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A<strong>Proposal</strong><strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong><strong>Resolution</strong><strong>of</strong><strong>Systemically</strong><strong>Important</strong><strong>Assets</strong><strong>and</strong><br />

Liabilities:TheCase<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>RepoMarket 1 <br />

By<br />

ViralV.Acharya<br />

NewYorkUniversitySternSchool<strong>of</strong>Business,NBER<strong>and</strong>CEPR<br />

<br />

<strong>and</strong><br />

T.SabriÖncü<br />

Centre<strong>for</strong>AdvancedFinancialResearch<strong>and</strong>Learning,ReserveBank<strong>of</strong>India<br />

<strong>and</strong><br />

NewYorkUniversitySternSchool<strong>of</strong>Business<br />

<br />

Abstract<br />

One <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>severalregulatoryfailuresbehind<strong>the</strong>globalfinancialcrisisthatstartedin<br />

2007 has been <strong>the</strong> regulatory focus on individual, ra<strong>the</strong>r than systemic, risk <strong>of</strong> financial<br />

institutions. Focusing on systemically important assets <strong>and</strong> liabilities (SIALs) ra<strong>the</strong>r than<br />

individualfinancialinstitutions,weproposeaset<strong>of</strong>resolutionmechanisms,whichisnotonly<br />

capable <strong>of</strong> inducing market discipline <strong>and</strong> mitigating moral hazard, but also capable <strong>of</strong><br />

addressing<strong>the</strong>associatedsystemicrisk,<strong>for</strong>instance,dueto<strong>the</strong>risk<strong>of</strong>firesales<strong>of</strong>collateral<br />

assets. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, because <strong>of</strong> our focus on SIALs, our proposed resolution mechanisms<br />

wouldbeeasiertoimplementat<strong>the</strong>globallevelcomparedtomechanismsthatoperateat<strong>the</strong><br />

level<strong>of</strong>individualinstitutional<strong>for</strong>ms.We,<strong>the</strong>n,outlinehowourapproachcanbespecializedto<br />

<strong>the</strong>repomarket<strong>and</strong>proposeareporesolutionauthority<strong>for</strong>re<strong>for</strong>mingthismarket.<br />

J.E.L.:G01,G18,G21,G28<br />

Keywords:systemicrisk,macroprudentialregulation,repurchaseagreement,firesales,<br />

resolutionauthority,DoddFrankAct <br />

<br />

1 Thisarticlehasbeenprepared<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>FederalReserveBoard’sresearchconferenceon“CentralBanking:Be<strong>for</strong>e,<br />

During<strong>and</strong>After<strong>the</strong>Crisis”,onMarch2324,2012,inhonor<strong>of</strong>DonKohn.AuthorsaredeeplyindebtedtoBarry<br />

Adler, Nouriel Roubini <strong>and</strong> Matt Richardson, <strong>for</strong> collaborations <strong>and</strong> discussions on earlier work on <strong>the</strong> issue <strong>of</strong><br />

resolutionmechanisms<strong>for</strong>systemicallyimportantfinancialfirms.Authorsarealsograteful<strong>for</strong>discussionson<strong>the</strong><br />

issues<strong>of</strong>safeharbor<strong>for</strong>repocontracts<strong>and</strong>repomarketrelatedsystemicriskswithRoccoHuang,AntoineMartin,<br />

Enrico Perotti <strong>and</strong> Mark Roe, <strong>and</strong> comments from discussants (Andrew Crockett <strong>and</strong> Ricardo Caballero) <strong>and</strong><br />

participantsat<strong>the</strong>FederalReserveBoardConference.Last,butnotleast,wewouldliketothankGeorgeKaufman<br />

<strong>for</strong>bringing<strong>the</strong>Glassproposaltoourattention.


I.Introduction<br />

Systemicriskcanbedefinedbroadlyas<strong>the</strong>expectedlossesfrom<strong>the</strong>riskthat<strong>the</strong>failure<br />

<strong>of</strong> a significant part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> financial sector leads to a reduction in credit availability with <strong>the</strong><br />

potential<strong>for</strong>adverselyaffecting<strong>the</strong>realeconomy. 2 Thereareatleasttwocontestingviewson<br />

<strong>the</strong>causes<strong>of</strong>systemicrisk.In<strong>the</strong>socalledmicroprudentialview,<strong>the</strong>systemicriskarisesfrom<br />

contagion<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>failure<strong>of</strong>afinancialinstitutionto<strong>the</strong>rest<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>financialsector.Asshort<br />

termcreditors<strong>of</strong>aninstitutiondem<strong>and</strong>immediacyagainstitslongtermassets(“run”),short<br />

termcreditors<strong>of</strong>interconnectedorsimilarinstitutionsmaydem<strong>and</strong>suchimmediacytoo.In<br />

contrast, in <strong>the</strong> socalled macroprudential view, <strong>the</strong> systemic risk arises from <strong>the</strong> collective<br />

failure <strong>of</strong> many financial institutions because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir common risk factor exposures. In this<br />

view,whenshorttermcreditors<strong>of</strong>aninstitutiondem<strong>and</strong>immediacyagainstlongtermassets,<br />

<strong>the</strong>reisadisruptiverunonlyifo<strong>the</strong>rinstitutionsareunabletoacquire<strong>the</strong>longtermassetsat<br />

fairvalues;inparticular,ifinstitutionshavecorrelatedexposures,<strong>the</strong>no<strong>the</strong>rinstitutionsare<br />

potentially facing runs too <strong>and</strong> assets must be sold at firesale prices, resulting in disorderly<br />

liquidations,potentialallocationinefficiencies<strong>and</strong>ageneralincreasein<strong>the</strong>rate<strong>of</strong>returnon<br />

savings(whichcaninducehoardingbehavior<strong>and</strong>cutbackonrealsectorlending).<br />

<br />

Although<strong>the</strong>setwoviewsarenotmutuallyexclusive,much<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>regulatoryre<strong>for</strong>ms<br />

takeoneviewor<strong>the</strong>o<strong>the</strong>r.In<strong>the</strong>microprudentialregulations,<strong>the</strong>focusison<strong>the</strong>systemically<br />

importantfinancialinstitutions(SIFIs)whereasin<strong>the</strong>macroprudentialregulations,<strong>the</strong>focusis<br />

(also) on <strong>the</strong> risk <strong>of</strong> a crisis in <strong>the</strong> financial sector <strong>and</strong> its spillover to <strong>the</strong> economy at large.<br />

Taking<strong>the</strong>microprudentialview,both<strong>the</strong>DoddFrankWallStreetRegulation<strong>and</strong>Consumer<br />

Protection Act (DFA) signed into law by President Obama in July 2010 in <strong>the</strong> U.S. <strong>and</strong>,<br />

internationally,BaselIIIfocusonsinglefinancialinstitutions.<br />

<br />

SIFIs consist <strong>of</strong> financial intermediaries that are not only commercial banks taking<br />

deposits <strong>and</strong> making loans, but also include investment banks, money market funds, mutual<br />

funds,insurancefirms<strong>and</strong>potentiallyevenhedgefunds,whosefailureposesasystemicriskto<br />

<strong>the</strong> financial system. This systemic risk can come through multiple <strong>for</strong>ms which include<br />

counterparty risk on o<strong>the</strong>r financial institutions, asset liquidations that can produce a<br />

depressing effect on asset prices, liquidity hoarding that raises funding costs in interbank<br />

markets even <strong>for</strong> safe firms, <strong>and</strong> an in<strong>for</strong>mation contagion effect resulting in a significant<br />

reductioninoverallmarketliquidity.There<strong>for</strong>e,anymechanismsetupby<strong>the</strong>regulatorstodeal<br />

with <strong>the</strong> insolvency <strong>of</strong> SIFIs must follow at least four basic principles (Acharya, Adler,<br />

Richardson<strong>and</strong>Roubini,2010):<br />

<br />

1) Thecounterpartyrisk<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>SIFIsmustbecontainedthroughregulationsincluding<br />

<strong>the</strong> imposition <strong>of</strong> capital requirements, margin rules, <strong>and</strong> limitation on risky<br />

investmentsexante.<br />

<br />

<br />

2 ThisdefinitionisbasedonAcharya,Pedersen,Philippon<strong>and</strong>Richardson(2010).See,<strong>for</strong>example,Kaufman<strong>and</strong><br />

Scott(2003)<strong>for</strong>o<strong>the</strong>rdefinitions.<br />

<br />

2


2) There needs to be a procedure <strong>for</strong> dealing with large amounts <strong>of</strong> illiquid assets<br />

whose<strong>for</strong>cedsalescanhaveacatastrophiceffecton<strong>the</strong>financialsystem.<br />

<br />

3) Theresolutionmechanismshouldbeabletoidentifyinsolventinstitutionspromptly<br />

as <strong>the</strong>y can become pockets where financial resources <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy can get<br />

trapped,potentiallycreatingfundingproblemseven<strong>for</strong>o<strong>the</strong>rwisesolventfirms.<br />

<br />

4) Theremustbewelldefinedrules<strong>for</strong>whathappensto<strong>the</strong>liabilities<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>financial<br />

institutionwhenitfails,<strong>for</strong>o<strong>the</strong>rwisearunonmost<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>institution’sliabilitieswill<br />

occur,potentiallyleadingtoasystemwiderun.<br />

<br />

Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore,sincemanySIFIsoperateacrossborders(globalSIFIs–GSIFIs)<strong>and</strong>,aswehave<br />

witnessed in <strong>the</strong> recent financial crisis, <strong>the</strong>ir failure can threaten <strong>the</strong> integrity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> entire<br />

globalfinancialsystem,to<strong>the</strong>abovefourprincipleswemustadd:<br />

<br />

5) The national resolution mechanisms should be amenable to easy international<br />

coordination<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>effectiveresolution<strong>of</strong>GSIFIs.<br />

<br />

When <strong>the</strong> collapse or near collapse <strong>of</strong> such financial institutions as Bear Stearns,<br />

LehmanBro<strong>the</strong>rs,AIG<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>likeafter<strong>the</strong>onset<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>globalfinancialcrisisin2007made<strong>the</strong><br />

inability<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>existingresolutionmechanismstodealwith<strong>the</strong>failure<strong>of</strong>SIFIsclear,<strong>the</strong>U.S.<br />

was<strong>the</strong>firstmoverwith<strong>the</strong>DoddFrankAct.Toaddress<strong>the</strong>concernsabout<strong>the</strong>inability<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong><br />

existing resolution mechanisms to h<strong>and</strong>le <strong>the</strong> failure <strong>of</strong> SIFIs, Title II <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> DFA created <strong>the</strong><br />

OrderlyLiquidationAuthority(OLA)asanewmechanism.However,asitisstatedfairlyclearly<br />

inTitleII<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>DFA,<strong>the</strong>OLAisnotaresolutionbutliquidationmechanism. 3 <br />

<br />

Putting aside <strong>the</strong> question <strong>of</strong> whe<strong>the</strong>r such liquidation – ra<strong>the</strong>r than a resolution –<br />

authority focusing on individual financial institutions is sufficient to achieve <strong>the</strong> DFAstated<br />

goals<strong>of</strong>inducingmarketdiscipline<strong>and</strong>mitigatingmoralhazard,<strong>the</strong>question<strong>of</strong>whe<strong>the</strong>r<strong>the</strong><br />

OLAcanaddress<strong>the</strong>systemicriskassociatedwithsuchsystemicallyimportantmarketsas<strong>the</strong><br />

sale<strong>and</strong>repurchaseagreement(“repo”)marketorsuchsystemicallyimportantsectors<strong>of</strong>small<br />

institutionsas<strong>the</strong>moneymarketmutualfundsremainsdebatable. 4 Althoughwediscussour<br />

concerns regarding <strong>the</strong> OLA in <strong>the</strong> next section in detail, let us give a simple example from<br />

September,2008,toillustratehow<strong>the</strong>OLAmayfailincontaining<strong>the</strong>systemicrisk:<br />

<br />

After <strong>the</strong> Lehman Bro<strong>the</strong>rs’ bankruptcy filed on September 15, 2008, its outst<strong>and</strong>ing<br />

debt collapsed in price almost immediately. Since one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> largest money market mutual<br />

funds(MMMFs),<strong>the</strong>ReservePrimaryFund,washighlyexposedtoLehmanBro<strong>the</strong>rs'collapsing<br />

shortterm debt, <strong>the</strong> next day its net asset value (NAV) fell below par. Since MMMFs <strong>of</strong>fer<br />

stableNAV<strong>and</strong>investorscanredeemanytimeatpar,animmediaterunon<strong>the</strong>ReservePrimary<br />

<br />

3<br />

HR4173,TitleII,“OrderlyLiquidationAuthority,”Sec.204,“OrderlyLiquidation<strong>of</strong>CoveredFinancialCompanies.”<br />

4<br />

See,Acharya,Adler,Richardson,<strong>and</strong>Roubini(2010)<strong>and</strong>Acharya,Cooley,Richardson,<strong>and</strong>Walter(2011)<strong>for</strong><br />

detaileddiscussions.<br />

3


Fund occurred, causing it to shut down. This failure opened up <strong>the</strong> possibility that o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

MMMFsweresimilarlyexposed<strong>and</strong>arunon<strong>the</strong>MMMFsstarted.SinceMMMFsareaprimary<br />

source<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>commercialpapermarket,thisrunopenedup<strong>the</strong>possibility<strong>of</strong>capitalshortfalls<br />

at many financial institutions that needed to roll over commercial paper. Only after <strong>the</strong><br />

governmentguaranteed<strong>the</strong>MMMFdeposits100%<strong>the</strong>runcametoahalt<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>slidewas<br />

stopped.<br />

<br />

Under<strong>the</strong>OLA,ifinvokedasdescribedinTitleII<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>DFA,<strong>the</strong>ReservePrimaryFund<br />

would have been placed into a receivership administered by <strong>the</strong> Federal Deposit Insurance<br />

Corporation(FDIC)tobeliquidated(assumingthat<strong>the</strong>ReservePrimaryFund–or<strong>the</strong>money<br />

marketfundssectorasawhole–weredeemedsystemicallyimportantby<strong>the</strong>FinancialStability<br />

Oversight Council, set up under <strong>the</strong> DFA). Although <strong>the</strong> FDIC could have borrowed from <strong>the</strong><br />

Treasuryt<strong>of</strong>inance<strong>the</strong>liquidation,if<strong>the</strong>proceedsfromliquidationwereinsufficienttorepay<br />

<strong>the</strong>Treasury,<strong>the</strong>FDICwouldhavehadtoclawbackfromcreditorsanyamountsreceivedin<br />

excess<strong>of</strong>what<strong>the</strong>ywouldhavereceivedinanordinaryliquidation. 5 Giventhat<strong>the</strong>investors<strong>of</strong><br />

MMMFswere<strong>of</strong>feredstableNAV<strong>and</strong>promisedthat<strong>the</strong>ycouldredeemanytimeatpar,itis<br />

evidentthataliquidationauthoritysuchas<strong>the</strong>OLA–whichwithitsfocusoneliminating<strong>the</strong><br />

moralhazardassociatedwith<strong>the</strong>“toobigt<strong>of</strong>ail”statusrecoversfromcreditorsanyamounts<br />

receivedinexcess<strong>of</strong>what<strong>the</strong>ywouldhavereceivedinanordinaryliquidation–nei<strong>the</strong>rcould<br />

havenorwillhavestopped<strong>the</strong>slideinsuchanepisode. 6 Anorderlyliquidation<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>assets<strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>ReservePrimaryFundwasnotevenanissue<strong>the</strong>n.Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore,nei<strong>the</strong>rwas<strong>the</strong>Reserve<br />

PrimaryFund“toobigt<strong>of</strong>ail”despiteits$64.8billionworth<strong>of</strong>assetspriortoitsshutdown,<br />

norwasitevenanSIFIonitsownright.WhatwassystemicallyimportantinSeptember,2008,<br />

was<strong>the</strong>$3.5trillionfinancialsector<strong>of</strong>MMMFs.Theinterventionhadtobedoneat<strong>the</strong>sector<br />

leveltoavoidapossiblecollapse<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>entirefinancialsystem.<br />

<br />

Ano<strong>the</strong>r problem associated with <strong>the</strong> OLA is that it does not apply to <strong>the</strong> <strong>for</strong>eign<br />

subsidiaries<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>GSIFIs.Forexample,whenLehmanBro<strong>the</strong>rsfiled<strong>for</strong>Chapter11protection<br />

inSeptember,2008,thisactiontriggeredwellover60insolvencyproceedingsworldwidesome<br />

<strong>of</strong>whichwereparticularlyharmfultoglobalfinancialstability(Acharya,Adler<strong>and</strong>Richardson,<br />

2011).Evenif<strong>the</strong>OLAexistedat<strong>the</strong>time<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>LehmanBro<strong>the</strong>rs’insolvency,<strong>the</strong>assets<strong>and</strong><br />

liabilities<strong>of</strong>itsU.K.primebrokeragewouldhavebeenresolvedunder<strong>the</strong>U.K.law.Althoughin<br />

response to <strong>the</strong> G20 call <strong>for</strong> action, <strong>the</strong> Financial StabilityBoard (FSB) issued recently a new<br />

internationalst<strong>and</strong>ard<strong>for</strong>resolutionmechanisms“sothatanyfinancialinstitution,whateverits<br />

size <strong>and</strong> complexity, can be resolved without disruption to <strong>the</strong> financial system <strong>and</strong> without<br />

taxpayersolvencysupport” 7 ,itisstillunclearhowthisnewst<strong>and</strong>ardwillbeimplementedin<strong>the</strong><br />

U.S.<strong>and</strong>canbereconciledwith<strong>the</strong>OLA.<br />

<br />

<br />

5 If<strong>the</strong>reisanyremainingshortfall,<strong>the</strong>FDICcanlevyanassessmentonallfinancialcompaniesdeemedanSIFIby<br />

<strong>the</strong>involvedregulators.<br />

6 Had<strong>the</strong>MMMFs<strong>of</strong>feredfloatingra<strong>the</strong>rthanstableNAV,<strong>the</strong>remightnothavebeenarunon<strong>the</strong>Reserve<br />

PrimaryFund,entailing<strong>the</strong>systemwiderunonallMMMFs,<strong>of</strong>course.However,insuchascenario,allMMMFs<br />

wouldbedisintermediatedby<strong>the</strong>bankmoneymarketaccountsrapidly.<br />

7 www.financialstabilityboard.org/press/pr_111104dd.pdf<br />

<br />

4


Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, even <strong>the</strong> FSB issued new international st<strong>and</strong>ard described in its<br />

November, 2011, “Key Attributes” document 8 focuses on individual financial institutions that<br />

aretobedeemedgloballysystemicallyimportant,thatis,GSIFI.Toseewhythismightbea<br />

problem,take,<strong>for</strong>example,<strong>the</strong>rehypo<strong>the</strong>cation<strong>of</strong>hedgefunds’assetsheldatLehman’sU.K.<br />

prime brokerage unit during Lehman’s bankruptcy. Under <strong>the</strong> U.K. law (which was changed<br />

later),<strong>the</strong>seassetsbecameLehman’screditorstake.Thislednotonlytorunsonhedgefunds,<br />

butalsotooveralluncertaintyaboutwhichassetsatfinancialinstitutionsweresafe<strong>and</strong>which<br />

werenot(Acharya,Adler<strong>and</strong>Richardson,2011).NoresolutionmechanismfocusingonGSIFIs,<br />

evenifinternationallycoordinatedasdescribedin“KeyAttributes”,couldhaveworkedquickly<br />

enoughtostop<strong>the</strong>seeffects.<br />

<br />

Finally,while<strong>the</strong>rewereindeedrunsonSIFIsinthis<strong>and</strong>previouscrises,<strong>the</strong>rewerealso<br />

alargenumber<strong>of</strong>collectiverunsonrelativelysmallerfinancialinstitutions,especiallyin<strong>the</strong>so<br />

called“shadowbanking”,suchasonhedgefunds,specialpurposevehicles(conduits<strong>and</strong>SIVs),<br />

<strong>and</strong> as discussed earlier, moneymarket funds. For instance, <strong>the</strong> assetbacked commercial<br />

paper(ABCP)runonconduits<strong>and</strong>SIVssponsoredbycommercialbanksstarting8 th <strong>of</strong>August<br />

2007(seeAcharya,Schnabl<strong>and</strong>Suarez,2009)highlightsthatcollection<strong>of</strong>smallinstitutions<strong>and</strong><br />

anentireclass<strong>of</strong>claimsormarketscanalso besystemicallyimportant,i.e.,<strong>the</strong>ir failurecan<br />

leadtosystemwideloss<strong>of</strong>financialintermediation.<br />

<br />

With<strong>the</strong>seinmind<strong>and</strong>taking<strong>the</strong>macroprudentialview,weproposeanalternativeset<br />

<strong>of</strong> resolution mechanisms, based on <strong>the</strong> insights <strong>of</strong> Acharya, Adler <strong>and</strong> Richardson (2011),<br />

whichisnotat<strong>the</strong>level<strong>of</strong>SIFIs,butat<strong>the</strong>level<strong>of</strong>systemicallyimportantassets<strong>and</strong>liabilities<br />

(SIALs)<strong>of</strong>financialinstitutions,whe<strong>the</strong>r<strong>the</strong>seinstitutionsaredeemedsystemicallyimportant<br />

or not. <strong>Systemically</strong> important liabilities (SILs) can be defined broadly as those liabilities <strong>of</strong><br />

highlyleveragedentitiesthatareassets<strong>of</strong>o<strong>the</strong>rhighlyleveragedentities<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>ewhen<br />

faced with haircuts in case <strong>of</strong> default would trigger runs on o<strong>the</strong>r entities. Examples <strong>of</strong> SILs<br />

include deposits, repos <strong>and</strong> over<strong>the</strong>counter (OTC) derivatives. Similarly, systemically<br />

important assets (SIAs) can be defined broadly as those assets that are ei<strong>the</strong>r SILs <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

highlyleveragedentitiesorpotentiallyilliquid,highriskassetsfinancedthroughSILs.Examples<br />

