think: act Special - Cloud Economy - Roland Berger
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<strong>think</strong>: <strong>act</strong> – <strong>Special</strong> Volume Two – <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong><br />
<strong>think</strong>: <strong>act</strong> – <strong>Special</strong> Volume Two<br />
<strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong><br />
The path to new<br />
business models<br />
Tapping the extensive amount of data<br />
generated by social networks and other Web<br />
2.0 applications can provide businesses<br />
with a wealth of ideas
Understanding the<br />
<strong>Cloud</strong> economy?<br />
Value<br />
added<br />
<strong>Cloud</strong><br />
Commerce<br />
Virtualization<br />
of the consumer<br />
experience<br />
The cloud economy uses Web 2.0 technology, social media, and cloud<br />
computing to virtualize social and economic <strong>act</strong>ivities<br />
What it comprises:<br />
Building blocks of the <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong><br />
<strong>Cloud</strong><br />
collaboration<br />
<strong>Cloud</strong><br />
computing<br />
Virtualization of computer<br />
resources and systems<br />
<strong>Cloud</strong><br />
commun ICation<br />
<strong>Cloud</strong><br />
community<br />
Virtualization<br />
of relationships<br />
(i.e., new forms of<br />
social inter<strong>act</strong>ion<br />
on the Internet)<br />
Web 2.0 Advanced Internet technologies (Ajax, RSS) that facilitate inter<strong>act</strong>ion, interoperability, and user-oriented design<br />
Social Media Internet-based applications and platforms that enable the creation and exchange of (user-generated) content<br />
<strong>Cloud</strong> Computing Web-based resources, software, and information that are available on demand and in real time<br />
• Manual labor<br />
and agricultural<br />
production<br />
• Social stratification<br />
and low levels of<br />
population<br />
• Mercantilism and<br />
feudal economies<br />
Virtualization of the<br />
inter<strong>act</strong>ion between<br />
people and organizations<br />
Today's global economy is developing into a cloud economy<br />
that is focused on social networking and shared resources<br />
Evolution TOWARD the <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong><br />
• Rapid technological<br />
advances<br />
• Wide range of goods<br />
and services<br />
• Marketing and<br />
PR: one-way<br />
communication<br />
• Prior to the Internet era<br />
Virtualization of<br />
information sharing<br />
Digital<br />
<strong>Economy</strong><br />
<strong>Cloud</strong><br />
<strong>Economy</strong><br />
Editorial<br />
Dear reader,<br />
Is there any real substance behind the much-hyped business<br />
models of Facebook, LinkedIn and other social networks? Can<br />
“normal” companies profit from these models, or are we seeing<br />
another bubble in the making?<br />
I believe there is no clear answer to this question. Goldman<br />
Sachs’ investment in Facebook, worth a reputed USD 1 bn, has raised<br />
very high expectations and so has LinkedIn, worth USD 8.9 bn at the<br />
close of its first day’s trading, with sales of USD 243 m and profits of<br />
USD 15 m. These figures strongly suggest a bubble; sky-high hopes<br />
which are unlikely to be fulfilled.<br />
However, I’m convinced that Facebook, LinkedIn et al aren’t just<br />
starry-eyed optimism. Social networks are simply the most obvious<br />
manifestation of a trend in which ever-larger parts of our personal lives<br />
are shifting online, which gives us 24/7 access to our friends. Business<br />
networking is also gradually making the transition to virtual reality.<br />
This transformation has a huge<br />
amount of business potential. We call it<br />
the cloud economy; an environment in<br />
which companies can use new technology<br />
to harvest huge quantities of online user<br />
data and integrate it into their business<br />
models.<br />
In this <strong>think</strong>:<strong>act</strong> SPECIAL, we review the<br />
status quo and highlight the opportunities<br />
and difficulties that face businesses<br />
migrating toward the cloud economy. We<br />
hope you enjoy this issue of our magazine.<br />
With best wishes,<br />
Martin Wittig<br />
CEO <strong>Roland</strong> <strong>Berger</strong> Strategy Consultants<br />
Traditional<br />
<strong>Economy</strong><br />
manuf<strong>act</strong>uring<br />
<strong>Economy</strong><br />
• Knowledge creates wealth<br />
• Content is king:<br />
communication becomes<br />
a two-way process<br />
• Dominance of online social networks<br />
• Social components in most business models<br />
• Democratization of raw computing resources<br />
• Just-in-time IT<br />
• Easy and widespread access to tools that<br />
enable collaboration and connection<br />
• Multiple-level conversations<br />
UP TO 1800 UP TO 1950 up to 2010 2010 ONWARD<br />
THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 3
Page 26<br />
Content<br />
Rubrik hier<br />
Food for thought<br />
6 The <strong>Cloud</strong>: It´s not just a heap of servers<br />
<strong>Cloud</strong> computing, inter<strong>act</strong>ive Web 2.0 ap plications,<br />
and social networking mean that the cloud economy is<br />
fast becoming a reality<br />
42 Moroccans like this<br />
Moroccan mobile communications provider Méditel is<br />
strategically using social networking sites to connect<br />
with customers and increase sales<br />
Page 14<br />
Page 42<br />
9 The mechanics of the social network<br />
Businesses must find their way in an ever-increasing<br />
number of online communities.<br />
An overview<br />
14 Carrying your customers in your pocket<br />
It is not always easy to decipher who uses<br />
social media or what they use it for, but this lack of<br />
clarity can be turned into an advantage<br />
Strategy<br />
18 The way into the cloud economy<br />
Strategically representing themselves on<br />
Facebook and Twitter is a contentious issue for many<br />
businesses. We find out more<br />
44 Hive intelligence<br />
Increasing numbers of companies are <strong>act</strong>ing on consumer<br />
suggestions when it comes to developing new<br />
products and services<br />
48 Reading the runes<br />
Some companies already know what products their<br />
customers will be buying tomorrow – even before<br />
many of the customers do<br />
52 A friend in need<br />
It’s quicker, cheaper, and more efficient – and those<br />
are just some of the advantages of offering customer<br />
service via social media<br />
Services<br />
Page 38<br />
Page 54<br />
Page 62<br />
24 Understanding the customer, bit by bit<br />
It’s as true today as ever: success is all a<br />
matter of knowing your market’s needs. Today, the<br />
cloud economy is making it easier to find out ex<strong>act</strong>ly<br />
what these are<br />
26 “If you have a sound strategy,<br />
you have nothing to fear”<br />
How important is the cloud economy for businesses?<br />
A conversation between Martin Wittig (CEO RBSC)<br />
and Sascha Lobo (Internet strategy consultant).<br />
Industry Report<br />
36 China: coining it in silence<br />
China has some very enterprising Internet companies,<br />
but it is hardly a powerhouse of innovation. Some<br />
Western firms have managed to break into the Chinese<br />
market.<br />
38 How the everywhere-Internet<br />
