Nuclear Weapons and Arms Control in South Asia after the Test Ban

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Oxford University Press, Great Clarendon Street, Oxford OX2 6DP Oxford New York Athens Auckland Bangkok Bogotá Bombay Buenos Aires Calcutta Cape Town Dar es Salaam Delhi Florence Hong Kong Istanbul Karachi Kuala Lumpur Madras Madrid Melbourne Mexico City Nairobi Paris Singapore Taipei Tokyo Toronto Warsaw and associated companies in Berlin Ibadan Oxford is a trade mark of Oxford University Press Published in the United States by Oxford University Press Inc., New York © SIPRI 1998 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without the prior permission in writing of Oxford University Press. Within the UK, exceptions are allowed in respect of any fair dealing for the purpose of research or private study, or criticism or review, as permitted under the Copyright Designs and Patents Act, 1988, or in the case of reprographic reproduction in accordance with the terms of the licences issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency. Enquiries concerning reproduction outside these terms should be sent to the Rights Department, Oxford University Press, at the address above. Enquiries concerning reproduction in other countries should be sent to SIPRI The paperback edition of this book is sold subject to the condition that it shall not, by way of trade or otherwise, be lent, re-sold, hired out or otherwise circulated without the publisher’s prior consent in any form of binding or cover other than that in which it is published and without a similar condition including this condition being imposed on the subsequent purchaser British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data Data available Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Data available —(SIPRI research report; no. 14) Includes index ISBN 0–19–829412–3 ISBN 0–19–829411–5 (pbk) Typeset and originated by Stockholm International Peace Research Institute Printed in Great Britain on acid-free paper by Biddles Ltd, Guildford and King’s Lynn
Contents Preface vii Acronyms and abbreviations ix 1. Nuclear weapons and arms control in South Asia after 1 the test ban Eric Arnett I. Introduction 1 II. India’s domestic politics 2 III. Sino-Indian relations 10 IV. Pakistan’s domestic politics 14 V. Steps towards greater stability 15 VI. Conclusions 17 Table 1.1. Expenditure on R&D by agencies of the Indian 5 Government Table 1.2. Operating history of Indian nuclear plants 6 Table 1.3. National average energy availability factor for 8 India, 1971–94 Table 1.4. National average energy availability factors for 10 selected countries 2. Indian politics and arms control: recent reversals and new 19 reasons for optimism Giri Deshingkar I. Introduction 19 II. The roots of political inertia 21 III. Narasimha Rao’s Government and the CTB 23 IV. A weak new government 29 V. Prospects for the future 30 VI. Nuclear weapons, arms control and relations with 32 Pakistan VII. Conclusions 34 3. Sino-Indian relations and nuclear arms control 35 Hua Han I. Introduction 35 II. Sino-Indian relations 37 III. The role of nuclear weapons 45
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Index Afghanistan 60 Agni missile 4
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Nuclear Weapons and Arms Control in South Asia after the Test Ban

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