<strong>of</strong> SIAs include exposures to SIFIs, assetbacked commercial paper (ABCP) <strong>and</strong> risky repo<br />

collaterals such as mortgagebacked securities (MBSs). To <strong>the</strong> extent possible, <strong>the</strong> set <strong>of</strong><br />

mechanismsshouldbeexp<strong>and</strong>edtocoverasmanyclasses<strong>of</strong>systemicallyimportantassets<strong>and</strong><br />

liabilitiesaspossible. 9 <br />

<br />

What we propose is that instead <strong>of</strong> attempting regulation <strong>of</strong> systemically important<br />

financialinstitutions(a“topdown”approachtoregulatingsystemicallyimportantassets<strong>and</strong><br />

liabilities), prudential regulation be built in <strong>the</strong> <strong>for</strong>m <strong>of</strong> a “bottom up” approach – one that<br />

worksat<strong>the</strong>level<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>SIALsra<strong>the</strong>rthanat<strong>the</strong>level<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>SIFIthatowns<strong>the</strong>m.Under<strong>the</strong><br />

<br />

8 www.financialstabilityboard.org/publications/r_111104bb.pdf<br />

9 Adetaileddiscussion<strong>of</strong>ourapproach,originallyproposedbyAcharya,Adler<strong>and</strong>Richardson(2011),canbefound<br />

in<strong>the</strong>irdocumentwhereasadetailedanalysis<strong>of</strong>manyreasonsthatwarrantmacroprudentialregulationsra<strong>the</strong>r<br />

thanmicroprudentialregulationscanbefoundinAcharya(2011).<br />

<br />

5


“bottomup” approach <strong>the</strong>re would be an automatic stabilizer built <strong>for</strong> each SIAL. The<br />

automaticstabilizerscouldbein<strong>the</strong><strong>for</strong>m<strong>of</strong>governmentprovidedbutappropriatelycharged<br />

depositinsurance,centrallyclearedSIALswithinitial<strong>and</strong>variationmarginsorhaircutscharged<br />

by a clearinghouse or dedicated resolution authority <strong>for</strong> those SIALs, <strong>and</strong> in extreme cases,<br />

lender<strong>of</strong>lastresortfrom<strong>the</strong>centralbankagainsteligibleassets(buttoavoidmoralhazard,<br />

only to firms that pay a marketrate fee). This way, when an SIFI fails, it is not <strong>the</strong> orderly<br />

resolution<strong>of</strong>anindividualSIFIthathastobeeffected,butra<strong>the</strong>r<strong>the</strong>resolution<strong>of</strong>itsvarious<br />

SIALs;<strong>the</strong>parts<strong>of</strong>itscapitalstructurethatarenotsystemicallyimportantwouldberesolvedby<br />

marketdetermined contracts <strong>and</strong> relevant bankruptcy procedures. A particularly attractive<br />

feature<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>“bottomup”approachisthatitrequiresnouni<strong>for</strong>minstitutionlevelinsolvency<br />

process <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>e might be <strong>the</strong> simplest way <strong>of</strong> achieving international agreement on<br />

resolving <strong>the</strong> financial distress <strong>of</strong> GSIFIs (as long as <strong>the</strong>re is global agreement on resolution<br />

mechanisms<strong>for</strong>SIALs).<br />

<br />

Wepresentasaleadingexample<strong>of</strong>ourapproach<strong>the</strong>systemicallyimportantassets<strong>and</strong><br />

liabilities underlying <strong>the</strong> repo market <strong>and</strong> propose a potential repo resolution authority <strong>for</strong><br />

re<strong>for</strong>ming <strong>the</strong> repo market to illustrate how our approach can be implemented <strong>for</strong> this<br />

particular class <strong>of</strong> SIALs. 10 A repurchase agreement – also known as a “sale <strong>and</strong> repurchase<br />

agreement,”ormorepopularlyasarepo–isashorttermtransactionbetweentwopartiesin<br />

whichonepartyborrowscashfrom<strong>the</strong>o<strong>the</strong>rbypledgingafinancialsecurityascollateral.One<br />

importantfeature<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>U.S.repomarketisthatalltransactionsthatfallunder<strong>the</strong>umbrella<strong>of</strong><br />

reposareexemptfrom<strong>the</strong>automaticstayinbankruptcy<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>eallrepotransactions<br />

canbeliquidatedfollowingabankruptcyfiling.Asiswellknown,<strong>the</strong>ongoingglobalfinancial<br />

crisiswastriggeredin<strong>the</strong>summer<strong>of</strong>2007essentiallybya“run”ontwoBearStearnshedge<br />

fundsspeculatingin<strong>the</strong>potentiallyilliquidsubprimemortgagesbyborrowingshorttermin<strong>the</strong><br />

U.S.repomarket<strong>and</strong>eventuallyonBearStearnsinMarch<strong>of</strong>2008.Wedescribe<strong>the</strong>se“repo<br />

bankruns”<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>role<strong>the</strong>firesaleliquidation<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>repocollaterals–thatareexemptfrom<br />

<strong>the</strong>automaticstay–playedin<strong>the</strong>ensuingsystemiccrisis(inSectionIII.2indetail).<br />

<br />

Ourproposal<strong>for</strong>resolvingreporunsistocreatea“Repo<strong>Resolution</strong>Authority”ineach<br />

jurisdiction with significant repo transactions. The repo collaterals will in general not be<br />

exemptfrombankruptcy<strong>of</strong>borrowingfinancialfirms,exceptwhen<strong>the</strong>collateralisin<strong>the</strong><strong>for</strong>m<br />

<strong>of</strong>highestqualitygovernmentorgovernmentguaranteedbonds.Allo<strong>the</strong>rrepocollateralon<br />

defaultingrepotransactionswillberesolvedby<strong>the</strong>reporesolutionauthority,whichmakesan<br />

immediate “liquidity” payment to repo financiers. The immediate payment is based on<br />

conservativeassumptions(a“haircut”)about<strong>the</strong>liquidationproceedsfrom<strong>the</strong>collateral.The<br />

realizedproceedswillingeneralexceedorbesmallerthan<strong>the</strong>conservativepayment<strong>and</strong>will<br />

be repatriated or clawedback from repo financiers. In <strong>the</strong> process, however, <strong>the</strong> repo<br />

resolutionauthoritytakesoncreditrisk<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>rep<strong>of</strong>inanciers.Tomanagethiscreditrisk<strong>and</strong>to<br />

attenuate<strong>the</strong>moralhazardinducedonpart<strong>of</strong>rep<strong>of</strong>inanciers,<strong>the</strong>reporesolutionauthority<br />

wouldincludeaseligibleonlyrelativelyhighqualitycollateral;chargerep<strong>of</strong>inanciersanexante<br />

<br />

10 The proposal <strong>and</strong> discussion to follow elaborate on <strong>the</strong> initial case <strong>the</strong> authors made in Acharya <strong>and</strong> Öncü<br />

(2010).<br />

<br />

6


fee<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>liquidityenhancementprovidedincase<strong>of</strong>defaultinamannerthatiscommensurate<br />

with<strong>the</strong>residualcreditriskborneby<strong>the</strong>facility;requirethateligiblerep<strong>of</strong>inanciersmeetpre<br />

specified solvency criteria; <strong>and</strong> impose a concentration limit at <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> individual repo<br />

financiers,aswellason<strong>the</strong>financier’soverallportfoliosize.<br />

<br />

In effect, <strong>the</strong> repo resolution authority does resemble a clearinghouse <strong>for</strong> repo<br />

contracts, in that it has <strong>the</strong> right to suspend automatic conversion <strong>of</strong> repo claims into<br />

liquidations<strong>of</strong>underlyingcollateral,ittakeson<strong>the</strong>liquidationrightsitselfbutensuresthatits<br />

provision<strong>of</strong>liquidityto<strong>the</strong>marketincase<strong>of</strong>defaultdoesnotengenderinsolvencyconcerns.<br />

Therep<strong>of</strong>inanciers,whichfaceparticipationcriteria<strong>and</strong>haircutsingoodtimes,wouldpasson<br />

<strong>the</strong>relevantcoststoborrowersin<strong>the</strong>repomarkets.Collateralthatisnoteligible<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>repo<br />

resolutionauthoritywouldremainoutside<strong>of</strong>bankruptcyexemptionaswellasoutside<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong><br />

liquidityenhancementprovidedby<strong>the</strong>reporesolutionauthority;<strong>the</strong>secontractswouldthus<br />

berelativelysubordinatedin<strong>the</strong>capitalstructure<strong>of</strong>financialfirms<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>ycouldbesubjectto<br />

prudential capital requirements or minimum haircut/overcollateralization requirements (as<br />

witho<strong>the</strong>rparts<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>capitalstructure<strong>of</strong>financialfirms).<br />

<br />

An important issue that our proposed resolution approach highlights is that <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

desirability <strong>of</strong> granting unconditional liquidation rights (“safe harbor” provisions) to certain<br />

claims<strong>of</strong>creditors(“qualifiedfinancialcontracts”)<strong>of</strong>financialinstitutions.Theadvantage<strong>of</strong><br />

grantingsuchrightsistoextendmoneylikeimmediacypropertiestosuchclaims<strong>and</strong>enhance<br />

<strong>the</strong> capacity <strong>of</strong> financial institutions to generate liquidity. The macroprudential view <strong>of</strong><br />

financialcriseshighlights,however,thatintimes<strong>of</strong>asubstantialaggregateshock,<strong>the</strong>system<br />

mayberenderedincapable<strong>of</strong>grantingsuchimmediacytoallcreditors<strong>of</strong>financialinstitutions:<br />

not all dem<strong>and</strong>able deposits can be paid <strong>of</strong>f without resorting to bank failures <strong>and</strong> loss <strong>of</strong><br />

relationshiploans,ornotallrepoorderivativecounterpartiescanbepaid<strong>of</strong>fwithoutengaging<br />

indisorderlyfiresales<strong>and</strong>generatingassociatedexternalities.<br />

<br />

Indeed,inmuch<strong>the</strong>samewaythatcommercialbankclearinghousesin<strong>the</strong>preFederal<br />

Reserveerawere<strong>for</strong>cedtosuspendconversion<strong>of</strong>immediacy<strong>of</strong>dem<strong>and</strong>abledepositsinorder<br />

to stem bank runs, our proposal recommends that safe harbor provisions be conditionally<br />

suspended when <strong>the</strong>re has been a sufficiently adverse common shock to <strong>the</strong> financial<br />

institutions.Whensuchsystemicexceptionisinvokedonsafeharborprovisions,ourresolution<br />

approach grants partial immediacy to <strong>the</strong> affected claims (through <strong>the</strong> repo resolution<br />

authorityor<strong>the</strong>lender<strong>of</strong>lastresort),butsuspendsimmediacy<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>remainingpart<strong>for</strong>cing<br />

<strong>the</strong>mtobearlongrunrisk<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>underlyingcollateralorassetsbacking<strong>the</strong>claims.Thelong<br />

run risk is managed in an orderly manner by such suspension, making it clear that <strong>the</strong><br />

clearinghouses,reporesolutionauthorities<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>lender<strong>of</strong>lastresortmustalsobegranted<br />

assetliquidationrightsintimes<strong>of</strong>systemiccrises.Equallyimportantly,sincemanagement<strong>of</strong><br />

such risk exposes <strong>the</strong>se authorities to potential losses, <strong>the</strong>y are also granted <strong>the</strong> rights to<br />

containapriori<strong>the</strong>extent<strong>of</strong>immediacygrantedbyfinancialfirmsto<strong>the</strong>ircreditors.<br />

<br />

Weorganize<strong>the</strong>rest<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>paperasfollows:InSectionII,wedescribesomespecific<br />

details<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>DFA,<strong>and</strong>evaluateitwithrespectto<strong>the</strong>efficiency<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>process<strong>and</strong>itsabilityto<br />

<br />

7


mitigatemoralhazard<strong>and</strong>systemicrisk.InSectionIII,wedescribehow<strong>the</strong>repomarketcame<br />

toplaysuchanimportantroleinsecuritizedbankingin<strong>the</strong>U.S.,discussitscriticalrolein<strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>for</strong>m<strong>of</strong>runsin<strong>the</strong>crisis,<strong>and</strong>argueacase<strong>for</strong>re<strong>for</strong>ming<strong>the</strong>repomarketbasedonouranalysis.<br />

We<strong>the</strong>noutlineinSectionIVourproposed“Repo<strong>Resolution</strong>Authority”<strong>for</strong>suchre<strong>for</strong>m,<strong>and</strong><br />

compare <strong>and</strong> contrast it with an interesting precedent, <strong>the</strong> Federal Government Liquidation<br />

CorporationproposedbySenatorGlassin<strong>the</strong>early1930s,inSectionV.Finally,inSectionVI,we<br />

discuss how our proposed resolution mechanism <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> repo market may be coordinated<br />

globally<strong>and</strong>presentourconcludingremarks.<br />

<br />

II.TheDoddFrank<strong>Resolution</strong>Mechanism<strong>for</strong>NonbankSIFIs<br />

A central objective <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> DFA is to create a new resolution mechanism <strong>for</strong> nonbank<br />

SIFIs <strong>and</strong> bring <strong>the</strong>m within <strong>the</strong> FDIC insurance model. Established in 1933, <strong>the</strong> FDIC is an<br />

independentfederalagency<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>U.S.thatinsuresdepositsatitsmemberbanks<strong>and</strong>savings<br />

<strong>and</strong> loan institutions, currently up to $250,000 per depositor per institution. If a member<br />

institution fails, it is taken into receivership by <strong>the</strong> FDIC, which within a few days ei<strong>the</strong>r<br />

facilitatesamergerwithano<strong>the</strong>rFDICinsuredinstitutionorpayseachdepositor<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>insured<br />

portion<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>iraccountsat<strong>the</strong>closedinstitution<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>nliquidates<strong>the</strong>closedinstitution’s<br />

assets.Since<strong>the</strong>FederalDepositInsuranceRe<strong>for</strong>mAct<strong>of</strong>2005signedintolawbyPresident<br />

BushinFebruary2006<strong>and</strong>becameeffectiveMarch31,2006,<strong>the</strong>FDICfinances<strong>the</strong>liquidations<br />

from<strong>the</strong>DepositInsuranceFund(DFI)towhichmemberinstitutionspayanexanteinsurance<br />

feebasedon<strong>the</strong>balance<strong>of</strong>insureddeposits,aswellason<strong>the</strong>FDICassessedrisk<strong>the</strong>institution<br />

posesto<strong>the</strong>DFI. 11 And,iffur<strong>the</strong>rfundsareneeded,<strong>the</strong>FDICc<strong>and</strong>rawonaline<strong>of</strong>creditwith<br />

<strong>the</strong>U.S.Treasury.Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore,<strong>the</strong>FDICdepositinsuranceisbackedby<strong>the</strong>fullfaith<strong>and</strong>credit<br />

<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>U.S.government,whichmeansthat<strong>the</strong>resources<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>U.S.governmentst<strong>and</strong>behind<br />

FDICinsureddepositors.<br />

<br />

AccordingtoSheilaBair(FDIC,2011),<strong>the</strong><strong>for</strong>merchair<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>FDIC,<strong>the</strong>DFAresolution<br />

mechanismhas<strong>the</strong>sebasicelements:<br />

<br />

1) TitleI:Theestablishment<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>FinancialStabilityOversightCouncil(FSOC),chaired<br />

by<strong>the</strong>Secretary<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>Treasury<strong>and</strong>comprised<strong>of</strong>membersfrom<strong>the</strong>o<strong>the</strong>rfinancial<br />

regulatory agencies, with <strong>the</strong> responsibility <strong>of</strong> designating SIFIs or “covered<br />

companies" that will be subject to heightened supervision by <strong>the</strong> Federal Reserve<br />

Board<strong>of</strong>Governors(FRB);<br />

<br />

2) Title I: The requirement <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> preparation <strong>of</strong> detailed resolution plans – <strong>of</strong>ten<br />

referredtoas“livingwills"–bycoveredcompaniestodemonstratethat<strong>the</strong>yare<br />

resolvable under <strong>the</strong> bankruptcy laws if <strong>the</strong>y run into severe financial stress <strong>and</strong><br />

providevaluableadvancein<strong>for</strong>mationthatwillassistinimplementing<strong>the</strong>irorderly<br />

liquidation,ifnecessary;<br />

<br />

<br />

11 Forahistorypriorto2006,see:http://www.fdic.gov/deposit/insurance/history.html<br />

<br />

8


3) Title II: The prohibition <strong>of</strong> bailouts <strong>of</strong> individual companies by providing an<br />

alternativetobankruptcywith<strong>the</strong>establishment<strong>of</strong>anOLA,whichallows<strong>the</strong>FDIC<br />

toresolvenonbankfinancialcompaniesbyusingmany<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>sametrusteepowers<br />

oversystemicnonbankfinancialcompaniesthatithaslongusedtomanagefailed<br />

bankreceiverships.<br />

<br />

TheDFAcharacterizesnonbankfinancialcompaniesthatcanbecoveredunder<strong>the</strong>OLA<br />

quitebroadly.Thecompanieseligible<strong>for</strong>coveredfinancialcompany(CFC)designationinclude<br />

bank holding companies, nonbank financial companies supervised by <strong>the</strong> FRB <strong>and</strong> any o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

companypredominantlyengagedinactivitiesthat<strong>the</strong>FRBdeterminedfinancialinnature,as<br />

well as <strong>the</strong> U.S. subsidiaries <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se eligible companies. However, <strong>the</strong> DFA resolution<br />

mechanism is an iterative process: First comes <strong>the</strong> attempted resolution as described in <strong>the</strong><br />

livingwillsthrough<strong>the</strong>bankruptcycodeinamannerthat“doesnotposeasystemicrisk”.If<strong>the</strong><br />

attempt fails, <strong>the</strong>n follows <strong>the</strong> “orderly liquidation” under <strong>the</strong> OLA, presumably avoiding <strong>the</strong><br />

systemicrisk<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>e<strong>the</strong>“toobigfail”bailout<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>SIFIswith<strong>the</strong>taxpayerfunds.Orso<br />

goes<strong>the</strong><strong>the</strong>ory.<br />

<br />

The above is one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> main problems associated with <strong>the</strong> new DFA resolution<br />

mechanism.Under<strong>the</strong>DFAresolutionmechanism,afailednonbankSIFIgoesthroughnormal<br />

bankruptcyoro<strong>the</strong>rapplicableinsolvencylawfirst. 12 Onlyafter<strong>the</strong>Secretary<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>Treasury,<br />

uponrecommendationby<strong>the</strong>FRBbyatwothirdsvote<strong>and</strong>asimilarvoteby<strong>the</strong>FDIC(or,in<br />

somecases,o<strong>the</strong>rinvolvedregulators),inconsultationwith<strong>the</strong>President,determinesthat<strong>the</strong><br />

failed financial company should be subject to OLA <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> board <strong>of</strong> directors <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> CFC<br />

approves<strong>the</strong>Secretary<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>Treasury’sdetermination,<strong>the</strong>FDICisappointedasreceiver<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong><br />

CFC.O<strong>the</strong>rwise,<strong>the</strong>Secretary<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>Treasuryfilesapetitionwith<strong>the</strong>U.S.DistrictCourt<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong><br />

District <strong>of</strong> Columbia seeking judicial review <strong>of</strong> his decision. If <strong>the</strong> District Court finds <strong>the</strong><br />

Secretary’s petition “arbitrary <strong>and</strong> capricious” within 24 hours, <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> petition is denied.<br />

O<strong>the</strong>rwise, ei<strong>the</strong>r through Court approval or, if <strong>the</strong> District Court does not make a<br />

determinationwithin24hours<strong>of</strong>receipt<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>petition,throughoperation<strong>of</strong>law,<strong>the</strong>petition<br />

isgranted<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>FDICisappointedasreceiver<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>CFC.If<strong>the</strong>FDICisappointedasreceiver<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> CFC ei<strong>the</strong>r through <strong>the</strong> first or <strong>the</strong> second <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> above processes, <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> board <strong>of</strong><br />

directors <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> CFC – as well as o<strong>the</strong>r aggrieved parties – has 30 days to appeal <strong>the</strong><br />

appointment<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>FDICasreceiver.<br />

<br />

Thereareatleasttwoissueswith<strong>the</strong>above:Thefirstissueisthat<strong>the</strong>regulatorsmay<br />

wait too long to intervene <strong>and</strong> have no choice but to put <strong>the</strong> SIFI through <strong>the</strong> liquidation<br />

<br />

12 Weacknowledgeat<strong>the</strong>outsetthatourdiscussion<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>OLAisbasedon<strong>the</strong>DoddFrankAct’s“letter<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong><br />

law”,whereasitisclearfromitsspecificimplementationthatiscurrentlyunderwaythatsome<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>criticismswe<br />

raiseconcerningOLAarebeingpartlyaddressed.Since<strong>the</strong>implementationdetailsarestillevolving,our<br />

presentation<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>OLAcanbeinterpretedasa“strawman”representing<strong>the</strong>microprudentialview<strong>of</strong>resolution<br />

authority,ra<strong>the</strong>rthansimplyasacriticism<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>DoddFrankAct’svision<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>OLA.Wenote,however,thatmost<br />

<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>fixesunder<strong>the</strong>OLA’simplementation<strong>of</strong>concernsweraisealsooperateat<strong>the</strong>level<strong>of</strong>individualfinancial<br />

institutions,ra<strong>the</strong>rthantakingacollectiveormacroprudentialview<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>resolutionauthority(aswepropose).<br />

9


process. This is a very risky proposition in terms <strong>of</strong> systemic risk, as we describebelow. The<br />

secondissueisthat,despite<strong>the</strong>commendableef<strong>for</strong>tstoexpedite<strong>the</strong>liquidationprocess,<strong>the</strong><br />

procedure may not be sufficiently fast to contain <strong>the</strong> ensuing run on liabilities that can be<br />

pulledimmediately.Because<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>seuncertaintiesunderlying<strong>the</strong>OLAprocess,itishighlylikely<br />

that(Acharya,Adler,Richardson<strong>and</strong>Roubini,2010):<br />

<br />

1) Runs on <strong>the</strong>se <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r shortterm liabilities <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> institution will occur in<br />

anticipation<strong>of</strong>suchdetermination,creatingaselffulfillingOLAevent;<br />

