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The Great Recession of 2008-2009: Causes ... - Index of - IZA

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4 Mitigating the effects <strong>of</strong> the crisis and securing a sustainable recovery:<br />

the effectiveness <strong>of</strong> policy responses<br />

As the global financial crisis unravelled, governments across the globe increasingly<br />

recognized the severity <strong>of</strong> the downturn and the urgency to intervene in order to avoid a<br />

catastrophic collapse <strong>of</strong> the financial markets and real economy. <strong>The</strong> response has consisted<br />

<strong>of</strong> three main interventions: 1) bailouts and injections <strong>of</strong> money into the financial system to<br />

keep credit flowing; 2) cutting interest rates to stimulate borrowing and investment; and 3)<br />

extra fiscal spending to shore up aggregate demand. <strong>The</strong>se measures have sought to prevent<br />

further economic deterioration and ultimately keep workers in jobs where possible and help<br />

create new jobs to provide opportunities for the unemployed. Overall, this response has<br />

helped avoid a far more severe downturn, though effectiveness has varied considerably across<br />

countries. In this context, this section summarizes both the macroeconomic and labour market<br />

policy responses.<br />

4.1 Macroeconomic policies, stimulus packages and the composition <strong>of</strong> policy<br />

interventions: an overview<br />

Systemically important nations, especially from the developed world, have engaged in<br />

historically unprecedented expansionary monetary policy, entailing both aggressive<br />

reductions in policy rates and quantitative easing. This has been combined with the<br />

assumption <strong>of</strong> contingent liabilities on behalf <strong>of</strong> the banking system (especially through<br />

deposit guarantee schemes) and massive support – running into trillions <strong>of</strong> dollars – for<br />

beleaguered financial institutions. At the same time, policymakers across the world held the<br />

view that monetary and financial policies alone could not cope with the global recession <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>2008</strong>-<strong>2009</strong>. A UNDP study maintains that there are now 48 countries for which there are<br />

reliable data on fiscal stimulus packages. Collectively, the fiscal stimulus packages account<br />

for 3.9 per cent <strong>of</strong> world GDP (as measured in <strong>2008</strong>) and 4.8 per cent <strong>of</strong> their national GDPs.<br />

20 out <strong>of</strong> the 48 can be classified as developing countries. 39<br />

<strong>The</strong> UNDP study highlights the point that social protection expenditures account for a<br />

relatively modest proportion <strong>of</strong> the announced fiscal stimulus packages – about 25 per cent <strong>of</strong><br />

39 See Zhang et al. (2010).<br />

35

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