is making real life better<br />
Young U.S. entrepreneurs are looking for ways to<br />
make money from smartphones and the mobile Internet<br />
with apps designed to make users’ lives easier<br />
54 Learning to listen<br />
Social media platforms and changing lifestyles are<br />
making a new culture of business communication<br />
necessary.<br />
58 Seller’s market<br />
With specialist skills in increasingly short supply,<br />
human resources managers must turn to Web 2.0 if<br />
they want to beat their competition in attr<strong>act</strong>ing the<br />
most gifted minds<br />
60 “It’s important to form your own picture”<br />
Information scientist Angelika Ruppel is well aware<br />
of the security concerns regarding cloud computing,<br />
and recommends a few precautions<br />
Essay<br />
62 The rain dancers<br />
Over the years, the Internet has lurched from<br />
one over-hyped “next big thing” to another.<br />
Is the cloud economy anything more than a<br />
nebulous catchphrase?<br />
66 Imprint<br />
THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 5
Food for thought<br />
Low barriers to entry:<br />
Even companies in<br />
developing countries<br />
can profit from the<br />
cloud economy.<br />
The <strong>Cloud</strong>:<br />
It’s not just a heap<br />
of servers<br />
<strong>Cloud</strong> computing – processing, storage capacity and software<br />
distributed on the Internet – is the basis of the very inter<strong>act</strong>ive<br />
Web 2.0. As these tools become more powerful they are playing<br />
an increasingly important role in our everyday lives. The cloud<br />
economy is fast becoming a reality<br />
W<br />
hen Oracle boss Larry Ellison makes a public appearance,<br />
it’s show time. The eccentric billionaire has been<br />
cultivating his maverick, rabble-rousing image for decades.<br />
Back in 1995, Ellison and Bill Gates held a public<br />
debate in Paris, France on the future of the P.C. While<br />
Gates proclaimed the proven, universal, virtues of the<br />
standalone machine that essentially did whatever you told it to, Ellison insisted<br />
that the future lay with cheap, dumb terminals. Software, applications and services<br />
would reside on the network, available whenever a user needed them.<br />
For a long time, Ellison’s idea looked like pie in the sky. These were the days<br />
of the 1.44MB diskette, when distributing data online sounded impossible and<br />
ludicrous. When Apple shipped the first iMac computer in 1998, observers seemed<br />
more interested in its distinctive looks than in the f<strong>act</strong> that, unlike other home<br />
and office machines, it had no floppy drive.<br />
Today, as Ellison’s vision starts to take shape, he could be excused for saying<br />
I told you so. Without Internet access, today’s PCs are essentially glorified<br />
typewriters. TVs, mobile phones, cars, and even banal domestic appliances like<br />
refrigerators, are going online.<br />
Companies like Facebook and Google base their entire multi-billion-dollar<br />
business models on putting information on the net. <strong>Cloud</strong> computing offers<br />
THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 7
Food for thought<br />
Food for thought<br />
New markets and products spring up almost<br />
overnight, existing markets are transformed<br />
in an instant<br />
worldwide access to virtually unlimited<br />
processing power and storage capacity,<br />
which are being used to create virtual<br />
Web 2.0 platforms where we live out<br />
large parts of our everyday lives, working,<br />
shopping, and talking to private networks<br />
of friends and relatives.<br />
This cultural shift is also affecting<br />
large areas of industry. New technology<br />
allows new forms of communication and<br />
cooperation. Ideas, opinions and experiences<br />
can be shared quickly and easily in<br />
these new forms of communication, and<br />
new products and markets spring up almost<br />
overnight.<br />
The cloud economy is rooted in patterns<br />
of inter<strong>act</strong>ion borrowed from social<br />
networks and cloud computing, where<br />
the real and virtual business worlds mix<br />
and complement each other. It is also an<br />
opportunity for established businesses to<br />
expand at relatively low cost.<br />
Brazil and India<br />
The cloud is also good news for startups<br />
and small businesses, particularly<br />
businesses in developing countries. The<br />
barriers to market-entry are low; all<br />
you need to create a convincing business<br />
model is a low-end P.C. and a fast<br />
Internet connection. In Brazil, for example,<br />
one of the most popular websites<br />
is BuscaPé, a price comparison site. Its<br />
founder, Romero Rodriguez, said on a<br />
BBC television program, “A lot of people<br />
spend their weekends in shopping malls.<br />
On Monday, which is the day when we<br />
get the most trans<strong>act</strong>ions, these people<br />
go to work and shop during their lunch<br />
breaks. They use online information to<br />
make offline purchasing decisions, and<br />
vice versa.”<br />
Statistics<br />
Emerging markets<br />
India:<br />
Area: 3.3 million square<br />
kilometers<br />
Population: 1.19 billion<br />
Population density: 382 per<br />
square kilometer<br />
Per capita GDP: $3,400<br />
Brazil:<br />
Area: 8.5 million square<br />
kilometers<br />
Population: 203.4 million<br />
Population density: 21.8 per<br />
square kilometer<br />
Per capita GDP: $10,900<br />
With Brazil being the home to an estimated<br />
100,000 Internet cafés, getting<br />
online is easy. The big social networks are<br />
as popular in Brazil as they are everywhere<br />
else; more than six million Brazilians<br />
have Facebook pages, and over one<br />
million use LinkedIn. Orkut, a network<br />
similar to Facebook but operated by<br />
Google, is much more popular.<br />
The seeds of further growth in Latin<br />
America’s biggest country have already<br />
been sown. With 203 million, increasingly<br />
affluent, inhabitants and over 210<br />
million mobile phones, it’s only a matter<br />
of time until the mobile Internet catches<br />
on in a big way, providing even more opportunities<br />
for people with ideas, like<br />
Romero Rodriguez. India is also growing<br />
in prosperity as it grasps at the opportunities<br />
afforded by computer technology.<br />
Bangalore’s rise from relative remote status<br />
to IT powerhouse is a classical economic<br />
success story. A large proportion<br />
of the world’s software companies use Indian<br />
workers and, even more remarkably,<br />
India is profiting from the growing proliferation<br />
of communication channels; it<br />
has the fifth largest number of Facebook<br />
users in the world, at over 20 million, and<br />
almost as many Orkut members.<br />
Two thirds of the population – 765<br />
million people – have phones, but India<br />
has only 35 million landlines. Helping<br />
Indians to communicate can be a<br />
profitable business; the country’s ten<br />
largest companies include two telecommunications<br />
providers, Bharti Airtel and<br />
Reliance Communications. As Internet<br />
access becomes more widespread, an<br />
increasing number of India’s 1.3 billion<br />
citizens will recognize and exploit the<br />
potential of the cloud economy.<br />
The mechanics of<br />
the social network<br />