<br />

2) Holders<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>institution’slongertermdebt<strong>and</strong>equitywilltrytosell<strong>the</strong>irholdings<br />

in secondary markets, putting pressure on <strong>the</strong> financial firm’s position in capital<br />

markets;<br />

<br />

3) Runsonsimilarfinancialfirmsmayoccur,essentiallyleadingto<strong>the</strong>regulatorshaving<br />

nochoicebutanOLAdetermination<strong>for</strong>asignificantpart<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>financialsector.<br />

<br />

While any insolvency procedure is subject to <strong>the</strong>se problems, it is unclear how <strong>the</strong> DFA<br />

resolutionmechanismwilladdress<strong>the</strong>mthrough<strong>the</strong>OLA.<br />

<br />

Ano<strong>the</strong>r problem associated with <strong>the</strong> DFA resolution mechanism is <strong>the</strong> Orderly<br />

Liquidation Fund (OLF) on which <strong>the</strong> FDIC will be authorized to draw as <strong>the</strong> receiver. In <strong>the</strong><br />

originallyproposedbill,thisfundwastobefinancedexantebyriskbasedassessments<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong><br />

CFCsinsuchawaythat<strong>the</strong>moresystemicallyimportant<strong>the</strong>CFC,<strong>the</strong>larger<strong>the</strong>assessment.In<br />

<strong>the</strong>signedlaw,however,thisprovisionwasdropped.Instead,<strong>the</strong>FDICwillborrowfrom<strong>the</strong><br />

Treasury<strong>and</strong>willrepay<strong>the</strong>borrowingsfromcreditorswhoreceivefundsin<strong>the</strong>OLAprocess<br />

that are greater than what <strong>the</strong>y would have received in normal liquidation under <strong>the</strong><br />

bankruptcy code. And, if this clawback is not sufficient, <strong>the</strong> FDIC will repay from ex post<br />

assessments on bank holding companies with total assets <strong>of</strong> $50 billion or more <strong>and</strong> on any<br />

nonbankSIFI.<br />

<br />

Although<strong>the</strong>FDIC’suse<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>OLFisdiscretionary,letussupposethat<strong>the</strong>FDICused<br />

<strong>the</strong>OLFt<strong>of</strong>inance<strong>the</strong>failedCFCasintendedby<strong>the</strong>DFA.Thatis,<strong>the</strong>failedCFCissuppliedwith<br />

liquidity but a portion <strong>of</strong> its assets – presumably equal in value to <strong>the</strong> loans extended – is<br />

retained<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>OLF.However,if<strong>the</strong>CFChasfailedbecause<strong>the</strong>value<strong>of</strong>itsassetsislessthan<br />

that<strong>of</strong>itsobligations,unlessitissubsidizedinreceivershipitscounterpartieswillnotbepaidin<br />

full <strong>and</strong> hence <strong>the</strong> risk <strong>of</strong> contagion will remain. There<strong>for</strong>e, <strong>the</strong> OLA might not contain <strong>the</strong><br />

systemic risk that <strong>the</strong> failure <strong>of</strong> a large, interconnected SIFI might undermine <strong>the</strong> financial<br />

system.<br />

Consequently,itmightbeexpectedthat<strong>the</strong>FDICas<strong>the</strong>receiverwillnotuse<strong>the</strong>OLFto<br />

achieveanorderlyliquidation<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>assets<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>failedCFC,butra<strong>the</strong>rwilluseittobailout<strong>the</strong><br />

failed CFC creditors. That is, to prevent contagion, <strong>the</strong> FDIC might be expected to satisfy<br />

counterpartyclaimsthatcouldnotbepaidfrom<strong>the</strong>assets<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>failedCFCevenif<strong>the</strong>assets<br />

are liquidated in an “orderly” fashion. This very likely to materialize bailout expectation – a<br />

<br />

10


perceivedinsurancethatcovers<strong>the</strong>losses<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>creditors–createsmoralhazard,<strong>the</strong>veryrisk<br />

<strong>the</strong>DFAaimstoeliminate.<br />

If,on<strong>the</strong>o<strong>the</strong>rh<strong>and</strong>,<strong>the</strong>clawbackprovision<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>OLAisindeedcredible<strong>and</strong>,asa<br />

result, <strong>the</strong> creditors become <strong>the</strong> de facto insurers, <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> DFA would realign incentives,<br />

eliminating <strong>the</strong> potential moral hazard as intended. The question <strong>the</strong>n remains whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong><br />

FDICas<strong>the</strong>receivercanclawback<strong>the</strong>moneyspaidtocreditorsinexcess<strong>of</strong>what<strong>the</strong>ywould<br />

havereceivedinnormalliquidationunder<strong>the</strong>bankruptcycodeafter<strong>the</strong>“orderly”liquidation.If<br />

<strong>the</strong>perceptionisthat<strong>the</strong>receivercan,<strong>the</strong>n<strong>the</strong>bailoutwillhavenoeffect.Underthisscenario,<br />

however,assoonasitisremotelyperceivedthataCFCwillbesubjectto<strong>the</strong>OLA,alargescale<br />

run on <strong>the</strong> systemically important liabilities, i.e., SILs <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> failed CFC <strong>and</strong> similar financial<br />

institutionswilloccur.<br />

Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore,evenafterignoringall<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>problemsdiscussedabove,<strong>the</strong>reremains<strong>the</strong><br />

question<strong>of</strong>whopicksup<strong>the</strong>billifallelsefailstorepay<strong>the</strong>Treasury.TheDFAanswertothis<br />

questionis<strong>the</strong>financialindustryitself.But<strong>the</strong>DFAimposedexpostassessmentsrequirethat<br />

even<strong>the</strong>prudentfinancialcompaniespay<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>failure<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>o<strong>the</strong>rs.Thiswouldbeaproblem<br />

even from merely an ex post perspective as <strong>the</strong> costs to <strong>the</strong> financial system could be<br />

substantial <strong>and</strong> might weigh against <strong>the</strong> ability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> system to provide credit, creating an<br />

illiquidfinancialsystem<strong>the</strong>DFAisintendedtoavoid.Fromanexanteperspective<strong>the</strong>problem<br />

isevenworse.TheDFAplan<strong>for</strong>even<strong>the</strong>healthyfinancialinstitutionstopay<strong>the</strong>creditors<strong>of</strong><br />

failed CFCs creates a free rider problem. This encourages all financial institutions to take<br />

excessive risks, leading to an even more fragile financial system <strong>and</strong> hence increasing <strong>the</strong><br />

likelihood<strong>of</strong>deepfinancialcrises.<br />

Yetano<strong>the</strong>rprincipaldifficultyinwritinginsolvencylaw<strong>for</strong>SIFIsis<strong>the</strong>issue<strong>of</strong>howto<br />

treat <strong>the</strong>ir socalled qualified financial contracts (QFCs). In <strong>the</strong> U.S. under <strong>the</strong> current<br />

bankruptcycode,QFCsinclude<strong>for</strong>wards,swaps,repos<strong>and</strong>o<strong>the</strong>rOTCderivativecontracts,<strong>and</strong><br />

areessential<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>functioning<strong>of</strong>SIFIs.Infact,whatdifferentiatesSIFIsfromo<strong>the</strong>rfinancial<br />

institutions is essentially <strong>the</strong>ir substantial presence in <strong>the</strong> market <strong>for</strong> QFCs. The QFCs are<br />

relatedtoournotion<strong>of</strong>systemicallyimportantassets<strong>and</strong>liabilities(SIALs),<strong>and</strong>whe<strong>the</strong>raQFC<br />

isanSILorSIAdependson<strong>the</strong>positiontakenin<strong>the</strong>QFC,aswellason<strong>the</strong>marketconditions.<br />

Forexample,alongpositioninacalloptionisanSIAirrespective<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>marketconditionswhile<br />

a long position in an interest rate swap – that is, a fixedpayer interest rate swap – may be<br />

ei<strong>the</strong>ranSILorSIAdependingon<strong>the</strong>marketconditions.<br />

ThecurrentU.S.bankruptcycode,enactedin1978,initiallyprovidedasafeharborfrom<br />

automaticstay<strong>and</strong>o<strong>the</strong>rbankruptcyprovisions<strong>for</strong>commodity<strong>and</strong><strong>for</strong>wardcontracts.Inthis<br />

context, safe harbor means exemption from bankruptcy proceeding whereas automatic stay<br />

means an injunction issued automatically by <strong>the</strong> bankruptcy court upon <strong>the</strong> filing <strong>of</strong> a<br />

bankruptcy that prohibits collection against <strong>the</strong> debtor or <strong>the</strong> debtor’s property. The safe<br />

harborclauseallows<strong>the</strong>counterpartyto<strong>the</strong>failedfinancialinstitutiontoterminate<strong>the</strong>QFCs<br />

<strong>and</strong> take control <strong>of</strong> what it is owed from <strong>the</strong> assets <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> failed institution. With <strong>the</strong><br />

BankruptcyAbusePrevention<strong>and</strong>ConsumerProtectionAct(BAPCPA)enactedin2005,<strong>the</strong>safe<br />

harborexceptionhasbeenbroadlyexp<strong>and</strong>edtocoversuchQFCsascrossnettingprovisions,<br />

<br />

11


credit default swaps, interest rate swaps <strong>and</strong> margin loans among o<strong>the</strong>r arrangements,<br />

including repos. We discuss how <strong>the</strong> BAPCPA re<strong>for</strong>m <strong>of</strong> 2005 affected <strong>the</strong> repos in detail in<br />

subsequentsections.Anexcellentdiscussion<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>advantages<strong>and</strong>disadvantages<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>safe<br />

harborclauses<strong>for</strong>QFCscanbefoundinTuckman(2010),<strong>and</strong>webrieflyreview<strong>the</strong>sebelow.<br />

SeealsoEdwards<strong>and</strong>Morrison(2004),Jackson(2009),Miller(2009),Faubus(2010),<strong>and</strong>Roe<br />

(2010),amongo<strong>the</strong>rs.<br />

Theoriginalmotivation<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>safeharborstatus<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>QFCsin<strong>the</strong>bankruptcycode<br />

wastoreduce<strong>the</strong>systemicriskin<strong>the</strong>financialsystem.BecausemostQFCsareei<strong>the</strong>rhedgedor<br />

usedashedgescontinually,tyingupcounterpartyQFCpositionsinbankruptcywouldunwind<br />

<strong>the</strong>hedgesinplace<strong>and</strong>leadtowidescaleriskexposures<strong>for</strong>leveragedinstitutions.Moreover,<br />

if<strong>the</strong>underlyingcollateralsaretiedup,<strong>the</strong>lossinpotentialliquidity<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>counterpartymight<br />

also have serious consequences. Ei<strong>the</strong>r <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se problems, toge<strong>the</strong>r with uncertainty about<br />

when <strong>the</strong> failed institution QFCs would be cleared, could cause <strong>the</strong> associated markets to<br />

freeze.Hence,<strong>the</strong>safeharborstatusgrantedto<strong>the</strong>QFCshassomemerit.<br />

However,<strong>the</strong>reductioninsystemicriskarisingfromQFCsavoiding<strong>the</strong>automaticstay<br />

<strong>and</strong>relatedprovisionsinbankruptcyisreplacedbyano<strong>the</strong>r<strong>for</strong>m<strong>of</strong>systemicriskinvolvingfire<br />

sales<strong>of</strong>QFCs<strong>and</strong>fundingilliquidityspirals.Forexample,consider<strong>the</strong>repoagreements.Many<br />

repo financiers aremoney marketmutual funds (MMMFs) subject to restrictions on average<br />

maturity<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>irinvestments.When<strong>the</strong>yfacedefaultonarepo<strong>of</strong>alongtermassetsuchas<br />

mortgagebackedsecurity(MBS),<strong>the</strong>irtypicallyovernightroleasalenderinarep<strong>of</strong>inancing<br />

getstranslatedintobeing<strong>the</strong>holder<strong>of</strong>alongtermasset.Asaresult,<strong>the</strong>MMMFsas<strong>the</strong>repo<br />

financiermaybe<strong>for</strong>cedtoliquidate<strong>the</strong>assetuponfailure<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>irrepocounterparty.Similarly,<br />

counterparties<strong>of</strong>afailingfirminaderivativecontractmightneedtoterminate<strong>and</strong>replace<strong>the</strong><br />

contract right away as it might be serving as a hedge <strong>of</strong> some financial risk. Then, as<br />

counterpartiesliquidate<strong>the</strong>repocollateralallatonce,orterminate<strong>and</strong>replace<strong>the</strong>irderivative<br />

positions simultaneously, with <strong>the</strong> large number <strong>of</strong> trades <strong>and</strong> multiple participants money<br />

markets <strong>and</strong> derivatives markets can be destabilized. In <strong>the</strong> recent crisis, <strong>the</strong>re was<br />

considerableconcernthatabankruptcy<strong>of</strong>SIFIslikeAIG,MerrillLynchorCitigroupwouldhave<br />

<strong>for</strong>ced large amounts <strong>of</strong> mortgagebacked derivatives to be sold on <strong>the</strong> marketplace. Given<br />

widespreadexposureto<strong>the</strong>sesecuritiesbyo<strong>the</strong>rfinancialinstitutions,<strong>the</strong>selosseswouldhave<br />

causedafundingliquidityfreeze,resultinginevenmoresales<strong>and</strong>losses<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>eleading<br />

toadeathspiral<strong>of</strong>largeparts<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>financialsystem.<br />

Anequallystrongargumentagainst<strong>the</strong>safeharboris<strong>the</strong>regulatoryarbitrageitcreates<br />

within <strong>the</strong> system: counterparties can build up large concentrated exposures without much<br />

consequence.Specifically,becausemostQFCscanbeengineeredtomimicanunderlyingasset,<br />

<strong>the</strong>reexistatleasttwoclaimswi<strong>the</strong>ssentially<strong>the</strong>sameeconomicbehavior.However,<strong>the</strong>se<br />

essentially same claims may be subject to different rules <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>e may have different<br />

implications<strong>for</strong>exanterisks.Forexample,consideragainarepoagainstanAAAratedMBS.If<br />

<strong>the</strong>MBSisheldon<strong>the</strong>bankingbook<strong>of</strong>anSIFI,itgetstreatedasalongtermholdingsubject<br />

typicallytocapitalrequirementagainstpotentialcreditrisk<strong>for</strong>ayear.If<strong>the</strong>MBSisinsteadon<br />

<strong>the</strong>tradingbookasanavailable<strong>for</strong>salesecuritythatisbeingrolledovernightinrepomarkets,<br />

<br />

12


<strong>the</strong>n it gets treated as being sold <strong>and</strong> repurchased each day, so that as far as its capital<br />

requirementconcerned,itissubjecttomarketrisk<strong>for</strong>onlyoneday.<br />

Thistrans<strong>for</strong>mation<strong>of</strong>alongtermassetintoanovernightassetisprimarilybecause<strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> repo financier’s right to take over <strong>the</strong> asset in case <strong>of</strong> failure <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> repo counterparty.<br />

However, as explained above, in many cases repo financiers <strong>the</strong>mselves cannot own <strong>the</strong>se<br />

assets in <strong>the</strong> long run <strong>and</strong> must liquidate <strong>the</strong>m upon failure <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir repo counterparty.<br />

There<strong>for</strong>e, <strong>the</strong> migration <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> MBS from <strong>the</strong> banking to trading book lowers <strong>the</strong> capital<br />

requirementagainstitthroughout<strong>the</strong>financialsystem,sincenoinstitutionisholdingcapital<strong>for</strong><br />

a scenario where <strong>the</strong>re is systemic illiquidity under which some institution — most likely an<br />

institutionwhichincurredahugeilliquiditydiscountin<strong>the</strong>firesale<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>asset—musthold<br />

<strong>the</strong>asset<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>longrun.<br />

Suchdistortionspushcounterpartiestowarddesigningcomplexproductsthatcanhelp<br />

shift assets from <strong>the</strong> banking to <strong>the</strong> trading book, which are <strong>the</strong>n financed using shortterm<br />

reposin<strong>the</strong>repomarket,awayfrom<strong>the</strong>monitoring<strong>of</strong>regulators<strong>and</strong>atsubstantiallylower<br />

capitalrequirements.Theeffectiveoutcomeistremendousliquidityinrepomarkets<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>se<br />

productsingoodtimes,withsystemicstress<strong>and</strong>fragilitywhen<strong>the</strong>productsareanticipatedto<br />

experiencelosses.Theexpansion<strong>of</strong>safeharbortorepotransactionswithunderlyingmortgage<br />

basedassetsin<strong>the</strong>BankruptcyAct<strong>of</strong>2005hasthusbeencitedasone<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>reasons<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong><br />

growthinmortgagebasedderivativesover<strong>the</strong>periodfrom2005to2007.<br />

TheDFAessentiallytreatsQFCs<strong>the</strong>sameway<strong>the</strong>FDICtreats<strong>the</strong>minreceivershipsnot<br />

coveredby<strong>the</strong>Act.Thatis,at<strong>the</strong>end<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>firstbusinessdayafterareceivershipcommences,<br />

counterpartieswouldbeabletoexercise<strong>the</strong>irrightsagainst<strong>the</strong>CFCsuchastoterminate,net<br />

out,set<strong>of</strong>f<strong>and</strong>applycollateralwithrespecttoall<strong>the</strong>irQFCs.There<strong>for</strong>e,although<strong>the</strong>provision<br />

<strong>of</strong>asafeharborunder<strong>the</strong>DFAisnotidenticaltothat<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>bankruptcycode,QFCsstillbenefit<br />

from special protection. An exception is that until <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> first business day after<br />

commencement,<strong>the</strong>FDICwouldbeallowedtotransferall(<strong>and</strong>onlyall)<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>QFCsbetween<br />

<strong>the</strong> CFC<strong>and</strong> a given counterparty. Although such exceptions to <strong>the</strong> safe harbor clause make<br />

some sense to <strong>the</strong> extent <strong>the</strong> systemic risk <strong>of</strong> financial institutions might vary from one<br />

situation to <strong>the</strong> next, a better approach would be (Acharya, Adler <strong>and</strong> Richardson, 2011) as<br />

follows:<br />

<br />

1) QFCsthatareliquidshouldkeep<strong>the</strong>exemption.LiquidQFCswillcauselesssystemic<br />

risk in fire sales, yet still allow counterparties to manage <strong>the</strong>ir risk without <strong>the</strong><br />

uncertainty generated by <strong>the</strong> bankruptcy <strong>of</strong> a SIFI. Moreover, in order to get <strong>the</strong><br />

exemption,counterpartieswillhaveanincentivetotradeinliquidQFCs.<br />

<br />

2) QFCsthatareilliquid—orpotentiallyilliquid(suchasrepocontractsonMBSs)—<br />

shouldbesubjectto<strong>the</strong>ordinaryrules<strong>of</strong>bankruptcyincluding<strong>the</strong>automaticstay.<br />

The systemic risk underlying fire sales would be avoided, especially given that<br />

complex, illiquid transactions are more difficult to unwind. Of course, this would<br />

comeat<strong>the</strong>cost<strong>of</strong>generalliquidity<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>counterparties<strong>and</strong>impact<strong>the</strong>irabilityto<br />

13


managerisk.To<strong>the</strong>extentregulatorsimposecapital<strong>and</strong>liquidityst<strong>and</strong>ards,QFCs<br />

subjectto<strong>the</strong>stayshouldapplyhigherliquidityst<strong>and</strong>ardsto<strong>the</strong>counterparty.<br />

Lastly,aswediscussedin<strong>the</strong>previoussectionatlength,<strong>the</strong>DFAresolutionmechanism<br />

iscompletelydomestic.ThisisanimportantproblembecausemanyU.S.SIFIsoperateglobally,<br />

sothat<strong>the</strong>yareGSIFIs.Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore,manyGSIFIsincorporatedino<strong>the</strong>rcountriesoperatein<br />

<strong>the</strong>U.S.aswell.IfaGSIFIoperatingin<strong>the</strong>U.S.needstobeliquidatedinanorderlymanner,<br />

<strong>the</strong> DFA cannot specify how its systemically important assets <strong>and</strong> liabilities (SIALs) in o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

countries will be resolved. The resolution <strong>of</strong> GSIFIs requires an international arrangement.<br />

Although<strong>the</strong>FinancialStabilityBoard–establishedbyG7in1999<strong>and</strong>reestablishedbyG20in<br />

2009 to coordinate at <strong>the</strong> international level <strong>the</strong> work <strong>of</strong> national financial authorities <strong>and</strong><br />

international st<strong>and</strong>ard setting bodies – issued a new international st<strong>and</strong>ard <strong>for</strong> resolution<br />

mechanisms in November, 2011, as we mentioned earlier, no international resolution<br />

mechanismhasyetbeenproposedbyanyinternationalbody.Thisleaves<strong>the</strong>globalfinancial<br />

systemstillwideopentosignificantsystemicriskthatmayresultfromadisorderlyliquidation<br />

<strong>of</strong> SIALs somewhere in <strong>the</strong> world, <strong>the</strong>reby requiring “toobigt<strong>of</strong>ail” or “toomanyt<strong>of</strong>ail” or<br />

“toointerconnectedfail”bailouts<strong>of</strong>SIFIseverywhere,evenif<strong>the</strong>DFAresolutionmechanism<br />

manages to avoid a disorderly liquidation <strong>of</strong> associated U.S. based SIALs in spite <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

problemswepointedoutabove.<br />

<br />

III.TheU.S.RepoMarket<br />

<br />

Recallthatarepurchaseagreementisashorttermtransactionbetweentwopartiesin<br />

whichonepartyborrowscashfrom<strong>the</strong>o<strong>the</strong>rbypledgingafinancialsecurityascollateral. Ina<br />

repotransaction,<strong>the</strong>collateralproviderentersintoa“sale<strong>and</strong>repurchaseagreement”or,in<br />

short,arepo.Thecashproviderentersintoa“purchase<strong>and</strong>resaleagreement”,or,inshort,a<br />

reverserepo.Hence,everyrepoisalsoareverserepo<strong>and</strong>viceversa.Theperspectivedepends<br />

onwhois<strong>the</strong>seller<strong>and</strong>whois<strong>the</strong>purchaser.<br />

