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The Cultural Heritage Risk Map – Israel

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<strong>The</strong> <strong>Cultural</strong> <strong>Heritage</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong> – <strong>Israel</strong><br />

ACRE, 17 December 2012<br />

2<br />

Michael Cohen, <strong>Israel</strong> Antiquities Authority Conservation Department<br />

mic401@bezeqint.net<br />

http://www.iaa-conservation.org.il/index_eng.asp<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


<strong>Risk</strong> map objectives<br />

• State of art<br />

• Management tool based on knowledge<br />

• Possible priorities for action<br />

• Coordination<br />

• A tool to raise the awareness<br />

<strong>The</strong> Great Rift<br />

Valley<br />

• Guidelines for risk preparedness<br />

3<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


4<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


2009 Launch<br />

Study<br />

Methodology<br />

2011 Model -<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> assessment<br />

Pilot<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> assessment in Archaeological Sites<br />

Verification<br />

Evaluation<br />

Training<br />

2012 Execution<br />

5<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


Initiative<br />

<strong>The</strong> Italian <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong> – a model for inspiration VS <strong>The</strong> reality<br />

6<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


Inspiration …..<br />

PRINCIPLES for our RISK MAP<br />

SIMPLE - simplified model, open to upgrade<br />

SUPPORT - by external expertise ( Padova Uni. Italy, Niker project)<br />

KNOWN CRITERIA - existing parameters<br />

WIDESPREAD - collaboration with all key players<br />

SUSTAINABLE - based on internal sources / capacities<br />

7<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


Parameters for Selected Sites.<br />

Height<br />

Value/important<br />

Seismic danger<br />

3.5<br />

3<br />

2.5<br />

>4m<br />

2<br />

1.5<br />

1<br />


Final results of sites evaluation according the 3 parameters:<br />

Location, Value/important, Height<br />

Seismic<br />

ScoreLocation<br />

12<br />

12<br />

11<br />

11<br />

11<br />

11<br />

11<br />

11<br />

11<br />

11<br />

11<br />

10<br />

10<br />

10<br />

10<br />

10<br />

9<br />

4<br />

4<br />

3<br />

3<br />

4<br />

4<br />

4<br />

4<br />

4<br />

4<br />

4<br />

3<br />

3<br />

3<br />

2<br />

3<br />

Value<br />

5<br />

5<br />

5<br />

5<br />

4<br />

4<br />

4<br />

4<br />

4<br />

4<br />

4<br />

4<br />

4<br />

4<br />

5<br />

4<br />

Height<br />

3<br />

3<br />

3<br />

3<br />

3<br />

3<br />

3<br />

3<br />

3<br />

3<br />

3<br />

3<br />

3<br />

3<br />

3<br />

3<br />

NY NX SY SX<br />

5820 2350 5790 2330<br />

00 00 00 00<br />

7702 2542 7686 2525<br />

00 00 50 00<br />

7604 2089 7580 2064<br />

00 00 00 00<br />