With new channels and communities springing up online every day, it can<br />
be hard for businesses to decide which ones matter most to them. In spite of their<br />
apparent diversity, these forms of communication <strong>act</strong>ually rely on a relatively<br />
small number of business models<br />
L<br />
ike. That one little word, the result of a single<br />
mouseclick on Facebook, is creeping into other aspects<br />
of everyday life. Is it a passing fad, a cultural<br />
transformation, or a blurring of the boundaries between<br />
the online and real worlds? The most <strong>act</strong>ive<br />
users of Facebook and similar sites are no longer<br />
just the usual young, hip and urbane suspects, but<br />
a worldwide mass movement that transcends generational<br />
differences. Users are just as at home on the Internet as<br />
they are in real life; they buy things, make dates, and gossip about<br />
products, projects, and jobs.<br />
These sites have become an integral part of our work and home<br />
lives, quickly gaining social acceptance because the underlying technology<br />
has been around for years and enjoyed proven success. Here<br />
are some of the most important categories of the social network:<br />
Instant Messaging<br />
What is instant messaging?<br />
Instant messaging (IM) allows users to communicate<br />
in real time, primarily by text message. To do<br />
this, users must sign up with a provider. The most<br />
popular providers in Europe and America are AOL’s<br />
ICQ, Windows Live Messenger, Yahoo Messenger,<br />
and Skype. The main provider in Asia is Tecent QQ.<br />
Many corporate IT solutions include IM applications;<br />
when users log on, they can see which of their<br />
friends, colleagues, and customers are online.<br />
8 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 9
Food for thought<br />
Food for thought<br />
What you should know about instant messaging? Four years<br />
ago, IM was regarded as the communication medium of the future.<br />
The U.S. market research company Gartner forecast that by 2011 IM<br />
would be the main tool for speech, video and text messages. By 2013,<br />
they predicted, 95% of all corporate communication would take place<br />
in real time, in many cases replacing email and SMS.<br />
“Instant messaging will sweep the board in companies just as<br />
emails once did,” the experts wrote in their 2007 study which advised<br />
businesses to start incorporating instant messaging within<br />
their systems as quickly as possible. Many companies did, but IM<br />
usage has remained largely unchanged since 2007 and, according<br />
to a forecast by UK Online Measurement, IM usage is beginning to<br />
decline. In 2007, British users spent 14% of their time online using<br />
IM and by 2010 usage had fallen to 5%.<br />
Even in 2007, Gartner was well aware of IM’s weaknesses; messages<br />
are more difficult than emails to archive systematically, and<br />
the market is still fragmented, with most IM systems being proprietary<br />
and incompatible with others. If you want to use it both at<br />
home and at work, you have to set up separate accounts and address<br />
books with separate providers. IM’s biggest weakness is being tied<br />
to the computer. For a long time, most services could only be accessed<br />
in this way. Even with users becoming increasingly mobile,<br />
thanks first to mobile phones, then to BlackBerrys, and now to<br />
smartphones, IM is still a deskbound application. British journalist<br />
and media analyst Chris Green claims, “People have moved on.<br />
The novelty value has worn off.”<br />
Real-time communication does still exist. California-based market<br />
research company The Radicati Group estimates that there are<br />
around 2.4 billion IM accounts. They also estimate that this number<br />
will rise to 3.5 billion by 2014. This medium may be of secondary<br />
importance today, but a similar principle is used on Facebook and<br />
other social media networks, and in Internet telephony services such<br />
as Skype.<br />
Blogs<br />
Instant<br />
Messaging<br />
SOCIAL<br />
NETWORKS<br />
Sharing<br />
& Hosting<br />
The reputation of blogs improves all the time,<br />
with more and more companies valuing them as a<br />
medium that allows them to talk to customers on a<br />
daily, weekly or more sporadic basis.<br />
What you should know about blogs Corporate<br />
blogs are usually embedded in companies’ own websites,<br />
and often contain posts by multiple employees<br />
about products, strategies, and other news. European<br />
companies have been slow to set them up so<br />
they number only in the hundreds, while their U.S.<br />
counterparts have published thousands of blogs. A<br />
very small number of CEOs have their own blogs.<br />
In the United States, General Motors’ FastLane<br />
Blog and Southwest Airlines’ Nuts about Southwest<br />
form an integral part of their communication with<br />
customers, employees, and other third parties.<br />
The opportunities Blogs provide companies with<br />
three main opportunities. First, they provide a way of<br />
connecting with customers, and that can be used as a<br />
marketing tool. Second, they can boost the business’<br />
reputation, for example, by announcing strategic<br />
decisions or getting leading figures in the company<br />
to answer customers’ questions. Finally, they are an<br />
excellent communication tool in both good times<br />
and bad.<br />
Ben Shneiderman, a professor at the University of<br />
Maryland’s computer science and human-computer<br />
inter<strong>act</strong>ion lab, says blogs have other uses as well. “In<br />
the health sector, they can bring together experts and<br />
members of the public to gather information which<br />
can support and improve research and health policy.”<br />
Shneiderman says there are other opportunities in<br />
areas as varied as training, catering, and disaster<br />
relief.<br />
What is the blogosphere?<br />
Jean-Remy von Matt, the owner of Germany’s leading advertising<br />
agency, once described blogs as, “the toilet walls of the Internet”.<br />
Since anyone can publish anything they like in a blog, there’s no<br />
guarantee of quality. Though standards may be extremely high, as<br />
leading bank analysts have found, amateur bloggers have regularly<br />
produced more accurate forecasts of Apple’s quarterly numbers than<br />
specialists at Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Deutsche Bank.<br />
Blogs<br />
Lots of logos, lots of<br />
communities – but a<br />
surprisingly small number<br />
of business models.<br />
The risks Blogs attr<strong>act</strong> the attention of existing and<br />
potential customers, but they are also magnets for<br />
detr<strong>act</strong>ors. Companies that communicate in public<br />
must expect criticism, and should never underestimate<br />
how well networked Internet users have become.<br />
Even small adverse re<strong>act</strong>ions can quickly go viral, and<br />
the more negative exposure you receive the greater the<br />
likelihood that your reputation could be damaged.<br />
This can be a serious risk when your company’s inter-<br />
10 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 11
Food for thought<br />
Rubrik hier<br />
“A lot of people share their opinions<br />
with the world, but not everyone does it<br />
in the same way”<br />