<br />

Theday<strong>the</strong>repoisinitiatediscalled<strong>the</strong>saledate,<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>day<strong>the</strong>repoisterminatedis<br />

called<strong>the</strong>purchasedate. Thedifference–ifany–between<strong>the</strong>values<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>collateral<strong>and</strong>loan<br />

iscalled<strong>the</strong>“haircut”ormargin.Thehaircut–ifany–isaprotectionagainst<strong>the</strong>counterparty<br />

riskin<strong>the</strong>transaction.Inprincipleei<strong>the</strong>r<strong>the</strong>cashor<strong>the</strong>collateralprovidermaybesubjecttoa<br />

haircut.When<strong>the</strong>cashproviderissubjecttoahaircut,<strong>the</strong>n<strong>the</strong>haircutis<strong>the</strong>marginrequired<br />

by<strong>the</strong>collateralproviderasprotectionagainst<strong>the</strong>potentialvaluegain<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>collateralincase<br />

<strong>the</strong> cash provider fails to deliver <strong>the</strong> collateral on <strong>the</strong> purchase date so that <strong>the</strong> collateral<br />

providerhastobuyasubstitute.When<strong>the</strong>collateralproviderissubjecttoahaircut,<strong>the</strong>n<strong>the</strong><br />

haircutis<strong>the</strong>marginrequiredby<strong>the</strong>cashproviderasprotectionagainst<strong>the</strong>potentialvalue<br />

loss<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>collateralincase<strong>the</strong>collateralproviderfailstocomeback,<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>cashproviderhas<br />

totakeownership<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>collateral,sellit<strong>and</strong>recover<strong>the</strong>loss.<br />

<br />

In<strong>the</strong>U.S.repomarket,loansaremostlyextendedovernight–thatis,<strong>the</strong>yareoneday<br />

transactions.Overnightreposconstituteabouthalf<strong>of</strong>allrepotransactions,<strong>and</strong>most<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>m<br />

are open, i.e., <strong>the</strong>y roll over automatically until ei<strong>the</strong>r party chooses to exit. O<strong>the</strong>r repo<br />

14


transactions, called term repos, have terms longer than one day but shorter than one year,<br />

although <strong>the</strong> vast majority have maturities <strong>of</strong> three months or less. Participants in <strong>the</strong> repo<br />

market include commercial banks, investment banks, hedge funds, mutual funds, pension<br />

funds,moneymarketfunds,municipalities,corporations,<strong>and</strong>o<strong>the</strong>rowners<strong>of</strong>largeamounts<strong>of</strong><br />

idlecash,aswellas<strong>the</strong>Fed<strong>and</strong>primarysecuritiesdealers.<br />

<br />

The Fed participates in <strong>the</strong> repo market mainly to implement its monetary policy;<br />

primary securities dealers participate mostly to finance <strong>the</strong>ir marketmaking <strong>and</strong> risk<br />

managementactivities.On<strong>the</strong>o<strong>the</strong>rh<strong>and</strong>,owners<strong>of</strong>largeamounts<strong>of</strong>idlecashengagein<strong>the</strong><br />

repo market mainly <strong>for</strong> two reasons: (1) to get better interest rates in <strong>the</strong> repo market<br />

compared with deposits at commercial banks, <strong>and</strong> (2) <strong>for</strong> insurance purposes; while large<br />

depositsatcommercialbanksarenotinsured,depositsat“repobanks”aresecuredbydebt<br />

usedascollateral.<br />

<br />

III.IEvolution<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>U.S.RepoMarket<br />

<br />

Thereposwereintroducedto<strong>the</strong>U.S.financialmarketby<strong>the</strong>FederalReservein1917.<br />

Reposallowed<strong>the</strong>Fedtoextendcredittoitsmemberbanks,afterawartimetaxoninterest<br />

paymentsoncommercialpaperhadmadeitdifficult<strong>for</strong>bankstoraisefundsin<strong>the</strong>commercial<br />

paper market. Later in <strong>the</strong> 1920s, <strong>the</strong> New York Fed used repos secured with bankers’<br />

acceptancestoextendcredittodealerstoencourage<strong>the</strong>development<strong>of</strong>aliquidsecondary<br />

market<strong>for</strong>acceptances.Reposfellfromgraceduring<strong>the</strong>GreatDepressionaftermassivebank<br />

failures <strong>and</strong> low interest rates, only to make a comeback after <strong>the</strong> TreasuryFederal Reserve<br />

Accord<strong>of</strong>1951“thatrenewedemphasisoncontrollinginflationra<strong>the</strong>rthankeepinginterest<br />

rateslow”(Garbade,2006).<br />

<br />

Early repos in <strong>the</strong> U.S. had two distinguishing features. First, accrued interest was<br />

excludedfrom<strong>the</strong>price<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>reposecurities.Second,eventhough<strong>the</strong>creditorcouldsellor<br />

deliver <strong>the</strong> repo securities to settle a prior sale at prices that included <strong>the</strong> accrued interest<br />

during<strong>the</strong>term<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong> repo,ownership<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong> reposecuritiesrestedwith<strong>the</strong>debtor. These<br />

features had <strong>the</strong> following implications: (1) <strong>the</strong> repo securities were underpriced; (2) <strong>the</strong><br />

creditor had to remit to <strong>the</strong> debtor any coupon payments on <strong>the</strong> repo securities during <strong>the</strong><br />

term<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>repo;<strong>and</strong>(3)in<strong>the</strong>event<strong>of</strong>abankruptcy<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>debtor,<strong>the</strong>reposecuritieswere<br />

subjecttoautomaticstay;thatis,<strong>the</strong>creditorcouldnottakeownership<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>reposecurities<br />

<strong>and</strong>sell<strong>the</strong>mimmediately. 13 Thesefeaturesremainedintactuntil<strong>the</strong>early1980s.<br />

<br />

13 However, <strong>the</strong>re appears to have been some deliberate vagueness about this until a government securities<br />

dealer,LombardWall,collapsedin1982,<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>FederalBankruptcyCourt<strong>of</strong>NewYorkimposedanautomatic<br />

stayon<strong>the</strong>reposecuritiesthatLombardWallhadusedascollateral.See:<br />

http://www.nytimes.com/1982/12/17/business/lombardwall.html<br />

Thispointhadalwaysbeenuncertainuntil<strong>the</strong>1982<strong>and</strong>1984amendmentstoCode11<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>U.S.Bankruptcy<br />

Code.Ina“truesale,”<strong>the</strong>buyerisnotsubjectto<strong>the</strong>automaticstay.Forinstance,ifanautomobiledealerbought<br />

acarfromGM<strong>the</strong>daybe<strong>for</strong>eitfiled<strong>for</strong>bankruptcy,itcouldresell<strong>the</strong>carwithoutasking<strong>for</strong>permission<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong><br />

court.However,if<strong>the</strong>dealwerefinancedbyGM,<strong>the</strong>dealerwouldneedacourtordertosell<strong>the</strong>car.Therepo<br />

<br />

15


During <strong>the</strong> period <strong>of</strong> high inflation in <strong>the</strong> 1970s <strong>and</strong> early 1980s, rising shortterm<br />

interestratesmadereposahighlyattractiveshortterminvestmenttoholders<strong>of</strong>largeamounts<br />

<strong>of</strong> idle cash. Increasing numbers <strong>of</strong> corporations, local <strong>and</strong> state governments, <strong>and</strong> at <strong>the</strong><br />

encouragement <strong>of</strong> securities dealers, even school districts <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r small creditors started<br />

depositing <strong>the</strong>ir idle cash in “repo banks” to earn interest ra<strong>the</strong>r than depositing money in<br />

commercial banks that did not pay interest on dem<strong>and</strong> deposits. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> U.S.<br />

Treasurystartedborrowingheavilyafter1974,eventuallychanging<strong>the</strong>status<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>U.S.froma<br />

creditortoadebtornation<strong>and</strong>increasing<strong>the</strong>volume<strong>of</strong>marketableTreasurydebtsignificantly.<br />

Thisledtoaparallelgrowthingovernmentsecuritiesdealers’positions<strong>and</strong>financing,<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong><br />

repomarketgrewbyleaps<strong>and</strong>bounds.Figure1depicts<strong>the</strong>size<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>marketfromJanuary<br />

1970toJanuary1986,asreportedby<strong>the</strong>FederalReserveBoard.<br />

<br />

The first important change to repo contracts came after <strong>the</strong> spectacular collapse <strong>of</strong><br />

Drysdale Government Securities Inc. in 1982. Despite its limited equity, Drysdale had been<br />

acquiring substantial amounts <strong>of</strong> debt securities through reverse repos <strong>and</strong> at prices that<br />

excluded <strong>the</strong> accrued interest. Drysdale <strong>the</strong>n short sold <strong>the</strong>se securities to third parties at<br />

prices that included <strong>the</strong> accrued interest. Drysdale used <strong>the</strong> surplus thus generated to raise<br />

morecapital<strong>and</strong>tomakeinterestpaymentstoitsreverserepocounterparties.However,when<br />

interestratesmovedagainstDrysdaleinMay1982,<strong>the</strong>cumulativelossesonitsinterestrate<br />

betsdepleteditscapital.OnMay17,1982,Drysdalefailedtopay<strong>the</strong>intereston<strong>the</strong>securities<br />

ithadborrowed.Whenthatnewshit<strong>the</strong>repomarket,itcametoanearhalt,<strong>for</strong>cing<strong>the</strong>Fedto<br />

intervene as a lender <strong>of</strong> last resort to calm fears <strong>and</strong> prevent a collapse. This near collapse<br />

exposed <strong>the</strong> systemic risk associated with <strong>the</strong> exclusion <strong>of</strong> accrued interest, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>e,<br />

largelyat<strong>the</strong>encouragement<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>FederalReserveBank<strong>of</strong>NewYork,inclusion<strong>of</strong>accrued<br />

interestin<strong>the</strong>invoiceprice<strong>of</strong>reposecuritiesbecamest<strong>and</strong>ardmarketpractice(<strong>for</strong>details,see<br />

Garbade,2006).<br />

<br />

The foundation <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> second important change in repo contracts was laid when<br />

ano<strong>the</strong>rgovernmentsecuritiesdealer,LombardWall,with$2billioninassets<strong>and</strong>comparable<br />

liabilities, collapsed three months later in August 1982. Prior to LombardWall’s August 12,<br />

1982,filingwith<strong>the</strong>FederalBankruptcyCourt<strong>of</strong>NewYork,<strong>the</strong>rehadbeennoprecedentcourt<br />

case in which <strong>the</strong> question <strong>of</strong> whe<strong>the</strong>r repos were secured loans or independent sale <strong>and</strong><br />

repurchaseagreementswasdirectlyaddressed.Ifreposwereclassifiedassale<strong>and</strong>repurchase<br />

agreements,<strong>the</strong>ncreditorscouldtakeimmediatepossession<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>reposecurities;if,on<strong>the</strong><br />

o<strong>the</strong>rh<strong>and</strong>,<strong>the</strong>ywereclassifiedassecuredloans,<strong>the</strong>nreposecuritieswouldhavebeensubject<br />

toautomaticstay.OnAugust17,1982,<strong>the</strong>FederalBankruptcyCourt<strong>of</strong>NewYorkannounced<br />

thatLombardWall’sreposweresecuredloans<strong>and</strong>issuedarestrainingorderprohibiting<strong>the</strong><br />

sale<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>sereposecurities.Althoughsubmissionsby<strong>the</strong>FederalReserveBank<strong>of</strong>NewYork<br />

<br />

transactions are structured <strong>for</strong>mally as a true sale, free <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> automatic stay. The question was, <strong>and</strong> still is,<br />

whe<strong>the</strong>r courts would reclassify it as a secured transaction. Be<strong>for</strong>e 1982/4, this would inflict <strong>the</strong> stay on <strong>the</strong><br />

collateraltaker.After1982/4,itwouldonlyaffect<strong>the</strong>rights<strong>of</strong>asecuredparty,whicharemorelimitedthan<strong>the</strong><br />

rights<strong>of</strong>abuyer.<br />

<br />

16


<strong>and</strong>severalo<strong>the</strong>rsarguedthatthisdecisionwouldundermine<strong>the</strong>liquidity<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>repomarket,<br />

<strong>the</strong>courtreaffirmeditsdecisionamonthlater(Garbade,2006).Thisremoved<strong>the</strong>vagueness<br />

associated with whe<strong>the</strong>r repos were secured loans or independent sale <strong>and</strong> repurchase<br />

agreements. Despite this ruling, investment banks, mutual funds <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r large financial<br />

institutions favored <strong>the</strong> exception <strong>of</strong> repo securities from <strong>the</strong> application <strong>of</strong> automatic stay,<br />

although<strong>the</strong>yseemedunwillingtowritecontractsthatclearlystatedthatarepowasapair<strong>of</strong><br />

outrightsale<strong>and</strong>repurchasetransactions. 14 <br />

<br />

Debatescontinueduntilano<strong>the</strong>rsecuritiesdealer,LionCapitalGroup,collapsedinMay<br />

1984, <strong>and</strong> a bankruptcy court placed an automatic stay on Lion’s repo securities. 15 Shortly<br />

<strong>the</strong>reafter, Congress ended <strong>the</strong> debates about <strong>the</strong> classification <strong>of</strong> repos by enacting <strong>the</strong><br />

BankruptcyAmendments<strong>and</strong>FederalJudgeshipAct<strong>of</strong>1984,exemptingreposonTreasury<strong>and</strong><br />

federal agency securities, as well as those on bank certificates <strong>of</strong> deposit <strong>and</strong> bankers’<br />

acceptances,from<strong>the</strong>application<strong>of</strong>automaticstay.Since<strong>the</strong>n,reposon<strong>the</strong>sesecuritieshave<br />

beenexemptfromautomaticstay.<br />

<br />

Dealerdeliveryfailuresin<strong>the</strong>1980salsogaveriseto<strong>the</strong>emergence<strong>of</strong>“tripartyrepos,”<br />

in which <strong>the</strong> counterparties used a third agent, called <strong>the</strong> triparty agent, to manage <strong>the</strong><br />

collateral. The triparty agent ensured that <strong>the</strong> collateral pledged was sufficient <strong>and</strong> met<br />

eligibilityrequirements,<strong>and</strong>allpartiesagreedtouse<strong>the</strong>collateralpricessuppliedby<strong>the</strong>tri<br />

partyagent.Today,<strong>the</strong>reareonlytwotripartyagentsin<strong>the</strong>U.S.,called<strong>the</strong>“tripartyclearing<br />

banks”:Bank<strong>of</strong>NewYorkMellon<strong>and</strong>JPMorganChase.Tripartyreposbecamepopularpartly<br />

because<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>seefficiencygainsassociatedwith<strong>the</strong>intermediationrole<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>clearingbanks.<br />

Indeed, <strong>the</strong> efficiency gains, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> fact that so many institutions use it, are among <strong>the</strong><br />

reasons <strong>the</strong> Federal Reserve uses <strong>the</strong> triparty repo market to implement monetary policy<br />

(Copel<strong>and</strong>,Martin<strong>and</strong>Walker,2010).However,because<strong>the</strong>setwoclearingbankshaveahuge<br />

amount <strong>of</strong> exposure on an intraday basis, regulators expressed concerns that fears <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

financialhealth<strong>of</strong>amajordealerorclearingbankcouldquicklyspreadcontagionthroughout<br />

<strong>the</strong> market. Indeed, <strong>the</strong> Fed’s decision to extend its lender <strong>of</strong> last resort support to <strong>the</strong><br />

systemicallyimportantprimarydealersduring<strong>the</strong>recentfinancialcrisisthrough<strong>the</strong>socalled<br />

“PrimaryDealerCreditFacility”(PDCF)waspartlyaresult<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>seconcerns.<br />

<br />

The “triparty settlement” is one <strong>of</strong> two settlement methods used in <strong>the</strong> U.S. 16 The<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r is <strong>the</strong> “delivery versus payment” (DVP) method. For example, <strong>the</strong> Federal Reserve’s<br />

reverse repos are settled via <strong>the</strong> DVP method, wherein securities are moved against<br />

simultaneouspayment.TheFederalReservesendscollateralto<strong>the</strong>clearingbank<strong>of</strong>itsreverse<br />

repocounterparty,triggeringasimultaneousmovement<strong>of</strong>moneyagainst<strong>the</strong>collateralon<strong>the</strong><br />

saledate.On<strong>the</strong>purchasedate,<strong>the</strong>counterpartysends<strong>the</strong>collateralbackto<strong>the</strong>Fed,which<br />

triggers<strong>the</strong>simultaneousreturn<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>counterparty’sfunds.Suchrepotransactionsarecalled<br />

<br />

14 Evenif<strong>the</strong>ydid,acourtwouldbefreetoreclassify<strong>the</strong>m.<br />

15 “LionCapital’sCollapseRaisesIssue<strong>of</strong>UnresolvedLegalStatus<strong>of</strong>‘Repos’”,WallStreetJournal,May8,1984.<br />

16 SeeCopel<strong>and</strong>,Davis,LeSeur<strong>and</strong>Martin(2012)<strong>for</strong>anexcellentyetbriefoverview<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>U.S.RepoMarket,as<strong>of</strong><br />

June252012.<br />

<br />

17


ilateral repo transactions. Dealers also use DVP repos to obtain funding. However, because<br />

DVPreposarenotasconvenientastripartyrepos,<strong>the</strong>yarebelievedtorepresentasmallshare<br />

<strong>of</strong>dealerfunding(Copel<strong>and</strong>,Martin<strong>and</strong>Walker,2010).Thereisalso<strong>the</strong>GCFrepomarket<br />

dealers use to exchange cash <strong>and</strong> general collateral with each o<strong>the</strong>r (Fleming <strong>and</strong> Garbade,<br />

2003), as well as an interdealer repo market <strong>for</strong> less liquid collateral (Gorton <strong>and</strong> Metrick,<br />

2009).<br />

Although<strong>the</strong>repomarketgrewrapidlyafter<strong>the</strong>BankruptcyAmendments<strong>and</strong>Federal<br />

Judgeship Act <strong>of</strong> 1984, until <strong>the</strong> mid1990s it remained confined mostly to U.S. government<br />

debt, federal agency debt, corporate debt, <strong>and</strong> federal agency mortgagebacked securities.<br />

However,since<strong>the</strong>mid1990s,ithasgrowntoincludeabroadrange<strong>of</strong>debtinstrumentsas<br />

collateral:alltypes<strong>of</strong>privatelabelMBS,suchasresidentialmortgagebackedsecurities(RMBS)<br />

<strong>and</strong>commercialmortgagebackedsecurities(CMBS);alltypes<strong>of</strong>assetbackedsecurities(ABS),<br />

suchasautomobileloans,creditcards<strong>and</strong>studentloans;<strong>and</strong>tranches<strong>of</strong>structuredproducts<br />

such as collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs), collateralized loan obligations (CLOs),<br />

collateralizeddebtobligations(CDOs),<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>like(seeGorton,2009a).<br />

<br />

Thelastsignificantchangeto<strong>the</strong>repocontractingconventionscamein2005.InApril<br />

2005, Congress enacted <strong>the</strong> Bankruptcy Abuse Prevention <strong>and</strong> Consumer Protection Act <strong>of</strong><br />

2005 (BAPCPA), which took effect in October 2005. BAPCPA exp<strong>and</strong>ed <strong>the</strong> definition <strong>of</strong><br />

repurchase agreements to include mortgage loans, mortgagerelated securities, <strong>and</strong> interest<br />

frommortgageloansormortgagerelatedsecurities.Thismeantthatas<strong>of</strong>October2005,repo<br />

contractsonevenMBS,CMOs,CMBS,<strong>and</strong>CDOsbackedbymortgages<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>likeascollateral,<br />

becameexemptfromautomaticstay.Wesummarize<strong>the</strong>milestonesin<strong>the</strong>evolution<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>U.S.<br />

repomarketinBox1.<br />

<br />

Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, although repos collateralized by o<strong>the</strong>r financial securities such as<br />

corporate bonds, municipal loans <strong>and</strong> equities are excluded from <strong>the</strong> Bankruptcy Code<br />

definition<strong>of</strong>“repurchaseagreements”<strong>and</strong>hencedonotqualify<strong>for</strong>exemptionfromautomatic<br />

stay<strong>for</strong>“repurchaseagreements”,since<strong>the</strong>yqualifyas“securitiescontracts”,<strong>the</strong>yaresubject<br />

tosafeharborfromautomaticstay<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>QFCsdiscussedin<strong>the</strong>previoussection.Tosumup,<br />

alltransactionsthatfallunder<strong>the</strong>umbrella<strong>of</strong>reposwilllikelybeexemptfrom<strong>the</strong>automatic<br />

stay in bankruptcy ei<strong>the</strong>r as "repos" or as "securities contracts" <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>e all repo<br />

transactionscanbeliquidatedfollowingabankruptcyfiling.<br />

<br />

No <strong>of</strong>ficial statistics <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> actual size <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> repo market have been collected since<br />

inclusion<strong>of</strong>almostalltypes<strong>of</strong>securitizeddebtascollateralwasallowedinrepoagreements.<br />

There<strong>for</strong>e,<strong>the</strong>reisno<strong>of</strong>ficialin<strong>for</strong>mationon<strong>the</strong>evolution<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>size<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>repomarketover<br />

<strong>the</strong>pastquarter<strong>of</strong>acentury.Figure2depicts<strong>the</strong>evolution<strong>of</strong>financingbyprimarydealersin<br />

<strong>the</strong> U.S. government securities market from 1996 through 2011 <strong>and</strong> <strong>of</strong>fers a feel <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

exponentialgrowth<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>repomarketsince<strong>the</strong>mid1990s.Meanwhile,Figure3,reproduced<br />

from<strong>the</strong>FRBNYTaskForceonTriPartyInfrastructureWhitePaper(2010),show<strong>the</strong>growth<strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>tripartyrepomarketfromMay2002throughMay2010.<br />

<br />

<br />

18


III.2RepoMarket<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>Crisis<strong>of</strong>200709<br />

Thefinancialcrisis<strong>of</strong>20072009wasacrisisnotonly<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>traditionalbanks,butalso<strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>shadowbanks. 17 Unliketraditionalbanks,shadowbanksdidnothaveaccessto<strong>the</strong>safety<br />

netsdesignedtopreventwholesalerunsonbanks–depositinsurance<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>centralbankas<br />

