holds in a joint venture<br />

with fellow-Australian in<strong>vestor</strong> Babcock &<br />

EUROHYPO The leading specialist bank <strong>for</strong> commercial<br />

real estate and public sector fi nance<br />

Had we been around<br />

then, this would have<br />

been fi nanced by us.<br />

a passion <strong>for</strong> solutions.


.....from page 9<br />

Brown, starting from December 2009. The<br />

two partners were early in<strong>vestor</strong>s in the German<br />

market, building up residential and commercial<br />

property holdings since the beginning<br />

of the decade.<br />

Germany/Financing<br />

IVG sells caverns into fund<br />

<strong>for</strong> �€1.7bn, CEO resigns<br />

After months-long speculation as to the<br />

fate of the Bonn-based IVG Immobilien-<br />

AG’s specialty caverns division, the die<br />

was finally cast when IVG, Germany’s largest<br />

listed real estate company, opted to sell<br />

70 of its underground storage caverns into<br />

a newly set-up Special Fund <strong>for</strong> �€1.7bn. It<br />

will use the proceeds to reduce debt.<br />

IVG said the new fund would acquire 40<br />

operational caverns at Etzel near the northern<br />

German port of Bremerhaven which are let<br />

out to third parties. It will also acquire 30 additional<br />

underground facilities that are still under<br />

construction but <strong>for</strong> which long-term tenancy<br />

agreements have been reached. Under the<br />

terms of the deal, IVG will sell the properties<br />

between 2008 and 2014 as they become<br />

complete. IVG will receive €�836m from the<br />

fund in the current fiscal year.<br />

The fund acquiring the caverns will be<br />

the largest established by the company to<br />

date. IVG will invest �€50 million in the vehicle,<br />

while institutional in<strong>vestor</strong>s have subscribed<br />

<strong>for</strong> €�680 million, leaving another �€120 million<br />

still to be raised. However, the company<br />

said talks with in<strong>vestor</strong>s had reached „an advanced<br />

stage“ and that the vehicle should be<br />

fully invested by the middle of November.<br />

IVG began examining the realisation of<br />

value from its subsidiary IVG Caverns back in<br />

February this year, when it weighed up either<br />

selling the entire business or only a part of it to<br />

an in<strong>vestor</strong> or to a fund developed by IVG. It<br />

EUROHYPO The leading specialist bank <strong>for</strong> commercial<br />

real estate and public sector fi nance<br />

10<br />

said selling to a fund guaranteed earnings<br />

and long-term cash contributions. Rental<br />

income from the caverns should produce<br />

about �€50m annually, or 6.1%.<br />

The deal is expected to lead to earnings<br />

be<strong>for</strong>e interest of �€261 million in 2008 and<br />

�€574 million between 2009 and 2014.<br />

IVG chief executive Wolfhard Leichnitz<br />

said that the company had solid earnings<br />

potential by developing at least 60 additional<br />

caverns. “The demand <strong>for</strong> secure deposit<br />

facilities <strong>for</strong> the short as well as long-term<br />

storage of oil and gas will increase further,”<br />

he said.<br />

IVG recently reported a 72% decline in net<br />

profits and a likely halving of profits <strong>for</strong> the full<br />

year (see <strong>REFIRE</strong> issue August 26th 2008),<br />

with earnings being hit by falling asset values<br />

and rising debt. The share price has fallen by<br />

over 50% this year on in<strong>vestor</strong> fears of high<br />

debt levels and low equity. After the caverns<br />

deal was announced, the share price plunged<br />

further, with analysts saying that the way the<br />

deal was structured will provide IVG with little<br />

immediate cash flow to service debt. IVG has<br />

separately said that it plans further non-core<br />

asset sales of �€500m to cut back on debt<br />

levels.<br />

This week the company announced that<br />

Mr Leichnitz is resigning as CEO effective end<br />

of the month.<br />

Germany/Banking<br />

Deutsche Bank buys 30% of<br />

Postbank<br />

After much to-ing and fro-ing, Deutsche<br />

Bank finally agreed last week to buy<br />

29.75% of Postbank, Germany’s largest<br />

retail bank. Parent company, Deutsche<br />

Post, has been in talks <strong>for</strong> weeks with<br />

potential buyers <strong>for</strong> its majority stake in<br />

Postbank and Spanish group, Banco<br />

Santander, which has a long involvement<br />

with German retail banking through<br />

its credit card operations, also arrived to<br />

express last minute interest in the sale.<br />

The deal has now been done with<br />

Deutsche Bank paying �€2.8 billion <strong>for</strong> one-


11<br />

third of Postbank. The move is in line with<br />

Deutsche Bank’s strategy of furthering its<br />

consumer banking businesses to balance its<br />

investment banking operations.<br />

The attraction of Postbank <strong>for</strong> Deutsche<br />

Bank is its 14.5 million retail customers and<br />

850 branches, and the acquisition will allow<br />

Deutsche Bank to sell its real estate and investment<br />

services through the retail network.<br />

The transaction values Postbank at<br />

�€57.25 per share and includes an option <strong>for</strong><br />

Deutsche Bank to buy another 18% of Postbank<br />

within 36 months, at �€55 per share. In<br />

