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Lecture Note 15: Social Cost Benefit Analysis - University of ...

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where the social weight attached to the bene…ts <strong>of</strong> individual h is simply h =<br />

. Since marginal utility is falling with the level <strong>of</strong> consumption, we put<br />

1<br />

x h 1<br />

less weight on individuals 3 and 4 (1=2000) who consume a lot <strong>of</strong> the project<br />

output to begin with and higher weight on individuals 1 and 2 (1=1000) who<br />

consume less <strong>of</strong> the project output initially. Table 1 shows what happens when<br />

we apply these weights to a project that takes $1 <strong>of</strong> uncommitted public funds<br />

and distribute it equally across the four individuals (through a non-distortionary<br />

lump sum transfer). The last column shows the welfare increments ( 1<br />

xh x<br />

1<br />

h 1) for<br />

each consumer. We see that the sum <strong>of</strong> these bene…ts adds up to a very small<br />

amount, namely 0:00075. This is a lot less than the $1 cost <strong>of</strong> the project, so it<br />

should be rejected. But this does not seem to make any sense. We got a pound<br />

<strong>of</strong> uncommitted funds, how can dividing it equally amongst individuals be such<br />

a bad idea?<br />

The issue is that we have (without saying it out load..) chosen to use public<br />

funds as the numeraire, i.e., as the unit in which we measure the cost <strong>of</strong> the<br />

project ($1 <strong>of</strong> public funds is worth $1). The bene…ts, however, 1<br />

xh x<br />

1<br />

h 1, are<br />

measured in units <strong>of</strong> utility. So the problem is that we are not comparing like<br />

with like. More fundamentally, the problem is that the choice <strong>of</strong> the utility functions<br />

must in practice be understood as the choice <strong>of</strong> ordinal utility functions.<br />

This means that we can subject it to any positive transformation and it will<br />

still represent the same underlying preferences over consumption. To see what<br />

this implies more clearly, let us transform the utility function and represent the<br />

individuals’preferences by the function e Uh = 10000 log(xh 1). Table 2 shows the<br />

re-calculated bene…ts <strong>of</strong> the divided-a-pound-equally project. Now, they add up<br />

to 7:5 and we conclude that the project is a good idea after all.<br />

Exercise 2 Does this logic strengthen or weaken Harberger’s case for not applying<br />

welfare weights at all?<br />

Clearly, to reach a sensible decision and avoid leaving the analysis wide open<br />

to manipulation by special interests, we need a principle that can tell us how<br />

to normalize or anchor the social welfare weights so that the costs and bene…ts<br />

become comparable.<br />

The Green Book suggests the following normalization. Begin by de…ning as<br />

the benchmark the social value <strong>of</strong> a uniform lump sum transfer, i.e., the social<br />

value <strong>of</strong> dividing $1 <strong>of</strong> uncommitted public funds equally amongst all citizens.<br />

This benchmark de…nes the opportunity cost <strong>of</strong> spending a pound on some other<br />

project or programme. The logic is that any project or programme would have<br />

to be better than simply spending the funds on a uniform lump sum transfer in<br />

order to be socially justi…ed.<br />

How does one implement this principle? What we need to do is to normalize<br />

the welfare weights <strong>of</strong> the four individuals in such a way that a project that<br />

divides $1 equally amongst them breaks even, i.e., yields a social bene…t equal<br />

to the cost <strong>of</strong> $1. Formally, we want the normalized social weights –denoted<br />

11

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