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22 ENERGYBIZ MAGAZINE July/August 2005<br />
The nation’s reliance on foreign energy<br />
s<strong>our</strong>ces, predominantly oil, is a <strong>growing</strong> concern<br />
to many. So is global warming, believed to be<br />
caused by burning fossil fuels.<br />
At the same time, many energy leaders have<br />
been pointing out that the nation’s nuclear fleet<br />
of 103 un<strong>it</strong>s has been producing a reliable power<br />
supply w<strong>it</strong>h few problems for many years. On top<br />
of that, nuclear power plant designers say they have<br />
been putting the finishing touches on designs for<br />
plants that will be even more efficient <strong>and</strong> safe.<br />
As a result of these converging factors, Nils<br />
Diaz, the chairman of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory<br />
Commission (NRC), which oversees the operation of<br />
nuclear power plants, believes that as many as 100 new<br />
nuclear un<strong>it</strong>s will be needed in the next two decades.<br />
A massive investment will be needed if nuclear is going<br />
to continue to provide the one-fifth share of electric<strong>it</strong>y<br />
<strong>it</strong> represents today. That’s because a <strong>growing</strong> <strong>and</strong> evermore<br />
technologically sophisticated economy will soak<br />
up huge amounts of electric<strong>it</strong>y.<br />
Diaz, now 67, was named chairman of the<br />
NRC by President Bush two years ago. He recently<br />
talked to EnergyBiz about his vision for the future.<br />
His comments, ed<strong>it</strong>ed for style, follow.<br />
: You recently declared that 100 new nuclear<br />
plants may be needed in this country. Please elaborate.<br />
DIAZ: According to studies from the U.S. Energy<br />
Information Administration <strong>and</strong> Nuclear Energy<br />
Inst<strong>it</strong>ute, about 100 nuclear power plants would<br />
be needed if nuclear is to remain 20 percent of <strong>our</strong><br />
generation.<br />
: Is that predicated on the retirement of<br />
existing facil<strong>it</strong>ies <strong>and</strong> a 50 percent rise in dem<strong>and</strong>?<br />
DIAZ: No. This is predicated on the present rate<br />
of dem<strong>and</strong> increase <strong>and</strong> the add<strong>it</strong>ion of 100,000<br />
megawatts of base-load electric<strong>it</strong>y, not on the<br />
retirement of existing facil<strong>it</strong>ies.<br />
: If that scenario is correct, is y<strong>our</strong> agency<br />
prepared to step up licensing to allow that level of<br />
new activ<strong>it</strong>y?<br />
DIAZ: We are prepared to implement <strong>our</strong> PART 52<br />
advanced licensing process, which was made law in<br />
1992 by Congress. We have three legs of a stool that<br />
are combined to facil<strong>it</strong>ate the regulatory oversight<br />
over the licensing process. First, there are st<strong>and</strong>ardized<br />
designs. People can actually pre-certify a design<br />
<strong>and</strong> bank <strong>it</strong>. Second, there are early s<strong>it</strong>e perm<strong>it</strong>s. If<br />
a util<strong>it</strong>y says <strong>it</strong>’s considering a s<strong>it</strong>e for a power plant,<br />
then we conduct the s<strong>it</strong>e-specific analysis <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />
analysis. There is adjudication, a hearing<br />
on that process, because <strong>it</strong> is a major licensing decision.<br />
A util<strong>it</strong>y can then bank the s<strong>it</strong>e for construction<br />
of a nuclear power plant. The third <strong>and</strong> final part of<br />
the process is where the payoff for the util<strong>it</strong>ies lies.<br />
This is the so-called combined construction <strong>and</strong><br />
operating license, which is referred to as a COL,<br />
when the util<strong>it</strong>y applies for a perm<strong>it</strong> to construct <strong>and</strong><br />
operate a facil<strong>it</strong>y. It is one application for both construction<br />
<strong>and</strong> operation. Util<strong>it</strong>ies will actually use a<br />
design <strong>and</strong> a s<strong>it</strong>e that have been approved.<br />
: What’s the intent here?<br />
DIAZ: In the 1970s <strong>and</strong> 1980s, too many plants<br />
were custom designed. Too many plants went to s<strong>it</strong>es<br />
that were green s<strong>it</strong>es, <strong>and</strong> there was significant environmental<br />
oppos<strong>it</strong>ion. Too many issues got delayed;<br />
too many hearings were very burdensome. Congress<br />
passed a law that said, NRC, thou shalt make this<br />
process fair <strong>and</strong> equ<strong>it</strong>able yet easier to follow so<br />
everybody knows their rights <strong>and</strong> responsibil<strong>it</strong>ies.<br />
: Do you in fact have st<strong>and</strong>ardized designs<br />
that have been approved?<br />
DIAZ: We have three st<strong>and</strong>ardized designs that<br />
have been approved: two in the late 1990s <strong>and</strong> one<br />
in early 2001. We are about ready to do the last<br />
one, called the AP1000 Westinghouse. The design<br />
approval has been done, <strong>and</strong> the rule-<strong>making</strong> is<br />
out. If everything goes according to plan, that will<br />
also be on the shelf by this December.<br />
: Who are the major firms working on<br />
these designs?<br />
DIAZ: Right now, we have Westinghouse <strong>and</strong> General<br />
Electric. However, we anticipate that Framatome<br />
Areva of France will be applying very shortly.<br />
: You have had a number of util<strong>it</strong>ies applying<br />
for s<strong>it</strong>e perm<strong>it</strong>s.<br />
DIAZ: We had three early s<strong>it</strong>e perm<strong>it</strong>s that have<br />
been applied for — all of which are now in the stages<br />
of adjudication. Barring any substantial issues that<br />
we do not know about – all three should be in c<strong>our</strong>t<br />
<strong>and</strong> be resolved between June <strong>and</strong> December 2006.<br />
: Who are the util<strong>it</strong>ies?<br />
DIAZ: Entergy, Exelon, <strong>and</strong> Dominion.<br />
: Do you have any indication that other<br />
util<strong>it</strong>ies are wa<strong>it</strong>ing to apply?