7220 2180 7210 2170<br />

00 00 00 00<br />

7140 2410 7130 2400<br />

00 00 00 00<br />

7470 2459 7465 2452<br />

00 00 00 00<br />

7130 2490 7110 2460<br />

00 00 00 00<br />

7230 2500 7220 2490<br />

00 00 00 00<br />

7953 2656 7940 2633<br />

00 00 00 00<br />

7956 2673 7952 2668<br />

00 00 00 00<br />

7643 2453 7623 2444<br />

00 00 00 00<br />

7510 2110 7490 2100<br />

00 00 00 00<br />

7666 2212 7665 2210<br />

00 00 00 00<br />

7722 2216 7721 2214<br />

00 00 00 00<br />

6340 2237 6296 2213<br />

00 00 00 00<br />

7490 2270 7480 2260<br />

00 00 00 00<br />

תת<br />

אתר<br />

שם<br />

פיילוט מפת סיכונים<br />

NAME<br />

Masada (3201/0)<br />

Hazor, T. (3757/0)<br />

Acre (2266/0)<br />

Megiddo, T. (2723/0)<br />

Bet Alfa (3338/0)<br />

Arbel, H. (3482/0)<br />

Bet She'an (3537/0)<br />

Belvoir (3612/0)<br />

Panias, H. (3945/0)<br />

Mivzar Nimrod (4007/0)<br />

Nahal `Amud (north)<br />

(29563/0)<br />

Afeq, T. (2425/0)<br />

Mezudat Yehi`am<br />

(Unofficial name) (2899/0)<br />

Montfort (2901/0)<br />

Jerusalem, Old City<br />

(2921/0)<br />

Yodefat (3040/0)<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong><br />

)2921/0(<br />

)3201/0(<br />

)3757/0(<br />

)2723/0(<br />

חרבות מצדה<br />

חצור,‏ תל<br />

עכו )2266/0(<br />

מגידו,‏ תל<br />

בית אלפא )3338/0(<br />

)3482/0(<br />

)3537/0(<br />

)3612/0(<br />

)3945/0(<br />

)4007/0(<br />

ארבל,‏ ח'‏<br />

בית שאן<br />

כוכב הירדן<br />

פאניס,‏ ח'‏<br />

מבצר נמרוד<br />

נחל עמוד ‏)צפון(‏ )29563/0(<br />

)2425/0(<br />

)2899/0(<br />

)2901/0(<br />

אפק,‏ תל<br />

מצודת גדין<br />

מונפור<br />

ירושלים,‏ העיר העתיקה<br />

יודפת )3040/0(<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

ATA_I<br />

D<br />

Site<br />

No<br />

32013201/0<br />

37573757/0<br />

22662266/0<br />

27232723/0<br />

33383338/0<br />

34823482/0<br />

35373537/0<br />

36123612/0<br />

39453945/0<br />

0 40074007/0<br />

29563/<br />

0 295630<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

24252425/0<br />

28992899/0<br />

29012901/0<br />

29212921/0<br />

30403040/0


Selected sites<br />

(Based on the 750 sites list)<br />

Location<br />

Height<br />

Location<br />

Hunin<br />

Banias<br />

Tiberias<br />

Caserea<br />

Kakun<br />

Beth She'an<br />

10<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


Earthquake and Archaeological Sites<br />

Development <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment Model<br />

x VULNERABILITY HAZARD = RISK<br />

Engineering and Physical<br />

conservation state<br />

Faults<br />

Topography amplification<br />

Slope stability<br />

Liquidation<br />

Tsunami<br />

Critical (450 - )<br />

High ) 300-450(<br />

Medium ) 150-300(<br />

Low ) 0-150(<br />

11<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


Training<br />

12<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


טופס <strong>Risk</strong> Evaluation<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong> - Structure Card<br />

