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fixed unit price simulation for disposal of spent fuel ... - Greenpeace UK

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Research Report<br />

4. RESEARCH CONCLUSIONS<br />

4.1 Fixing The Government Risk Premium at 100%<br />

The effective risk premium charged by government <strong>for</strong> <strong>spent</strong> <strong>fuel</strong> <strong>disposal</strong> is rather low at<br />

around 42% <strong>for</strong> an AP1000 or 58% <strong>for</strong> an EPR (see Section 3.4). The Fixed Unit Price could<br />

be adjusted to 100% risk premium that we believe the market is willing to bear.<br />

The revised Quantity Fixed Unit Price (Q-FUP) will be approximately a £1.4m/tU and the<br />

revised Output Fixed Unit Price (O-FUP) will be approximately 0.24p/kWh.<br />

DECC Fixed Unit Prices Required For 100% Risk Premium<br />

Power<br />

Station<br />

Spent Fuel<br />

@ 60 Yrs<br />

NDA<br />

Disposal<br />

Cost<br />

Pr<strong>of</strong>it<br />

Margin /<br />

Risk<br />

Premium<br />

Required<br />

Disposal<br />

Price<br />

Required<br />

FUP @100%<br />

Risk Premium<br />

EPR 1,391 tU £972m 100% £1,944m 1.4 £m/tU<br />

£972m 100% £1,944m 0.24 p/kWh<br />

Twin EPR 2,781 tU £1,841m 100% £3,628m 1.3 £m/tU<br />

£1,841m 100% £3,628m 0.23 p/kWh<br />

AP1000 1,061 tU £751m 100% £1,502m 1.4 £m/tU<br />

£751m 100% £1,502m 0.27 p/kWh<br />

Twin AP1000 2,126 tU £1,442m 100% £2,884m 1.4 £m/tU<br />

£1,442m 100% £2,884m 0.26 p/kWh<br />

FUPSIM modeled @ 8,200 tU baseline legacy <strong>spent</strong> <strong>fuel</strong> inventory in NDA repository,<br />

65,000 MWd/tU thermal burn-up, EPR 37.2% efficient, AP1000 34.0% efficient,<br />

60 year generating period, 100 year storage period<br />

Jackson Consulting 42

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