addition, Deutsche Post has an option to sell<br />

another 20.25% of Postbank to Deutsche<br />

Bank. Under Germany’s regulatory regime,<br />

taking a stake of over 30% in Postbank<br />

would require Deutsche Bank to make an offer<br />

<strong>for</strong> the entire business.<br />

The deal is the latest in a spate of M&A<br />

activity in the German banking sector over<br />

the past few months, and comes on top of<br />

Commerzbank’s �€9.8bn mega-merger with<br />

Allianz’s Dresdner Bank. After the deal,<br />

which will be done in two stages between<br />

now and end-2009, Allianz will hold a stake<br />

of nearly 30% in the combined bank.<br />

In mid-August, US in<strong>vestor</strong> Lone Star<br />

stepped in to take over troubled German<br />

bank IKB <strong>for</strong> an amount of �€80-100m. In<br />

July, Deutsche Bank was outbid by unlisted<br />

French bank Credit Mutuel <strong>for</strong> Citigroup’s<br />

German retail operations in a �€4.9bn cash<br />

deal.<br />

Germany/Legislation<br />

Property purchase tax set to<br />

rise in Hamburg<br />

Hamburg looks set to follow Berlin in raising<br />

the property acquisition tax rate from<br />

its current 3.5% to 4.5%. The proposal is<br />

currently be<strong>for</strong>e the Hamburg senate, and<br />

if enacted, would likely mean the immediate<br />

imposition of the tax on all property<br />

and land purchases.<br />

So far Berlin has been the only federal<br />

state in Germany to impose the higher rate of<br />

tax, once legislation had changed to permit<br />

the federal states to determine their own tax<br />

level. The tax in all other states is currently at<br />

3.5%. If Hamburg raises its rate, and hardpressed<br />

other states then follow suit, then the<br />

tax rate on property will have risen from 2% to<br />

4.5% over a period of 12 years.<br />

Meanwhile, Germany’s Upper House of<br />

Parliament (Bundesrat) is currently debating<br />

a separate proposal whereby the rate of<br />

property tax payable on existing buildings<br />

be subject to less generous write-offs where<br />

vacancy rates in a particular property have<br />

increased. As the current law stands, property<br />

owners can claim a property tax rebate<br />

where rental income falls by more than 20%<br />

due to factors beyond the owners’ control<br />

(e.g. unexpected departure of a tenant, with<br />

no successor). Typically this could be at a<br />

rate of four-fifths the rate of the reduced property<br />

income, or a tax reduction of 40% where<br />

rental income falls by 50%.<br />

The government’s Finance Committee is<br />

responding to demands from the states of<br />

www.refire-online.com<br />

Berlin and Bremen to abolish the tax rebate<br />

altogether, although what looks more likely is<br />

a new compromise whereby the tax rebate<br />

will kick in only when the loss of rental income<br />

reaches a threshold of 50%. In that case,<br />

according to government plans, the rebate<br />

would be set at 25%, and would reach the<br />

50% threshold only in the case of a 100%<br />

fall in rental income, i.e. complete vacancy. A<br />

decision by the Upper House is expected on<br />

September 19th, be<strong>for</strong>e being presented to<br />

the Lower House (Bundestag).<br />

Germany/Study<br />

Henderson sees 60bps rise<br />

in German yields by 2009<br />

British fund manager Henderson Global<br />

In<strong>vestor</strong>s sees property yields in Germany<br />

rising by a further 60 basis points by the<br />

end of 2009, as the German market continues<br />

to adapt to the market of increased<br />

EUROHYPO The leading specialist bank <strong>for</strong> commercial<br />

real estate and public sector fi nance<br />

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expertise and contact us at<br />

www.eurohypo.com


.......from page 11<br />

cross-border investment in Europe.<br />

The volatility of Germany’s traditionally<br />

lower yield swings of about 50 bps over the<br />

economic cycle will increase to about 100<br />

bps, according to Stefan Wundrak, head of<br />

research at Henderson. “In an international<br />

context that’s still not a lot, but <strong>for</strong> Germany<br />

it’s a remarkable change”, he said.<br />

Henderson see initial yields in the office<br />

sector in Germany’s major commercial centres<br />

rising from their current 4.9% to 5.4-<br />

5.6%, while prices in secondary locations<br />

should fall further. Once prices have corrected<br />

a bit further, Wundrak sees the best Total<br />

Returns in Hamburg, Munich and a number<br />

of smaller regional cities, where returns of 7-<br />

10% should be achievable. “These sort of<br />

returns would have been marvellous over<br />

the last five years or indeed ever in Germany,<br />

where average Total Returns on commercial<br />

property (according to IPD’s definition) between<br />

2003 and 2007 have been about 2%”,<br />

he said.<br />

The increased volatility on the German<br />

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market would make the timing of entry and<br />

exit points more critical, he said. Plenty of<br />

buyers in 2006 and 2007 would likely become<br />

sellers soon, and he suggested that,<br />

if the German market adapts flexibly<br />

to the new more restrictive financial<br />

climate, a good entry point <strong>for</strong> in<strong>vestor</strong>s<br />