Date<br />

Site<br />

Name of the Building/complex<br />

Reference<br />

Site serial number<br />

Fill duration in minutes<br />

Type of the edifice remains<br />

Materials<br />

Mortar<br />

Technology<br />

Integrity<br />

Elevation<br />

Height (absolute)<br />

Engineering and conservation state<br />

Collapse<br />

Dismantled<br />

3D connections<br />

Vaults arches<br />

Deformations<br />

Verticals or Horizental Cracks<br />

Adjacent constructions<br />

Modern intervention<br />

Physical- conservation state<br />

Lacking bricks/blocks/mortar/element<br />

Deterioration<br />

Vegetation<br />

Vulnerability<br />

Conclusion<br />

General conclusion<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

3 2<br />

0<br />

4 3<br />

4 3<br />

4 3<br />

4 3<br />

4 3<br />

4 3<br />

4 3<br />

4 3<br />

0<br />

4 3<br />

4 3<br />

4 3<br />

0<br />

1<br />

2<br />

2<br />

2<br />

2<br />

2<br />

2<br />

2<br />

2<br />

2<br />

2<br />

2<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

not calculated<br />

Multiplicity<br />

High ------------------- Low<br />

Automatic<br />

yes ---------------------- no<br />

yes ---------------------- no<br />

yes ---------------------- no<br />

yes ---------------------- no<br />

yes ---------------------- no<br />

yes ---------------------- no<br />

yes ---------------------- no<br />

yes ---------------------- no<br />

Automatic<br />

yes ---------------------- no<br />

yes ---------------------- no<br />

yes ---------------------- no<br />

Automatic<br />

Structure, Complex, Part of complex, Colonnade<br />

Concrete, Basalt, Lime stone, Sand stone, Other<br />

Lime, Cement, Mud, Epoxy<br />

One leaf, two leaves, three leafs, colonnade<br />

3D connections<br />

3) more then 4m - 2) 2-4m - 1) up to 2m<br />

Existence of collapse that endanger the Structure<br />

Existence of dismantling of structural element that endanger the Structure<br />

No existence of 3D connections of structural element that stabilize the Structure<br />

No existence of Arc / Vaults that stabilize the Structure<br />

Existence of deformation that endanger the Structure<br />

Existence of vertical constructive cracks that endanger the Structure<br />

Adjacent construction the endanger the structure<br />

Modern intervention that endanger the structure (dangering or stabilize)<br />

Lacking of elements the endanger the structure<br />

Deterioration that endanger the structure in the short term<br />

Vegetation that endanger the stabilizing of the structure<br />

Detail Conclusion<br />

Recommendation<br />

General<br />

Details<br />

Free words<br />

Hazard<br />

Faults<br />

Topography Amplification<br />

Slope stability<br />

Liquidation<br />

Tsunami<br />

Dangers<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> Score<br />

Critic<br />

High<br />

Medium<br />

Stable<br />

1<br />

0<br />

1<br />

0<br />

0<br />

4<br />

4<br />

4<br />

4<br />

4<br />

3<br />

3<br />

3<br />

3<br />

3<br />

2<br />

2<br />

2<br />

2<br />

2<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

Automatic<br />

Automatic<br />

Endangered Condition<br />

Active deterioration<br />

Bad condition<br />

Stable Condition<br />

Engineer Applicant<br />

Geological Applicant<br />

13<br />

Appendix<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


14<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


Engineering and conservation state<br />

No - Yes Σ<br />

instability of constructive elements which endanger the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Lack of constructive elements which endanger the Structure (beam/ vault/ arch/ pillar) 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Lack of 3D connections between constructive elements (foundations / walls/ roof/ ceiling/ columns ) 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Slenderness (the proportion between the tall and wide) 1) 1: 4 / 2) 1:6 / 3) 1:8 / 4) 1:10 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Existence of deformation (sinks, blows, attitude) that can endanger the stability of the structure<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

Existence of vertical / horizontal / diagonal constructive cracks that endanger the stability of the<br />

structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Adjacent construction that endanger the structure<br />

Modern intervention that endanger the stability of the structure<br />

Physical - conservation state<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

Total 0<br />

Lacking bricks/blocks/mortar/element<br />

Lacking of elements the endanger the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Deterioration Deterioration that endanger the structure in the short term 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Vegetation Vegetation that endanger the stabilizing of the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Total 0<br />

15<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


Engineering and conservation state<br />

No - Yes Σ<br />

instability of constructive elements which endanger the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Lack of constructive elements which endanger the Structure (beam/ vault/ arch/ pillar) 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Lack of 3D connections between constructive elements (foundations / walls/ roof/ ceiling/ columns ) 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Slenderness (the proportion between the tall and wide) 1) 1: 4 / 2) 1:6 / 3) 1:8 / 4) 1:10 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Existence of deformation (sinks, blows, attitude) that can endanger the stability of the structure<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

