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Annual Report 2012 - City University of Hong Kong

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Figure 30. The number <strong>of</strong> exceedance <strong>of</strong> O 3 in Yuen<br />

Long beyond 110 g/m 3<br />

Reference:<br />

Tu, J. Y., C. Chou, and P. S. Chu, 2009: The abrupt<br />

shift <strong>of</strong> typhoon activity in the vicinity <strong>of</strong> Taiwan and<br />

its association with western North Pacific–East Asian<br />

climate change. J. Climate, 22, 3617–3628.<br />

Lee, Y. C., G. Calori, P. Hills, and G. R. Carmichael, 2002: Ozone episodes in urban <strong>Hong</strong> <strong>Kong</strong> 1994-1999. Atmos.<br />

Environ., 36, 1957-1968.<br />

Lee, Y. C., A. Savtchenko, 2006: Relationship between Air Pollution in <strong>Hong</strong> <strong>Kong</strong> and in the Pearl River Delta Region<br />

<strong>of</strong> South China in 2003 and 2004: An Analysis. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 45, 269–282.<br />

Yang, J. X., A.K.H. Lau, J.C.H. fung, W. Zhou, M. Wenig, <strong>2012</strong>. An air pollution episode and its formation mechanism<br />

during the tropical cyclone Nuri’s landfall in a coastal city <strong>of</strong> south China. Atmos. Environ., 54, 746-753.<br />

D7. Regional climate change on future air quality in East Asia<br />

(PI: Nicky YF LAM; CO-I: Francis TAM; CO-I: Wen ZHOU)<br />

In this on-going work, the regional climate change and air quality<br />

are simulated for investigating the future climate change under the<br />

IPCC AR5 scenario (i.e., RCP8.5) using high-resolution numerical<br />

models. We have carried out dynamical downscaling on Earth<br />

System Model (CESM), for regional Weather Research Forecasting<br />

(WRF) and Community Multi-scale Air Quality (CMAQ) models. An<br />

example <strong>of</strong> simulated air quality (i.e., ozone) in the present climate<br />

simulation is shown in Figure 31, where high average ozone<br />

concentration is observed in the South China. Both climatological<br />

and air pollution are simulated through a two-way coupling under the WRF-CMAQ framework. The resolutions <strong>of</strong><br />

the simulation reach 27 km for the entire area <strong>of</strong> Asia, and 9 km for Southern China, as shown in Figure 32. We will<br />

examine the effects <strong>of</strong> aerosol feedback on future climate and how it affects the East Asian monsoon and heat wave.<br />

Moreover, it will also look into the effect <strong>of</strong> future climate on future air quality in East Asia.).<br />

Figure 31. Output (i.e., average ozone in October) from<br />

CMAQ air quality simulation in present climate in ppbv<br />

The implementation <strong>of</strong> WRF-CMAQ<br />

coupled with CESM downscaling<br />

has been completed. We will use<br />

this system to examine the effects<br />

<strong>of</strong> aerosol feedback on future<br />

climate (i.e., IPCC AR5 scenarios) in<br />

East Asia.<br />

Figure 32. The study domain<br />

33

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