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26 The Mani<strong>to</strong>ba Co-opera<strong>to</strong>r | November 29, 2012<br />

WORLD NEWS<br />

F A R M I N G N E W S F R O M A B R O A D<br />

Indonesian workers stitch sacks of flour at the Bogasari flour mill <strong>in</strong> Jakarta. The Indonesian government is consider<strong>in</strong>g<br />

a wheat flour import tariff <strong>to</strong> protect domestic mills. PHOTO: REUTERS/BEAWIHARTA BEAWIHARTA<br />

Indonesia passes<br />

new law aimed at<br />

food self-sufficiency<br />

Critics fear <strong>in</strong>vestment may be hit; consumers <strong>to</strong> pay higher prices<br />

By Michael Taylor<br />

JAKARTA / REUTERS / STAFF<br />

Indonesia has drafted a food<br />

law <strong>to</strong> speed self-sufficiency<br />

efforts by creat<strong>in</strong>g a new<br />

“super body” that could lead <strong>to</strong><br />

greater curbs on imports and<br />

exports of staples, h<strong>in</strong>der muchneeded<br />

overseas <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />

and eventually push up prices.<br />

As Indonesia struggles <strong>to</strong><br />

meet ris<strong>in</strong>g demand from an<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly affluent population<br />

of 240 million, it is now the<br />

world’s <strong>to</strong>p importer of sugar,<br />

Asia’s largest buyer of wheat,<br />

and imports about two million<br />

<strong>to</strong>nnes of rice and corn each<br />

year.<br />

A copy of the law seen by Reuters,<br />

which is due <strong>to</strong> be signed<br />

off by the president by the end<br />

of 2012, shows that it covers<br />

areas such as food safety and<br />

the s<strong>to</strong>cks, trade, purchase,<br />

prices, distribution and consumption<br />

of unspecified staples.<br />

“In the new law we stress food<br />

sovereignty and au<strong>to</strong>nomy,”<br />

said Achmad Suryana, head of<br />

the Food Security Agency at the<br />

country’s Agriculture M<strong>in</strong>istry,<br />

add<strong>in</strong>g that it gave priority <strong>to</strong><br />

secur<strong>in</strong>g adequate food supplies<br />

from domestic sources.<br />

“So, food import would<br />

be secondary or even the last<br />

resort,” he said.<br />

Consolidat<strong>in</strong>g many exist<strong>in</strong>g<br />

curbs on food items, such as<br />

import limits and tariffs <strong>to</strong> protect<br />

domestic <strong>farmers</strong>, the new<br />

law provides for the new body<br />

<strong>to</strong> be created with<strong>in</strong> three years.<br />

It will aim <strong>to</strong> help the government<br />

achieve self-sufficiency <strong>in</strong><br />

staple foods such as rice, soybeans,<br />

sugar, beef and corn.<br />

The new law <strong>put</strong>s domestic<br />

out<strong>put</strong> and demand and the<br />

control of imports and exports<br />

at the heart of its efforts, which<br />

will f<strong>in</strong>alize the expanded role of<br />

state procurement agency Bulog<br />

<strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> the “super body.”<br />

Global agribus<strong>in</strong>esses called<br />

for greater clarity on the details<br />

of the new food body, s<strong>in</strong>ce its<br />

objectives can be <strong>in</strong>terpreted <strong>in</strong><br />

different ways and are opaque.<br />

Greater restrictions feared<br />

Critics say the new law could<br />

lead <strong>to</strong> more limits and trad<strong>in</strong>g<br />

curbs on the free flow of farm<br />

commodities, h<strong>in</strong>der overseas<br />

firms look<strong>in</strong>g <strong>to</strong> <strong>in</strong>vest <strong>to</strong> supply<br />

grow<strong>in</strong>g demand <strong>in</strong> the archipelago<br />

and ultimately, hurt the<br />

poorest consumers.<br />

“It is a misguided pursuit of<br />

autarky <strong>in</strong> agriculture which<br />

misses vast opportunities for<br />

efficiency and competitiveness<br />

<strong>in</strong> the sec<strong>to</strong>r,” said <strong>in</strong>dependent<br />

analyst Kev<strong>in</strong> O’Rourke.<br />

“I’ve read that the idea is <strong>to</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>corporate two, three or maybe<br />

four bodies <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> this new super<br />

body,” he added. “Everyth<strong>in</strong>g<br />

depends on how the president<br />

<strong>in</strong>terprets the law and guides<br />

the new food agency.”<br />

The law could also h<strong>in</strong>der<br />

food-process<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustries,<br />

which have been promoted<br />

<strong>in</strong> Indonesia <strong>in</strong> recent years,<br />

he added, as they scramble<br />

for access <strong>to</strong> the cheapest raw<br />

materials.<br />

The new law also prohibits<br />

“hoard<strong>in</strong>g or s<strong>to</strong>r<strong>in</strong>g staple<br />