<strong>the</strong>lender<strong>of</strong>lastresort–until2008.Although<strong>the</strong>rewasnowholesalerunon<strong>the</strong>traditional<br />

bankingsysteminthisperiod,weeffectivelyobservedarunonshadowbanksthatledto<strong>the</strong><br />

demise<strong>of</strong>asignificantpart<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>shadowbankingsystem.Sincerep<strong>of</strong>inancingwas<strong>the</strong>basis<strong>of</strong><br />

most<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>leveragedpositions<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>shadowbanks,alargepart<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>runoccurredin<strong>the</strong><br />

repo market. O<strong>the</strong>r important runs that occurred in this period were on mortgage lenders,<br />

assetbacked commercial paper (ABCP) programs, structured investment vehicles (SIVs), <strong>and</strong><br />

moneymarketfunds.<br />

<br />

When <strong>the</strong> housing market changed course in <strong>the</strong> first quarter <strong>of</strong> 2006, <strong>the</strong> subprime<br />

mortgage market began to deteriorate. The first casualty <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> continued weakness in <strong>the</strong><br />

housingmarketwasin<strong>the</strong><strong>for</strong>m<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>collapse<strong>of</strong>twohighlyleveredBearStearnshedgefunds<br />

thatinvestedinsubprimemortgagesonJune20,2007.Thecollapse<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>setwohedgefunds<br />

wasindeedarunonashadowbankin<strong>the</strong>repomarket.Thetw<strong>of</strong>unds(one<strong>of</strong>whichatitspeak<br />

was levered ten times its equity) were speculating mostly in CDOs on subprime mortgages,<br />

borrowedfundsin<strong>the</strong>repomarket<strong>and</strong>pledged<strong>the</strong>irCDOsascollateral.<br />

<br />

With<strong>the</strong>deterioration<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>subprimemarketin<strong>the</strong>firsthalf<strong>of</strong>2007,creditorsbegan<br />

asking<strong>the</strong>twoBearStearnsfundstopostmorecollateraltoback<strong>the</strong>reposbymidJune2007.<br />

When<strong>the</strong>fundsfailedtomeet<strong>the</strong>semargincalls,creditors,ledbyMerrillLynch,threatenedto<br />

declare<strong>the</strong>fundsindefault<strong>of</strong>repoagreements<strong>and</strong>seize<strong>the</strong>investments.Infact,onJune19,<br />

2007,Merrillseized$850million<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>CDOs<strong>and</strong>triedtoauction<strong>the</strong>m.WhenMerrillwasable<br />

to sell only about $100 million worth <strong>of</strong> CDOs, <strong>the</strong> illiquid nature <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> declining value <strong>of</strong><br />

subprime assets became evident. Bloomberg reported that at least seven o<strong>the</strong>r lenders,<br />

includingLehmanBro<strong>the</strong>rs<strong>and</strong>DeutscheBank,alsocirculatedlists<strong>of</strong>CDOs<strong>and</strong>o<strong>the</strong>rbonds<br />

that <strong>the</strong>y were planning to sell. This shadow bank run <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> systemic crisis that followed<br />

illustrate<strong>the</strong>significance<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>exemption<strong>of</strong>reposecuritiesfrom<strong>the</strong>application<strong>of</strong>automatic<br />

stay;had<strong>the</strong>reposecuritiesbeensubjecttoautomaticstay(oralternativesproposedbelow),<br />

<strong>the</strong>BearStearnsfundscouldhavefiled<strong>for</strong>bankruptcy<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong><strong>for</strong>cedfiresale<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>irassets<br />

couldhavebeenavoided.<br />

<br />

Eventually,<strong>the</strong>subprimemortgagedeclinebecamesystemic.InearlyAugust2007,arun<br />

ensued on <strong>the</strong> assets <strong>of</strong> three SIVs <strong>of</strong> BNP Paribas. On August 9, BNP Paribas suspended<br />

redemptions from <strong>the</strong>se SIVs. BNP Paribas’s SIVs were bankruptcyremote entities financing<br />

<strong>the</strong>irsubprimeholdingsthrough<strong>the</strong>issuance<strong>of</strong>ABCPsthathadessentiallylost<strong>the</strong>irliquidity<br />

<br />

17 Ashadowbankisanonbankfinancialinstitutionthatbehaveslikeabank,borrowsshortterminrolloverdebt<br />

markets,leveragesitselfsignificantly,<strong>and</strong>lends<strong>and</strong>investsinlongerterminilliquidassets.Unlikebanks,however,<br />

<strong>the</strong>shadowbanksaremuchlessregulated(Acharya<strong>and</strong>Öncü,2010).<br />

<br />

19


<strong>and</strong> became nontradable. The announcement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> suspension <strong>of</strong> redemptions by BNP<br />

Paribas gave rise to counterparty risk concerns <strong>and</strong> caused <strong>the</strong> ABCP market to freeze. This<br />

freezecoincidedwith<strong>the</strong>firstmajorjumpin<strong>the</strong>LIBOISspread.Whenfears<strong>of</strong>counterparty<br />

riskspreadthroughmarkets,allshorttermdebtmarketsincluding<strong>the</strong>repomarketfroze,<br />

only to open after central banks injected massive amounts <strong>of</strong> liquidity into <strong>the</strong> system (see<br />

Acharya<strong>and</strong>Richardson,2009).<br />

<br />

Basedonadatasetobtainedfromdealerbanks,Gorton<strong>and</strong>Metrick(2009)studied<strong>the</strong><br />

repo spreads <strong>and</strong> haircuts <strong>for</strong> various types <strong>of</strong> repo securities. The spreads <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> haircuts<br />

reportedin<strong>the</strong>irworkareonly<strong>for</strong>dealers;nondealercounterpartiesmayhavebeensubjectto<br />

o<strong>the</strong>rspreads<strong>and</strong>haircuts.Therepospreadsare<strong>the</strong>spreadsbetween<strong>the</strong>threemonthrepo<br />

<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>threemonthOISrates.Theirresultsdemonstrateclearlyhowacrisisthatstartedin<strong>the</strong><br />

subprime market spread like a wildfire to o<strong>the</strong>r types <strong>of</strong> comparable nontransparent<br />

securitizeddebt,suchasautomobile,creditcard<strong>and</strong>studentloanassetbackedsecurities,as<br />

wellas<strong>the</strong>highcreditratedstructuredproducts,suchasAAA<strong>and</strong>AAratedCLOs<strong>and</strong>CDOs.<br />

<br />

AsGorton<strong>and</strong>Metrickclaim,<strong>the</strong>increasinghaircutsin<strong>the</strong>interdealerrepomarketmay<br />

be interpreted as a run on shadow banks. Figure 4, reproduced from Gorton <strong>and</strong> Metrick<br />

(2009b),showshowthatrunevolved.Thedata<strong>the</strong>yexamineare<strong>the</strong>interdealerrepohaircuts<br />

<strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> following asset classes: (1) AAAA Auto/Credit card/Student loan ABS; (2) AAAAA<br />

RMBS/CMBS; (3)


Consider <strong>for</strong> instance <strong>the</strong> “run” onBear Stearns. 18 As an intrinsic part <strong>of</strong> its business,<br />

Bear Stearns relied daytoday on its ability to obtain shortterm finance through secured<br />

borrowing. At this time, Bear was reported to be financing $85 billion <strong>of</strong> assets, primarily<br />

mortgagebacked securities (MBS), on <strong>the</strong> overnight market (Cohan, 2009). Beginning late<br />

Monday,March10 th ,rumorsspreadaboutliquidityproblemsatBearStearns.Counterparties<br />

became unwilling to lend on customary terms. In particular, Federated <strong>and</strong> Fidelity – two<br />

moneymarketsusuallyrollingover$5billioneach<strong>of</strong>rep<strong>of</strong>inancingtoBear–didnotrollover.<br />

Thisunwillingnesst<strong>of</strong>undonasecuredbasisplacedenormousstresson<strong>the</strong>liquidity<strong>of</strong>Bear<br />

Stearns.OnTuesday,March11,<strong>the</strong>holdingcompanyliquiditypooldeclinedfrom$18.1billion<br />

to$11.5billion(seeFigure5).OnThursday,March13,BearStearns'liquiditypoolfellsharply<br />

<strong>and</strong>continuedt<strong>of</strong>allonFriday.In<strong>the</strong>end,<strong>the</strong>fear<strong>of</strong>rep<strong>of</strong>inanciersthat<strong>the</strong>ywouldbeleft<br />

withhighlyilliquidMBScollateraltosellin<strong>the</strong>marketledtoa“run”<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>nearfailure<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong><br />

firm<strong>and</strong>waseventuallysoldwithassistance<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>FederalReservetoJPMorgan.Incontrast<br />

to<strong>the</strong>smoothlyrisinghaircutsin<strong>the</strong>bilateralrepomarketshowninFigure4,financingterms<br />

<strong>for</strong> Bear Stearns in <strong>the</strong> triparty repo system did not rise dramatically, but it experienced a<br />

sudden freeze or a “run” from some <strong>of</strong> its largest repo financiers who feared acquiring <strong>the</strong><br />

underlyingcollateral<strong>and</strong>firesellingitinanilliquidmarket.<br />

<br />

AfterBearStearnscollapsedinMarch2008,<strong>the</strong>Fedintroduceditsmostradicalchange<br />

inmonetarypolicysince<strong>the</strong>GreatDepressionbyextendingitslender<strong>of</strong>lastresortsupportto<br />

<strong>the</strong> systemically important primary dealers through <strong>the</strong> new Primary Dealer Credit Facility<br />

(PDCF).However,eventhisextension<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>lender<strong>of</strong>lastresortfacilitydidnotprevent<strong>the</strong>run<br />

on Lehman Bro<strong>the</strong>rs, as investors realized that this support was not unconditional <strong>and</strong><br />

unlimited(seeAcharyaetal,2009). 19 <br />

<br />

Indeed, using data collected by <strong>the</strong> FRBNY to document quantitative features <strong>of</strong> this<br />

market, Copel<strong>and</strong>, Martin <strong>and</strong> Walker (2010) studied <strong>the</strong> triparty repo market <strong>and</strong><br />

demonstratedthathaircutsin<strong>the</strong>tripartyrepomarketbarelymovedduring<strong>the</strong>crisis.They<br />

foundthatboth<strong>the</strong>level<strong>of</strong>haircuts<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>amount<strong>of</strong>fundingweresurprisinglystableinthis<br />

marketduring<strong>the</strong>periodfromJuly2008toearly2010<strong>for</strong>which<strong>the</strong>yhaddata. 20 Although<strong>the</strong><br />

stability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> margins was in contrast to evidence from o<strong>the</strong>r repo markets, <strong>the</strong>y provided<br />

evidence that “this apparent stability did not prevent <strong>the</strong> triparty repo market from<br />

contributing to <strong>the</strong> problems experienced by Lehman Bro<strong>the</strong>rs, … The available evidence<br />

suggeststhatrunsin<strong>the</strong>tripartyrepomarketmayoccurprecipitously,moreliketraditional<br />

bankruns,ra<strong>the</strong>rthanmanifest<strong>the</strong>mselvesin<strong>the</strong><strong>for</strong>m<strong>of</strong>largeincreasesinmargins.”Figure6,<br />

<br />

18 The discussion that follows is based on <strong>the</strong> Securities <strong>and</strong> ExchangeCommission press release on March 20,<br />

2008 entitled, “Chairman Cox Letter to <strong>the</strong> Basel Committee in Support <strong>of</strong> New Guidance on Liquidity<br />

Management,”availableat:http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2008/200848.htm<br />

19 While<strong>the</strong>largesthaircutjumpinFigure4correspondsto<strong>the</strong>collapse<strong>of</strong>LehmanonSeptember15,2008,<strong>the</strong><br />

secondlargestjump,whichcamein<strong>the</strong>summer<strong>of</strong>2008,correspondstotraditionalbankrunsonlikelyinsolvent<br />

bankinginstitutions,suchasIndyMac,WashingtonMutual<strong>and</strong>Wachovia.<br />

20 This finding is also corroborated in Krishnamurthy, Nagel <strong>and</strong> Orlov (2011), who also attribute <strong>the</strong> relative<br />

stability<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>tripartyrepomarketto<strong>the</strong>substitute<strong>for</strong>rep<strong>of</strong>undingprovidedbyFedinitiatedliquidityfacilities<br />

againstilliquidcollateral,especiallyfollowing<strong>the</strong>collapse<strong>of</strong>BearStearns.<br />

<br />

21


eproducedfromCopel<strong>and</strong>,Martin<strong>and</strong>Walker(2010),providesafeel<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>runonLehmanin<br />

<strong>the</strong> triparty repo market <strong>the</strong>y documented (see, Copel<strong>and</strong>, Martin <strong>and</strong> Walker, 2010, <strong>for</strong><br />

details).<br />

<br />

With <strong>the</strong> Lehman bankruptcy on September 15, 2008, <strong>the</strong> repo market on even U.S.<br />

government debt, federal agency debt, corporate debt <strong>and</strong> federal agency mortgagebacked<br />

securities came to a near halt, <strong>and</strong> settlement fails <strong>of</strong> primary dealers skyrocketed. Table 1<br />

showsaquarterlysummary<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>primarydealersettlementfailsfrom<strong>the</strong>firstquarter<strong>of</strong>2007<br />

to<strong>the</strong>lastquarter<strong>of</strong>2009.Figure7providesaquarterlysummary<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>effects<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>runon<br />

<strong>the</strong>repomarketon<strong>the</strong>financing<strong>of</strong>primarydealersafterLehman’scollapse.Asshown,itwas<br />

<strong>the</strong> borrowing ability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> primary dealers that went down significantly, not <strong>the</strong>ir lending<br />

ability. Since this may be interpreted as large withdrawals from <strong>the</strong> brokerdealer shadow<br />

banksin<strong>the</strong>repomarket,Figure7alsoillustrates<strong>the</strong>disappearingconfidencein<strong>the</strong>shadow<br />

banking system <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> severity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> run on shadow banks. When <strong>the</strong> Fed <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> U.S.<br />

governmentletLehmancollapse,<strong>the</strong>nextinline<strong>for</strong>arun,MerrillLynch,hadtomergewith<br />

Bank <strong>of</strong> America. Shortly <strong>the</strong>reafter, <strong>the</strong> two remaining independent brokerdealers, Morgan<br />

Stanley <strong>and</strong> Goldman Sachs, were <strong>for</strong>ced to convert to bank holding companies <strong>and</strong> were<br />

<strong>for</strong>mallyputundersupervision<strong>and</strong>regulation<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>FederalReserve.Infact,<strong>the</strong>entireWall<br />

Street system <strong>of</strong> independent brokerdealers collapsed in a matter <strong>of</strong> seven months (see<br />

Acharyaetal,2009).<br />

<br />

III.3ACase<strong>for</strong>Re<strong>for</strong>ming<strong>the</strong>RepoMarket<br />

As Acharya <strong>and</strong> Krishnamurthy (2010) clarify, <strong>the</strong> primary issue with financing risky<br />

securities(suchasmortgagebackedsecurities)throughrepomarketsisthatsuchfinancingis<br />

likelyt<strong>of</strong>reezeorexperiencestressintimes<strong>of</strong>aggregate(economyorfinancialsectorwide)<br />

stress,<strong>and</strong>on<strong>the</strong>irown,financialfirmsdonothave<strong>the</strong>incentivetointernalize<strong>the</strong>costs<strong>of</strong><br />

such a freeze or stress. By virtue <strong>of</strong> being secured <strong>and</strong> typically shortterm financing<br />

arrangements,repomarkets,by<strong>and</strong>large,functionsmoothly;ino<strong>the</strong>rwords,reposusuallyget<br />

rolledover.When<strong>the</strong>underlyingassets,suchasTreasuryoragencydebt,areessentiallysafe,<br />

<strong>the</strong>rep<strong>of</strong>inancierisundeterredfromrollingover<strong>the</strong>financingeveninstressfultimes.Indeed,<br />

Treasury<strong>and</strong>agencydebtmightevenexperienceaflighttosafetyinsuchtimes.<br />

<br />

Incontrast,if<strong>the</strong>underlyingcollateralisamortgagebackedsecurity<strong>and</strong>aneconomic<br />

downturn ensues, <strong>the</strong> risk <strong>of</strong> an already illiquid market <strong>for</strong> MBS gets compounded; this is<br />

becausemany financialinstitutions’ portfolios are crowded with MBS or have lost capital. In<br />

thisscenario,rep<strong>of</strong>inanciersrun<strong>the</strong>realrisk<strong>of</strong>being<strong>for</strong>cedtosell<strong>the</strong>ircollateralinilliquid<br />

markets.Therep<strong>of</strong>inanciermayrespondbyraising<strong>the</strong>requiredhaircutorsimplyrefusingto<br />

rollover.Theresultingfallinrep<strong>of</strong>inancingabilityagainst<strong>the</strong>collateralisperverse,asitsetsup<br />

anadversedynamic:Thefuturebuyers<strong>of</strong>assetsanticipatethat<strong>the</strong>yarelikelyt<strong>of</strong>acesteep<br />

haircutstoo<strong>and</strong>thuswillnot<strong>of</strong>ferattractiveprices<strong>for</strong>assets;inturn,<strong>the</strong>collateral’sabilityto<br />

be financed with repo today falls even fur<strong>the</strong>r. A complete market freeze can arise as it did<br />

<br />

22


during<strong>the</strong>crisis<strong>of</strong>20072009.Indeed,inhisanalysis<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>failure<strong>of</strong>BearStearns,<strong>the</strong>Federal<br />

ReserveChairmanBenBernankeobserved: 21 <br />

<br />

“[U]ntil recently, shortterm repos had always been regarded as virtually riskfree<br />

instruments<strong>and</strong>thuslargelyimmuneto<strong>the</strong>type<strong>of</strong>rolloverorwithdrawalrisksassociatedwith<br />

shorttermunsecuredobligations.InMarch,rapidlyunfoldingeventsdemonstratedthateven<br />

repo markets could be severely disrupted when investors believe <strong>the</strong>y might need to sell <strong>the</strong><br />

underlyingcollateralinilliquidmarkets.Such<strong>for</strong>cedassetsalescansetupaparticularlyadverse<br />

dynamic,inwhichfur<strong>the</strong>rsubstantialpricedeclinesfaninvestorconcernsaboutcounterparty<br />

creditrisk,which<strong>the</strong>nfeedbackin<strong>the</strong><strong>for</strong>m<strong>of</strong>intensifyingfundingpressures…[F]utureliquidity<br />

planningwillhavetotakeintoaccount<strong>the</strong>possibility<strong>of</strong>asuddenloss<strong>of</strong>substantialamounts<strong>of</strong><br />

securedfinancing.”<br />

<br />

To summarize, unlike <strong>the</strong> liquidity risk that unsecured financing may become<br />

unavailabletoafirm(arisklargelyspecificto<strong>the</strong>creditrisk<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>firm),<strong>the</strong>liquidityriskthat<br />

secured repo financing may become unavailable to a firm is inherently a systemic risk,<br />

materializingincircumstanceswhereo<strong>the</strong>rfinancialfirmsarealsoexperiencingstress<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong><br />

markets<strong>for</strong>assetsheldpredominantlyby<strong>the</strong>financialsectorarerenderedilliquid.Thisleadsto<br />

<strong>the</strong>problemthatwhileingoodtimes,financialfirmsmaynotfullyinternalize<strong>the</strong>costsimposed<br />

on<strong>the</strong>systembybeingexcessivelyfinancedthroughshorttermrepomarkets,inbadtimes,<br />

<strong>the</strong>y charge excessively high haircuts on repo financing <strong>and</strong> do not internalize <strong>the</strong> pecuniary<br />

externalities imposed on o<strong>the</strong>r firms through <strong>the</strong> resulting fire sales <strong>of</strong> assets. Indeed, to<br />

supportfinancialfirmsfacingarep<strong>of</strong>reezeortosupport<strong>the</strong>assetsdirectly,<strong>the</strong>likelylender<strong>of</strong><br />

last resort would only accentuate a problem that firms ignore in good times namely, <strong>the</strong><br />

systemicriskassociatedwithrep<strong>of</strong>inancing.Viewedthisway,ingoodtimes,<strong>the</strong>reisacase<strong>for</strong><br />

subjectingrep<strong>of</strong>inancedriskysecuritiestoacapitalchargeeffectivelyaregulatoryhaircut<br />

whichtakesintoaccount<strong>the</strong>security’ssystemicrisk<strong>and</strong>maturitymismatchrelativeto<strong>the</strong>repo<br />

tenor. Equally important, <strong>the</strong>re is a case <strong>for</strong> a better design <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bankruptcy <strong>of</strong> a repo<br />

financeddebtorthansimplygrantingitsrep<strong>of</strong>inancier<strong>the</strong>fullrighttoseize<strong>the</strong>collateral<strong>and</strong><br />

liquidateitatwillinanilliquidmarket.<br />

<br />

IV.<strong>Proposal</strong><strong>for</strong>aRepo<strong>Resolution</strong>Authority<br />

Although <strong>the</strong> DFA is completely silent about how to re<strong>for</strong>m it, at least two attempts<br />

have been made to address weaknesses inherent in <strong>the</strong> repo market. The first <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se<br />

attemptswasmadeby<strong>the</strong>CommitteeonPayment<strong>and</strong>SettlementSystems(CPSS)<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>Basel<br />

CommitteeonBankingSupervision,whichundertakesspecificstudiesin<strong>the</strong>field<strong>of</strong>payment<br />

<strong>and</strong> settlement systems. The CPSS commissioned a working group on repo market<br />

infrastructure“toinvestigate<strong>the</strong>extenttowhich<strong>the</strong>clearing<strong>and</strong>settlementinfrastructure<strong>for</strong><br />

<br />

21 The quotes are based on Ben Bernanke's remarks to <strong>the</strong> Risk Transfer Mechanisms <strong>and</strong> Financial Stability<br />

Workshopat<strong>the</strong>Bank<strong>for</strong>InternationalSettlements,May29,2008.<br />