would be the middle of 2009.<br />

Another positive aspect that Henderson<br />

refer to in their study is that Germany<br />

is still in a phase of rising rental<br />

prices, in contrast to France and the Netherlands<br />

which have reached the peak of their<br />

rental cycles. Britain and Spain were already<br />

in the downward phase, said Henderson.<br />

Europe/Sustainability<br />

JPMorgan sees share price<br />

benefits <strong>for</strong> ‘greener’ listed<br />

companies<br />

Green and sustainable building has obviously<br />

become a major issue <strong>for</strong> real estate<br />

12<br />

in<strong>vestor</strong>s over the past year, and has certainly<br />

been occupying the minds of both<br />

property in<strong>vestor</strong>s and government legislators.<br />

Nowhere more<br />

so than in Germany,<br />

traditionally strong in<br />

the areas of conservation,<br />

recycling, ecology<br />

and the environment.<br />

All the more surprising,<br />

there<strong>for</strong>e, that a new<br />

study by investment bank JPMorgan shows<br />

that German listed property companies get<br />

the poorest scores among European peers in<br />

their ef<strong>for</strong>ts to integrate sustainability in their<br />

property holdings. Anecdotal evidence suggests<br />

that ‘green’ buildings offering tenants<br />

much lower energy consumption can command<br />

premiums of up to 16% more than<br />

non-green properties in the current market,<br />

with a raft of new measures on environmental<br />

improvements due to come from Brussels in<br />

the coming years.<br />

Harm Meijer, an analyst at JPMorgan,<br />

studied the sustainability strategies of 32<br />

listed property companies across Europe.<br />

The winners were two British commercial<br />

property companies, British Land and<br />

Land Securities, both of whom converted<br />

to UK REIT status when the legislation was<br />

introduced at the beginning of last year. Both<br />

scored a maximum of five points (on a scale<br />

of zero to five) as a result of the high weighting<br />

given to green buildings in their existing<br />

portfolios and plans <strong>for</strong> further sustainability<br />

improvements. Within the eurozone, the best<br />

per<strong>for</strong>mers were the Spanish commercial<br />

property market leader Metrovacesa and<br />

the Franco-Dutch shopping-centre group<br />

Unibail-Rodamco, both with 3.5 points.<br />

There were poor scores <strong>for</strong> Germany’s<br />

listed contenders Alstria Office REIT AG,<br />

housing company Gagfah AG and IVG Immobilien<br />

AG, who all scored zero, along<br />

with the Italian company Beni Stabili and<br />

Switzerland’s largest property company PSP<br />

Swiss. In what sounded like a harsh assessment,<br />

Meijer commented, “None of these five<br />

companies showed any meaningful commitment<br />

to the issue of sustainability.” Ouch.


13<br />

Meijer believes that there is a correlation<br />

between a company’s commitment to sustainability<br />

and the per<strong>for</strong>mance of its share<br />

price. As an example within the eurozone he<br />

gives the share prices of Metrovacesa and<br />

Unibail-Rodamco over the last three years<br />

as having per<strong>for</strong>med 26.11% better than the<br />

worst five per<strong>for</strong>mers.<br />

Germany/Privatisation<br />

East German specialist TLG<br />

moves closer to privatisation<br />

The Berlin-based TLG Immobilien, the<br />

federally-owned property company specialising<br />

in property in the eastern states<br />

of Germany, is pressing on with its plans to<br />

privatise itself by the end of this year. An<br />

IPO had originally been envisaged, but that<br />

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Frankfurt +49 (0) 69 24 75 26 7-0<br />