Mikolaj Jan Piskorski, professor at the Harvard Business School<br />
WEB 2.0 Social networks<br />
with more than 20 million registered users, and their geographical spread:<br />
ests clash with those of your customers over issues that have no direct<br />
connection with your business.<br />
One example of the power of blogs occurred at Siemens when<br />
employees found out from an internal blog that, then chief executive,<br />
Klaus Kleinfeld wanted to increase directors’ pay. Employees then<br />
leaked the information to the press. The ensuing media coverage<br />
and public debate was highly critical of Siemens, and the plans were<br />
quietly dropped.<br />
The challenge All companies should have blogging strategies.<br />
Experts at the U.S. market research company Top Rank Online<br />
Marketing say that blogs should not focus solely on increasing public<br />
perception of the business; customers soon see through this and may<br />
become angry and hostile. If companies want to promote communication<br />
with consumers, they need to do more than just marketing;<br />
they must create a high-quality, authentic dialog with users.<br />
Twitter<br />
Changing communication habits<br />
The microblogging site Twitter took mere months to conquer the<br />
Internet, and it allows bloggers a maximum message length of 140<br />
char<strong>act</strong>ers. Twitter’s main feature is that readers can easily forward<br />
messages they receive, potentially reaching a huge worldwide community<br />
in seconds. Krishna Gummadi, of the Max-Planck-Institut<br />
für Softwaresysteme, in Saarbrücken, is working with a team of<br />
scientists at the Korean Institute of Science and Technology to investigate<br />
why information spreads so rapidly, by analyzing around<br />
1.75 million tweets.<br />
Soumitra Dutta, academic director of the digital economy research<br />
center at the INSEAD business school in Fontainebleau,<br />
believes that Twitter is far from exhausting its potential, “Twitter<br />
is a great real-time, people-to-people search engine. It means you<br />
get very quick feedback and answers from people. That’s the power<br />
of Twitter, and it’s going to stay that way for a long time to come.”<br />
Social Networks<br />
What are social networks?<br />
The Internet is a world of its own in which digital<br />
natives move around as easily as they do in real life,<br />
sharing their news, lives, and problems.<br />
Managers cannot afford to steer clear of the giant<br />
among social networks. “Facebook now has around<br />
680 million members,” says Soumitra Dutta. “CEOs<br />
and companies need to have a presence there.” The<br />
most successful corporate page on Facebook is Coca-<br />
Cola’s; the company has 30 million fans, and social<br />
networking is a key component of its marketing<br />
strategy.<br />
The benefits Having lots of Facebook friends does<br />
more than simply enhance your image. Uptal M.<br />
Dholakia, an associate professor at Rice University in<br />
Houston, Texas, has used the example of a local café<br />
chain, Dessert Gallery, to show the tangible financial<br />
benefits of a successful corporate page. Customers<br />
visit its branches an average of 20% more often after<br />
they friend it on Facebook. They also generate more<br />
positive word-of-mouth publicity, show greater loyalty<br />
to the company, and spend more money there<br />
than in other cafés.<br />
Other big names Of course Facebook isn’t the only<br />
important social networking site. Friendster, Orkut<br />
and MySpace have prominent followings, Facebook’s<br />
Chinese rival Qzone, launched just a year<br />
later in 2005, has 480 million users, and is followed<br />
by the U.S. network Bebo, with around 117 million<br />
members.<br />
There are also many sites with strong regional<br />
roots, such as the Russian Facebook clone VKontakte,<br />
China’s Mixi, South Korea’s Cyworld and the<br />
U.S. site Hi5, which is particularly popular among<br />
Latin American users.<br />
“Companies should also pay attention to these<br />
sites if their users are relevant to them,” says IN-<br />
SEAD’s Soumitra Dutta. Managers can also register<br />
with business networks such as the U.S.-based<br />
BEBO / BEBO /<br />
117 million 117 million<br />
North America North America<br />
BEBO /<br />
ORKUT 117 ORKUT million / /<br />
100 North million 100 America million<br />
India, Brazil India, Brazil<br />
HI 5 ORKUT / HI 5<br />
/<br />
80 million 100<br />
80<br />
million<br />
million<br />
Latin India, America Latin<br />
Brazil<br />
America<br />
HI 5 /<br />
80 million<br />
Latin America<br />
BEBO /<br />
117 million<br />
VKONTAKTE /<br />
North America<br />
135 million<br />
LinkedIn, Germany’s Xing and the French site Viadeo. “These Russia are<br />
better for specifically business purposes than sites like Facebook,<br />
because they have a more homogeneous user community,” Dutta Diverse content<br />
adds. However depending on your business model, this uniformity<br />
can also be a drawback.<br />
ORKUT /<br />
100 million<br />
VKONTAKTE VKONTAKTE / /<br />
135 million 135 million<br />
Russia Russia<br />
QZONE /<br />
480 million<br />
China<br />
FACEBOOK FACEBOOK / LINKEDIN / LINKEDIN / / MYSPACE/ MYSPACE/ VIADEO VIADEO / /<br />
680 million 680 million 100 million 100 million60 million 60 million 35 million35 million<br />
worldwide worldwide worldwide worldwide worldwide worldwide worldwide worldwide<br />
FACEBOOK /<br />
680 million<br />
worldwide<br />
VKONTAKTE /<br />
135 million<br />
Russia<br />
LINKEDIN /<br />
100 million<br />
worldwide<br />
Regional India, differences Brazil Social networks are used differently from one<br />
region to another. “A lot of people share their opinions with the world,<br />
but not everyone does it in the same way,” said Mikolaj Jan Piskorski,<br />
associate professor of business administration at Harvard Business<br />
School, in HI a 5 recent / study. Cyworld, for instance, is structured as a huge<br />
80 million<br />
game, and more than half of South Korea’s population has an avatar<br />
Latin America<br />
there. In Japan, Germany and the United States, the website operator<br />
SK Telecom introduced this concept, and it failed.<br />
QZONE QZONE / /<br />
480 million 480 million<br />
China China<br />
MYSPACE/<br />
60 million<br />
worldwide<br />
MIXI / MIXI CY / CY<br />
29 million29 million WORLD / WORLD /<br />
Japan Japan 24 million24 million<br />
FRIENDSTER FRIENDSTER / /<br />
South Korea South Korea<br />
115 million 115 million<br />
Southeast Southeast Asia Asia<br />
FRIENDSTER /<br />
115 million<br />
Southeast Asia<br />
VIADEO /<br />
35 million<br />
worldwide<br />
FRIENDSTER /<br />
115 million<br />
Southeast Asia<br />
Sharing-Platforms<br />
MIXI /<br />
29 million<br />
Japan<br />
MIXI /<br />
29 million<br />
Japan<br />
CY<br />
WORLD /<br />
24 million<br />
South Korea<br />
In recent years, sites allowing users to share photographs,<br />
videos and music have acquired an important<br />
role in the complex social media infrastructure. YouTube,<br />
founded in California in 2005, is the world’s third most<br />
QZONE /<br />
popular website and has spawned many imitators. The<br />
480 million<br />
world’s China top 100 most popular sites include large numbers<br />
of sharing and hosting services such as the Chinese<br />
video sites Tutou and Youku and the photo portals Flickr<br />
