Whitehorse Climate Change Adaptation Plan - Yukon College

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Whitehorse Climate Change Adaptation Plan APPENDIX A - SUMMARY OF FUTURE HISTORIES OF WHITEHORSE: SCENARIOS OF CHANGE Scenario 4 City of Crossroads Lots of growth, lots of climate change Scenario 3 City of Mettle Some growth, lots of climate change Scenario 2 City of People Lots of growth, some climate change Scenario 1 City of Wilderness Some growth, some climate change + 12,000 people by 2030, + 25,000 people by 2050 growth mostly downtown higher turnover of population by 2050 + 6,000 people by 2030, + 12,000 people by 2050 forced densication across the city, especially in the downtown core + 12,000 people by 2030, + 25,000 people by 2050 growth in all areas of the city (mixed density) Whitehorse + 6,000 people by 2030, + 12,000 people by 2050 mega-projects sparked growth in the private sector increased taxation median income decline issues outstrip any possible benets from an improved economy of scale median income declines private sector growth has remained sporadic and opportunistic cost of living increases private sector growth characterized by green industry ratio of government to population normalizes increased % of population employed by resource, service, commercial & industrial sectors cost of living rises modestly Whitehorse becomes even more of a hub for communities Economy public sector continues to dominate overall economic uncertainty has increased increased taxation + 2ºC by 2030 and + 4ºC by 2050 winters will see more change with warming and an increase in snow (10 cm) + 2ºC by 2030 and + 4ºC by 2050 winters will see more change with warming and an increase in snow (10 cm) + 1ºC by 2030 and + 2ºC by 2050 winters will see more change with warming and an increase in snow (several cm) + 1ºC by 2030 and + 2ºC by 2050 winters will see more change with warming and variable snow Climate 39
40 Community Adaptation Project APPENDIX A - SUMMARY OF FUTURE HISTORIES OF WHITEHORSE: SCENARIOS OF CHANGE, continued. Scenario 4 City of Crossroads Lots of growth, lots of climate change Scenario 3 City of Mettle Some growth, lots of climate change Scenario 2 City of People Lots of growth, some climate change Scenario 1 City of Wilderness Some growth, some climate change more wind initially more extreme weather, lightning and drought more frequent freezethaw events more frequent ice-jams decreased water quality; stressed riparian systems stressed species more wind initially more extreme weather, lightening and drought more frequent freezethaw events more frequent ice-jams run-o and increased erosion stressed species and spread of invasive species biodiversity change due to development water quality issues due to nitrication increased precipitation and wetter conditions severe re risk due to sprawl increased risk of landslides Environment biodiversity pressure from development wetlands and waterways fragmented increased precipitation and wetter conditions moderate increase in forest re risk moderate increase in ood risk increased strain on infrastructure by climate change and population increased inuence of ‘multipliers’ opportunistic renewal/ replacement of infrastructure compact development strategy infrastructure ages normally emphasis on green infrastructure development increased emphasis on active transportation 2nd Yukon bridge built increase in development increased strain on infrastructure by population highway washouts more common Infrastructure public sector remains large infrastructure strain proceeds as expected institutional capacity is sucient to compensate for changes rising oil and gas costs and continued dependency on fossil fuels sustainable development strategies abandoned increased demand side management of energy high sustainable development rising oil and gas costs and continued dependency on fossil fuels focus on biofuels to compensate for rising fuel costs Energy increase in energy-ecient housing moderate sustainable development local agriculture develops in an ad-hoc fashion with mixed success global food shortages aect local food security access to country foods limited drought limits local food production establishment of non-soil based food production program reliability of outside food sources declines agriculture supported by local institutions population increase creates stable market Food Security slight increase in growing season limited agriculture due to land use conicts
Page 1 and 2: COMMUNITY ADAPTATION PROJECT WHITEH
Page 3 and 4: Printed in Whitehorse, Yukon, 2011
Page 5 and 6: Acknowledgements The project team w
Page 8 and 9: TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Page 10 and 11: over the next 40 years. Mean annual
Page 12 and 13: LIST OF ACRONYMS CASM Council and S
Page 14 and 15: throughout the planning process and
Page 16 and 17: hazards, food security, health, and
Page 18 and 19: The broader community was engaged t
Page 20 and 21: Whitehorse Climate Change Adaptatio
Page 24 and 25: Whitehorse is located in the zone o
Page 26 and 27: difficult to discern. Furthermore,
Page 28 and 29: Frost-free period Whitehorse Climat
Page 32 and 33: Table 7. Identified opportunities b
Page 34 and 35: Table 8. Identified high-priority a
Page 36 and 37: must be balanced against the potent
Page 38 and 39: Immediate steps for future planning
Page 40 and 41: WHITECAP PROJECTS As noted in the I
Page 42 and 43: REFERENCES Whitehorse Climate Chang
Page 50 and 51: INTRODUCTION The term climate chang
Page 54 and 55: to shifting seasonal conditions bec
Page 56 and 57: disappear through sublimation and n
Page 58 and 59: Historically, Whitehorse has respon
Page 60 and 61: dust and debris several thousand fe
Page 62 and 63: Snow: Adaptive Capacity and Climate
Page 64 and 65: REFERENCES Whitehorse Climate Chang
Page 72 and 73: APPENDIX E - COMMUNITY OF WHITEHORS
Page 74 and 75: Environment Whitehorse Climate Chan
Page 76 and 77: Community Consequences of Decreased
Page 78 and 79: APPENDIX F - COMMUNITY OF WHITEHORS
Page 80 and 81: INFRASTRUCTURE Whitehorse Climate C
Page 82 and 83: Suggested Adaptations for Environme
Page 84 and 85: Suggested Adaptations for Energy Se

Whitehorse Climate Change Adaptation Plan - Yukon College

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