Download here - Hawaii Automobile Dealers Association
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36<br />
HADA Numbers:<br />
70000<br />
65000<br />
60000<br />
55000<br />
50000<br />
45000<br />
40000<br />
35000<br />
30000<br />
57,456<br />
1989<br />
1990<br />
Like a Pacific Version of<br />
<strong>Hawaii</strong> Retail Automotive Market<br />
54,544<br />
New Vehicle Registrations by Year<br />
47,783<br />
45,249<br />
44,865<br />
45,054<br />
44,175<br />
42,487<br />
41,08341,480<br />
40,673<br />
1991<br />
1992<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
It’s like the old Pharaoh’s dream. Seven fat years followed<br />
by seven lean (or at least leaner) years for <strong>Hawaii</strong>’s<br />
retail auto industry.<br />
Now comes a new regulation that is sure to affect sales.<br />
New cars and light trucks which are sold in the U.S.<br />
market in 2025 must average 54.5 mpg--a requirement<br />
that doubles the current mpg average.<br />
That’s in just a little over 12 years --just 1.5 auto-buildout<br />
cycles.<br />
To keep SUVs, big trucks, and vans in their lineups and<br />
attain an average of 54.5 mpg, some large automakers<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
7<br />
years<br />
53,314<br />
51,50051,388<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
62,712<br />
2003<br />
65,882<br />
2004<br />
70,268<br />
2005<br />
67,224<br />
2006<br />
57,526<br />
calculate that they will need to produce and sell hundreds<br />
of thousands of EVs in the U.S. market.<br />
It’s clear that the new rules were, in part, crafted to<br />
foster the adoption of electric vehicles, which are given<br />
2x credit in the calculations.<br />
<strong>Hawaii</strong>, because its ideal conditions, is becoming the<br />
testing ground for several automakers.<br />
T<strong>here</strong>’s some teeth in the program in the form of a $.50<br />
per tenth-of-a-mile penalty for each vehicle sold if the<br />
automaker’s U.S.-sold fleet number is in non-compliance.<br />
An automaker falling 10 mpg short at a 44.5 average<br />
would thus see a penalty of $50 per vehicle.<br />
2007<br />
42,804<br />
2008<br />
35,531<br />
34,019<br />
33,639<br />
2009<br />
7<br />
years<br />
2010<br />
2011<br />
43,100<br />
(est.)<br />
2012