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From Algorithms to Z-Scores - matloff - University of California, Davis

From Algorithms to Z-Scores - matloff - University of California, Davis

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112 CHAPTER 5. CONTINUOUS PROBABILITY MODELS<br />

Theorem 14 Suppose X1, X2, ... are independent random variables, all having the same distribution<br />

which has mean m and variance v 2 . Then<br />

Z = X1 + ... + Xn − nm<br />

v √ n<br />

converges in distribution <strong>to</strong> a N(0,1) random variable.<br />

5.5.2.12 Importance in Modeling<br />

(5.60)<br />

Needless <strong>to</strong> say, there are no random variables in the real world that are exactly normally distributed.<br />

In addition <strong>to</strong> our comments at the beginning <strong>of</strong> this chapter that no real-world random<br />

variable has a continuous distribution, there are no practical applications in which a random variable<br />

is not bounded on both ends. This contrasts with normal distributions, which extend from<br />

−∞ <strong>to</strong> ∞.<br />

Yet, many things in nature do have approximate normal distributions, so normal distributions play<br />

a key role in statistics. Most <strong>of</strong> the classical statistical procedures assume that one has sampled from<br />

a population having an approximate distribution. In addition, it will be seen later than the CLT<br />

tells us in many <strong>of</strong> these cases that the quantities used for statistical estimation are approximately<br />

normal, even if the data they are calculated from are not.<br />

5.5.3 The Chi-Squared Family <strong>of</strong> Distributions<br />

5.5.3.1 Density and Properties<br />

Let Z1, Z2, ..., Zk be independent N(0,1) random variables. Then the distribution <strong>of</strong><br />

Y = Z 2 1 + ... + Z 2 k<br />

(5.61)<br />

is called chi-squared with k degrees <strong>of</strong> freedom. We write such a distribution as χ2 k . Chisquared<br />

is a one-parameter family <strong>of</strong> distributions, and arises quite frequently in statistical applications,<br />

as will be seen in future chapters.<br />

We can derive the mean <strong>of</strong> a chi-squared distribution as follows. In (5.61), note that<br />

1 = V ar(Zi) = E(Z 2 i ) − (EZi) 2 = 1 − 0 2 = 1 (5.62)<br />

Then EY in (5.61) is k. One can also show that Var(Y) = 2k.

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