Existence of vertical / horizontal / diagonal constructive cracks that endanger the stability of the<br />

structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Adjacent construction that endanger the structure<br />

Modern intervention that endanger the stability of the structure<br />

Physical - conservation state<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

Total 0<br />

Lacking bricks/blocks/mortar/element<br />

Lacking of elements the endanger the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Deterioration Deterioration that endanger the structure in the short term 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Vegetation Vegetation that endanger the stabilizing of the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Total 0<br />

16<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


Engineering and conservation state<br />

No - Yes Σ<br />

instability of constructive elements which endanger the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Lack of constructive elements which endanger the Structure (beam/ vault/ arch/ pillar) 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Lack of 3D connections between constructive elements (foundations / walls/ roof/ ceiling/ columns ) 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Slenderness (the proportion between the tall and wide) 1) 1: 4 / 2) 1:6 / 3) 1:8 / 4) 1:10 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Existence of deformation (sinks, blows, attitude) that can endanger the stability of the structure<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

Existence of vertical / horizontal / diagonal constructive cracks that endanger the stability of the<br />

structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Adjacent construction that endanger the structure<br />

Modern intervention that endanger the stability of the structure<br />

Physical - conservation state<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

Total 0<br />

Lacking bricks/blocks/mortar/element<br />

Lacking of elements the endanger the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Deterioration Deterioration that endanger the structure in the short term 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Vegetation Vegetation that endanger the stabilizing of the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Total 0<br />

17<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


Engineering and conservation state<br />

No - Yes Σ<br />

instability of constructive elements which endanger the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Lack of constructive elements which endanger the Structure (beam/ vault/ arch/ pillar) 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Lack of 3D connections between constructive elements (foundations / walls/ roof/ ceiling/ columns ) 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Slenderness (the proportion between the tall and wide) 1) 1: 4 / 2) 1:6 / 3) 1:8 / 4) 1:10 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Existence of deformation (sinks, blows, attitude) that can endanger the stability of the structure<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

Existence of vertical / horizontal / diagonal constructive cracks that endanger the stability of the<br />

structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Adjacent construction that endanger the structure<br />

Modern intervention that endanger the stability of the structure<br />

Physical - conservation state<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

Total 0<br />

Lacking bricks/blocks/mortar/element<br />

Lacking of elements the endanger the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Deterioration Deterioration that endanger the structure in the short term 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Vegetation Vegetation that endanger the stabilizing of the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Total 0<br />

18<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


Engineering and conservation state<br />

No - Yes Σ<br />

instability of constructive elements which endanger the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Lack of constructive elements which endanger the Structure (beam/ vault/ arch/ pillar) 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Lack of 3D connections between constructive elements (foundations / walls/ roof/ ceiling/ columns ) 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Slenderness (the proportion between the tall and wide) 1) 1: 4 / 2) 1:6 / 3) 1:8 / 4) 1:10 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Existence of deformation (sinks, blows, attitude) that can endanger the stability of the structure<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

Existence of vertical / horizontal / diagonal constructive cracks that endanger the stability of the<br />

structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Adjacent construction that endanger the structure<br />

Modern intervention that endanger the stability of the structure<br />

Physical - conservation state<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

Total 0<br />

Lacking bricks/blocks/mortar/element<br />

Lacking of elements the endanger the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Deterioration Deterioration that endanger the structure in the short term 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Vegetation Vegetation that endanger the stabilizing of the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Total 0<br />

19<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


Engineering and conservation state<br />

No - Yes Σ<br />

instability of constructive elements which endanger the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Lack of constructive elements which endanger the Structure (beam/ vault/ arch/ pillar) 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Lack of 3D connections between constructive elements (foundations / walls/ roof/ ceiling/ columns ) 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Slenderness (the proportion between the tall and wide) 1) 1: 4 / 2) 1:6 / 3) 1:8 / 4) 1:10 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Existence of deformation (sinks, blows, attitude) that can endanger the stability of the structure<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