Berlin +49 (0) 30 20 00 605-50<br />

is now considered unrealistic in the current<br />

capital-raising climate.<br />

TLG Immobilien was originally set up to<br />

manage non-core properties of the larger<br />

<strong>for</strong>mer industrial companies in East Germany,<br />

and has expanded its remit into a fullyfledged<br />

regional property company, with its<br />

focus on Berlin, the Dresden-Leipzig-Halle<br />

axis, and the Baltic coast. Originally owning<br />

and managing 27,000 properties, this<br />

had been reduced to under 1500 by early<br />

this year, valued at about �€1.5bn<br />

Known to be among those currently doing<br />

due diligence on the TLG’s books are<br />

the US financial in<strong>vestor</strong> groups Oaktree<br />

and Lone Star, with another American bidder<br />

also thought to be in the hunt. Binding<br />

offers have to be submitted by the end of<br />

September, while the deal is expected be<br />

concluded by the end of October.<br />

www.refire-online.com<br />

Germany/Results<br />

First-half profits tumble at<br />

HSH Nordbank<br />

Along with most of its fellow Landesbanken,<br />

the northern-German HSH Nordbank<br />

saw its first-half profits tumble after taking<br />

heavy write-downs, and announced<br />

a packet of measures including staff cutbacks<br />

of about 15% by 2010.<br />

Gross profit in the first half came in at<br />

�€129m, compared to �€727m <strong>for</strong> the same<br />

period last year. The bank wrote down a<br />

further �€511m after taking �€1.3bn in writedowns<br />

last year. Net pre-tax profit shrank<br />

from €�871m to �€99m.<br />

Bank CEO Hans Berger said, “The crisis<br />

will last at least another 18 months, into 2010,<br />

but our operating strength will enable us to<br />

see this through.” The bank’s business mod-<br />

� Investment Advisory<br />

� Due Diligence<br />

� Technical Services<br />

� Valuation<br />

(Red Book/ BelWertV)<br />

“The independent<br />

Real Estate Advisors“<br />

REAG in EUROPA<br />

Czech Republic, France, Germany, Great Britain,<br />

Greece, Italy, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia,<br />

Spain, Turkey


...... ...........................................<br />

UPCOMING EVENTS<br />

EVENTS/ CONFERENCES<br />

Sept-Oct-November 2008<br />

September 15th-16th, Monday-Tuesday<br />

2008 GRI Europe, Paris<br />

The annual European gathering of the<br />

Global Real Estate Institute, with the tradi-<br />

tional GRI <strong>for</strong>mat.<br />

More at: www.globalrealestate.org<br />

September 17th-18th, Wednesday-<br />

Thursday<br />

Business Arena, Nordic Real Estate<br />

Investment Conference, Stockholm<br />

The 8th annual two-day conference, organ-<br />

ised by the trade magazine Fastighetsnytt<br />

and arranged together with leading compa-<br />

nies from the region, the event has become<br />

the number 1 congress <strong>for</strong> the region, and<br />

offers a comprehensive programme.<br />

More at: www.businessarena.eu<br />

September 21st23rd, Sunday-Tuesday<br />

CoreNet Global Summit, Berlin<br />

This year’s summit, taking place <strong>for</strong> the first<br />

time in Germany this year, will focus on the<br />

theme Productivity Puzzle - Redefining the<br />

Work Environment. Among those sched-<br />

uled to speak is the Mayor of Berlin, Klaus<br />

Wowereit.More info at: www.corenet-<br />

global.org<br />

September 24th, Wednesday<br />

ICSC Baltic States Retail Real Estate<br />

Conference, Vilnius, Lithuania<br />

The International Council of Shopping<br />

Centres’ Baltic State National Committee is<br />

holding its first conference, entitled Baltics<br />

Retail - What Comes Next? It focuses on<br />

local trends, retail regeneration, and retailer<br />

panel discussions.<br />

.More info at: www.icsc.org<br />

September 25th-26th, Thursday-Friday<br />

EPIC European Property Italian Confer-<br />

ence, Rome<br />

Dedicated to Italian real estate relationships<br />

with international finance, EPIC is billed as an<br />

open house where all stakeholders can share<br />

ideas, buildand strengthen their networks,<br />

expand knowledge and develop strategies <strong>for</strong><br />

new business.<br />

More info at: www.epic.it<br />

October 6th-8th, Monday-Wednesday<br />

Expo Real 2008, Munich<br />

Along with the MIPIM in Cannes in March, the<br />

EXPO REAL in Munich is one of the two largest<br />

real estate trade fairs in the European calendar,<br />

and considered a must by 1,823 exhibitors<br />

from 43 countries in 2007, along with 23,800<br />

visitors from 77 countries<br />

More info at: www.exporeal.net<br />

October 13th-15th, Wednesday-Friday<br />

14th Annual CEREAN Conference, Istan-<br />

bul, Turkey.<br />

The annual conference <strong>for</strong> the umbrella organi-<br />

sation <strong>for</strong> the emerging eastern Europe real<br />

estate associations.<br />

More info at: www.cerean2008istanbul.com<br />

October 20th-2st, Monday-Tuesday<br />

IIA Initiative Immobilien Aktie, Frankfurt,<br />

Germany<br />

Under 8th annual event where over 30 listed<br />

German property companies the theme pres-<br />

ent their strategies and provide opportunities to<br />

meet top management.<br />

.More at: www.initiative-immobilie-aktie.de<br />

October 23rd, Thursday<br />

IEIF Colloquium, Paris<br />

Under the theme Global Storm - What does it<br />

mean <strong>for</strong> real estate? A French-language event<br />

by the IEIF Institute <strong>for</strong> Real Estate and Prop-<br />

erty Company Savings brings together over<br />

250 professionals in a twice-yearly symposium.<br />

More info at: www.ieif.org<br />

October 27th-29th, Monday-Wednesday<br />

European Alternative & Institutional In-<br />

vesting Summit, Monte Carlo, Monaco<br />

Opal Financial Group’s 8th annual Summit<br />

brings together instituional investment and<br />

private wealth managment professionals <strong>for</strong><br />

discussion on investment challenges and<br />

opportunities in alternative investments.<br />

More info at: jrose(at)opalgroup.net<br />

November 6th-7th, Thursday-Friday<br />

Property Investment Prospects, Hä-<br />

meenlinna, Finland<br />

The <strong>for</strong>um gathers major Finnish and<br />

international real estate professionals and<br />

in<strong>vestor</strong>s in the Russian, Baltic and Finnish<br />

markets. Key themes are business <strong>for</strong>e-<br />

sights and potential in Russia and Europe<br />

and the potential impact of climate change.<br />

More info at: www.propertyinvest.fi<br />

November 19th-21st, Wednesday-<br />

Thursday<br />

NAREIT Annual Convention, San Diego,<br />

Cali<strong>for</strong>nia<br />

The largest event on the NAREIT calendar,<br />

this year widening its focus with more inter-<br />

national discussion panels, to include some<br />

on the emerging REIT markets in Europe<br />

More at: www.nareit.com<br />

November 20th-21st, Thursday-Friday<br />

European Mortgage Federation annual<br />

conference, Brussels<br />

The annual event brings together a wide<br />

range of participants in Europe’s hous-<br />

ing finance industry. Themes this year will<br />

centre on the EU White Paper focused on<br />

the credit crisis, access to funding, and<br />

sustainability<br />

More at: www.emfconference.org<br />

14


15<br />

....from page 11<br />

el, based around shipping, real estate and renewable<br />

energy was still sound, he said, “but<br />

