Som smurt i olie...? til forsendelse - Teknologirådet
Som smurt i olie...? til forsendelse - Teknologirådet
Som smurt i olie...? til forsendelse - Teknologirådet
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Læsevejledning ....................................................................................................................................2<br />
Takkeliste.........................................................................................................................................3<br />
Introduktion......................................................................................................................................7<br />
1. Indledning ........................................................................................................................................8<br />
Problemfelt.......................................................................................................................................8<br />
Problemformulering.......................................................................................................................10<br />
Præcisering af problemformulering ...........................................................................................10<br />
Afgrænsning...................................................................................................................................11<br />
2. Metode Indledning ........................................................................................................................14<br />
Ontologien i projektet ....................................................................................................................14<br />
Projektets epistemologi..................................................................................................................14<br />
Virkelighedsbillede ....................................................................................................................15<br />
Projektets metodologi ....................................................................................................................15<br />
Abduktion ..................................................................................................................................17<br />
Emergensvurdering ........................................................................................................................20<br />
Hvad er emergens?.....................................................................................................................20<br />
Emergensformer.........................................................................................................................21<br />
Hvad er emergensvurdering? .....................................................................................................21<br />
Emergensens fire faser...............................................................................................................22<br />
Krav <strong>til</strong> emergensvurderingen....................................................................................................22<br />
Emergensvurderingens anvendelse i projektet...............................................................................23<br />
Problemforståelse.......................................................................................................................24<br />
Bekymringsfase..........................................................................................................................24<br />
Mod-emergensvurdering............................................................................................................25<br />
Backcasting ....................................................................................................................................25<br />
Hvad er backcasting? .................................................................................................................26<br />
Backcastingsmetoder .................................................................................................................27<br />
Hvordan anvendes backcasting i projektet?...............................................................................28<br />
Valg af empiri ................................................................................................................................29<br />
Kvantitative og kvalitative data .................................................................................................29<br />
Kvantitativ empiri ......................................................................................................................29<br />
Kvalitativ empiri ........................................................................................................................30<br />
Det kvalitative forskningsinterview...........................................................................................30<br />
Afgrænsning af empiri ...............................................................................................................33<br />
Afgrænsning af teori ......................................................................................................................34<br />
Metode- og kildekritik ...................................................................................................................36<br />
3. Oliekrisediskussion ........................................................................................................................38<br />
Det pessimistiske syn.....................................................................................................................38<br />
Det optimistiske syn.......................................................................................................................39<br />
Diskussionen ..................................................................................................................................40<br />
Hvornår topper produktionen?...................................................................................................40<br />
Markedet, investeringer og troen på teknologien.......................................................................43<br />
Konklusion på <strong>olie</strong>krisediskussionen.............................................................................................48<br />
4. Prisdannelse og historisk perspektiv..............................................................................................50<br />
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