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Risk Assessment Methodologies of Soil Threats in Europe

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9. Conclusions<br />

The soils <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> are under <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g stress. The release <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Europe</strong>an Strategy on <strong>Soil</strong><br />

Protection <strong>in</strong> 2006 has put the protection <strong>of</strong> this natural resource high on the political agenda <strong>of</strong><br />

many countries. However, as soil is an unmov<strong>in</strong>g mass and many processes lead<strong>in</strong>g to soil<br />

degradation occur before the degradation becomes visible, the evaluation <strong>of</strong> soil degradation is<br />

complex. Therefore, many risk assessment methodologies (RAMs) were developed, <strong>of</strong> which<br />

many are (very) complex <strong>in</strong> the sense <strong>of</strong> data requirements, s<strong>of</strong>tware capacities and expert<br />

<strong>in</strong>terpretation. From the RAMSOIL project the follow<strong>in</strong>g conclusions were drawn:<br />

1. Many different soil RAMs are used by only a limited number <strong>of</strong> countries with<strong>in</strong> EU-<br />

27.<br />

2. Most <strong>of</strong> these RAMs are <strong>in</strong>complete, i.e., they quantify process rates or states <strong>of</strong> the<br />

soil threat under consideration rather than risks, i.e. the probability <strong>of</strong> occurrence <strong>of</strong><br />

unwanted soil degradation. This complicates the evaluation <strong>of</strong> options for<br />

harmonization <strong>of</strong> soil RAMs.<br />

3. Many different RAMs have common elements, yet differ <strong>in</strong> comprehensiveness,<br />

complexity and <strong>in</strong> spatial and temporal scales.<br />

4. Us<strong>in</strong>g different RAMs may have large consequences with regard to affected area,<br />

spatial distribution and patch<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>of</strong> the threat occurr<strong>in</strong>g. A case-study on soil erosion<br />

<strong>in</strong> Romania showed differences <strong>in</strong> affected areas up to 30%.<br />

5. There are various <strong>in</strong>terpretations <strong>of</strong> the term ‘harmonization’ rang<strong>in</strong>g from the strict<br />

def<strong>in</strong>ition <strong>of</strong> mak<strong>in</strong>g results comparable or compatible to standardiz<strong>in</strong>g protocols. The<br />

ambivalent use <strong>of</strong> the term harmonization <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational literature complicates the<br />

assessment <strong>of</strong> options for harmonization.<br />

6. Harmonization <strong>of</strong> RAMs, i.e. mak<strong>in</strong>g results comparable or compatible is complicated<br />

by differences <strong>in</strong> the notion <strong>of</strong> the threat, data collection, data process<strong>in</strong>g, data<br />

<strong>in</strong>terpretation and risk perception.<br />

Although, given the common (scientific) grounds <strong>of</strong> many soil RAMs, our impression is that <strong>in</strong><br />

practice harmonization <strong>of</strong> soil RAMs will be very laborious and most likely <strong>in</strong> the end will<br />

result <strong>in</strong> some k<strong>in</strong>d <strong>of</strong> compromise. To ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> the site specificity and cultural identity <strong>of</strong><br />

regionally developed RAMs we suggest two options that may facilitate unequivocal<br />

identification <strong>of</strong> risk (or priority) areas for soil threats:<br />

1. a two-tier approach where tier 1 is at a relatively low spatial resolution, and tier 2 is a<br />

more detailed assessment.<br />

2. generic harmonization, i.e. comb<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g standardization and harmonization.<br />

Ad. 1. A tiered approach for the identification <strong>of</strong> risk areas for soil threats was also suggested<br />

by Eckelmann et al. (2006). They suggest to firstly provide broadly def<strong>in</strong>ed zones at Tier 1<br />

level, with<strong>in</strong> which specific measures have to be planned at Tier 2 level. Also, the landslides<br />

scientific community already uses a Tiered approach, which paves the way for the other soil<br />

threats to use a comparable approach. However, <strong>in</strong> the landslide community a slightly different<br />

version <strong>of</strong> the Tiered approach is followed compared to the suggestion <strong>of</strong> Eckelmann et al.<br />

(2006). In the landslides scientific community Tier 1 is a generic landslide susceptibility map<br />

us<strong>in</strong>g a heuristic weight<strong>in</strong>g-rat<strong>in</strong>g model, Tier 2 is a landslide susceptibility map (by types)<br />

us<strong>in</strong>g a multivariate statistical model and Tier 3 is a landslide susceptibility/hazard map us<strong>in</strong>g a<br />

process-based model. Recently, an overview <strong>of</strong> soil threats <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g maps at<br />

67

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