and ImageShack. However, social media sites such as<br />
Facebook are increasingly inching out these sites.<br />
CY<br />
WORLD /<br />
24 million<br />
South Korea<br />
12 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> FACEBOOK / LINKEDIN / MYSPACE/ VIADEO /<br />
13<br />
680 million 100 million 60 million 35 million<br />
worldwide worldwide worldwide<br />
worldwide
Food for thought<br />
Carrying your customers<br />
in your pocket<br />
Social media sites are self-contained communities. It is not always<br />
easy to decipher who their members are or why those members<br />
participate, so many businesses remain unconvinced of their merit<br />
as a promotional tool. However, this lack of clarity can still be<br />
turned into an advantage<br />
N<br />
o matter what your age or interests,<br />
there are millions of like-minded people<br />
waiting to talk to you. When companies<br />
try to forge links with communities that<br />
match their own business objectives, the<br />
sheer number of potential clients is often<br />
intimidating. Too often, the result is<br />
a poorly thought-out and rarely visited<br />
Facebook page. Another strategy is to buy a ready-made community;<br />
for example, the German publisher Burda-Verlag acquired<br />
an already successful fashion blog.<br />
Taking your existing real-world customers online with you is<br />
a more elegant solution. Robert Bosch, the German industrial<br />
giant, best known for its power tools, runs a website for do-it-<br />
Know your customer:<br />
Successful businesses use<br />
social media communities.<br />
14 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong>
Food for thought<br />
Food for thought<br />
Taking part is not essential<br />
Social media for CEOs<br />
People already use mobile<br />
devices more often than PCs to<br />
access Facebook and Twitter<br />
“If you‘re a decision maker,<br />
your time is precious,“ says<br />
social media expert Jan-Hinrik<br />
Schmidt (PhD), of the Hans-<br />
Bredow-Institut in Hamburg.<br />
“You can afford to stay away<br />
from social media sites.” No<br />
one should feel obligated to<br />
sign up with Facebook or similar<br />
sites purely for PR purposes,<br />
he believes. A profile on a<br />
business-networking site like<br />
Xing or LinkedIn is a necessity<br />
for many industries, and can<br />
be good for your reputation<br />
and for your cont<strong>act</strong> list. If<br />
you‘re a senior employee or<br />
a well-known figure, you may<br />
quickly be overwhelmed by<br />
the response; everyone will<br />
want your name on his or her<br />
list of cont<strong>act</strong>s. “If people are<br />
just friending you for their<br />
own benefit, don‘t be afraid to<br />
say no.” Likewise, Jan-Hinrik<br />
Schmidt advises on friending<br />
reasonably large numbers of<br />
people, rather than adding<br />
everyone just to increase the<br />
size of your network. “After all,<br />
when you go to a conference,<br />
you don’t give your card to<br />
everyone there.”<br />
Experts differ over the optimum<br />
size for an individual‘s<br />
social network. Sociologist<br />
Robin Dunbar believes the<br />
human brain is capable of<br />
managing no more than 150<br />
friendships, and claims his<br />
theory is validated by the web,<br />
though he has yet to publish<br />
the results of his research.<br />
He points to theories developed<br />
by his colleague Mark<br />
Granovetter in the 1970s,<br />
which claim that it is impossible<br />
to form close relationships<br />
with large numbers of people.<br />
Social networks tend to be<br />
both closed and tight-knit, but<br />
even the more tenuous connections<br />
between individuals<br />
can represent bridges to other<br />
networks of information and<br />
cont<strong>act</strong>s. These can be valuable<br />
even to the most hardpressed<br />
of senior managers.<br />
yourself enthusiasts, complete with a wiki and<br />
a forum for specialist questions such as how do<br />
you switch off the pendulum stroke of a jigsaw?<br />
Members seek advice on projects, and post profiles<br />
detailing the specific skills they can offer to<br />
others. The community is self-regulating and the<br />
members invest a great deal of time and passion<br />
in policing the rules they have put in place. Bosch<br />
adopts a low-key role while it advertises workshops<br />
and competitions and holds chat sessions<br />
with its in-house experts. This hive of unfiltered<br />
<strong>act</strong>ivity makes the site particularly attr<strong>act</strong>ive to<br />
new visitors. It all began with a series of meetings<br />
in real-world hardware stores, where Bosch<br />
invited customers and interested parties, already<br />
<strong>act</strong>ive in DIY forums, to help plan the site. This<br />
proved a great success, and the idea quickly went<br />
viral thanks to recommendations on Facebook<br />
and elsewhere on the Internet. Often, virtual<br />
inter<strong>act</strong>ion turns into real-life encounters; for<br />
example, users might volunteer to help one of<br />
their members install a garden shed. The site<br />
is good for Bosch’s image and it has additional<br />
benefits as well. For instance, the company is able<br />
to utilize members to test and evaluate new products.<br />
The “get involved” principle also applies in<br />
other industries; US pizza-delivery company<br />
Papa John’s held an online competition inviting<br />
visitors to suggest recipes for its restaurants. The<br />
winner earned a 1% slice of the sales Papa John’s<br />
generated, while the promotion earned the company<br />
generous levels of online buzz.<br />
Social media must add value<br />
It helps to know some basic information about<br />
the members of your community, such as their<br />
ages, occupations and geographical locations.<br />
Social media allows you to create virtual relationships<br />
with customers down the street or on the<br />
other side of the world. Experts recommend creating<br />
different sites for different groups to maximize your<br />
international profile and use the community to add<br />
value. One big no-no is starting a blog and losing interest<br />
a few months later. The benchmark of success<br />
for any social media platform is the degree of <strong>act</strong>ivity<br />
it generates, and the best sites often demand a lot of<br />
hard work, persistence, and money. Providing users<br />
with plenty of links to content, and consistently new<br />
posts, will result in your site being prominently listed<br />
on Google and other search engines. In the best-case<br />
scenario, the community becomes an ambassador for<br />
the company, which makes it priceless.<br />
Smartphones bring social media<br />
into the mainstream<br />
The investment bank Morgan Stanley predicts that<br />
by 2015, mobile devices will replace traditional PCs<br />
as the main means of Internet access. Mobile devices<br />
have already overtaken PCs for posting to Facebook<br />
and Twitter. Thanks to the smartphone, individuals<br />
and businesses can carry their social media communities<br />
around in their pockets.<br />
Mobile devices are becoming ever more versatile.<br />
Today’s smartphones know where they are, and can<br />
pass this information to other people. At times this<br />
information is shared without their owners’ knowledge,<br />
