Declaration of Frank C. Torchio for Settlement Purposes

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Case 2:07-cv-05295-MRP -MAN Document 987 Filed 10/11/10 Page 10 of 17 Page ID #:39169 total common stock damages, which compares with 95.6% of shares held by institutional shareholders on average during the Jarrell Inflation Period. 14 25. After calculating aggregate damages, I adjusted the computed aggregate damages to account for inflationary gains. If an investor sells shares at a price that has higher artificial inflation than the inflation in the purchase price, then the investor has an inflationary gain. That is, this investor benefitted from the misrepresentation for that purchase and sale round-trip transaction. If that round-trip transaction was the only transaction for an investor, then that investor obviously would have zero damages. There are circumstances, however, when an investor can have multiple round-trip transactions; some round-trips may have inflationary losses and some may have inflationary gains. The preceding damage computations are based on the underlying assumption that only the inflationary losses are used. It is quite likely that, at trial, if a specific investor has inflationary losses on certain round-trip transactions, but also has inflationary gains on other round-trip transactions, the inflationary gains (if any) should offset inflationary losses. If institutional losses are offset by institutional gains, I calculated that institutional damages would decline by approximately 7%. I use this 7% discount as an estimate of the reduction in common stock damages due to inflationary gains. 26. Therefore, if Plaintiffs had prevailed at trial, after reducing for inflationary gains, I estimated common stock damages to be approximately $2.08 billion 15 on 585 million damaged shares, which equals $3.56 per share on average. 14 Institutional shareholders held 95.6% on average of Countrywide’s shares outstanding during the Jarrell Inflation Period (measured each quarter from December 31, 2005 through June 30, 2007). 15 Computed as $2.239 billion times 93% (93% = 1 - 7%). 10
Case 2:07-cv-05295-MRP -MAN Document 987 Filed 10/11/10 Page 11 of 17 Page ID #:39170 B. 7% Capital Securities 27. I estimated the aggregate damages for the 7% Capital Securities to be $38.7 million on 41 million damaged shares. 16 Similar to the common stock damages, I also reduce the damages for the 7% Capital Securities by 7% to account for inflationary gains, which yields $36 million of damages or $0.88 per security on average. C. Section 10(b) Bonds 28. Using the same basic methods used for the common stock, I estimated the aggregate damages for the five Section 10(b) bonds to be $182.8 million. D. Exchange-Traded Options 29. I estimated the aggregate damages for the exchange-traded options to be $276.7 million based on the option analysis in the Jarrell Report and the amount of open interest in each option. 17 E. Section 11 Bonds 30. I estimated the aggregate damages for the Section 11 bonds to be $254.0 million. 18 Although the technical statutory measure of damages for the Section 11 claims are estimated at $1.778 billion, 19 I have assumed that Plaintiffs’ damages for Section 11 16 Similar to the common stock, I used a multi-trader model to estimate aggregate damages for the 7% Capital Securities. 17 For exchange-traded options, I estimated aggregate damages by multiplying the open interest in the options at each corrective disclosure date by the inflation effect of the disclosure as set forth in the Jarrell Report. 18 The estimated damages are for Section 11 bonds with maturity dates after the first alleged corrective disclosure on 7/24/2007, and excludes securities that also have Section 10(b) damages. 19 Section 11 statutory claims estimated using the difference in the issuance price and the lawsuit date price for each security. The statutory claims of $1.778 billion include $1.110 billion of claims for securities with Section 10(b) claims also. 11
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Stock Price $50.00 $45.00 $40.00 $3
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Market‐to‐Book M Ratio 3.50 3.0
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Declaration of Frank C. Torchio for Settlement Purposes

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