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Hudson Historically: THE YEAR 2000 As Hudson Institute approaches its 50th anniversary in 2011, Hudson Institute News and Review will feature summaries of Institute studies that have shaped public policy. Forty years ago, in 1967, Hudson Institute published The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty-Three Years—a book-length study commissioned by the prestigious American Aca - demy of Arts and Sciences. Whereas some, if not most, think tank studies have a short-term perspective, The Year 2000 was a visionary exercise, an immediate best-seller translated in num erous languages that sought to sketch alternative world futures. The study’s authors—Institute founder and chairman Herman Kahn and researcher Anthony J. Wiener— pioneered mathematical models to predict developments in economics, science, technology, and international relations—often highlighting the dynamic interplay between trends. These models’ use of imaginative scenarios helped shape the future of corporate strategic planning. Kahn and Wiener argued that the world would likely see sustained glo - bal economic development. Whereas the United States and Soviet Union would decline in influence, intermediate powers would play a rising role, both economically and politically—especially Japan, West Germany, France, China, the United King dom, and India, and the increasingly integrated “European political community.” The Year 2000 predicted the wide use of robots, mobile phones, video communication, high-speed data processors, international computer networks, and home satellites. negotiations to foster cooperation in economic regulation and security procedures among the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Sands and Anderson find that the fears some critics raise—that this process is the first step toward a European-style “North American Union”—are unfounded, but that the SPP process is fatally flawed by the exclusion of Congress and a lack of transparency. Leaders failed to address these problems at their recent summit in Montebello, Quebec, leaving it to next year’s summit in the United States, or to the next U.S. administration. ■ The U.N. and Beyond: United Democratic Nations (Hudson Institute) Edited by Anne Bayefsky The U.N. and Beyond is a compilation of essays from 19 experts in gov ernment, politics, journalism, and academia. The essays present evidence of increasing anti-Ameri - canism and anti-Semitism within the United Nations and challenge the assumption that for democratic nations there is no alternative to the U.N. Con trib utors include Hudson President Herbert London, distinguished Middle East scholar Bernard Lewis, author Aayan Hirsi Ali, former Education Secretary William Bennett, former U.N. Ambassador John Bolton, Senator Tom Coburn, and Senator Norman Coleman. The papers were originally presented at a conference Hudson convened in New York in September 2006 to discuss alternatives to the U.N. This book is available for purchase on Amazon.com. ■ Is The United States Losing Turkey? (Hudson Institute) By S. Enders Wimbush and Rajan Menon The alliance between the United States and Turkey, which has endured since the Truman doctrine in 1947, currently finds itself in a downward spiral, with neither side taking serious steps to remedy the situation. Should this neglect continue, the price paid by both sides will be high. This paper presents several recommendations, including fashioning a “Grand Bargain” between the Kurdistan Regional Government and Turkey, and making Turkey a central participant in any regional settlement on Iraq. 16 HUDSON INSTITUTE / FALL 2007
Publication Spotlight: The Index of Global Philanthropy The core product of Hudson’s Center for Global Prosperity, under the direction of Senior Fellow Carol Adelman, is the annual Index of Global Philan - thropy, which details the sources and magnitude of private giving to the developing world. The Index reframes the discussion about the roles of the public and private sectors in foreign aid by showing that the full scale of a country’s generosity includes assistance from the private sector. The Index demonstrates that the most effective philanthropic bridge between industrialized countries and developing nations is built on private philanthropy, volunteerism, and public-private partnerships, not exclusively on foreign aid. The 2007 Index, released in May, is the first to compare all developed countries’ aid—government as well as private—to the developing world. This more accurate measure of countries’ gen erosity keeps the U.S. at the top of all donor nations in absolute amounts and places it in the top third as a percentage of gross national income (GNI). The new Index reveals that U.S. private giving in 2005 (the latest available data), in the form of money, volunteer time, goods, and expertise to the developing world, was at least $95 billion. That is three and a half times the amount of U.S. government foreign aid. The 2007 Index received media coverage from C-SPAN, the Wall Street Journal, the Financial Times, the New York Sun, the Nation al Post (Canada), the Chronicle of Philanth ropy, and many other news outlets. For more in - for mation about the Index, or to purchase a copy, please visit the Center’s website at www.global-prosperity.org Muhammed Yunus, founder of Grameen Bank and 2006 Nobel Prize winner, with Carol Adelman at a conference in Lisbon, Portugal, in March 2007 FALL 2007 / HUDSON INSTITUTE 17
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