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Climate and Geomorphologic-related Disasters in Latin America 15<br />

These results are broadly consistent with the current view of the region’s<br />

climate. Over tropical South America during El Niño events, the rising motion<br />

tends to be weaker than average and rainfall over the eastern Amazon and northeast<br />

Brazil tends to be below average, with broadly the reverse situation during La<br />

Niña events (Marengo and Hastenrath 1993). One would therefore expect a<br />

tendency of stronger rainfall and higher stream flows during cold events and the<br />

opposite during warm events. In general, however, ENSO only explains a small<br />

fraction of the interannual variance of rainfall in the Amazon (Marengo et al. 1993,<br />

2001; Rao et al. 1996; Dettinger et al. 2000). Therefore, the consequences for<br />

stream flows have small statistical significance. The Tocantins and San Francisco<br />

rivers are in the northeastern part of South America, where the regional climate is<br />

also influenced by sea-surface temperature (SST) and intertropical convergence<br />

zone (ITCZ) anomalies in the Atlantic. The La Plata Basin’s climate, however, is<br />

significantly affected by ENSO through atmospheric teleconnections (Cazes et al.,<br />

2003).<br />

At the same time, as discussed in this book by Islas and Schnack (Chapter 16),<br />

the South American coast is particularly exposed to ENSO-triggered effects. The<br />

effects are different in different regions. In Colombia, ENSO produces seasonal<br />

increases in mean sea level, altering the dynamics of the barrier islands. In Ecuador,<br />

coastal and island populations were badly affected during the 1997–1998 El Niño<br />

season by wave action and increasing sea levels, due to Kelvin waves from storms in<br />

the northern Pacific. They produced coastal erosion along the shoreline and<br />

destroyed structures along the beaches. In Peru, ENSOs trigger strong inputs of<br />

sediment to the coast, while similar processes impact the estuarine complexes of<br />

Lagoa dos Patos (southern Brazil) and cause Paraná River/Rio de la Plata floods<br />

(Argentina–Uruguay). In northern Brazil, on the other hand, dry conditions during<br />

El Niño favor the migration of coastal dunes.<br />

3.2. Mountain Areas and Intense Tropical Rainfall<br />

High and intense rates of tropical rain falling on mountain landscapes with steep<br />

slopes are a deadly combination, generating disasters. As analyzed in the chapters<br />

devoted to Colombia (Hermelin and Hoyos, Chapter 7), Venezuela (Bezada,<br />

Chapter 6), and Brazil (Coelho Netto and Avelar, Chapter 12 and Stevaux et al.,<br />

Chapter 13), landslides and flash floods full of detritus flowing along mountain river<br />

valleys can attain catastrophic dimensions during periods of intense rainfall, especially<br />

for densely populated regions. Extreme landslide events produce excessive<br />

sediment yields, which converge into the channel network that drains the watersheds,<br />

causing immediate mass sedimentation of drainage systems in the river<br />

valleys, the piedmont plains, or coastal flatlands.<br />

In Brazil, the majority of these phenomena occur in the steep mountainous<br />

lands of the serras and coastal ranges along the Brazilian Atlantic region (São Paulo,<br />

Rio de Janeiro, Minas Gerais, Espirito Santo, Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina,<br />

and Paraná states). The relief is higher than 1200 m and close to the coast, but inland<br />

the mountainous escarpments can reach altitudes of up to 2000 m and relief<br />

amplitudes of more than 700 m. The combination of the steep relief, plus the

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