though most users are perfectly happy to give<br />
their consent. The geo-location community Foursquare,<br />
for instance, is one of the first location-based<br />
social networks to exploit mobile phones’ GPS capabilities.<br />
Members advertise their locations, receive<br />
status reports from their own social networks and<br />
can also share club and restaurant recommendations.<br />
Another way of cultivating a sense of community<br />
is to offer rewards, such as giving away virtual<br />
stickers and badges to frequent users. Foursquare<br />
members share badges with their friends and this<br />
helps encourage competition and inter<strong>act</strong>ion. Users<br />
with high numbers of “check-ins” at a favorite location<br />
can earn the title of “mayor” for the location,<br />
which is a title that must be constantly defended.<br />
The site’s founder, Dennis Crowley, describes “checkins”<br />
as “the atomic unit of a location’s measurable<br />
relevance.” The reward principle has its roots in the<br />
computer games industry, which long ago recognized<br />
that people are more motivated to play if they receive<br />
a virtual pat on the back, such as a mention on the<br />
top scorers’ list.<br />
Foursquare was founded in 2009, and already<br />
has more than seven million users. Growing numbers<br />
of businesses are being marked as “places”<br />
and use the network as a new way to advertise and<br />
generate customer loyalty. Businesses can offer gift<br />
cards or discounts in return for check-ins. Predictably,<br />
Facebook copied the idea and launched its own<br />
version, Places, in the summer of 2010. Users of the<br />
service can see when friends are nearby and arrange<br />
spontaneous real-world meetings. Facebook Places<br />
uses a similar business model; one of the companies<br />
involved in the US launch was Burger King.<br />
The restaurant offered free Whoppers to community<br />
members who checked in using the Facebook app.<br />
In the UK, Mazda attr<strong>act</strong>ed huge media interest by<br />
offering members of its community a 20% discount<br />
on the MX-5 sports car in return for checking in<br />
at one of its dealerships on Facebook. In Germany,<br />
the H&M fashion retail chain offered its Facebook<br />
friends 25% off any single item. Geoservices like<br />
these are particularly attr<strong>act</strong>ive to businesses with<br />
strong local roots or multiple branches.<br />
16 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 17
Staking a claim:<br />
Rubrik hier<br />
Work out how to<br />
use data from the<br />
cloud, and you‘ve<br />
struck gold.<br />
Strategy<br />
The way into the<br />
<strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong><br />
Many companies are destroyed by turf wars between<br />
departments with differing approaches toward<br />
Facebook, Twitter and other social networks. How<br />
can these dis agreements be reconciled?<br />
Y<br />
ou could be excused<br />
for asking why businesses<br />
expend so much energy on<br />
this debate. After all, social<br />
media offers very few direct,<br />
quantifiable marginal<br />
gains to themselves or their<br />
customers. However, these<br />
companies have the right idea. They are taking<br />
their messages to customers who spend a large<br />
part of their time on cloud-based websites, inter<strong>act</strong>ing<br />
and sharing experiences and opinions.<br />
Having a presence on these sites is not an end<br />
in itself; every Internet search, product rating,<br />
financial trans<strong>act</strong>ion and profile update leaves a<br />
footprint on the web, providing potentially valuable<br />
information for businesses that monitor and<br />
use information from social networks.<br />
The volume of data sent via the Internet is<br />
growing dramatically. Network provider Cisco<br />
predicts that by 2014 annual traffic will expand<br />
to 767 exabytes – one exabyte is equal to<br />
1,000,000,000,000,000,000 bytes. This is 4.3<br />
times higher than in 2009. In order to store a<br />
month’s worth of traffic you’d need around 16<br />
billion DVDs.<br />
The corporate cloud<br />
In addition to the rising tide of web-based data,<br />
businesses generate vast quantities of information<br />
on their own IT systems or clouds. It happens<br />
every time a call center resolves a problem<br />
for a customer, an e-commerce system stores and<br />
processes an order, or a sales or marketing department<br />
updates cont<strong>act</strong>, status or feedback data for<br />
an existing or potential customer.<br />
The sheer quantity and complexity of this<br />
data makes it difficult for businesses to use. Yet<br />
it’s a goldmine of valuable insights into consumer<br />
needs and behavior, such as new products they’d<br />
like to see, criticisms and suggested improvements<br />
to existing products, and solutions to<br />
problems. Social media profiles tell us a lot about<br />
users’ demographics and areas of interest. They<br />
18 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 19
Strategy<br />
Strategy<br />
allow big corporations to share some of the competitive edge<br />
enjoyed by small local rivals, such as corner stores, by helping<br />
them to understand their customers’ everyday needs and<br />
wants and engage in a personal dialog with them.<br />
That’s the theory. In pr<strong>act</strong>ice, businesses are having difficulty<br />
staking their claims in the goldmine because the data<br />
is unsorted and located in so many different places: Facebook,<br />
Twitter, ratings sites, blogs, and discussion forums.<br />
The web is a tangle of unconnected information, and the<br />
challenge is untangling it and exploiting its full potential.<br />
This is also true of corporate clouds. Companies’ IT infrastructures<br />
have grown organically over the years, with<br />
different departments often using different systems. The<br />
support and customer service functions may use customer<br />
relationship management software, while production and<br />
logistics departments use enterprise resource planning programs,<br />
and sales areas rely on e-commerce solutions.<br />
Some of these functions are bundled together into business<br />
intelligence systems, but many individual business<br />
areas use highly specialized software that they have written<br />
in-house – and with good reason. They churn out vast<br />
quantities of data, sometimes of purely internal interest but<br />
often containing priceless nuggets of information.<br />
The big problem is that these systems and modules are<br />
not linked, and the data is not available in a format that<br />
can be systematically analyzed. To continue the goldmine<br />
analogy, everyone knows where the motherlode is, but no<br />
one knows how to extr<strong>act</strong> it.<br />
Making decisions<br />
This has created a paradox. In theory, managers should be<br />
making well-founded and carefully considered decisions<br />
based on the available data, but in pr<strong>act</strong>ice they cannot<br />
because it is patently too complex to use. The predicament<br />
is made more difficult by the growing number of success<br />
stories involving companies who have solved this problem.<br />
At least we now have the technology required to get a grip<br />
on the huge quantity of data in the cloud, and that technology<br />