Existence of vertical / horizontal / diagonal constructive cracks that endanger the stability of the<br />

structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Adjacent construction that endanger the structure<br />

Modern intervention that endanger the stability of the structure<br />

Physical - conservation state<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

Total 0<br />

Lacking bricks/blocks/mortar/element<br />

Lacking of elements the endanger the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Deterioration Deterioration that endanger the structure in the short term 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Vegetation Vegetation that endanger the stabilizing of the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Total 0<br />

20<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


Engineering and conservation state<br />

No - Yes Σ<br />

instability of constructive elements which endanger the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Lack of constructive elements which endanger the Structure (beam/ vault/ arch/ pillar) 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Lack of 3D connections between constructive elements (foundations / walls/ roof/ ceiling/ columns ) 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Slenderness (the proportion between the tall and wide) 1) 1: 4 / 2) 1:6 / 3) 1:8 / 4) 1:10 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Existence of deformation (sinks, blows, attitude) that can endanger the stability of the structure<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

Existence of vertical / horizontal / diagonal constructive cracks that endanger the stability of the<br />

structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Adjacent construction that endanger the structure<br />

Modern intervention that endanger the stability of the structure<br />

Physical - conservation state<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

1 2 3 4 0<br />

Total 0<br />

Lacking bricks/blocks/mortar/element<br />

Lacking of elements the endanger the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Deterioration Deterioration that endanger the structure in the short term 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Vegetation Vegetation that endanger the stabilizing of the structure 1 2 3 4 0<br />

Total 0<br />

21<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


22<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


23<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


24<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


25<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


Preliminary <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment results of Archaeological Sites - Pilot (2010-1)<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

Caserea the port vaults<br />

Tiberiades theatre<br />

Banias the Crusader gate<br />

Beth She'an the East bridge<br />

Caserea the South wall<br />

Beth She'an Cripta Portico<br />

Caserea theatre<br />

Caserea the West-North wall<br />

Caserea the West-North wall<br />

Hunin fortress<br />

Caserea the Crusader gate<br />

Beth She'an the reflection pool<br />

Beth She'an palestra<br />

Beth She'an Paladius Road<br />

Beth She'an <strong>The</strong>atre<br />

Beth She'an the terme<br />

Banias the palace<br />

Beth She'an latrine<br />

Kakun fortress<br />

Caserea the promonade vaults<br />

Critical<br />

High<br />

Medium<br />

Low<br />

Conservation Intervention<br />

26<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


Critical<br />

High<br />

Medium<br />

Stable<br />

27<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


Preliminary pilot results – risk assessment of CH structures<br />

Critical<br />

High<br />

Hunin<br />

תצוגה גרפית של מפת<br />

סיכונים ע"פ דירוג הסיכון<br />

של המבנים בפיילוט<br />

Banias<br />

Medium<br />

Low<br />

Tiberias<br />

Caserea<br />

Kakun<br />

Beth She'an<br />

28<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


First remarks<br />

• Feasibility of simple model for <strong>Risk</strong> map<br />

• <strong>The</strong> results based on knowledge give validity<br />

• <strong>The</strong>re is lack of risk preparedness in managed sites, some<br />

of their monuments are in high or critical state<br />

• Structures that were submitted to conservation are<br />

usually in good state<br />

29<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


Thinkable solutions for <strong>Risk</strong> Preparedness<br />

• Sharing information (GIS)<br />

• Alarm / monitoring systems<br />

• Reinforcing / strengthening<br />

• Closing / isolating structures / places<br />

• Evacuation routes<br />

• Guideline procedures<br />

• Training professionals<br />

• Supplementary investigations<br />

30<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


<strong>Israel</strong> 2013<br />

31<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


Intervention<br />

32<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


Appropriate development<br />

Beth She’an’s theatre<br />

33<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>


Thank You<br />

34<br />

<strong>Israel</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Map</strong>

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