food,” a clause that may create<br />

greater risk and uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty for<br />

commodity traders who s<strong>to</strong>ckpile,<br />

traders and analysts said.<br />

Agriculture contributes<br />

around 15 per cent <strong>to</strong> the GDP<br />

of Indonesia, Southeast Asia’s<br />

largest economy, employ<strong>in</strong>g<br />

about 42 million people of a<br />

grow<strong>in</strong>g population of roughly<br />

240 million.<br />

As wealth levels rise and<br />

consumer tastes change and<br />

grow, Indonesia has attempted<br />

<strong>to</strong> vary its food basket beyond<br />

rice, while expand<strong>in</strong>g and<br />

boost<strong>in</strong>g yields <strong>in</strong> its homegrown<br />

commodities with limited<br />

success.<br />

The law is one of a series of<br />

policy announcements this<br />

year, such as that on m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g,<br />

which analysts say are l<strong>in</strong>ked <strong>to</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g economic nationalism<br />

ahead of Indonesia’s presidential<br />

elections <strong>in</strong> 2014.<br />

“The new food law provides<br />

vast scope for state <strong>in</strong>volvement<br />

throughout the agricultural sec<strong>to</strong>r,”<br />

said O’Rourke. “It aims <strong>to</strong><br />

ensure adequate supplies of<br />

affordable food, but by pursu<strong>in</strong>g<br />

this through autarky, it risks<br />

accomplish<strong>in</strong>g the opposite. You<br />

can have autarky or affordability,<br />

but you can’t have both.”<br />

Bulog <strong>to</strong> grow<br />

After the worst U.S. drought <strong>in</strong><br />

56 years drove global prices of<br />

soybean and corn <strong>to</strong> all-time<br />

highs this year, Indonesia said<br />

it would extend the role of Bulog<br />

beyond rice <strong>to</strong> build bigger<br />

s<strong>to</strong>ckpiles of beef, corn, sugar<br />

and soybean.<br />

Bulog’s current role is <strong>to</strong><br />

ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> rice supplies and<br />

s<strong>to</strong>cks of between 1.5 million<br />

and two million <strong>to</strong>nnes, but its<br />

wider remit could see it protect<br />

domestic <strong>farmers</strong> by sett<strong>in</strong>g<br />

m<strong>in</strong>imum prices, while consumers<br />

would benefit from a<br />

maximum price ceil<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

The government, which<br />

is consider<strong>in</strong>g a wheat flour<br />

import tariff <strong>to</strong> protect domestic<br />

mills, also had its food policies<br />

criticized last month <strong>in</strong> a report<br />

by the OECD group<strong>in</strong>g of the<br />

world’s <strong>to</strong>p economies.<br />

Just under 19 per cent of<br />

the $780 million <strong>in</strong> Canadian<br />

exports <strong>to</strong> Indonesia <strong>in</strong> 2011<br />

were cereals.<br />

By Gus Trompiz<br />

GENEVA / REUTERS<br />

Instant <strong>in</strong>fo.<br />

With the Mani<strong>to</strong>ba Co-opera<strong>to</strong>r mobile app<br />

you can stay up <strong>to</strong> date on all th<strong>in</strong>gs ag.<br />

Download the free app at agreader.ca/mbc<br />

You a<strong>in</strong>’t seen noth<strong>in</strong>g<br />

yet — analyst predicts<br />

$9 corn is on its way<br />

AgResource says s<strong>to</strong>cks are perilously tight<br />

and if more weather woes hit,<br />

“we don’t know how high is high”<br />

U.S. corn prices could<br />

rise <strong>to</strong> a record $9 a<br />

bushel <strong>in</strong> the next<br />

six months as global gra<strong>in</strong><br />

markets cont<strong>in</strong>ue <strong>to</strong> feel the<br />

effects of severe weather disruptions,<br />

says Chicago-based<br />

consultancy AgResource Co.<br />

The worst drought <strong>in</strong> half a<br />

century <strong>in</strong> the U.S., the world’s<br />

biggest corn grower and<br />

exporter, triggered a price rally<br />

that saw U.S. corn futures set<br />

a record at $8.49 a bushel <strong>in</strong><br />

August, before fall<strong>in</strong>g back <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong><br />

the $7 <strong>to</strong> $7.50 range.<br />

Tight global corn supply will<br />

be exacerbated by import needs<br />

<strong>in</strong> the European Union, which<br />

also suffered drought losses <strong>in</strong><br />

its 2012 harvest, and this will<br />

help drive U.S. futures <strong>to</strong> the $9<br />

landmark by May, said AgResource<br />

president Dan Basse.<br />

And further weather woes<br />

could propel gra<strong>in</strong> markets even<br />

higher, he said.<br />

“We’re liv<strong>in</strong>g on the edge <strong>in</strong><br />

terms of gra<strong>in</strong> supply,” he said.<br />

“We better have good weather<br />

next year. If we don’t have good<br />

weather, we don’t know how<br />

high is high.”<br />

The cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g effects of the<br />

U.S. drought are already hamper<strong>in</strong>g<br />

emerg<strong>in</strong>g wheat <strong>plan</strong>ts,<br />

which recently set a new low for<br />

wheat crop rat<strong>in</strong>gs for this time<br />

of year, while heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall is<br />

delay<strong>in</strong>g wheat sow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> major<br />