profitability and efficiency have to be sustainably<br />

improved.” He announced cuts in the<br />

bank’s overseas offices<br />

and the sale of non-core<br />

shareholdings to reduce<br />

the bank’s cost levels by<br />

�€100m, and remain on<br />

target <strong>for</strong> its state goal of<br />

an after-tax IRR of more<br />

than 10% by 2010.<br />

The bank’s announcement has caused a<br />

political outcry in Hamburg and the northern<br />

state of Schleswig-Holstein, due to feared<br />

lower dividend payments to the state, while<br />

labour unions have accused the bank of mismanagement.<br />

CEO Berger said the bank<br />

was sticking to its full-year gross profit <strong>for</strong>ecast<br />

of �€400m, and assured his opponents<br />

of maintained dividend payments. The bank<br />

said it still aimed <strong>for</strong> a stock exchange listing<br />

once the market turbulence had subsided.<br />

Separately, the bank said that it had arranged<br />

and underwritten a sterling £325<br />

million, 5-year facility <strong>for</strong><br />

Big Yellow, the market<br />

leader <strong>for</strong> self-storage<br />

facilities in the UK. The<br />

financing will replace a<br />

similar facility provided<br />

by a syndicate of bank<br />

led by Royal Bank of Scotland.<br />

The facility will be secured by fixed charges<br />

over Big Yellow’s portfolio of complete<br />

and open self storage properties which are<br />

almost all owned freehold. These stores<br />

provide nearly 250,000 sq.m. of space<br />

available <strong>for</strong> rental. Big Yellow has been<br />

expanding rapidly in recent years, with its<br />

centrally-located stores throughout London<br />

and other larger cities.<br />

Networking with real estate professionals on<br />

www.ourbania.com<br />

Design the global real estate network:<br />

• Create an in<strong>for</strong>mative profile.<br />

• Link your profile to real estate projects that excite you.<br />

• Describe your projects and link them with photos and<br />

interesting articles from professional journals.<br />

• Discover your colleagues’ projects.<br />

• Cultivate your contacts and expand your business network.<br />

Benefit from the real estate community on<br />

www.ourbania.com<br />

www.ourbania.com<br />

www.refire-online.com<br />

Germany/Funds<br />

German open-ended funds<br />

see strong net inflow<br />

In<strong>vestor</strong> capital flowing into Germany’s<br />

43 open-ended property funds showed<br />

a strong net inflow in July of �€1.2bn, up<br />

from �376m in June, according to the BVI,<br />

the association of German funds and asset<br />

managers. The funds have seen their<br />

volumes rise to over �€87bn by August from<br />

�€79.5bn at the beginning of the year.<br />

DekaBank property funds were the biggest<br />

beneficiary in the first half of the year,<br />

adding a net �€1.3bn, followed by Axa IM<br />

with a net �€797m and Union Investment<br />

with �€742m.<br />

According to IPD in Germany, the funds<br />

produced a yield of 5.3% in the first half of<br />

2008, with some of the better per<strong>for</strong>mers<br />

reaching 6%. A recent study based


....from page 13<br />

on recent funds inflows by Martin Praum<br />

and John Perry, two London analysts at<br />

Deutsche Bank, suggested that with leverage,<br />

the funds now have at least �€16bn extra<br />

to invest, not counting the proceeds of sales<br />

made since May 2006.<br />

The open-ended funds are aggressively<br />

looking to take advantage of falling markets<br />

and a strong euro by investing in the UK,<br />

US and elsewhere. With yields in parts of<br />

the UK having risen from 3.75% last year<br />

to up to 6.5% at the moment, in<strong>vestor</strong>s like<br />

Deka Immobilien Investment are re-entering<br />

the UK market which they abandoned three<br />

years ago, most recently buying two London<br />

properties <strong>for</strong> €240m. Schroders recently<br />

set up a �600m fund <strong>for</strong> German institutional<br />

in<strong>vestor</strong>s to buy shopping centres, office<br />

and logistic properties in the UK, and reports<br />

SEARCHING FOR NEW<br />

MARKETS? NEW STRATEGIES?<br />

NEW PROJECTS?<br />

Welcome to EXPO REAL, the business and networking<br />

plat<strong>for</strong>m of 40,000 professionals from across the<br />

global property industry.<br />

Online ticket reservation and all other in<strong>for</strong>mation:<br />

www.exporeal.net<br />

EXPO REAL – 11th International Commercial Property Exposition<br />

Monday 6 – Wednesday 8 October 2008<br />

New Munich Trade Fair Centre<br />

that they’re now buying properties at up to a<br />

40% discount on pre-crunch prices.<br />

The mood among Germany’s closedended<br />

funds is nowhere near as optimistic,<br />

according to Scope Analysts in Berlin<br />

in their twice-yearly study of fund initiators<br />

and brokers. Pessimism is at its highest<br />

<strong>for</strong> five years, they reported, particularly<br />

among their brokers. 16% of their brokers<br />

described the selling environment as poor,<br />

up from 7% over the same period last year.<br />

The percentage of fund initiators taking such<br />

a gloomy outlook rose from 2% to 13% in<br />

the period. Apart from the credit crunch, the<br />

main reasons given are the still high prices<br />

and a shortage of suitable properties, plus<br />

the high interest rates <strong>for</strong> more liquid capital<br />

investments. Their focus is now more on<br />

German properties.<br />

Germany/Financing<br />

Belgian bank KBC expands<br />

German financing business<br />

16<br />

KBC Bank Deutschland AG, the German<br />

branch of Belgian KBC Bank, is making<br />

steady steps as a niche commercial property<br />

financier in Germany after starting up<br />

in the market at the beginning of 2007.<br />

The bank has specialised in financing small<br />

and mid-sized companies expanding on<br />

the German market, taking the financing<br />

risk onto its own books.<br />

Since setting up in Germany, KBC has<br />

financed 42 projects with a total credit volume<br />

of �€440m. In the first half of this year it<br />

financed about �€200m of property deals, and<br />

plans to open a new office in northern Germany.<br />

Given the climate, the bank has set


17<br />

modest goals <strong>for</strong> its German operations, but<br />

nonetheless board director Michael Wolber<br />

said last week, “We’re very satisfied. Our<br />

strategy of both accompanying international<br />

clients to Germany and at the same time to<br />

be a partner <strong>for</strong> German property companies<br />

is certainly working out well.”<br />

Germany/Disposals<br />

Hypo Real Estate sells Collineo<br />

to Sal. Oppenheim<br />

As part of its drive to focus on its core financing<br />

activities, Munich-based property<br />

finance bank Hypo Real Estate last week<br />

sold its asset management subsidiary<br />

Collineo Asset Management to Luxembourg-based,<br />

family-owned bank group<br />

Sal. Oppenheim jr. & Cie, in a deal expected<br />

to be completed by the end of the<br />

year.<br />

Collineo, based in Dortmund, provides<br />

specialist finance <strong>for</strong> structured finance prod-<br />

GPR 250 Europe<br />

GPR 250 Germany<br />

Graph of Total Return Per<strong>for</strong>mance of Europe and Germany in �€� currency over the past twelve months<br />