<br />

<br />

23


epos contributed to <strong>the</strong> instability evident in some repo markets” in June, 2009. 22 After a<br />

comprehensivesurvey<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>clearing<strong>and</strong>settlementarrangements<strong>for</strong>reposinselectedCPSS<br />

member countries, <strong>the</strong> working group published <strong>the</strong>ir report in September, 2010. 23 Their<br />

conclusionwasthatitwasworthwhile<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>stakeholdersineachmarkettoreviewhow<strong>the</strong><br />

clearing<strong>and</strong>settlementarrangements<strong>for</strong>reposcouldbefur<strong>the</strong>rstreng<strong>the</strong>ned.<br />

The second <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se attempts was made by <strong>the</strong> TriParty Repo Infrastructure Re<strong>for</strong>m<br />

TaskForce(“TaskForce”)whichwas<strong>for</strong>med“toaddressweaknessesthatbecamevisibleover<br />

<strong>the</strong> course <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> recent financial crisis” in September, 2009, under <strong>the</strong> auspices <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

Payments Risk Committee, a private sector body sponsored by <strong>the</strong> Federal Reserve Bank <strong>of</strong><br />

NewYork. 24 TheTaskForcepublisheditsfinalreportwithrecommendationstostreng<strong>the</strong>n<strong>the</strong><br />

infrastructuresupporting<strong>the</strong>tripartyrepomarketinMay,2010. 25 TheJuly6,2011,progress<br />

report <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Task Force indicated that although progress had been made in regards to<br />

implementing <strong>the</strong> re<strong>for</strong>ms recommended in May, 2010, <strong>the</strong>y were behind <strong>the</strong> schedule <strong>and</strong><br />

continuingtodevelop<strong>the</strong>remainingstepstoachieve<strong>the</strong>irobjectives. 26 Thefocus<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>Task<br />

Forcehadprimarilybeenon<strong>the</strong>issue<strong>of</strong>whe<strong>the</strong>rJPMorganChase<strong>and</strong>Bank<strong>of</strong>NewYork,<strong>the</strong><br />

tripartybrokers,extendcreditriskintraday,howthatriskcouldbemitigatedoradequately<br />

capitalized,<strong>and</strong>o<strong>the</strong>rintradayinfrastructureissues.TheTaskForcereleaseditsfinalreporton<br />

February15,2012<strong>and</strong>reportedthatdespitesignificantaccomplishments,<strong>the</strong>irultimategoal<strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>“practicalelimination”<strong>of</strong>intradaycreditextensionby<strong>the</strong>clearingbankswasyearsaway.<br />

Consequently, <strong>the</strong> Fed decided to explore additional policy options, including limitations on<br />

eligiblecollateral<strong>and</strong>a“facilityt<strong>of</strong>oster<strong>the</strong>orderlyliquidation<strong>of</strong>collateralin<strong>the</strong>event<strong>of</strong>a<br />

dealer’sdefault”(see,Tuckman,2012a<strong>for</strong>details). 27 <br />

On balance, <strong>the</strong> macroprudential issue <strong>of</strong> containing bankstyle runs in <strong>the</strong> repo<br />

markets <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> risk <strong>of</strong> firesale liquidations <strong>of</strong> illiquid collateral such as mortgagebacked<br />

securities has not been discussed substantially. On this macroprudential issue, possible<br />

re<strong>for</strong>ms<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>repomarketcanbeputintothreecategories:<br />

<br />

1) afullgovernmentguaranteescheme<strong>for</strong>repomarketliabilities;<br />

2) a full marketdiscipline scheme in which repo liabilities are not exempt from<br />

bankruptcy but subject to automatic stay as with secured borrowing contracts <strong>of</strong><br />

nonfinancialfirms;<strong>and</strong>,<br />

3) a combination <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> two. As we explain below, our preferred alternative is <strong>the</strong><br />

combinationbutwhereguaranteeextendedisin<strong>the</strong><strong>for</strong>m<strong>of</strong>atemporaryliquidity<br />

guarantee<strong>and</strong>itspotentialmoralhazardconsequencesarecontrolled<strong>for</strong>.<br />

<br />

22<br />

http://www.bis.org/cpss/index.htm<br />

23<br />

http://www.bis.org/publ/cpss91.htm<br />

24<br />

http://www.newyorkfed.org/tripartyrepo/<br />

25<br />

http://www.newyorkfed.org/banking/nyfrb_triparty_whitepaper.pdf<br />

26<br />

http://www.newyorkfed.org/tripartyrepo/pdf/PR_110706.pdf<br />

27<br />

Interestingly,“limitationsoneligiblecollateral<strong>and</strong>afacilityt<strong>of</strong>oster<strong>the</strong>orderlyliquidation<strong>of</strong>collateral”were<br />

among<strong>the</strong>policysuggestionswealsohadmadeinanearlierwork(see,Archarya<strong>and</strong>Öncü,2010).<br />

24


Atoneextreme,some(mostnotably,Gorton,2009)havesuggestedthatrep<strong>of</strong>inancing<br />

is akin to dem<strong>and</strong>able deposits in many ways <strong>and</strong> thus is similarly vulnerable to <strong>the</strong><br />

in<strong>for</strong>mationsensitive panics when adverse in<strong>for</strong>mation about underlying collateral (or<br />

counterparties)hitsmarkets.Hisproposalisthustotreatrep<strong>of</strong>inancinginasimilarway–that<br />

is, <strong>of</strong>fer federal deposit insurance to <strong>the</strong> repo contracts, at least against securities that are<br />

relatively “safe,” such as <strong>the</strong> supersenior tranches <strong>of</strong> securitization pools <strong>and</strong> “deposits”<br />

(technicallysavings)with<strong>the</strong>moneymarketfunds. Under thisproposal,itisrecognizedthat<br />

repo financing has <strong>the</strong> inherent systemic fragility akin to dem<strong>and</strong>able deposits, <strong>and</strong> in all<br />

likelihood,<strong>the</strong>governmentwouldendupbackinguprepocounterpartieswere<strong>the</strong>fragilityto<br />

materialize. Hence, by explicitly recognizing <strong>the</strong> guarantee upfront, it becomes possible to<br />

chargerep<strong>of</strong>inanciers<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>guarantee.Aswithanyinsurancepremium,<strong>the</strong>objectiveisnot<br />

justonlytocollectfees<strong>for</strong>anexpostguarantee,butalsogetrep<strong>of</strong>inancierstointernalize<strong>the</strong><br />

systemicfragilityinherentinrepocontracts.<br />

Atano<strong>the</strong>rextreme,o<strong>the</strong>rs(mostnotably,Roe,2009<strong>and</strong>Perotti,2010)haveproposed<br />

that repo financiers should not be allowed unrestricted access to collateral even in case <strong>of</strong><br />

default <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> counterparty. That is, <strong>the</strong>re should be some sort <strong>of</strong> “automatic stay” on repo<br />

financiers’ claims, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>y should join <strong>the</strong> bankruptcy <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> defaulting counterparty as a<br />

securedcreditor,asin<strong>the</strong>case<strong>of</strong>corporatebankruptcies.Therationale<strong>for</strong>thisistw<strong>of</strong>old:first,<br />

itprevents<strong>the</strong>systemicliquidityriskduet<strong>of</strong>iresales<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>repocollateralby<strong>the</strong>financiers<br />

<strong>and</strong> avoids <strong>the</strong> adverse dynamic we highlighted be<strong>for</strong>e; <strong>and</strong> second, by exposing <strong>the</strong> repo<br />

financierstocreditrisk<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>counterparty(<strong>and</strong>notjustthat<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>collateral),<strong>the</strong>financiers<br />

wouldsubject<strong>the</strong>borrowerstomuchgreatermarketdiscipline.Inparticular,financierswould<br />

opt <strong>for</strong> safer counterparties, all else being equal, or charge higher haircuts to riskier ones –<br />

ei<strong>the</strong>rway,discriminatingexantebetweensafer<strong>and</strong>riskierborrowers.<br />

Theadvantage<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>governmentguaranteeschemeisthatitresolvesvirtuallyallex<br />

post uncertainty by transferring <strong>the</strong> risk <strong>of</strong> repo contracts away from financiers to <strong>the</strong><br />

government agency <strong>for</strong> an upfront fee. However, its disadvantages are more subtle <strong>and</strong><br />

somewhat pernicious. The charging <strong>of</strong> FDIC premiums has been heavily influenced by <strong>the</strong><br />

banking industry, <strong>and</strong> no premiums have historically been charged to most banks when <strong>the</strong><br />

FDIC’sreservefundiscapitalizedabove1.25%to1.35%<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>insureddeposits.Thiskind<strong>of</strong>a<br />

feestructuregivesrisetoahighlyprocyclicalrisktakingincentive,because,asfaras<strong>the</strong>risk<br />

return trade<strong>of</strong>f is concerned, <strong>the</strong> risks are backloaded. There is no guarantee that repo<br />

insurance premiums would work any differently. Perhaps, <strong>and</strong> somewhat more disturbingly,<br />

such a guarantee schemeeffectively amounts to transferring <strong>the</strong> credit risk <strong>of</strong> virtually most<br />

parts <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> securitization market to <strong>the</strong> government’s balance sheet. While “con<strong>for</strong>ming”<br />

mortgages in <strong>the</strong> U.S. are already being backstopped by Fannie Mae <strong>and</strong> Freddie Mac, <strong>the</strong><br />

proposed guarantee scheme would extend such a backstop to subprime securitized pools,<br />

corporateloans,automobilereceivables,creditcardreceivables,<strong>and</strong>soon.Duetoitspotential<br />

sovereignriskconcernsinanenvironment<strong>of</strong>difficultfiscalposition<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>government,<strong>the</strong><br />

idea<strong>of</strong>extendingguaranteestopracticallyallfinancialassets<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>economyshouldbeviewed<br />

withcaution.Suchcautionwouldbeevenmorenecessary<strong>for</strong>governmentso<strong>the</strong>rthan<strong>the</strong>U.S.<br />

whosebalancesheetsarealreadyheavilystretched.<br />

<br />

25


On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r h<strong>and</strong>, <strong>the</strong> advantage <strong>of</strong> market discipline through <strong>the</strong> automatic stay<br />

approachisthatittransfers<strong>the</strong>entirerisk<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>repotransactionto<strong>the</strong>rep<strong>of</strong>inancier–to<br />

someextent<strong>the</strong>risk<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>collateralbutalsothat<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>borrower’sabilitytopay.Thisway,<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r thanthrough expost <strong>for</strong>bearance, private marketsareallowed to function – bear <strong>and</strong><br />

pricerisks–<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>rebyprovideincentivestotakeaccount<strong>of</strong>relevantriskreturntrade<strong>of</strong>fs.<br />

Thereare,however,severalcountervailingissuesthatarise.First,since<strong>the</strong>primaryissuewith<br />

repocontractsis<strong>the</strong>irsystemicexternality,itisunclearthatprivatemarketoutcomeswouldbe<br />

necessarily efficient from a riskreturn st<strong>and</strong>point <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy as a whole. Second,<br />

automaticstayintroduces“basisrisk”in<strong>the</strong>repocontract,sinceitseventualpay<strong>of</strong>fislinked<br />

notjustto<strong>the</strong>underlyingassetbutto<strong>the</strong>wholepool<strong>of</strong>assets<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>borrower<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>rest<strong>of</strong><br />

itscapitalstructure.Ingeneral,thismaycreatesufficientexante,aswellasexpost,uncertainty<br />

toreduce<strong>the</strong>financier’swillingnesstolendagainstcertainassetstoalltypes<strong>of</strong>borrowers.The<br />

result might be a significant reduction in ex ante liquidity in some parts <strong>of</strong> rep<strong>of</strong>inanced<br />

securitizedmarkets.Third,arationale<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>bankruptcyexemption<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>reposhasbeenthat<br />

when <strong>the</strong> borrower defaults, counterparty risk transmission is reduced as far as <strong>the</strong> repo<br />

contractgoesbecauseitisprotectedfromanyspillover<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>borrower’sremainingrisks<strong>and</strong><br />

liabilities.<br />

Given this relative assessment, our preferred approach is one that facilitates a ready<br />

winding down <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> repo contracts as far as reasonable liquidity <strong>for</strong> repo financiers is<br />

concerned <strong>and</strong> at <strong>the</strong> same time eliminates disorderly fire sales <strong>of</strong> underlying assets. In<br />

particular, <strong>the</strong> approach consists <strong>of</strong> setting up a Repo <strong>Resolution</strong> Authority that meets <strong>the</strong><br />

criteria1)5)welaidoutin<strong>the</strong>Introduction<strong>for</strong>resolution<strong>of</strong>SIALs.Incase<strong>of</strong>default<strong>of</strong>arepo<br />

counterparty(<strong>the</strong>borrower),<strong>the</strong>reporesolutionauthoritywouldensureorderlyresolution<strong>of</strong><br />

itsrepoliabilities<strong>and</strong>alsoanorderlyliquidation<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>underlyingcollateral;ingoodtimes,<strong>the</strong><br />

reporesolutionauthoritywouldensurethat<strong>the</strong>servicesitprovidesattime<strong>of</strong>defaultarenot<br />

contributingtoexcessiverisk<strong>of</strong>defaultsin<strong>the</strong>repomarkets.<br />

<br />

Specifically,instituting<strong>the</strong>reporesolutionauthorityrequires<strong>the</strong>followingpieces:<br />

1) Incase<strong>of</strong>default<strong>of</strong>aborrower,itsrepocounterpartiesonTreasuries,<strong>and</strong>perhaps<br />

agencybacked securities (assuming <strong>the</strong> agencybacked securities are effectively<br />

governmentbacked),are“exemptfromstay”<strong>and</strong>counterpartiesareallowedtotake<br />

<strong>the</strong>ircollateralasunder<strong>the</strong>currentarrangements.<br />

2) However, repo counterparties on risky collateral, such as ABS <strong>and</strong> MBS, are<br />

subjectedtoa“stay”(orasuspension<strong>of</strong>conversiontoimmediacy)aswithsecured<br />

borrowing<strong>of</strong>nonfinancialfirms.<br />

3) Immediately upon default, repo financiers <strong>of</strong> risky collateral are paid by a “repo<br />

resolution fund,” a recovery amount that is based on a conservative value<br />

assessment<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>collateral. 28 Suchavalueassessmentcouldbebasedonmarket<br />

<br />

28 Thereporesolutionfundcouldbededicatedto<strong>the</strong>reporesolutionauthority,oritisconceivablethatitcould<br />

simplybewithin<strong>the</strong>FDICor<strong>the</strong>FederalReserve.Thefundshouldpotentiallybeeligible<strong>for</strong>participatingin<strong>the</strong><br />

26


intelligence, historical estimates, projected valuations obtained from a poll <strong>of</strong><br />

dealers, etc. The important issue is that <strong>the</strong> assessment should be “conservative”<br />

<strong>and</strong>reflectreasonablehaircutsthatanassetliquidatorwouldexpecttoincurwhen<br />

faced with asset liquidations. In particular, <strong>the</strong> conservative value could be<br />

dependenton<strong>the</strong>totalsize<strong>of</strong>repoliabilities<strong>of</strong>aborrower<strong>and</strong>/oron<strong>the</strong>totalsize<br />

<strong>of</strong>liabilitiesagainstagiventype<strong>of</strong>collateral.Theconservativerecoveryamount(or<br />

itschedule)should,however,bepredetermined<strong>and</strong>knowntomarketparticipants.<br />

4) Incase<strong>of</strong>defaultonrepobackedbyriskycollateral,<strong>the</strong>underlyingrepocollateralis<br />

takenoverby<strong>the</strong>reporesolutionauthority(whicheffectivelyhasliquidationrights<br />

over<strong>the</strong>collateral)<strong>and</strong>liquidatedinanorderlymanneroveraprespecifiedperiod,<br />

say, not more than six months (but with some flexibility to deal with unexpected<br />

circumstances).<br />

a) If<strong>the</strong>eventualrecoveryon<strong>the</strong>collateralisgreaterthan<strong>the</strong>conservative<br />

estimatepaidto<strong>the</strong>rep<strong>of</strong>inanciers(seestep3)above),<strong>the</strong>n<strong>the</strong>time<br />

valueadjusteddifferenceispaideventuallyto<strong>the</strong>rep<strong>of</strong>inanciers.<br />

b) Conversely, if <strong>the</strong> eventual recovery is lower than <strong>the</strong> conservative<br />

estimatepaidto<strong>the</strong>rep<strong>of</strong>inanciers,<strong>the</strong>timevalueadjusteddifferenceis<br />

“clawed back” from <strong>the</strong> repo financiers. The clawback feature would<br />

havetobeexplicitlylegislated(aswith<strong>the</strong>currentmechanismusedby<br />

FDICtodealwithuninsureddepositors<strong>of</strong>failedFDICregulatedbanks).<br />

5) Ineffect,steps3)<strong>and</strong>4)resemblealender<strong>of</strong>lastresort(LOLR)operation,whereby<br />

risky collateral in times <strong>of</strong> a systemic crisis would be provided liquidity, albeit<br />

conservatively at a “haircut” or penalty rate. The operation is <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> LOLR flavor<br />

sinceitsuspendsimmediateconversiontocurrency<strong>for</strong>rep<strong>of</strong>inanciersin<strong>the</strong><strong>for</strong>m<br />

<strong>of</strong>collateralliquidations<strong>and</strong>replacesitwithanupfrontbutconservativepayment<br />

byreporesolutionfundattime<strong>of</strong>default,withrightstoliquidationconferredupon<br />

<strong>the</strong>reporesolutionauthority<strong>and</strong>notonrep<strong>of</strong>inanciers.<br />

<br />

6) Incase<strong>of</strong>anisolateddefaultin<strong>the</strong>repomarket,thatis,defaultinatimewhen<strong>the</strong><br />

underlying collateral market is reasonably liquid, <strong>the</strong> collateral liquidation by <strong>the</strong><br />

reporesolutionauthoritywouldberelativelyswift,atcloset<strong>of</strong>undamentalorliquid<br />

collateral values, <strong>and</strong> effectively <strong>the</strong> repo financiers will be repaid conservative<br />

amount plus <strong>the</strong> additional recovery within a few days. That is, in this case, an<br />

effectiveautomaticstayonrepocontractswouldbejustacouple<strong>of</strong>days.<br />

<br />

7) However,incase<strong>of</strong>clustereddefaults<strong>of</strong>severalcounterpartiesin<strong>the</strong>repomarket,<br />

e.g.,because<strong>the</strong>reisanaggregateshocksuchasasignificanthousingpricedecline<br />

<br />

lender<strong>of</strong>lastresortfacilities<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>centralbank.Ifsuchparticipationisnotclearapriori,uncertaintyconcerningit<br />

couldleadtobreakdown<strong>of</strong>ourproposedresolutionplan.<br />

27


orbecause<strong>the</strong>market<strong>for</strong>housingrelatedassetsisweakduetooverhang<strong>of</strong>o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

financialfirmsfromholdings<strong>of</strong>similarassets,<strong>the</strong>collateralliquidationby<strong>the</strong>repo<br />

resolutionauthoritycouldtaketime,<strong>and</strong>notgenerateliquidationproceedsthatare<br />

upto<strong>the</strong>conservativerecoverypaymentmadetorep<strong>of</strong>inanciers.Thisimpliesthat<br />

<br />

a) The effective automatic stay on repo contracts would be more<br />

substantive, but in economic terms not as substantive as <strong>the</strong> asset<br />

liquidation period due to <strong>the</strong> conservative early payment made by <strong>the</strong><br />

reporesolutionfund.<br />

<br />

b) <strong>Important</strong>ly, <strong>the</strong> clawback feature would come in to play <strong>and</strong> repo<br />

financierscouldberequiredinparttoreturn<strong>the</strong>liquidityprovidedby<strong>the</strong><br />

reporesolutionfund(when<strong>the</strong>timeadjustedeventualrecoveryislower<br />

than<strong>the</strong>conservativerecoverypaymentmadeat<strong>the</strong>time<strong>of</strong>default).<br />

8) Theclawbackpossibilityin7b)aboveimpliesthat<strong>the</strong>reporesolutionauthority<br />

takeson<strong>the</strong>creditrisk<strong>of</strong>rep<strong>of</strong>inanciers,aswellas<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>underlyingcollateral.<br />

This credit risk is limited to <strong>the</strong> difference between realized recovery <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

conservative estimateat <strong>the</strong> time<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> borrower’s bankruptcy, <strong>and</strong>linked to<br />

<strong>the</strong>creditquality<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>rep<strong>of</strong>inancier.Inparticular,if<strong>the</strong>rep<strong>of</strong>inancierdefaults<br />

in <strong>the</strong> period when <strong>the</strong> repo resolution authority is liquidating <strong>the</strong> underlying<br />

collateral,<strong>the</strong>nreporesolutionauthorityeffectivelybecomesacreditor<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong><br />

rep<strong>of</strong>inancier<strong>and</strong>mayfacelossesincase<strong>of</strong>rep<strong>of</strong>inancier’sdefault.Tomanage<br />

thiscreditrisk,<strong>the</strong>reporesolutionauthorityshoulddo<strong>the</strong>following:<br />

<br />

a) Include as eligible only relatively highquality collateral, that is, certain<br />

highlyriskysecuritiessuchaspoolsbackedbylowqualitymortgagesmay<br />

be excluded from repo resolution authority altoge<strong>the</strong>r <strong>and</strong> repos with<br />

<strong>the</strong>m as underlying collateral subject to <strong>the</strong> usual automatic stay as in<br />

case<strong>of</strong>securedborrowingbynonfinancialfirms;<br />

<br />

b) charge repo financiers an ex ante fee <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> lender <strong>of</strong> last resort or<br />

conservative liquidity payment facility, commensurate with <strong>the</strong> residual<br />

credit risk borne by <strong>the</strong> facility, in order to provide a financing <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

reporesolutionfund;<br />

<br />

c) require that eligible repo financiers <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> lender <strong>of</strong> last resort facility<br />

provided by <strong>the</strong> repo resolution authority meet prespecified solvency<br />

criteria(whichshouldbebasedonarange<strong>of</strong>solvencymetrics,including<br />

market capitalization <strong>and</strong> funding capacity, ra<strong>the</strong>r than just easily<br />

arbitraged<strong>and</strong>staticriskweightstylerulesonbookvalue<strong>of</strong>equity);<strong>and</strong><br />

<br />

d) imposeaconcentrationlimitat<strong>the</strong>level<strong>of</strong>individualrep<strong>of</strong>inanciers,as<br />

wellason<strong>the</strong>financier’soverallportfoliosize,recognizingthatcontrols<br />