European producers France and<br />

the U.K.<br />

Limited options<br />

Corn import demand <strong>in</strong> the<br />

EU is expected <strong>to</strong> be between<br />

10 million and 12 million<br />

<strong>to</strong>nnes <strong>in</strong> 2012-13, Basse said.<br />

This would be as much<br />

as twice last season’s EU corn<br />

imports and the second-largest<br />

volume on record after the<br />

14 million <strong>to</strong>nnes imported <strong>in</strong><br />

2007-08, when weather-affected<br />

harvests across the world sent<br />

prices soar<strong>in</strong>g and sparked food<br />

riots <strong>in</strong> some poor countries.<br />

BRIEFS<br />

Move over Ted Turner<br />

However, <strong>in</strong> a world corn<br />

market show<strong>in</strong>g the lowest<br />

s<strong>to</strong>cks-<strong>to</strong>-use ratio <strong>in</strong> nearly 40<br />

years, the EU may struggle <strong>to</strong><br />

secure all the corn imports it<br />

needs from favoured suppliers<br />

Ukra<strong>in</strong>e and Brazil, Basse said.<br />

This could prompt the EU<br />

<strong>to</strong> import some American sorghum<br />

as an alternative lives<strong>to</strong>ck<br />

feed, he added.<br />

Weather damage this year<br />

has also tightened supply <strong>in</strong> the<br />

world wheat market, provid<strong>in</strong>g<br />

little relief <strong>to</strong> tensions <strong>in</strong> corn.<br />

“We th<strong>in</strong>k this is the year of<br />

corn, but wheat isn’t far beh<strong>in</strong>d,”<br />

Basse said.<br />

Recent weather problems <strong>in</strong><br />

Argent<strong>in</strong>a and Australia have<br />

underl<strong>in</strong>ed limited supply<br />

among major exporters after<br />

poor crops <strong>in</strong> Black Sea producers<br />

like Russia and Ukra<strong>in</strong>e.<br />

The market is fac<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

prospect that some 30 million<br />

<strong>to</strong>nnes of wheat shipped by<br />

Black Sea and Southern Hemisphere<br />

exporters <strong>in</strong> the second<br />

half of last season may not be<br />

available from these sources <strong>in</strong><br />

the latter half of 2012-13, Basse<br />

said.<br />

The U.S. will cover some of<br />

this shortfall as the only major<br />

exporter with relatively comfortable<br />

s<strong>to</strong>cks, but with the<br />

EU export<strong>in</strong>g at a fast pace <strong>in</strong><br />

relation <strong>to</strong> its low s<strong>to</strong>cks, the<br />

wheat market will have <strong>to</strong> ration<br />

demand, he said.<br />

AgResource expects U.S.<br />

export prices will rise <strong>to</strong> a peak<br />

between $400 and $430 a <strong>to</strong>nne<br />

— versus the current $345 — by<br />

March for free-on-board rates <strong>in</strong><br />

the U.S. Gulf <strong>to</strong> reflect demand<br />

for U.S. supply.<br />

Despite high prices and<br />

limited supply, global gra<strong>in</strong><br />

demand rema<strong>in</strong>ed strong,<br />

driven by Ch<strong>in</strong>ese-led growth<br />

<strong>in</strong> Asia.<br />

“What we have is a supplydriven<br />

bull market with demand<br />

ration<strong>in</strong>g occurr<strong>in</strong>g at the<br />

fr<strong>in</strong>ges,” Basse said. “We don’t<br />

see any evidence <strong>to</strong>day that<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a is slow<strong>in</strong>g down on its<br />

food consumption.”<br />

John Malone, founder and chairman of Liberty Media, is<br />

now the largest private landowner <strong>in</strong> the U.S., The Land<br />

Report magaz<strong>in</strong>e says.<br />

The magaz<strong>in</strong>e states Malone owns 2.2 million acres, which<br />

<strong>put</strong>s him just ahead of Ted Turner with two million acres.<br />

Malone moved <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> the No. 1 spot with his purchase of<br />

one million acres of New England timber.<br />

Prior <strong>to</strong> that purchase, he jumped <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> the land-buy<strong>in</strong>g<br />

headl<strong>in</strong>es with his purchase of the famous Bell Ranch, a<br />

290,100-acre operation <strong>in</strong> New Mexico dat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>to</strong> the 1824<br />

Mon<strong>to</strong>ya Land Grant.<br />

However, Turner is still No. 1 when it comes <strong>to</strong> the size of<br />

his bison herd, number<strong>in</strong>g 50,000.

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