<strong>REFIRE</strong> charts courtesy of GPR<br />

ucts and manages MBS, ABS and CDO<br />

portfolios worth several billion euros in Europe<br />

and the US, several of which have come<br />

under pressure as a result of sub-prime exposure.<br />

A spokesman <strong>for</strong> Sal. Oppenheim<br />

said that the portfolios were of mixed quality,<br />

but the good ones had considerable value<br />

and would be of interest as alternative investments<br />

<strong>for</strong> several of the bank’s clients. No<br />

price <strong>for</strong> the sale of the company to Sal. Oppenheim<br />

was available.<br />

Separately, Hypo also said last week that<br />

it had provided a �€264m term loan facility to<br />

ProLogis European Properties Fund II<br />

to refinance 34 distribution facilities throughout<br />

central Europe. The facilities have more<br />

than �700,000 sq.m let to global customers of<br />

Prologis, in Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia<br />

and Hungary. Aareal Bank, Deutsche<br />

Postbank and Helaba Landesbank Hessen-Thüringen<br />

co-managed the deal.<br />

Meanwhile, Hypo just barely managed to<br />

avoid being ejected from membership of the<br />

DAX 30 leading industrials in the latest shuffle<br />

GRAPH-3<br />

Total Return Per<strong>for</strong>mance GPR 250 Index (��<br />

Page 1<br />

www.refire-online.com<br />

last week. The bank, whose market capitalisation<br />

has halved since the beginning of the<br />

year, was on the verge of relegation but was<br />

saved when steel manufacturer Salzgitter’s<br />

share price also tumbled.<br />

Europe/Financing<br />

Helaba finances office deals<br />

<strong>for</strong> Luxembourg and Norwegian<br />

partners<br />

Frankfurt-based Helaba’s unit “Real<br />

Estate Financing International In<strong>vestor</strong>s”<br />

was active over the past few weeks<br />

on two sizeable deals <strong>for</strong> international in<strong>vestor</strong>s.<br />

The bank said it was providing a loan<br />

of �€71.5m <strong>for</strong> the Luxembourg-based<br />

fund Alpina Real Estate to finance two<br />

office buildings in Hamburg. Alpina is investing<br />

about �€300m in property deals in<br />

Germany, Austria and Switzerland, mainly<br />

in high-quality office projects. The first<br />

Sep-07 Oct-07 Nov-07 Dec-07 Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 May-08 Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08<br />

