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Molecular characterization of endemic salmonella infections ... - Evira

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2.4 Risk assessment and risk management <strong>of</strong> <strong>salmonella</strong> <strong>infections</strong> in cattle<br />

Scientific risk assessments are important tools for estimating the magnitude <strong>of</strong> different risks and<br />

the effects <strong>of</strong> different interventions to control these risks (Maijala and Ranta 2003). The nature <strong>of</strong><br />

the risk, the possible consequences, and their probability are evaluated in the risk assessment<br />

process (National Veterinary and Food Research Institute 2005). It is based on four stages: hazard<br />

identification, hazard <strong>characterization</strong>, exposure assessment, and risk <strong>characterization</strong> (Ranta et al<br />

2004). The risk assessment begins with hazard identification, where the hazard (for example,<br />

<strong>salmonella</strong>) is identified on a general level. The hazard identification can address questions such<br />

as what kind <strong>of</strong> disease the Salmonella bacteria might cause, how the disease might spread, and<br />

what is the incidence and prevalence <strong>of</strong> <strong>salmonella</strong>. The hazard <strong>characterization</strong> includes a more<br />

detailed description <strong>of</strong> the hazard: the microbe itself, the symptoms it may cause, and how it<br />

affects its hosts. Exposure assessment is calculated based on basic information on the exposure<br />

to Salmonella. To be able to assess the risk <strong>of</strong> exposure, transmission models have to be made<br />

(Maijala and Ranta 2003; Ranta et al 2004). Different exposure models, such as the Bayesian<br />

Hierarchial Modeling (Ranta et al 2005), are used to assess the exposure or estimate the true<br />

<strong>salmonella</strong> prevalence. A general estimate <strong>of</strong> the risk <strong>of</strong> infection is produced by combining<br />

information derived from the exposure assessment with information about the dose-response. Risk<br />

<strong>characterization</strong> can be done once the risk <strong>of</strong> <strong>infections</strong> caused by Salmonella has been quantified<br />

using the exposure models (Maijala and Ranta 2003; Ranta et al 2004).<br />

When risk management actions are evaluated, the true prevalence or incidence should be the<br />

basis for evaluation. The Finnish Salmonella Control Programme (FSCP) was introduced in 1995,<br />

when Finland joined the EU. The aim <strong>of</strong> the programme was to keep the domestic <strong>salmonella</strong><br />

prevalence below 1 per cent along the food chain in broiler, turkey, beef, pork, and egg production.<br />

The FSCP for cattle is more like a monitoring system than a control programme. The regulations<br />

concerning cattle and beef production begin with feed control. All imported, marketed, and<br />

manufactured feed materials and compounded feeds are tested for Salmonella, and no batches<br />

with Salmonella detection are approved. The bulls for artificial insemination and their herds <strong>of</strong><br />

origin are required to test negative for Salmonella. Likewise all suspected cattle (with clinical<br />

symptoms or epidemiological evidence) are examined bacteriologically. The intention <strong>of</strong> this<br />

sampling and testing <strong>of</strong> cattle is to limit the spread <strong>of</strong> Salmonella between farms and animals<br />

(Tuominen et al 2007). If Salmonella is detected in cattle, the herd <strong>of</strong> origin is put under <strong>of</strong>ficial<br />

restrictions, including isolation <strong>of</strong> Salmonella-positive animals and the prohibition <strong>of</strong> animal<br />

movements. Faecal samples from all the animals are examined at one month intervals. The<br />

restrictions are lifted when two successive samplings are negative for Salmonella.<br />

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