Market Integration in Mozambique - International Food Policy ...
Market Integration in Mozambique - International Food Policy ...
Market Integration in Mozambique - International Food Policy ...
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we then re-estimate the TAR model to get an update value of the adjustment speed. This process is repeated until a certa<strong>in</strong><br />
criterion is met.<br />
We illustrate our method us<strong>in</strong>g price data for maize <strong>in</strong> five markets <strong>in</strong> <strong>Mozambique</strong>. Unsurpris<strong>in</strong>gly, we f<strong>in</strong>d that markets<br />
that are closer to each other seem to be better <strong>in</strong>tegrated. For <strong>in</strong>stance, the least <strong>in</strong>tegrated market pair SUMMARY is the Maputo- | APRIL 2010<br />
Lich<strong>in</strong>ga trade route. More <strong>in</strong> general, we f<strong>in</strong>d that Lich<strong>in</strong>ga is less <strong>in</strong>tegrated with the rest of <strong>Mozambique</strong>. Nampula seems<br />
to be rather well <strong>in</strong>tegrated, particularly with other markets <strong>in</strong> the North and the East. Our results also confirm that Maputo is<br />
more <strong>in</strong>tegrated with South Africa, while nearby Maxixe is better <strong>in</strong>tegrated with the h<strong>in</strong>terland. Even so, there is substantial<br />
room for improvement.<br />
A first way to improve market <strong>in</strong>tegration is to better physically l<strong>in</strong>k markets to each other. The rehabilitation of the EN1,<br />
which is supposed to l<strong>in</strong>k the North to the South is a major step <strong>in</strong> the right direction. However, the government should also<br />
<strong>in</strong>vest <strong>in</strong> secondary roads that l<strong>in</strong>k Eastern and Western locations to the EN1. For good like maize, with a relatively low value<br />
to weight ratio, railways are often a cheaper way of transportation. The railroads that are presently operat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>Mozambique</strong><br />
run through three different trade corridors (North from Nacala to Malawi, Center from Beira to Malawi and South from Maputo<br />
to South Africa). Maritime transport is h<strong>in</strong>dered by the fact that only 2 ports are capable of handl<strong>in</strong>g large vessels. (Cirera<br />
and Arndt, 2008)<br />
Secondly, but at least equally important, is to <strong>in</strong>crease the flow of <strong>in</strong>formation between different markets. Arbitrage <strong>in</strong>volves<br />
the ex-ante comparison of prices from one market to prices from several other markets. Based upon that <strong>in</strong>formation,<br />
traders can start mov<strong>in</strong>g goods from low priced markets to high price markets. These search costs are thus entirely part of<br />
the transaction cost. In addition, the speed at which <strong>in</strong>formation travels will also affect how quickly arbitrage happens. So, the<br />
speed at which <strong>in</strong>formation (price, road conditions, quality requirements, etc.) travels will also <strong>in</strong>fluence the adjustment<br />
speed. The mobile phone revolution is certa<strong>in</strong>ly contribut<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>in</strong>creased market <strong>in</strong>tegration. A classic study by Jensen<br />
(2007) f<strong>in</strong>ds that the adoption of mobile phones by Indian fishermen and wholesalers was associated with a dramatic<br />
reduction <strong>in</strong> price dispersion, the complete elim<strong>in</strong>ation of waste, and near-perfect adherence to the Law of One Price.<br />
Similarly, Aker (2010) f<strong>in</strong>ds the <strong>in</strong>troduction of mobile phone service <strong>in</strong> Niger between 2001 and 2006 expla<strong>in</strong>s a 10 to 16<br />
percent reduction <strong>in</strong> gra<strong>in</strong> price dispersion.<br />
Thirdly, a core assumption <strong>in</strong> the spatial equilibrium model is that all markets are sufficiently competitive. If there is too<br />
little competition amongst traders, these traders will be able to engage <strong>in</strong> monopolistic price sett<strong>in</strong>g. While <strong>in</strong>formation and<br />
rural <strong>in</strong>frastructure will <strong>in</strong>crease the number of traders operat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> remote areas, there are a host of other policies that can<br />
<strong>in</strong>crease competition amongst middlemen. Examples would be provid<strong>in</strong>g appropriate <strong>in</strong>surance <strong>in</strong>struments for traders. Also,<br />
arbitrage is often regarded as a somewhat shady activity (Hayami, 1996). Governments should appreciate the important role<br />
played by a sufficiently competitive trade sector for food security and agricultural development and encourage <strong>in</strong>stitutions<br />
that cater for their <strong>in</strong>terests.<br />
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