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Lecture Note 15: Social Cost Benefit Analysis - University of ...

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groups <strong>of</strong> individuals, say rich, middle income and poor; or men and women,<br />

etc.). This is, perhaps, most clearly seen by rewriting the equation as<br />

NB = P H<br />

h=1<br />

b<br />

h x h 1<br />

P H<br />

h=1<br />

c<br />

h x h 2; (12)<br />

where the welfare weight given to individual h in the calculation <strong>of</strong> the bene…ts<br />

(superscript b is for bene…t) is<br />

b @SW F @Uh<br />

h = =<br />

@Uh @x1<br />

@SW F<br />

@Uh<br />

hq1: (13)<br />

The weight given to individual h in the calculation <strong>of</strong> the opportunity cost<br />

(superscript c is for cost) is:<br />

c @SW F @Uh<br />

h = =<br />

@Uh @x2<br />

@SW F<br />

@Uh<br />

hq2: (14)<br />

The two weights might di¤er ins<strong>of</strong>ar as the marginal utility <strong>of</strong> the output delivered<br />

by the project is di¤erent from the marginal utility <strong>of</strong> consumption foregone<br />

as a consequence <strong>of</strong> the project. Nonetheless the principle is clear: we need to<br />

de…ne a sensible set <strong>of</strong> welfare weights and then weight the costs and bene…ts<br />

accordingly.<br />

This makes it more complicated to estimate the shadow prices. Recall in the<br />

simple world with one representative consumer, we de…ned the shadow price <strong>of</strong><br />

say the output x1 as the change in social welfare induced by a small change in<br />

project output relative to the marginal value <strong>of</strong> private consumption, i.e.,<br />

@SW F<br />

@x1<br />

1 = @SW F<br />

@U<br />

@U<br />

@x1<br />

1 : (<strong>15</strong>)<br />

When there are many di¤erent consumers, the change is social welfare induced<br />

by the project output is<br />

HX @SW F<br />

h=1<br />

@Uh<br />

@Uh<br />

@x h 1<br />

x h 1: (16)<br />

In the special case, where all consumers bene…t by the same amount from the<br />

project x h 1 = x1, the increase in social welfare induced by a small change<br />

in the (common) project output is P H<br />

PH h=1<br />

h=1<br />

@SW F<br />

@Uh<br />

@Uh<br />

@x h 1<br />

, which we see is equal to<br />

b<br />

h. But in the case <strong>of</strong> heterogenous consumers there is not a single<br />

marginal value <strong>of</strong> private income: there are, in principle, H di¤erent ones; one<br />

for each consumer. So how do we normalize the change in social value to get at<br />

the shadow price? One possibility is to use the average value = 1 PH H h=1 h<br />

and de…ne the shadow price <strong>of</strong> the (common) output as<br />

q SP<br />

1<br />

=<br />

P H<br />

h=1<br />

b<br />

h<br />

(17)<br />

but we could also choose, for example, to use the marginal value <strong>of</strong> money for<br />

a particular consumer, say, consumer 1, 1 as the unit <strong>of</strong> account.<br />

6

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