is itself cloud-based. <strong>Cloud</strong> computing, using today’s infinite<br />
computing and data storage capacity, offers powerful<br />
analytical tools that drill quickly and efficiently into the data<br />
goldmine. A few years ago this was impossible or not cost<br />
effective; today you don’t even need to own the hardware.<br />
In the past, only big retail groups like Walmart could<br />
afford to analyze customer data and tailor their products<br />
and services accordingly, but today the necessary tools can<br />
be bought in at relatively low cost. There are now proven<br />
ways of integrating corporate cloud data and matching it<br />
to the latest information from social networks. Data is also<br />
easier to share, because interfaces are becoming increasingly<br />
standardized.<br />
Over recent years, many managers have been deterred by<br />
the exponentially increasing complexity of traditional business<br />
processes, but this complexity can now be significantly<br />
reduced. Complexity is no longer an excuse; data is manageable<br />
if you have the right resources and strategies.<br />
New business potential<br />
More importantly, the cloud offers the potential to create<br />
new business models. This treasure trove of information<br />
can significantly reduce a product’s time to market. Until<br />
recently, product development required significant initial investment<br />
in market and product research, production technology,<br />
and sales and marketing; you could spend a fortune<br />
getting the finished product to the consumer, and there was<br />
no guarantee that they’d even like it.<br />
As a rule, companies offer products which they believe<br />
will benefit their customers, for example by giving their lives<br />
more meaning, making their jobs easier, or simply entertaining<br />
them. Customers have the option of either choosing<br />
products that appeal to them most or continuing to have<br />
their wishes unfulfilled.<br />
The cloud economy is changing this. These days, when<br />
customers want things, they don’t just tell friends or telephone<br />
support hotlines, they express their needs in online<br />
forums, blogs, and social networks. The same is true for<br />
corporate data, which includes information about customers.<br />
Product development costs are tailing off sharply;<br />
thanks to the cloud, computing power and production capacity<br />
have never been cheaper. Furthermore, increasingly<br />
effective logistics chains mean that distance is no longer a<br />
major issue.<br />
The key question managers must ask themselves is how<br />
the web and corporate clouds will affect their future business<br />
models. If they can answer this, the goldmine is theirs<br />
for the taking.<br />
Information contained<br />
on social networking<br />
sites reveals what<br />
customers need from<br />
products and services<br />
20 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 21
Strategy<br />
Generating data:<br />
What customers say online<br />
is the key to their needs.<br />
Understanding<br />
the customer,<br />
bit by bit<br />
Even in new times, old<br />
principles apply. For example,<br />
if you want your business to<br />
be successful, you must know<br />
what the market wants. The<br />
cloud economy is making this<br />
question easier to answer<br />
By Prof. Björn Bloching, partner,<br />
<strong>Roland</strong> <strong>Berger</strong> Strategy Consultants<br />
Traditional methods, like paying market<br />
research companies to do surveys, are starting<br />
to look slightly past their “sell-by” date. These<br />
days, one of the best ways to find ex<strong>act</strong>ly what<br />
your customers want is to sift all the available<br />
data, both on the web and within your business,<br />
where, chances are, you have heaps of<br />
information about consumer needs and purchasing<br />
behavior. Take Amazon.com, for example. For several<br />
years, the Seattle-based online retailer has been upgrading its<br />
systems to ensure that it makes the best possible use of data,<br />
and the products it stocks are based on detailed evaluation of<br />
how customers make purchases, from searching for a particular<br />
product to clicking on the “Buy” button.<br />
One important component of this strategy is the recommendation<br />
engine, the software function that suggests other<br />
products in which the customer might be interested. The recommendation<br />
engine is therefore both a marketing tool and an<br />
internal management resource.<br />
All user ratings are consistently evaluated as well, and as<br />
Amazon collates this information, it continuously develops its<br />
business model. Since the bursting of the Internet bubble in<br />
2000, which left Amazon close to bankruptcy, the company<br />
has, against all odds, become one of the Internet’s biggest mailorder<br />
companies.<br />
Computer and printer manuf<strong>act</strong>urer Hewlett-Packard<br />
makes painstaking use of customer trans<strong>act</strong>ion data.<br />
Interestingly, much of this data comes not from its distributors,<br />
online shops and business-to-business retailers<br />
rather than from its own servers.<br />
The challenge lies in collecting, evaluating and interpreting<br />
data from such a multitude of sources, and the resulting<br />
treasurehouse of information is further enriched by<br />
analyzing the purchasing habits of large numbers of non-<br />
HP customers. This allows HP to target specific groups<br />
with information and marketing campaigns.<br />
Amazon’s and HP’s success with this technique is<br />
based on consistently using and evaluating data, and the<br />
first step for any company seeking to emulate them is to<br />
network all available customer information. The more opportunities<br />
your IT infrastructure offers for obtaining it –<br />
blog posts, online forums, product ratings on your website<br />
– the richer your in-house data mine will be.<br />
Using web-based data<br />
The next step is to extr<strong>act</strong> data not just from inside the<br />
business, but from the web as well. Potential customers<br />
and business partners leave all kinds of online traces which<br />
can be distilled into valuable information. One example is<br />
retargeting, which provides anonymized usage data that<br />
complies with data protection laws. If the visitor goes on<br />
to visit another site, retargeting analyzes the data, displays<br />
personalized banners and advertising, and collates seemingly<br />
unconnected information from different sites in real<br />
time by offering discounts for specific products which may<br />
be of interest for example.<br />
All of this occurs behind the scenes, and takes milliseconds.<br />
According to Internet World Business magazine, retargeting<br />
can increase the probability of a user responding<br />
to personalized advertising by 300 to 600% as compared<br />
to less discriminating forms of marketing.<br />
Companies like Bluekai go one step further, placing<br />
cookies on the browsers of users who visit certain specialinterest<br />
sites and enriching these sites with additional information<br />
from external sources. As they continue to surf<br />
the net, the cookie gathers more information about the<br />
sites they visit; again, without breaching data protection<br />
rules. If the user ever returns to a site that uses Bluekai<br />
