29.07.2013 Views

ferdy murphy - 1-1

ferdy murphy - 1-1

ferdy murphy - 1-1

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

impressive Leopardstown win<br />

coming over 2m5f, but Willie<br />

Mullins was considering the<br />

Arkle before injury kicked in.<br />

If he returns, he could well<br />

have the Irish 2m – 2m4f<br />

chase division at his mercy<br />

and become a real ‘springer’ in<br />

the Champion Chase market,<br />

though I’d like to see him back<br />

on the track before considering<br />

backing him.<br />

Conclusion<br />

Master Minded will be<br />

extremely difficult to beat all<br />

season and, if he remains injury<br />

free, will probably be odds on to<br />

record back-to-back Champion<br />

Chase victories in March.<br />

But, taking 5-4 about a horse<br />

some five months before a race<br />

is very risky. You then have<br />

to think whether or not it is<br />

worth trying to find an eachway<br />

alternative and, with the<br />

division lacking any strength<br />

in depth, this may not be a bad<br />

thing to do in this instance.<br />

Takeroc appeals as the most<br />

likely improver and could be<br />

the main threat to his stablecompanion<br />

come next March,<br />

so 16-1 appeals as a fair price at<br />

this stage – I’d rather be backing<br />

him at 4-1 to get a place, rather<br />

than Master Minded to win at<br />

5-4, at this very early stage.<br />

World Hurdle<br />

After an emotional third<br />

success in this race from Inglis<br />

Drever in March, it is hardly<br />

surprising that the bookmakers<br />

have Howard Johnson’s stable<br />

star as the 4-1 favourite.<br />

Despite his rising years, the<br />

nine-year-old looked better than<br />

ever last term, winning his first<br />

three starts and his five-length<br />

defeat of Blazing Bailey in the<br />

Cleeve Hurdle at Cheltenham<br />

in January was arguably the<br />

staying performance of the<br />

season.<br />

Though he was beaten by<br />

that rival at Aintree in April,<br />

he remains the horse to beat<br />

in this division, but it should<br />

be remembered that he will be<br />

10 come Festival time and it<br />

is surely only a matter of time<br />

before the years catch up with<br />

this true hurdling great.<br />

Kasbah Bliss finished runnerup<br />

in the World Hurdle, having<br />

previously won Haydock’s<br />

Rendlesham, and being only<br />

six, he looks the obvious young<br />

improver.<br />

He was not seen after<br />

Cheltenham, but has raced<br />

twice on the Flat in France<br />

during August, winning a 2m<br />

handicap last time. Francois<br />

Doumen’s runners are always<br />

well respected in England and<br />

it would not be a surprise to<br />

see him land one of the leading<br />

staying hurdles in the coming<br />

months, but he doesn’t exactly<br />

scream value at just 5-1.<br />

Alan King’s Blazing Bailey is<br />

a 7-1 shot and he finished only<br />

fourth in last season’s renewal,<br />

so has ground to make up on<br />

both Inglis Drever and Kasbah<br />

Bliss.<br />

As previously mentioned, he<br />

reversed form with the former<br />

at Liverpool, where the first<br />

time blinkers worked a treat<br />

and they also had the desired<br />

effect at Punchestown three<br />

weeks later, when he completed<br />

a Grade 1 double.<br />

He is another who is bound<br />

to be thereabouts in the staying<br />

events this term.<br />

One of last season’s leading<br />

staying novices Elusive Dream<br />

comes next at 14-1 and he has<br />

a similar profile to that of Inglis<br />

Drever, as he was also a smart<br />

Flat performer for Sir Mark<br />

Prescott.<br />

He relishes decent ground<br />

and rounded off a fruitful first<br />

campaign as a hurdler with<br />

victories at Aintree and over an<br />

extended 2m5f at Cheltenham.<br />

The step up to 3m could bring<br />

about further improvement and<br />

it will be interesting to see how<br />

he takes the step up in class.<br />

Kazal finished third in this race<br />

last term, but flopped behind<br />

Blazing Bailey when expected<br />

to go close at Punchestown,<br />

and though he is as low as 10-1<br />

for this with VC (generally a 16s<br />

shot) it is far from certain that<br />

he will remain over hurdles.<br />

He has always been regarded<br />

as a top-class chasing prospect<br />

and he made his seasonal debut<br />

in a Grade 1 novice chase last<br />

season.<br />

After running a massive race<br />

and falling late on, he unseated<br />

Davy Russell a couple of weeks<br />

later, which meant connections<br />

brought him back to hurdles.<br />

I would be surprised if they<br />

didn’t give fencing another try<br />

and if he were to win first time<br />

out, this race could well be off<br />

the agenda.<br />

Albert Bartlett winner<br />

Nenuphar Collonges is next best<br />

at 20-1 and he had previously<br />

won at the track in a Grade 2<br />

last December.<br />

He could be another who<br />

reverts to chasing, as he was<br />

last seen over fences winning<br />

off a lowly mark of 127 at<br />

Uttoxeter in March 2007 and<br />

he would look attractively<br />

handicapped over fences. Alan<br />

King will obviously place him to<br />

best effect and, without being<br />

disrespectful, I’m not quite sure<br />

he has the class to land a World<br />

Hurdle so handicap chases<br />

could be the route for him.<br />

As well as Elusive Dream, Paul<br />

Nicholls has Mobaasher (20-<br />

1) and Celestial Halo (25-1) as<br />

possibles for this. The former<br />

needs to improve, having won<br />

a 3m handicap at the track in<br />

April, but he is still only five<br />

and probably hasn’t reached his<br />

peak.<br />

The latter of course won<br />

the Triumph Hurdle and as I<br />

pointed out in my Champion<br />

Hurdle preview, I think he<br />

could be open to any amount of<br />

improvement once stepped up<br />

to 2m4f and beyond.<br />

The Galileo gelding, who<br />

finished third to Irish Derby and<br />

Coronation Cup winner Soldier<br />

Of Fortune in the Chester Vase<br />

just last May, is due to start off<br />

his campaign in Newcastle’s<br />

‘Fighting Fifth’ at the end of<br />

November and I’m half hoping<br />

Racing Ahead 29

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!