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ccc & msc-w - EMEP

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Emission reductions estimated for the whole <strong>EMEP</strong> area satisfied in 1994 and 1996 the<br />

requirements from the First NO x Protocol, but according to the official reported values, 6<br />

countries had larger still NO x emissions in 1996 than in 1987.<br />

European emissions of ammonia appear to have dropped by approximately 15% between 1990<br />

and 1997. The almost constant emission trend before 1990 is primarily a result of the<br />

assumptions made to estimate the large amount of missing data for most countries.<br />

Emission trends have been derived at MSC-W from officially reported emissions and expert<br />

estimates. It is not possible at present to provide official emission trends because not all Parties<br />

to the Convention have reported national totals for all years since 1980. For SO2, only 43% of<br />

the countries have reported emission data for all years, and this percentage decreases to 41%<br />

for NO x and 16% for ammonia. National emission trend values are given in Tables 1.1 -1.3 at<br />

the end of this chapter and visualised in Figure 1.1. for trends since 1985. These are the values<br />

that have been used for the assessment summarised in the following.<br />

ktonnes/year<br />

3.0*10 4<br />

2.5*10 4<br />

2.0*10 4<br />

1.5*10 4<br />

1.0*10 4<br />

5.0*10 3<br />

<strong>EMEP</strong> area emissions<br />

0.0*10<br />

1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997<br />

0<br />

0.0*10 0<br />

All data available on the internet at http://www.emep.int<br />

emep/<strong>msc</strong>−w<br />

Figure 1.1. Estimated emission trends since 1985 for the whole <strong>EMEP</strong> area used in<br />

acidification model calculations (emission values by country are given in Tables 1.1-1.3;<br />

adapted from Mylona, 1999).<br />

Trends on emissions, depositions, transboundary depositions, and exceedances to critical loads<br />

have been estimated for each Party to the Convention on Long Range Transboundary Air<br />

Pollution. The analysis has been performed separately for sulphur and nitrogen compounds,<br />

using conditional critical loads calculated by the Coordination Centre for Effects (CCE). In<br />

addition, the ecosystem area in each country exposed to exceedances of 5th percentile critical<br />

load has been calculated as percentage of the total area of the country. This information is<br />

given in the Appendix, using three different figures for each country.<br />

14<br />

Emissions<br />

NH3 (as N)<br />

NO2 (as N)<br />

SO2 (as S)<br />

3.0*10 4<br />

2.5*10 4<br />

2.0*10 4<br />

1.5*10 4<br />

1.0*10 4<br />

5.0*10 3

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