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230 BERLING-WOLFF AND WU<br />

Three scenarios<br />

Scenario 1 represented the continuation of development status quo. Developers continued<br />

to provide large, single-family dwellings as the market demands, and the density and growth<br />

rates remained at the 1995 rates. Recreation areas , particularly parks, are an important part<br />

of urban development. Using 2002 statistics of the current population, number of parks and<br />

average park size for Peoria (one city in the Phoenix metropolitan area), we derived parameters<br />

for modeling park creation in a fast developing city in this region. Specifically, the model<br />

Figure 5. Comparison of the spatial patterns between the empirical and simulated maps using landscape metrics<br />

at the whole landscape level (A, C, E, G, I, K) and the urban class level (B, D, F, H, J, L).<br />

(Continued on next page).

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