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2005 - OPEC

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Figure 2: <strong>OPEC</strong> 1 and non-<strong>OPEC</strong> 2 supply 1990–<strong>2005</strong><br />

Notes:<br />

1. Including <strong>OPEC</strong> NGLs.<br />

2. Including non-<strong>OPEC</strong> processing gains.<br />

World oil demand<br />

World oil demand grew by 990,000 b/d, or 1.2 per cent, to 83.27 mb/d in <strong>2005</strong>. On a<br />

quarterly basis, world oil demand rose by almost 2.02 mb/d, slightly below 2.5 per cent in<br />

the first quarter. In the second quarter this slowed to 1.21 mb/d, or approximately 1.5 per<br />

cent, in the third quarter growth fell further and in the fourth quarter there was a decline of<br />

70,000 b/d or 0.07 per cent. In fact, world oil demand proved to be much slower than predic-<br />

tions made earlier in the year, when a preliminary <strong>2005</strong> forecast highlighted much optimism<br />

for growth, partly influenced by the striking oil demand growth witnessed in 2004. This early<br />

forecast anticipated growth of 1.67 mb/d.<br />

The estimate was drawn on the basis of world economic growth of 4.3 per cent, a return to<br />

normal weather conditions, and robust, yet more moderate consumption growth in China and<br />

the United States (US).<br />

21

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