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Farm households and land use in a core conservation zone of the ...

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(on half aga<strong>in</strong> as much l<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> some cases) on <strong>the</strong> same l<strong>and</strong> <strong>use</strong>d for <strong>the</strong> first harvest.<br />

When <strong>the</strong> cost <strong>of</strong> hir<strong>in</strong>g labor <strong>and</strong> one’s own labor costs were calculated (both valued at<br />

<strong>the</strong> average daily salary <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> area <strong>of</strong> Q25), <strong>in</strong> addition to <strong>the</strong> cost <strong>of</strong> clear<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong><br />

transport<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> product (paid <strong>in</strong> labor or <strong>in</strong> cash for cha<strong>in</strong>saw, horse, or truck rental),<br />

most farmers ei<strong>the</strong>r lost money, broke even, or scratched out a marg<strong>in</strong>al capital ga<strong>in</strong>.<br />

The cropp<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> nitrogen-fix<strong>in</strong>g legume, velvet bean (mucuna pruriens <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> application <strong>of</strong> herbicides were <strong>the</strong> most common means <strong>of</strong> enhanc<strong>in</strong>g crop<br />

production; still, approximately half <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> survey sample cultivated crops with no<br />

additional <strong>in</strong>puts whatsoever. Nearly 40% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> sample reported cropp<strong>in</strong>g velvet bean to<br />

enhance production <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir second maize crop. Only 10% reported us<strong>in</strong>g pesticides, or<br />

fertilizers <strong>of</strong> any k<strong>in</strong>d, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g manure, or purchased fertilizers.<br />

I have discussed some descriptive data for <strong>the</strong> sample <strong>of</strong> 241 heads <strong>of</strong> <strong>ho<strong>use</strong>holds</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> SLNP. I next consider some potential relations between forest clear<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong><br />

subsequent l<strong>and</strong> <strong>use</strong>s, <strong>and</strong> ho<strong>use</strong>hold <strong>and</strong> farm characteristics, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g demographic,<br />

political-economic, socio-economic, <strong>and</strong> ecological factors. L<strong>and</strong> <strong>use</strong>/cover variables<br />

exam<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong>clude total l<strong>and</strong> cleared, percentage <strong>of</strong> farm cleared, l<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> crops, fallow,<br />

<strong>and</strong> forest, <strong>and</strong> whe<strong>the</strong>r or not <strong>the</strong> farm has pasture.<br />

Demographic Factors<br />

Ho<strong>use</strong>hold size <strong>and</strong> composition<br />

The Neomalthusian <strong>and</strong> Boserupian debate can be <strong>in</strong>vestigated at <strong>the</strong> farm-level. Do<br />

more people on <strong>the</strong> farm mean more pressure on <strong>the</strong> forest, lead<strong>in</strong>g to agricultural<br />

extensification? Or does it promote forest-conserv<strong>in</strong>g, production-enhanc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong>tensification? With a focus on ho<strong>use</strong>hold size <strong>and</strong> composition, <strong>the</strong> dem<strong>and</strong> side means<br />

more mouths to feed may promote <strong>the</strong> expansion <strong>of</strong> cropl<strong>and</strong>, while <strong>the</strong> supply side<br />

means more h<strong>and</strong>s to work <strong>the</strong> l<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> more labor available for clear<strong>in</strong>g l<strong>and</strong> (or for<br />

<strong>in</strong>tensify<strong>in</strong>g production).<br />

As <strong>in</strong>dicated <strong>in</strong> Table 2, <strong>the</strong> related factors, duration on <strong>the</strong> farm <strong>and</strong> age <strong>of</strong><br />

ho<strong>use</strong>hold head, rema<strong>in</strong>ed significant at <strong>the</strong> .05 level Asterisks on <strong>the</strong> left h<strong>and</strong> side <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

variable names represent statistical significance <strong>in</strong> model one, which <strong>in</strong>cludes only<br />

related factors. Asterisks on <strong>the</strong> right h<strong>and</strong> side <strong>of</strong> variable names signify statistical<br />

significance <strong>in</strong> secondary models, <strong>in</strong> which related variables are modeled with each l<strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>use</strong> outcome entered separately. Model 1 <strong>of</strong> related factors yielded an R 2 <strong>of</strong> .14. <strong>Farm</strong><br />

size, cleared l<strong>and</strong>, fallow l<strong>and</strong>, <strong>and</strong> cattle ownership were significant at <strong>the</strong> .05 level or<br />

better when comb<strong>in</strong>ed with <strong>the</strong> related factors <strong>of</strong> duration on <strong>the</strong> farm <strong>and</strong> age <strong>of</strong><br />

ho<strong>use</strong>hold head. Add<strong>in</strong>g l<strong>and</strong> <strong>use</strong> outcomes <strong>in</strong>creased <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> residuals<br />

expla<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> model to with<strong>in</strong> a range <strong>of</strong> .15 to .17.<br />

The cross-tabular table assists <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>terpret<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> regression results. For example,<br />

it is evident that as <strong>the</strong> ho<strong>use</strong>hold matures, larger families, with <strong>the</strong>ir augmented labor<br />

pool <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased food dem<strong>and</strong>s, were <strong>in</strong>deed associated with more l<strong>and</strong> cleared.<br />

Although this cross-sectional analysis is <strong>in</strong>sufficient to identify whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> effect <strong>of</strong><br />

consumption or production was more significant, for both supply <strong>and</strong> dem<strong>and</strong> it is<br />

reasonable to expect a larger ho<strong>use</strong>hold to clear more l<strong>and</strong>. In support <strong>of</strong> both supply <strong>and</strong><br />

dem<strong>and</strong> effects, separate tabulations unreported here <strong>of</strong> farm labor supply (males over<br />

12) <strong>and</strong> consumption (family consumption units) demonstrated a similar relation.<br />

10

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