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Lectures on by Søren Johansen Department of Economics ...

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30<br />

DTEMP<br />

0.3<br />

0.2<br />

Actual and Fitted<br />

1.00<br />

0.75<br />

0.50<br />

Autocorrelati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

0.1<br />

0.25<br />

­0.0<br />

0.00<br />

­0.25<br />

­0.1<br />

­0.50<br />

­0.2<br />

­0.75<br />

­0.3<br />

1883 1890 1897 1904 1911 1918 1925 1932 1939 1946 1953 1960 1967 1974 1981 1988 1995 2002<br />

­1.00<br />

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30<br />

Lag<br />

3<br />

2<br />

Standardized Residuals<br />

0.40<br />

0.35<br />

Histogram<br />

SB ­D H : C hiSqr(2) = 1.47 [0.48]<br />

K ­S = 0.89 [5% C .V. = 0.08]<br />

J­B: ChiSqr(2) = 1.34 [0.51]<br />

0.30<br />

1<br />

0.25<br />

0<br />

0.20<br />

­1<br />

0.15<br />

0.10<br />

­2<br />

0.05<br />

­3<br />

1883 1890 1897 1904 1911 1918 1925 1932 1939 1946 1953 1960 1967 1974 1981 1988 1995 2002<br />

0.00<br />

­3.2 ­1.6 0.0 1.6 3.2

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