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From Algorithms to Z-Scores - matloff - University of California, Davis

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322 CHAPTER 16. ADVANCED STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND INFERENCE<br />

is known <strong>to</strong> have an asymp<strong>to</strong>tically multivariate normal distribution with mean 0 and nonsingular<br />

covariance matrix Σ = (σij).<br />

Let h be a smooth scalar function 1 <strong>of</strong> k variables, with hi denoting its i th partial derivative. Consider<br />

the random variable<br />

Y = h(R1, ..., Rk) (16.10)<br />

Then √ n[Y − h(η1, ..., ηk)] converges in distribution <strong>to</strong> a normal distribution with mean 0 and<br />

variance<br />

provided not all <strong>of</strong><br />

are 0.<br />

[ν1, ..., νk] ′ Σ[ν1, ..., νk] (16.11)<br />

νi = hi(η1, ..., ηk), i = 1, ..., k (16.12)<br />

Informally, the theorem says, with R, η, Σ, h() and Y defined above:<br />

Suppose R is asymp<strong>to</strong>tically multivariate normally distributed with mean η and covariance<br />

matrix Σ/n. Y will be approximately normal with mean h(η1, ..., ηk) and<br />

covariance matrix 1/n times (16.11).<br />

Note carefully that the theorem is not saying, for example, that E[h(R) = h(η) for fixed, finite n,<br />

which is not true. Nor is it saying that h(R) is normally distributed, which is definitely not true;<br />

recall for instance that if X has a N(0,1) distribution, then X 2 has a chi-square distribution with<br />

one degree <strong>of</strong> freedom, hardly the same as N(0,1). But the theorem says that for the purpose <strong>of</strong><br />

asymp<strong>to</strong>tic distributions, we can operate as if these things were true.<br />

1<br />

The word “smooth” here refers <strong>to</strong> mathematical conditions such as existence <strong>of</strong> derivatives, which we will not<br />

worry about here.<br />

Similarly, the reason that we multiply by √ n is also due <strong>to</strong> theoretical considerations we will not go in<strong>to</strong> here,<br />

other than <strong>to</strong> note that it is related <strong>to</strong> the formal statement <strong>of</strong> the Central Limit Theorem in Section 5.5.2.11. If we<br />

replace X1 + ..., +Xn in (5.60), by nX, we get<br />

Z = √ n ·<br />

X − m<br />

v<br />

(16.9)

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