Source: Global Property Research, 2008<br />

150<br />

125<br />

100<br />

75<br />

50<br />

25<br />

0


property, the Hansa Forum in the city centre,<br />

is a mixed-use office and retail centre<br />

with 14,000 sq.m. of lettable space, while<br />

the second, the seven-story Hansa Carree,<br />

consists of six buildings and about<br />

2 0 , 0 0 0<br />

sq.m of<br />

office and<br />

1 , 3 0 0<br />

sq.m of<br />

retail space.<br />

Helaba also acted as lead arranger,<br />

agent and underwriter in financing five<br />

properties worth €�125m bought by Norwegian<br />

investment company Prime Office<br />

Germany. The financed properties<br />

are two yet-to-be-constructed buildings<br />

and three others in the portfolio, with<br />

about 36,000 sq.m of lettable space, with<br />

a 91% occupancy rate. The Norwegian<br />

group, set up by the investment companies<br />

Bjömstad Skjerven Agerup (BSA)<br />

and Orkla Finans Kapital<strong>for</strong>valtning, is<br />

focused on investing in German commercial<br />

property funds and private equity.<br />

GPR 250 Europe<br />

GPR 250 Germany<br />

<strong>REFIRE</strong> charts courtesy of GPR<br />

Germany/Acquisitions<br />

Carlyle Group buys prime<br />

Düsseldorf site <strong>for</strong> development<br />

Shrugging off the fears that have led many<br />

project developers to slow down on major<br />

new German commitments, the US private<br />

equity firm The Carlyle Group has<br />

bought a prime site in Düsseldorf which it<br />

plans to re-develop, in line with its strategy<br />

of buying prestigious single assets in<br />

established central business districts.<br />

It bought the site, at Cecilienallee 6-9,<br />

from DEKA Immobilienfonds, an openended<br />

fund owned by the Frankfurt-based<br />

DEKA Bank. No price <strong>for</strong> the deal was<br />

disclosed, although Nord/LB is providing<br />

the financing <strong>for</strong> the deal.<br />

Carlyle Europe Real Estate plans to<br />

demolish the existing property when tenancies<br />

expire in August 2009 and to then<br />

construct a new modern office building<br />

in its place with 14,000 sq.m of space.<br />

Commenting on the deal, Carlyle’s Ger-<br />

GRAPH-1<br />

Total Return Per<strong>for</strong>mance GPR 250 Index (��<br />

Page 1<br />

18<br />

many managing director Wulf Meinel<br />

said that Düsseldorf appealed because of<br />

its economic strength and stability among<br />

Germany’s major centres. He added:<br />

“This investment is totally in line with our<br />

strategy of identifying attractive properties<br />

with significant upside potential from<br />

demolishing existing outdated buildings<br />

and developing modern, state-of-the-art<br />

premises in strong local markets.”<br />

Carlyle has three Europe Real Estate<br />

Partners funds now active in Europe.<br />

The funds have invested in office, retail,<br />

and logistic real estate portfolios with an<br />

area of about 600,000 m² in Germany,<br />

and include, amongst others, Gänsemarkt<br />

45, Freshfields-Haus and BrahmsQuartier<br />

in Hamburg, the Versatel building in Stuttgart<br />

and Lindenpark in Hannover.<br />

The third European real estate fund,<br />

Carlyle Europe Real Estate Partners<br />

III (CEREP III), was recently closed at �€2.2<br />

billion. With leverage, this should give<br />

Carlyle’s pan-European team of 46 people<br />

up to about �€9 billion to invest. The<br />

Sep-03 Mar-04 Sep-04 Mar-05 Sep-05 Mar-06 Sep-06 Mar-07 Sep-07 Mar-08<br />

Source: Global Property Research, 2008<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0


19<br />

Carlyle Group now manages �€3.4 billion<br />

of real estate in Europe, and along with<br />

several other major private equity groups<br />

such as Apollo Management and the<br />

Blackstone Group, has also been raising<br />

funds to increase its investment in distressed<br />

European assets.<br />

A thank you to our sponsors:<br />

Europe/Website<br />

Ourbania.com as networking<br />

site <strong>for</strong> the real estate industry<br />

We’re happy to give a little plug here to<br />

Ourbania.com, a networking website<br />

set up by mortgage finance provider Eu-<br />

GALABALL<br />

D E R<br />

IMMOBILIEN<br />

2 0 0 8<br />

Class A Sponsors Class B Sponsors<br />

www.refire-online.com<br />

8 . N o v. 2 0 0 8<br />

K u r h a u s W i e s b a d e n<br />

Unique Galaball Event of the german<br />

and international real estate economy<br />

Meet commuicators and decisionmakers<br />

3 course gala dinner and show of<br />

illusions by circus owner André<br />

Sarrasani<br />

Presented by Caroline Beil<br />

International top bands and show acts<br />

in the whole Kurhaus<br />

Promoters<br />

Architekten- und Stadtplanerkammer Hessen, Deutsche Immobilien-Akademie (DIA), gif Gesellschaft für<br />

immobilienwirtschaftliche Forschung e.V., IMMOEBS e.V., <strong>REFIRE</strong> Real Estate Finance <strong>Intelligence</strong> <strong>Report</strong> Europe<br />

Organisator: Strumpf Eventmanagement OHG - Friedrichstr. 10 - 65817 Eppstein / Germany - Galaball-Hotline: +49 (800) GALABALL<br />

Further in<strong>for</strong>mation and tickets:www.galaball-immobilien.de<br />

rohypo, which will appeal in particular to<br />

younger members of the real estate profession<br />

worldwide, and particularly those<br />

who are used to networking on social<br />

interaction sites on the internet such as<br />

Facebook or XING.<br />

Ourbania’s target market is much nar-<br />

R E A G


ower than these well-established sites, although<br />

they work the same way. Developers,<br />

architects, in<strong>vestor</strong>s, analysts, valuers,<br />

facility managers, brokers, engineers and<br />

planners will find it useful, we think – in fact,<br />

anybody contributing in some way to the life<br />

cycle of individual commercial buildings. The<br />

language of the website is English, in keeping<br />

with the international background of most of<br />

the site’s visitors.<br />

The website was launched at the MIPIM<br />

in March under the auspices of Germany’s<br />

federal Economics and Technology ministry<br />

in Berlin. The site revolves around individual<br />

Don’t move - or if you do, move east<br />

It’s a common complaint in Germany by landlords that the socalled<br />

‘Mietspiegel’ or maximum permissible residential rent fixed<br />

in a neighbourhood, discourages investment by keeping rents<br />

artificially low at landlords’ expense. New development, too, is<br />

said to be hindered by the low level of rents achievable. However,<br />

recent research shows that, at least <strong>for</strong> new tenancies, residential<br />

rents are rising strongly in Germany’s largest cities as in<strong>vestor</strong>s<br />

and landlords find ways to raise rent levels.<br />

A recent study by Jones Lang LaSalle shows a widening<br />

discrepancy between the rents payable by new tenants (‘offered<br />

rents’) and those who don’t move, whose rents are protected by<br />

law, in Berlin, Düsseldorf, Frankfurt, Hamburg and Munich. The<br />

study delved into individual neighbourhoods within these cities to<br />

provide a more complete picture than other more general studies.<br />

The JLL study examined 130,000 in its City Profile from the<br />

first half of this year, and found that the ‘offered rents’ were diverging<br />

strongly from rents payable by sitting tenants. New tenants in<br />

the most desirable parts of Berlin, such as Prenzlauer Berg and<br />

Mitte, were paying nearly �8.00 per sq.m <strong>for</strong> a renovated apartment<br />

in an older building, nearly 50% more than indicated by the<br />

‘Mietspiegel’ <strong>for</strong> the neighbourhoods.<br />

According to Stefan Mergen, responsible <strong>for</strong> residential valuations<br />

