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Lectures on by Søren Johansen Department of Economics ...

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12<br />

A partial model for (T t ; h t ) c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>al <strong>on</strong> the forcing (weakly exogenous) variables<br />

W MGG (CO2 and Methan) and Aerosols (Sulphate)<br />

<br />

Tt<br />

= 0 Tt 1<br />

h<br />

1 + 0 W MGGt 1<br />

t h<br />

2<br />

+ + "<br />

t 1 Aerosol t<br />

t 1<br />

Cointegrating relati<strong>on</strong><br />

^ 0 x t = T t 0:0065<br />

(t= 3:52) h t 0:768<br />

(t=4:68) wmgg t 1:478<br />

(t=3:51) aerosol t

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