28


in a)c) above may mitigate credit risk borne by <strong>the</strong> repo resolution<br />

authoritybutnoteliminateitaltoge<strong>the</strong>r.<br />

Adifficultdesignissueinproposingsuchresolutionauthorityistodefine<strong>the</strong>event<strong>of</strong><br />

“default” <strong>of</strong> a repo borrower. One possibility is that given <strong>the</strong> ability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> authority to<br />

suspendconversion<strong>of</strong>immediacy<strong>of</strong>financiers,<strong>the</strong>borrowerwoulditselfhaveincentivest<strong>of</strong>ile<br />

<strong>for</strong>bankruptcyearly,anoptionthatcurrentlywouldnotgive<strong>the</strong>m<strong>the</strong>rightstostemrunsfrom<br />

creditorswhohavesafeharborprovisions.Ano<strong>the</strong>rpossibilityisthatrecognizing<strong>the</strong>incentives<br />

<strong>of</strong>distressedfirmstogamble<strong>for</strong>resurrection<strong>and</strong>toavoidfiling<strong>for</strong>bankruptcy,<strong>the</strong>resolution<br />

authoritycoulditselfdefineadequatedefaulttriggersthatwouldsuspendconversion<strong>of</strong>repo<br />

contractsonspecificcollateral<strong>and</strong>takeover<strong>the</strong>assetliquidationrights(asoutlinedabove).As<br />

we explained above, in case <strong>of</strong> idiosyncratic distress <strong>of</strong> firms, <strong>the</strong> repo resolution authority<br />

would operate effectively like a safeharbor provision making <strong>the</strong> full payment upon swift<br />

liquidation <strong>of</strong> collateral to o<strong>the</strong>r firms. However, in case <strong>of</strong> systemic distress, <strong>the</strong> repo<br />

resolution authority’s ability to make partial immediate payments <strong>and</strong> liquidate collateral in<br />

duecoursewouldbemostimportant.Thissuggeststhat<strong>the</strong>defaulttriggerdesignedby<strong>the</strong><br />

resolutionauthoritywouldneedt<strong>of</strong>eaturebothfirmspecificsolvency<strong>and</strong>liquidityconditions<br />

aswellassystemwidesolvency<strong>and</strong>liquidityconditions. 29 <br />

Thus,ourpreferredapproachin<strong>the</strong><strong>for</strong>m<strong>of</strong>areporesolutionauthorityprovidesexpost<br />

liquidity to <strong>the</strong> repo market ra<strong>the</strong>r than a complete guarantee <strong>of</strong> underlying risks. This<br />

approachalsochargesexante<strong>for</strong>thisliquidityfacility<strong>and</strong>ensuresthat<strong>the</strong>risksundertakenby<br />

<strong>the</strong>marketparticipantsdonotexpose<strong>the</strong>taxpayerstolossesbeyondacertainsize.Thatis,it<br />

makes an ef<strong>for</strong>t not to take on solvency risk while trying to address liquidity risk <strong>of</strong> repo<br />

markets. It combines <strong>the</strong> attractive features <strong>of</strong> full insurance <strong>and</strong> full marketdiscipline<br />

schemes, avoiding <strong>the</strong>ir weaknesses. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, in contrast to FDIC’s recent proposal <strong>of</strong> a<br />

fixed haircut <strong>for</strong> all repo collateral, it allows <strong>the</strong> haircut to be determined differentially <strong>for</strong><br />

differentcollateralclasses<strong>and</strong>subclassesbasedonconservativevalueassessmentsat<strong>the</strong>time<br />

<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>borrower’sbankruptcy.Ashighlightedin<strong>the</strong>Introduction,itattemptstoaddress<strong>the</strong><br />

systemicrisks<strong>of</strong>both<strong>the</strong>reporuns<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>market<strong>for</strong>underlyingcollateral,whilecontaining<br />

<strong>the</strong> exante risks created in <strong>the</strong> first place, <strong>and</strong> in a manner that can be harmonized<br />

internationallyinareadymannerprovided<strong>the</strong>variouscriteriain<strong>the</strong>scheme1)8)aboveare<br />

agreeduponbylargerepocenters<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>world,oratleastthat<strong>the</strong>yallmeetsomeminimum<br />

reasonablest<strong>and</strong>ards.<br />

Ourproposalhassimilaritiesto<strong>the</strong>approachtoregulationshadowbankinglaidoutin<br />

Gorton <strong>and</strong> Metrick (2010). Specifically, <strong>the</strong> idea <strong>of</strong> limiting access to <strong>the</strong> safe harbor or<br />

bankruptcy exemption clauses <strong>for</strong> specific types <strong>of</strong> collateralbacked repos is also a part <strong>of</strong><br />

GortonMetrickapproach.However,<strong>the</strong>rearealsodifferences.TheGortonMetrickapproach<br />

recommendsgovernmentguaranteescheme,akintodepositinsurance,<strong>for</strong>liabilities<strong>of</strong>money<br />

market funds, whereas under our approach, once money market funds are subject to strict<br />

<br />

29 Theissue<strong>of</strong>whe<strong>the</strong>r<strong>the</strong>triggersshouldbebasedonbookvalues<strong>of</strong>solvency<strong>and</strong>liquidityconditionsormarket<br />

valuesisanimportant<strong>and</strong>interestingone,raising<strong>the</strong>familiartrade<strong>of</strong>fs<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>lagged<strong>and</strong>discretionarynature<strong>of</strong><br />

bookvaluesagainst<strong>the</strong>timelybutvulnerable(tomanipulation<strong>and</strong>downwardspiral)nature<strong>of</strong>marketvalues.<br />

29


guidelines in repo market financing (<strong>and</strong> similarly in o<strong>the</strong>r SIALs), <strong>the</strong>y would effectively be<br />

subjecttosolvencycriteriasimilartothose<strong>for</strong>banks(<strong>and</strong>mightnotsurvivecompetitionfrom<br />

banksin<strong>the</strong>firstplace).Fur<strong>the</strong>r,while<strong>the</strong>primaryriskcontrolinGortonMetrickschemeis<br />

through restriction <strong>of</strong> eligible collateral <strong>for</strong> safe harbor provisions, safe harbor is in principle<br />

eliminatedfromourreporesolutionauthority<strong>and</strong>itjustconditionallyhappenstobeakinto<br />

safeharborinsomecaseseven<strong>for</strong>eligiblecollateral(whendefaultsareisolatedasin6)above).<br />

Our proposal also has some similarities to <strong>the</strong> Federal Liquidity Options proposal <strong>of</strong><br />

Tuckman (2012b) which recommends that central banks presell liquidity options as <strong>the</strong><br />

exclusivemeans<strong>of</strong>lendingmoneytononbankinginstitutionsinacrisis.Theidea<strong>of</strong>reducing<br />

<strong>the</strong>risk<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>lender<strong>of</strong>lastresortthroughpaid<strong>for</strong>commitments,<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>rebyminimizing<strong>the</strong><br />

expostsocialization<strong>of</strong>residualrisks,isinsimilarspiritasourproposal.Thedifferenceisthat<br />

ourapproachalsoproposesamechanismtomanage<strong>the</strong>residualrisksnotbackedby<strong>the</strong>lender<br />

<strong>of</strong>lastresort(or<strong>the</strong>reporesolutionauthority)once<strong>the</strong>exantecommitmentshavebeenmet<br />

(paymentsbeyondconservativehaircutsaremadewithimmediacy).<br />

Finally,Bliss<strong>and</strong>Kaufman(2011)proposerefinements<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>OLAunder<strong>the</strong>DoddFrank<br />

Actthatwouldapplyregularbankruptcyproceedingst<strong>of</strong>ailingfinancialfirmsbutwithadvance<br />

payments to such firms upon failure (“modified debtorinpossession (DIP) financing”) <strong>and</strong><br />

m<strong>and</strong>atorybutlimitedhaircutstoall“protected”(e.g.,safeharbored)creditors.Both<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>se<br />

refinements also feature in our proposal, as immediate liquidity provided by <strong>the</strong> repo<br />

resolutionauthoritytoclaimsinfailure<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>creditriskonunderlyingcollateralbeingpassed<br />

onto<strong>the</strong>claimsinduecourse.Thekeydistinguishingfeature<strong>of</strong>ourproposalisthatitgrants<br />

<strong>the</strong>rightstolargescaleassetliquidationsto<strong>the</strong>resolutionauthorityinordertoaddress<strong>the</strong><br />

issue<strong>of</strong>disorderlybankruptcyorfiresaleswhen<strong>the</strong>failure<strong>of</strong>aninstitutionisnotinisolation<br />

butiscoincidentwitho<strong>the</strong>rregulations.<br />

Itisimportanttodiscusswhatwouldhappentorepocontractsoncollateralthatisnot<br />

eligible under <strong>the</strong> repo resolution authority <strong>and</strong> its strict guidelines <strong>and</strong> requirements. This<br />

wouldconstitute<strong>the</strong>hypo<strong>the</strong>tical“shadowbanking”inaworld<strong>of</strong>reporesolutionauthorities.<br />

Theserepocontractswouldnothaveaccesstosafeharbor<strong>and</strong>wouldbeperceivedasexante<br />

riskier<strong>and</strong><strong>of</strong>lowerliquiditybyfinanciers.However,thiswouldnotnecessarilyguaranteethat<br />

financiersinternalize<strong>the</strong>externalities<strong>of</strong>runsin<strong>the</strong>shadowbanking.Toguardagainstthis,<strong>the</strong><br />

reporesolutionauthorityshouldonaperiodicbasisassessifaclass<strong>of</strong>repoclaimshasbecome<br />

large enough <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> underlying collateral is suitable quality enough to be eligible <strong>for</strong> repo<br />

resolutionauthority’sLOLR.Ifyes,<strong>the</strong>yshouldberequiredbylegislationtobemovedout<strong>of</strong><br />

shadowbankinginto<strong>the</strong>reporesolutionauthority.And,where<strong>the</strong>underlyingcollateralisnot<br />

<strong>of</strong> adequate quality or repo contract class sufficiently small in size, a minimum haircut (or<br />

overcollateralization) requirement should be imposed, akin to FDIC’s proposed haircut on all<br />

reposoramorerisksensitiveschemesuchasbankcapitalrequirements.Ideally,<strong>the</strong>haircut<br />

schemeshouldbecountercyclical<strong>and</strong>certainlynotprocyclical(thatis,notprovidetoolowor<br />

nonexistenthaircutsingoodtimes,suchasonMBSwithlowqualitymortgagesorgovernment<br />

bondreposwheregovernmentcreditriskisnontrivialasin<strong>the</strong>Eurozonesince2008).<br />

<br />

30


Havinghighlighted<strong>the</strong>variousbenefits<strong>of</strong>ourproposedapproachsuchasitsflexibilityin<br />

extending to new asset <strong>and</strong> liability classes over time <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> difficulty <strong>of</strong> gaming it by <strong>the</strong><br />

financialsectorsinceitoperates<strong>for</strong>allinstitutionsparticipatinginagivenassetorliabilityclass,<br />

wenotethatitdoes–like<strong>the</strong>DoddFrankAct<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>OLA–relyonacertainamount<strong>of</strong>ability<br />

<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>regulatorstogetthingsright.Inparticular,<strong>the</strong>approachreliesonregulatorstobeable<br />

toestimateconservativevalues<strong>of</strong>collateralwhichnecessitates(perhapsincentivizes)<strong>the</strong>mto<br />

ensure sufficient transparency <strong>of</strong> prices in underlying asset markets in normal times. The<br />

approachalsoreliesonadequateincentives<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>resolutionauthoritytoadoptexanterisk<br />

controls in <strong>the</strong> <strong>for</strong>m <strong>of</strong>haircuts, concentrationlimits, <strong>and</strong>eligibility restrictions on collateral,<br />

among o<strong>the</strong>rs. While <strong>the</strong> approach can be harmonized internationally in a relatively<br />

straight<strong>for</strong>wardmannerifsuchcontrolsareharmonized,competition<strong>for</strong>marketsharesacross<br />

borders can potentially put downward pressure on <strong>the</strong> adoption <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> extent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se<br />

controls in practice. For this reason, besides <strong>the</strong> fact that <strong>the</strong> lenders <strong>of</strong> last resort such as<br />

centralbankswouldultimatelyhavetostepinwhen<strong>the</strong>seauthoritiesdonothaveadequate<br />

liquidity to make conservative payments, <strong>the</strong> lenders <strong>of</strong> last resort would need to act as<br />

watchdogsoverourproposedresolutionauthorities,preventingaraceto<strong>the</strong>bottomin<strong>the</strong>ir<br />

riskcontrols.<br />

<br />

V.AHistoricalPrecedent:TheGlass<strong>Proposal</strong><br />

As Graeber (2011), <strong>and</strong> Reinhart <strong>and</strong> Rog<strong>of</strong>f (2009) documented, banking crises have<br />

beenubiquitousthroughoutrecenthistory<strong>and</strong>onecommonproblemtoalmostallhasbeen<br />

<strong>the</strong>loss<strong>of</strong>liquiditytobankdepositors.In<strong>the</strong>wake<strong>of</strong>one<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>secrises,namely,<strong>the</strong>banking<br />

panic<strong>of</strong>1907,<strong>the</strong>NationalMonetaryCommission<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>U.S.establishedby<strong>the</strong>Congressin<br />

<strong>the</strong>AldrichVreel<strong>and</strong>Act<strong>of</strong>1908–prepareda19questionquestionnaire<strong>and</strong>mailedtovarious<br />

representatives<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>U.S.bankingindustry(Kaufman,2004).One<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>questions–<strong>the</strong>18 th –<br />

asked: 30 <br />

<br />

“Woulditbewell,inyouropinion,tochange<strong>the</strong>existinglawssothatliquidatingbanks<br />

could,insomeway,arrangetopaydepositorsmorerapidly?Acarefulexamination<strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>assets<strong>of</strong>failedbankswillshowabouthowmuchdividend<strong>the</strong>ycaneventuallypay,<br />

<strong>and</strong>considerabledistresswouldbepreventedifsomethingapproximatingthisamount<br />

couldbepaidtodepositorswithoutanydelay.”<br />

AsKaufman(2004)reports,“(r)esponseswereobtainedfrom85respondents.Of<strong>the</strong>se,63,or<br />

sometwothirds,favoredachangetopaydepositors<strong>of</strong>closedbanksmorerapidly.Thispercent<br />

was<strong>the</strong>sameamongbankers<strong>and</strong>bankexaminers,<strong>the</strong>twolargestgroups<strong>of</strong>respondents.Only<br />

12respondents,or14%wereopposedtosuchachange<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>remainderei<strong>the</strong>rskipped<strong>the</strong><br />

questionorwereundecided.”<br />

Aswementionedin<strong>the</strong>opening<strong>of</strong>SectionII,acentralobjective<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>DFAistocreate<br />

a new resolution mechanism <strong>for</strong> nonbank SIFIs <strong>and</strong> bring <strong>the</strong>m within <strong>the</strong> FDIC insurance<br />

<br />

30 AsquotedbyKaufman(2004),p.243<br />

31


model.In<strong>the</strong>wake<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>nextbankingcrisisafter<strong>the</strong>panic<strong>of</strong>1907,namely,in<strong>the</strong>earlyyears<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Great Depression <strong>of</strong> 1929 <strong>and</strong> be<strong>for</strong>e <strong>the</strong> establishment <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> FDIC in 1933, Senator<br />

Carter Glass – <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>n chairman <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Senate Banking Committee <strong>and</strong> a coauthor <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

FederalReserveAct<strong>of</strong>1933–proposedmorerapidpaymenttodepositorsatfailedbanksasa<br />

superior alternative to deposit insurance, which he opposed (Kaufman, 2004). As quoted by<br />

Kaufman (2004), Willis <strong>and</strong> Chapman (1934, pp. 6567) describe <strong>the</strong> objective <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Glass<br />

proposalasfollows:<br />

<br />

“Recognizingthatinbankfailures<strong>the</strong>source<strong>of</strong>difficulty<strong>and</strong>lossisnotprimarilyfound<br />

in lack <strong>of</strong> assets, but … that <strong>the</strong> resources <strong>of</strong> depositors are tied up <strong>and</strong> rendered<br />

unavailable <strong>for</strong> long periods … liquidation power <strong>and</strong> not guaranty was dem<strong>and</strong>ed …<br />

insuring an almost immediate settlement within a short time upon <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

estimated worth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> [failed] bank’s assets … This plan was considered by <strong>the</strong><br />

[Banking]Committeeentirelyadequateto<strong>the</strong>protection<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>bankdepositoragainst<br />

most<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>evilstowhichhehadbeensubject,whileleavinghimstillwithameasure<strong>of</strong><br />

individualresponsibility<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>protection<strong>of</strong>hisclaimsthrough<strong>the</strong>selection<strong>of</strong>awell<br />

qualifiedbank.”<br />

The Glass proposal called <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> establishment <strong>of</strong> a Federal Government Liquidating<br />

Corporation(FGLC)toestimateabank’srecoveryvalueimmediatelyuponitsfailure,quicklysell<br />

<strong>the</strong> bank as a whole or in parts, <strong>and</strong> quickly pay <strong>the</strong> proceeds to <strong>the</strong> receiver <strong>for</strong> speedy<br />

disbursement to <strong>the</strong> depositors (Kaufman, 2004). Despite <strong>the</strong> differences, <strong>the</strong> similarities<br />

between our repo resolution proposal <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> proposal <strong>of</strong> Senator Glass are astounding.<br />

Althoughwedonotpromotequicklyselling<strong>the</strong>“repobanks”asawholeorinparts–except<br />

<strong>the</strong>irhighlyliquidrepocollateralssuchasTreasuries,<strong>and</strong>perhapsagencybackedsecurities–<br />

<strong>for</strong>reasonswehavearguedatlength,wealsocall<strong>for</strong>aliquidatingagency(ourreporesolution<br />

authority) to “estimate a (repo) bank’s recovery value immediately upon its failure, … <strong>and</strong><br />

quicklypay…<strong>the</strong>receiver<strong>for</strong>speedydisbursementto<strong>the</strong>depositors(rep<strong>of</strong>inanciers).”In<strong>the</strong><br />

firstregard,ourreporesolutionauthorityresembles<strong>the</strong>OrderlyLiquidationAuthority<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong><br />

DoddFrankActmorethan<strong>the</strong>FederalGovernmentLiquidatingCorporationthatSenatorGlass<br />

proposed,sinceweareconcernedalsowith<strong>the</strong>orderlyliquidation<strong>of</strong>potentiallyilliquid<strong>and</strong><br />

risky repo collaterals such as <strong>the</strong> MBSs. In <strong>the</strong> second regard, our repo resolution authority<br />

resembles<strong>the</strong>FGLC<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>Glassproposalmorethan<strong>the</strong>OLA<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>DoddFrankActbecause<strong>of</strong><br />

ourcall<strong>for</strong>paying<strong>the</strong>rep<strong>of</strong>inanciers<strong>of</strong>riskyrepocollateralsarecoveryamountthatisbased<br />

onaconservativevalueassessment<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>collateralbya“reporesolutionfund.”<br />

<br />

In<strong>the</strong>end,<strong>the</strong>Glassproposalwasfoundtoodifficulttoimplement,primarilybecause<br />

manybelievedthatitrequiredmoreaccurateestimates<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>marketvalue<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>failedbank’s<br />

assets than possible at <strong>the</strong> time (Kaufman, 2004). This is ano<strong>the</strong>r similarity between our<br />

proposal <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Glassproposal. Many may argue that our proposal requiresmore accurate<br />

estimates<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>marketvalue<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>risky<strong>and</strong>illiquidrepocollateralsthanpossibleatourtime.<br />

Yet,<strong>the</strong>advantages<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>schemeproposedbySenatorGlasshadalsobeenseenbyo<strong>the</strong>rs.<br />

<br />

32


Forexample,althoughitdidnotbecomeoperational,<strong>the</strong>FederalReserveBank<strong>of</strong>New<br />

Yorkattemptedtohavedepositorsatfailedbanksreceive<strong>the</strong>recoveryvalue<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>irclaims<br />

fasterbyrequestinghealthymemberbankstobuy<strong>the</strong>assets<strong>of</strong>failedbanks<strong>and</strong>advance<strong>the</strong><br />

proceeds to <strong>the</strong>m <strong>for</strong> immediate distribution in 1931 (again see, Kaufman, 2004, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

references <strong>the</strong>rein). And, in 1933, <strong>the</strong> New York State Banking Department was able to<br />

implement such an arrangement when it entered into agreements with Manufacturers Trust<br />

Co.<strong>and</strong>o<strong>the</strong>rlargeNewYorkCitycommercialbankstoserveasbothliquidating<strong>and</strong>paying<br />

agents <strong>for</strong> a failed bank <strong>and</strong> partially assume <strong>the</strong> deposits <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bank up to an agreed<br />

percentage <strong>of</strong> paramount (Upham <strong>and</strong> Lamke, 1934). As quoted by Kaufman (2004), Charles<br />

Clough,comptroller<strong>of</strong>ManufacturersTrust,noted<strong>the</strong>advantages<strong>of</strong>thisprogramasfollows:<br />

<br />

“Threethingsweredefinitelyaccomplished.Businessmen,whoseworkingcapitalwas<br />

frozen, were given relief through <strong>the</strong> release <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir bank balances, <strong>and</strong> at <strong>the</strong> same<br />

time,weregivenimmediatesubstantialbankingconnectionswhichwouldenable<strong>the</strong>m<br />

tocontinueinbusiness;apparentdistressamongdepositorswasrelievedatonce;<strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>entireprocess<strong>of</strong>liquidationwasaccomplishedmoreexpeditiously<strong>and</strong>economically<br />

thanwasthoughtpossible.”<br />

Ano<strong>the</strong>rexample,whichisalsoanimportantprecedentthatrelatestoourproposal<strong>for</strong><br />

areporesolutionauthority<strong>and</strong>inspiredby<strong>the</strong>Glassproposal,is<strong>the</strong>ReconstructionFinance<br />

Corporation(RFC).TheRFCwasestablishedby<strong>the</strong>ReconstructionFinanceCorporationActin<br />