at JLL, “This trend is going to continue, and will be probably<br />

even more extreme than expected. It just shows that the<br />

‘Mietspiegel’ is being completely ignored, in favour of what the<br />

market will bear. We’re seeing the same thing in Hamburg and<br />

the other larger cities.”<br />

The research institute Empirica, which carries out its own<br />

studies on rental levels, confirmed JLL’s findings of generally rising<br />

rents nationwide. It found that in 70% of 118 German cities the<br />

‘offered rents’ have been rising steadily since the last quarter of<br />

commercial property projects, with users who<br />

played a role in the property’s development<br />

cleverly linked up, able to send secure messages<br />

to each other, and discuss new projects.<br />

Over 500 property projects worldwide<br />

are currently featured on the site. Registration<br />

is free. You can join the community at www.<br />

ourbania.com<br />

Germany/Banking<br />

SEB plans change to structure<br />

of German unit<br />

Swedish bank SEB said last week it was chang-<br />

2005. In Neubrandenburg, <strong>for</strong> example, it found that the average<br />

rent had risen by 26% within the ten quarters, from �4.27 to �5.36 per<br />

sq.m/month. The ‘Mietspiegel’ certainly wouldn’t permit that.<br />

Meanwhile, a company called F&B Forschung und Beratung<br />

für Wohnen, Immobilien und Umwelt GmbH has just produced<br />

the “Mietspiegelindex 2008”, a comprehensive guide <strong>for</strong> all the recommended<br />

official rent levels throughout Germany. The researchers<br />

examined rent levels <strong>for</strong> a 65 sq.m apartment, built to normal or<br />

average specifications in a normal or average area. While the average<br />

rent comes to �5.91 per sq.m/month, there are wide regional<br />

variations.<br />

In the northern part of Germany, most rents correspond to the<br />

average. But in the south, in the states of Baden Württemberg<br />

and Bavaria, and in the middle (Hesse and Rhineland-Palatinate)<br />

the average rents are �7.21 and �6.32 respectively (per sq.m/month),<br />

tenants pay considerably more. North Rhine-Westphalia is slightly<br />

below average, while in the eastern states, including Berlin, rents are<br />

well below average.<br />

The average rent in Munich at �9.81 is 66% above the national<br />

average, and is the highest in the country. Even towns well outside<br />

the centre of Munich rank among the highest in the country, with<br />

the towns of Germering and Dachau ranked two and three on the<br />

national list.<br />

Berlin is the place to live cheaply, with apartments in the western<br />

part of the city 3% below the national average, and east Berlin 10%<br />

below the mean. Renting in Munich is thus fully 70% more expensive<br />

<strong>for</strong> its inhabitants than living in the nation’s capital – where else<br />

do you find this? To really save money, live in an eastern German<br />

city, none of which feature in the top 30 most expensive places to<br />

rent. Then rent a newly-built apartment, which in contrast to the<br />

west will cost less than a renovated older building. With all these<br />

savings you can buy an excellent computer, and plenty of broadband<br />

capacity. And then become a telecommuter…<br />

20<br />

ing its structure to separate its retail banking<br />

business from merchant banking and real estate<br />

operations in Germany.<br />

The market has recently speculated that<br />

SEB might hive off its German retail banking division,<br />

acquired some years ago from Germany’s<br />

labour union bank BfG. SEB did not mention a<br />

possible sale, but did say that it wanted to take<br />

advantage of the merger and acquisition landscape<br />

in Germany. In a statement, the bank<br />

said, “The organisational change is of internal<br />

character solely and will have no implications on<br />

daily operations. SEB Asset Management is not<br />

part of the organisational change process.”


21<br />

Lead Sponsor:<br />

The Ninth Annual 29-30 OCTOBER 2008<br />

EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE<br />

OPPORTUNITY & PRIVATE<br />

FUND INVESTING FORUM<br />

Raj Bhandari, ADAM REALTY PARTNERS PVT. LTD<br />

Gwynne M. Murphy, AETOS CAPITAL, LLC<br />

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Edward Casal, AVIVA CM<br />

Marty Kandrac, THE BLACKSTONE GROUP INTERNATIONAL<br />

Peter Kasch, CATALYST CAPITAL LLP (London)<br />

Geza Toth-Feher, CB EQUITY PARTNERS GMBH<br />

Ethan Penner, CB RICHARD ELLIS INVESTORS<br />

Ramsey Mankarious, CEDAR CAPITAL PARTNERS LTD.<br />

Mark Battistoni, CHATHAM FINANCIAL EUROPE LTD<br />

Erwin F Stouthamer, COMPOSITION CAPITAL PARTNERS<br />

David Rendall, CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD INVESTORS<br />

Ken Nitzberg, DEVON SELF STORAGE<br />

Elizabeth Mcloughlin, EASTCAP GROUP<br />

Dr. Dirk Söhnholz, FERI INSTITUTIONAL ADVISORS GMBH<br />

Karim Merchant, GID INVESTMENT ADVISERS LLC<br />

Frank Croston, HAMILTON HOTEL PARTNERS LLP<br />

Scott O’Donnell, HARBERT MANAGEMENT CORP., EUROPE<br />

Alasdair Evans, HERMES<br />

Lars Huber, HINES EUROPE<br />

Aniruddha Joshi, HIRCO PLC<br />

Jonathan J L Driscoll, HOJASCO CAPITAL LTD<br />

David Scott, INTERNATIONAL PROPERTY HOLDINGS GROUP<br />

Michael Siefert, MADISON INTERNATIONAL REALTY<br />

Oliver Smith, MANSFORD LLP<br />

Lloyd Lee, MARATHON ASSET MANAGEMENT<br />

Zsolt Kohalmi, MEYER BERGMAN<br />

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Tel: 1-212-768-2800 | Fax: 1-212-768-2484 | Email: mail@imn.org<br />

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REAL ESTATE FUNDS & PENSION SCHEMES SPEAKING AS OF AUGUST 19 CURRENTLY INCLUDE:<br />

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INITIAL CORPORATE SPONSORS AS OF AUGUST 19 CURRENTLY INCLUDE:<br />

OVER 700 EXECUTIVES ATTENDED LAST YEAR’S EVENT


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