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Statistical Analysis of the CAPM I. Sharpe–Linter CAPM

Statistical Analysis of the CAPM I. Sharpe–Linter CAPM

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• The density <strong>of</strong> excess returns, conditional on <strong>the</strong><br />

market return, rm,t, is<br />

f(rt|rm,t)<br />

= exp { −1 2 (rt − α − βrm,t) ′ Σ −1 (rt − α − βrm,t) }<br />

,<br />

and <strong>the</strong> joint density is<br />

(2π) N/2 |Σ| 1/2<br />

f(r1, . . . , rT |rm,1, . . . , rT,1) (10)<br />

=<br />

=<br />

T∏<br />

t=1<br />

exp<br />

f(rt|rm,t)<br />

{<br />

− 1<br />

2<br />

T∑<br />

(rt − α − βrm,t) ′ Σ −1 }<br />

(rt − α − βrm,t)<br />

t=1<br />

(2π) NT/2 |Σ| T/2<br />

• To estimate <strong>the</strong> unknown parameters, α, β, and<br />

Σ, <strong>of</strong> this density, we use <strong>the</strong> method <strong>of</strong> maximum<br />

likelihood.<br />

• To do so, we define <strong>the</strong> log–likelihood function, i.e.,<br />

<strong>the</strong> log <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> joint density viewed as a function <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> unknown parameters.<br />

7

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