1932<strong>and</strong>authorizedtoloanfundstobanksclosed<strong>for</strong>liquidationorreorganizationtoenable<br />

<strong>the</strong>m to make quick partial payments to depositors. As Kaufman (2004) quotes from Jesse<br />

Jones,longtimechairman<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>RFC,<strong>the</strong>seloans–securitizedby<strong>the</strong>failedbanks'assets–<br />

would<br />

<br />

“…make at least a part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> depositor's balance available to him, pending<br />

liquidation.…Weendeavoredtolendupto<strong>the</strong>probableliquidationvalue<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>ir[<strong>the</strong><br />

bank's]assets…Thegovernmentcouldaf<strong>for</strong>dtowait;<strong>of</strong>ten<strong>the</strong>individualcouldnot.”<br />

<br />

Thereason<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>establishment<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>RFCwasthat“(f)reezingdepositsat<strong>the</strong>sebanks<br />

wasviewedasdecreasingpurchasingpowerin<strong>the</strong>community<strong>and</strong>delayingrecoveryfrom<strong>the</strong><br />

Depression(Kaufman(2004).”Indeed,toavoiddecreasedpurchasingpowerin<strong>the</strong>community<br />

<strong>and</strong>delayedrecoveryfrom<strong>the</strong>Depression,PresidentFranklinRooseveltsuggestedadeposit<br />

liquidation program "to stimulate <strong>and</strong> encourage liquidating agents <strong>of</strong> banks closed after<br />

January1,1933toborrowfundsfrom<strong>the</strong>RFCinorderthatfundsmaybemadeavailableto<br />

depositorsasquicklyaspossible"(Upham<strong>and</strong>Lamke,1934,pp.16869).<br />

However,<strong>the</strong>RFCdidnotagreetooperatein<strong>the</strong>suggestedprogramdirectly.Forthis<br />

<strong>and</strong>o<strong>the</strong>rreasons,Rooseveltestablishedanewliquidationboard,i.e.,<strong>the</strong>DepositLiquidation<br />

Board(DLB)tolendto<strong>the</strong>failedbanks.TheDLBcouldborrowfrom<strong>the</strong>RFCusing<strong>the</strong>assets<strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>failedbanksascollateral,butitcharged<strong>the</strong>banksalowerinterestrateon<strong>the</strong>loansthan<br />

<strong>the</strong>ratechargedby<strong>the</strong>RFC(Kaufman,2004).TheDLBloanedon80%<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>liquidationvalue<strong>of</strong><br />

<br />

33


<strong>the</strong>assets,butthisliquidationvaluewasdeterminednoton<strong>the</strong>basis<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>currentbookvalue<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> failed bank’s assets but on values that <strong>the</strong> RFC projected it could get in "an orderly<br />

liquidationperiod<strong>of</strong>threet<strong>of</strong>iveyearsinarecoveringstock<strong>and</strong>bondmarket"(Olson,1988,p.<br />

75).<br />

Although<strong>the</strong>volume<strong>of</strong>loansprovidedby<strong>the</strong>DLBincreasedrapidlyin1933,itwasstill<br />

consideredbysomeastoolittle<strong>and</strong>tooslow.Anumber<strong>of</strong>billswereintroducedinCongressto<br />

have<strong>the</strong>Treasuryoro<strong>the</strong>rfederalagenciesalsoadvancefundstodepositorsatclosedbanks,<br />

but, despite ga<strong>the</strong>ring considerable support, none <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bills were enacted (Calomiris <strong>and</strong><br />

White, 1994). Kaufman (2004) notes that “(a)uthority to provide such loans was, however,<br />

includedin<strong>the</strong>FederalDepositInsuranceAct,althoughapparentlynotusedtoliquefyfrozen<br />

uninsureddepositsuntil50yearslaterin1983.With<strong>the</strong>sharpdeclinein<strong>the</strong>number<strong>of</strong>bank<br />

failuresafter1934,legislativeinterestinliquefyingdepositsatfailedbanksdiminished.”<br />

<br />

<br />

VI.ConcludingRemarks<br />

Regulators <strong>and</strong> policymakers in <strong>the</strong> U.S. <strong>and</strong> abroad have made rough sketches <strong>of</strong><br />

proposals that would avoid bankruptcy proceedings <strong>for</strong> systemically important financial<br />

institutions(SIFIs).Oneideaisthat<strong>the</strong>reshouldbeprovision<strong>of</strong>“contingentcapital”or“coco<br />

bonds”,a(small)part<strong>of</strong>SIFI’sliabilitiesthatwouldconverttoequitymechanicallybasedona<br />

firmspecific<strong>and</strong>/orsystemspecifictrigger.Suchconversionwouldprovide<strong>the</strong>SIFIwithsome<br />

debtrelief<strong>and</strong>thussomeextratimetodealwithitsproblems.Arelatedideaisthat<strong>of</strong>a“bail<br />

in”underwhichaSIFI’sdeteriorationpastaspecifiedbenchmarkwouldtrigger<strong>for</strong>someclaims<br />

a prespecified haircut or <strong>the</strong> elimination <strong>of</strong> some claims entirely, effectively writing down<br />

firm’sliabilitiestoapredeterminedextent.Bailinsinparticularareattractiveif<strong>the</strong>ycanbe<br />

enactedaspart<strong>of</strong>anintegratedcapitalstructure,whereinSILs(suchasswapagreements)are<br />

placedinhighprioritytrancheswhileordinarybonds<strong>and</strong>equityarelefttosufferconversionor<br />

elimination in <strong>the</strong> event that <strong>the</strong> firm would be unable to pay all <strong>of</strong> its obligations. Such a<br />

capitalstructure,enactedperhapsaspart<strong>of</strong>aSIFI’slivingwill–aplan<strong>of</strong>resolutionrequired<strong>for</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>U.S.firmsby<strong>the</strong>DFA–couldlendstabilitybyprovidingcertaintyaboutwherelosseswould<br />

restin<strong>the</strong>event<strong>of</strong>afinancialcrisis.<br />

<br />

Whatwepropose,basedon<strong>the</strong>insights<strong>of</strong>Acharya,Adler<strong>and</strong>Richardson(2011),isthat<br />

“topdown”(orinstitutionlevel)approachessuchascontingentcapital,bailin,orlivingwills,be<br />

builtontop<strong>of</strong>a“bottomup”approach–onethatworksat<strong>the</strong>level<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>SIALsra<strong>the</strong>rthanat<br />

<strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> SIFI that owns <strong>the</strong>m. Under <strong>the</strong> bottomup approach <strong>the</strong>re would be an<br />

automaticstabilizerbuiltintoeachsystemicallysignificantpart<strong>of</strong>anSIFI’scapitalstructure.The<br />

automaticstabilizerscouldbein<strong>the</strong><strong>for</strong>m<strong>of</strong>governmentprovidedbutappropriatelycharged<br />

depositinsurance,centrallyclearedSIALswithinitial<strong>and</strong>variationmarginsorhaircutscharged<br />

by a clearinghouse or dedicated resolution authority <strong>for</strong> those SIALs, <strong>and</strong> in extreme cases,<br />

lender<strong>of</strong>lastresortfrom<strong>the</strong>centralbankagainsteligibleassets(buttoavoidmoralhazard,<br />

onlyt<strong>of</strong>irmsthatpayamarketratefee).Aparticularlyattractivefeature<strong>of</strong>this“bottomup”<br />

approachisthatitrequiresnouni<strong>for</strong>minstitutionlevelinsolvencyprocess<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>emight<br />

34


e<strong>the</strong>simplestway<strong>of</strong>achievinginternationalagreementonresolving<strong>the</strong>financialdistress<strong>of</strong><br />

GSIFIs(aslongas<strong>the</strong>reisglobalagreementonresolutionmechanisms<strong>for</strong>SIALs).<br />

<br />

Asanillustration<strong>of</strong>whysuchabottomupapproachisneeded,wenotethat<strong>the</strong>current<br />

financiallegislationproposalsarecompletelysilentonhowtore<strong>for</strong>m<strong>the</strong>repomarketinwhich<br />

financialfirmsborrowsecuredatashorttermmaturitywithrights<strong>for</strong>rep<strong>of</strong>inanciersincases<br />

<strong>of</strong>mostunderlyingcollateraltobeexemptfrombankruptcy<strong>and</strong>liquidate<strong>the</strong>collateralincase<br />

<strong>of</strong>borrower’sdefault.Webelievethisomissionisamistakeinlight<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>systemicnature<strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>repomarket<strong>and</strong>itsstructuralweaknesses.Aswementioned,unlike<strong>the</strong>liquidityriskthat<br />

unsecured financing may become unavailable to a firm, <strong>the</strong> liquidity risk that secured repo<br />

financingmaybecomeunavailabletoafirmisinherentlyasystemicrisk:Themarkets<strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong><br />

repo securities may become illiquid precisely when a large part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> financial sector is<br />

experiencingundercapitalizationorfundingstress.<br />

<br />

Unless this systemic liquidity risk <strong>of</strong> repo market is resolved, <strong>the</strong> risk <strong>of</strong> a run on <strong>the</strong><br />

repomarketwillremain.Ourproposedsolutionistosetupa“Repo<strong>Resolution</strong>Authority”that<br />

maintainsliquidity<strong>for</strong>repomarketsincase<strong>of</strong>defaults,takeson<strong>the</strong>roleo<strong>for</strong>derlyliquidation<br />

<strong>of</strong> collateral, but controls its credit risk through exante restrictions on qualifying collateral,<br />

qualifying repo financiers, concentration limits <strong>and</strong> minimum haircuts. Such a resolution<br />

mechanismaddresses<strong>the</strong>externality<strong>of</strong>systemicrisk<strong>of</strong>repocontractsonrisky<strong>and</strong>potentially<br />

illiquid collaterals. And, such a mechanism can be exercised without overly compromising<br />

marketdiscipline,marketliquidityortaxpayerfunds.<br />

<br />

Interestingly,<strong>the</strong>FederalReserve,<strong>the</strong>Bank<strong>of</strong>Engl<strong>and</strong><strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>EuropeanCentralBank<br />

setupmanyfacilitiestohaltatotalfinancialcollapseduring<strong>the</strong>haydays<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>ongoingglobal<br />

financial crisis. These have invariably been facilities set up <strong>for</strong> systemically important assets<br />

<strong>and</strong> liabilities. For instance, <strong>the</strong> Fed’s Term Auction Facility which auctioned term loans to<br />

depository institutions <strong>and</strong> Primary Dealer Credit Facility which provided overnight loans to<br />

primary dealers were to leng<strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> maturity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir systemically important liabilities. The<br />

Fed’sAssetBackedCommercialPaperMoneyMarketMutualFundLiquidityFacility<strong>and</strong>Term<br />

AssetBacked Securities Loan Facility were to provide liquidity directly to borrowers holding<br />

systemically important assets. Stated differently, financial regulators around <strong>the</strong> globe were<br />

<strong>for</strong>cedin<strong>the</strong>midst<strong>of</strong>acrisistoactonsystemicallyimportantassets<strong>and</strong>liabilities,ra<strong>the</strong>rthan<br />

justonindividualfinancialinstitutionsholding<strong>the</strong>m.Ourkeyrecommendationistorecognize<br />

<strong>the</strong> need <strong>for</strong> such action ahead <strong>of</strong> time <strong>and</strong> build <strong>the</strong> essential infrastructure to ensure that<br />

excessive risktaking is discouraged <strong>and</strong> markets know that regulators have an orderly<br />

resolutionplan.<br />

Finally, although we have focused on <strong>the</strong> U.S. repo markets, our discussion <strong>and</strong><br />

proposedre<strong>for</strong>msapplytoo<strong>the</strong>rcountriesaswell.Repomarketsexistaround<strong>the</strong>globe,from<br />

ChinatoJapantoHungarytoTurkey,tonamebutafewcountries,although<strong>the</strong>irhistoriesare<br />

muchshorter<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>irsizesmuchsmallerthanthat<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>U.S.repomarket.Manyemerging<br />

countries’repomarketsdatebackto<strong>the</strong>early1990s.Thelargestrepomarketoutside<strong>the</strong>U.S.<br />

is<strong>the</strong>Europeanrepomarket,whichwasestablishedwith<strong>the</strong>introduction<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>Euroin1999<br />

<br />

35


<strong>and</strong>stoodat€5.6trillionbasedon<strong>the</strong>amountoutst<strong>and</strong>ingonDecember9,2009(accordingto<br />

<strong>the</strong> survey conducted by <strong>the</strong> International Capital Market Association with 53 financial<br />

institutions located in 14 European countries, as well as <strong>the</strong> U.S. <strong>and</strong> Japan). The European<br />

marketis<strong>the</strong>onlyrepomarketoutside<strong>the</strong>U.S.wherepotentiallyilliquidfinancialassetsare<br />

usedasrepocollateral,<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>eourproposedre<strong>for</strong>msarealsorelevantto<strong>the</strong>European<br />

repomarket.Ino<strong>the</strong>rrepomarkets,<strong>the</strong>repocollateralgenerallyrepresentsgovernmentbonds<br />

issuedby<strong>the</strong>sovereignstates,sothatin<strong>the</strong>semarkets,<strong>the</strong>rep<strong>of</strong>inanciersdonotappearto<br />

runasubstantialrisk<strong>of</strong>being<strong>for</strong>cedtosell<strong>the</strong>ircollateralinilliquidmarketsin<strong>the</strong>event<strong>of</strong><br />

financial crises. This may change however, if potentially illiquid collateral were to become<br />

acceptable in repo transactions in <strong>the</strong>se countries. Indeed, when sovereign credit risk is an<br />

issue,even<strong>the</strong>repomarkets<strong>for</strong>governmentbondsmaybevulnerable.<br />

<br />

Atanyrate,leaving<strong>the</strong>repomarketsout<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>discussion<strong>of</strong>financialre<strong>for</strong>msisnotan<br />

alternative;if<strong>the</strong>semarketsarenotre<strong>for</strong>med<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>irparticipantsnotmadetointernalize<strong>the</strong><br />

risk that large quantities <strong>of</strong> underlying repo collateral could be put up <strong>for</strong> liquidation in an<br />

illiquidmarket,<strong>the</strong>nrunson<strong>the</strong>repomarketwilloccurin<strong>the</strong>future,potentiallyleadingtonew<br />

systemiccrises,inspite<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>hugeregulatoryapparatusbeingbuiltaroundfinancialfirmson<br />

o<strong>the</strong>rfronts<strong>and</strong>markets.<br />

<br />

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Gorton,G.,2009,“Slappedin<strong>the</strong>Faceby<strong>the</strong>InvisibleH<strong>and</strong>:Banking<strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>Panic<strong>of</strong>2007,”<br />

TheFederalReserveBank<strong>of</strong>Atlanta’s2009FinancialMarketsConference:FinancialInnovation<br />

<strong>and</strong>Crisis,May1113.<br />

Gorton,G.<strong>and</strong>A.Metrick,2009a,“SecuritizedBanking<strong>and</strong>Runon<strong>the</strong>Repo,”YaleICFWorking<br />

PaperNo.0914.<br />

Gorton,G.<strong>and</strong>A.Metrick,2009b,“Haircuts,”YaleICFWorkingPaperNo.0915.<br />

Gorton, G. <strong>and</strong> A. Metrick, 2010, “Regulating <strong>the</strong> Shadow Banking System”, Yale University<br />

WorkingPaper.<br />

<br />

37


Graeber,D.,Debt,Thefirst5,000Years,MelvilleHouse,Brooklyn,NewYork<br />

Jackson,T.H.,2009,“Chapter11F:A<strong>Proposal</strong><strong>for</strong><strong>the</strong>Use<strong>of</strong>BankruptcytoResolveFinancial<br />

Institutions,” in Kenneth E. Scott, George P. Shultz <strong>and</strong> John B. Taylor (editors) Ending<br />

GovernmentBailoutsasWeKnowThem,HooverPress.<br />

Kaufman, G. G., 2004, “Depositor Liquidity <strong>and</strong> LossSharing in Bank Failure <strong>Resolution</strong>s,”<br />

ContemporaryEconomicPolicy,Vol.22,No.2,pp.237249<br />

<br />

Kaufman,G.G.<strong>and</strong>K.E.Scott,2003,“WhatIsSystemicRisk,<strong>and</strong>DoBankRegulatorsRetardor<br />

ContributetoIt?”TheIndependentReview,Vol.7,No.3,pp.371391.<br />

<br />

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<br />

38


Figure1:MonthlyAverages<strong>of</strong>DailyOutst<strong>and</strong>ingOvernight<strong>and</strong>TermRepos,197086<br />

Billions <strong>of</strong> Dollars<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986<br />

Source:FederalReserveBoard<br />

39


Figure2:AnnualAverages<strong>of</strong>DailyFinancingbyU.S.GovernmentSecuritiesPrimaryDealers<br />

Trillions<strong>of</strong>Dollars<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

ReverseRepo<br />

Repo<br />

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

<br />

Source:SecuritiesIndustry<strong>and</strong>FinancialMarketsAssociation.<br />

<br />

40


Trillions <strong>of</strong> dollars, monthly average<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

May-02<br />

<br />

Nov-02<br />

May-03<br />

Nov-03<br />

May-04<br />

<br />

Figure3:Growth<strong>of</strong>TriPartyRepoMarket<br />

Nov-04<br />

Source:FRBNYTaskForceOnTriPartyInfrastructureWhitePaper(2010).<br />

<br />

May-05<br />

Nov-05<br />

May-06<br />

Nov-06<br />

41<br />

May-07<br />

Nov-07<br />

May-08<br />

Nov-08<br />

May-09<br />

Nov-09<br />

May-10<br />

Nov-10


Fi igure4:Rep poHaircutso onDifferent tCategories<strong>of</strong>StructureedProducts<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Source:Reproduc<br />

cedfromGorton<strong>and</strong>Meetrick(2009b).<br />

<br />

42


Source:S SECChairma anChristoph herCox’slett tertoBaselCommitteeinsupporto<strong>of</strong>NewGuiddance<br />

onLiquid dityManagement,availa<br />

ableat:http://www.sec.<br />

.gov/news/ppress/2008/<br />

200848.htmm<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Figure e5:BearSte earns’liquiditypooljusttbe<strong>for</strong>eitsnnearfailure<br />

43


Figure6:LehmanBro<strong>the</strong>r’sTriPartyRepoBookbyCollateralType<br />

Source:Copel<strong>and</strong>,Martin<strong>and</strong>Walker(2010)<br />

<br />

44


Figure7:QuarterlyAverages<strong>of</strong>DailyFinancingbyU.S.GovernmentSecuritiesPrimary<br />

Dealers,20062011<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Trillions<strong>of</strong>Dollars<br />

8<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

ReverseRepo<br />

Repo<br />

0<br />

2006Q1<br />

<br />

2007Q1 2008Q1 2009Q1 2010Q1 2011Q1<br />

Source:SecuritiesIndustry<strong>and</strong>FinancialMarketsAssociation.<br />

<br />

45


Table 1: Settlement Fails <strong>of</strong> U.S. Government Securities Primary Dealers during <strong>the</strong> Crisis,<br />

20072009($Billions)<br />

<br />

Treasury Agency MBS Corporate<br />

Receive Deliver Receive Deliver Receive Deliver Receive Deliver<br />

2007 <br />

Q1 738.1 586.8 91.2 76.6 474.6 473.8 356.1 404.2<br />

Q2 726.8 528.3 117.7 118.2 595.8 617.7 498.0 572.9<br />

Q3 834.4 549.7 239.5 231.7 805.6 819.7 822.9 884.3<br />

Q4 1373.0 1085.4 202.8 192.5 757.8 686.8 488.4 547.5<br />

2008 <br />

Q1 3946.2 3835.7 234.7 221.8 1023.3 952.1 364.8 413.4<br />

Q2 3762.9 3726.3 202.4 192.6 596.1 566.5 361.3 407.2<br />

Q3 3077.4 2784 238.1 228.4 463.1 425.5 199.4 214.9<br />

Q4 16824.6 16266.6 586.6 600.7 971.9 863.5 271.7 337.8<br />

2009 <br />

Q1 1442.9 1286 143.1 167.1 867.8 950.3 168.0 225.8<br />

Q2 806.6 764.8 95.4 100.9 1078.9 1319.4 151.6 215.6<br />

Q3 617.7 536.8 62.1 76.7 1283.9 1553.2 145.2 192.4<br />

Q4 245.0 184.4 141.9 163.9 3128.6 3945.1 156.7 192.2<br />

<br />

Source:FederalReserveBank<strong>of</strong>NewYork.<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

46


Box1:TimeLine<strong>of</strong><strong>Important</strong>Eventsin<strong>the</strong>U.S.RepoMarket<br />

<br />

<br />

1917 Federal Reserve introduces repos; accrued interest is excluded from <strong>the</strong><br />

invoiceprice<strong>of</strong>reposecurities<strong>and</strong>reposecuritiesaresubjecttoautomatic<br />

stay.<br />

1929Use<strong>of</strong>reposdeclineswith<strong>the</strong>onset<strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>GreatDepression.<br />

1951 Congress enacts <strong>the</strong> TreasuryFederal Reserve Accord <strong>of</strong> 1951 bringing<br />

reposbackint<strong>of</strong>avor.<br />

<br />

<br />

1982Accruedinterestisincludedin<strong>the</strong>invoiceprices<strong>of</strong>reposecurities.<br />

1984 Congressenacts<strong>the</strong>BankruptcyAmendments<strong>and</strong>FederalJudgeshipAct<strong>of</strong><br />

1984toexemptreposonTreasury<strong>and</strong>federalagencysecurities,aswellas<br />

on bank certificates <strong>of</strong> deposit <strong>and</strong> bankers’ acceptances, from <strong>the</strong><br />

application<strong>of</strong>automaticstay.<br />

2005 Congress enacts <strong>the</strong> Bankruptcy Abuse Prevention <strong>and</strong> Consumer<br />

Protection Act <strong>of</strong> 2005 to exp<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> definition <strong>of</strong> repos to include<br />

mortgage loans, mortgagerelated securities, or interest from mortgage<br />

loansormortgagesecurities;allmortgagerelatedreposecuritiesbecome<br />

exemptfrom<strong>the</strong>application<strong>of</strong>automaticstay.<br />

<br />

47

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