cookie data, they will be offered products specifically<br />
matched to their interests.<br />
The company, which is based in Washington State, offers<br />
clients the ability to precisely target the people they<br />
need to while incurring no waste. Today, businesses buy<br />
people, not advertising space, which gives them a huge<br />
competitive advantage and illustrates the massive poten-<br />
22 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 23
Strategy<br />
The grace of the digital age lies in<br />
the abundance of information that it<br />
currently generates. We must regard this<br />
information as a whole in order to use<br />
each individual component effectively<br />
Prof. Dr. Björn Bloching<br />
tial of combining online and<br />
offline data.<br />
Another growing trend is<br />
the use of publicly available<br />
data from various social networking<br />
and other sites, such<br />
as opinions and product recommendations.<br />
If it is to be used effectively,<br />
several different components must<br />
be in place. In-house and web-based data<br />
must be available in large quantities, and<br />
there must be proven algorithms to link<br />
and evaluate that data. Fortunately, cloud<br />
computing’s virtual hardware and software<br />
have made this evaluation technically<br />
possible and affordable. The results<br />
give a clear picture of what the market<br />
wants, transforming a once blurred mosaic<br />
into a high-definition photograph.<br />
The next challenge is to use this information<br />
to draw the correct conclusions for<br />
your products and services. For example,<br />
you may find that your offers need to be<br />
more carefully tailored to people’s individual<br />
interests. The more personal the<br />
offering, the more likely the customers are<br />
to buy it, and the more you appear to know<br />
about them, the more they trust you.<br />
One thing is for sure; making vague<br />
and unsubstantiated claims about the<br />
merits of your products and services<br />
doesn’t work any more. In the wake of<br />
growing demand for personalization,<br />
business models are starting to change.<br />
This new technology has far-reaching<br />
implications for the way businesses are<br />
organized. The larger a company becomes,<br />
the greater the number of skills<br />
it requires, which can, at times, compromise<br />
simplicity. When a machine has<br />
many cogs, a lot of energy gets wasted<br />
due to friction, so it becomes even more<br />
important to minimize complexity.<br />
Evaluating data from corporate clouds<br />
and the web can reveal hitherto unnoticed<br />
connections between processes,<br />
such as different forms of communication,<br />
and create new ways of improving<br />
the structure of the business.<br />
The cloud economy also helps companies<br />
to anticipate consumer behavior. It<br />
is becoming increasingly apparent that<br />
dividing people into traditional target<br />
groups is not as reliable a process as it<br />
once was. Loyal customers are a dying<br />
breed and traditional advertising is not<br />
nearly as effective as it was in the past.<br />
Traditional advertising no longer inspires<br />
loyalty, which makes developing and<br />
maintaining customer relationships difficult.<br />
Data-based analysis that predicts<br />
the needs and behavior of existing and<br />
potential customers in the cloud economy<br />
may be the solution to this problem.<br />
Success criteria<br />
Before you begin exploiting these opportunities,<br />
you need to do a certain amount<br />
Key questions<br />
to ask about…<br />
customer data in<br />
the cloud economy<br />
1/What is the relevant<br />
information, and how do<br />
we collect it?<br />
2/How should we network<br />
our own organization’s data<br />
with data in the cloud?<br />
3/What’s the smartest way<br />
of evaluating the data? What<br />
questions should we be<br />
asking if we aim to reduce<br />
complexity and monetize<br />
the data?<br />
4/How should we change<br />
our business models and<br />
structure in such areas as<br />
R&D, HR, marketing, and<br />
customer support?<br />
of homework. The most important thing is to carry out an<br />
inventory of what information is available, what forms the<br />
information is in, and from where in the company it originates.<br />
In most instances, only a newly created business unit<br />
will have the slim, efficient IT and other infrastructure required<br />
to make effective use of all the data, and this is rarely<br />
the case. Typically, data from existing sources will need to<br />
be merged, which requires a certain amount of work.<br />
Commonly occurring problems, apart from the f<strong>act</strong> that<br />
the data comes from different places and is in different<br />
formats, include conceptual weaknesses in the early stages,<br />
opposition from parts of the organization, and ensuring<br />
that data protection laws are complied with from the outset.<br />
In addition, the company’s IT infrastructure, whether<br />
it is a standard solution or developed in-house, is often<br />
designed for the needs of the traditional economy. Few<br />
systems allow cloud data to be used effectively to manage<br />
stock control and marketing.<br />
Once these technical and political obstacles have been<br />
overcome, the next step involves requiring all business<br />
units to provide the relevant data, in real time if possible.<br />
There’s not much point in evaluating and improving your<br />
business model based on old information. This is a good<br />
opportunity to replace the traditional overnight batchrun<br />
data reconciliation still used by many companies with<br />
state-of-the-art synchronization procedures.<br />
Another essential point is choosing the right tools, employees<br />
and outside companies to evaluate the data based<br />
on: expertise, timing and budget requirements. While<br />
there are plenty of technologies and service providers to<br />
choose from, the market for experienced data mining experts<br />
in this area is relatively small.<br />
Finding the right person for the job is essential if you<br />
plan to fully exploit the data. The aim at this point is to<br />
tackle the mountain of data by deciding on the right questions<br />
and hypotheses, getting the right answers and drawing<br />
conclusions which can be put into pr<strong>act</strong>ice, rather than<br />
carrying out a traditional business intelligence analysis.<br />
Experts in this relatively new field of endeavor are still<br />
rare.<br />
Finally – and it probably goes without saying when potentially<br />
sensitive information is involved – it’s essential<br />
to take precautions to ensure compliance with all aspects<br />
of data protection law.<br />
Once you have all these structures in place, you can<br />
largely automate the evaluation process to manage such<br />
things as marketing tools. The company’s accumulated<br />
know-how can then be used to develop models and applications<br />
for the strategic development of the information<br />
you obtain.<br />
Reestablishing a personal relationship<br />
The outcome definitely justifies the effort; making intelligent<br />
use of the available data can reduce the complexity<br />
of every area of your business, making it slimmer and more<br />
efficient. A study by the Sloan School of Management at<br />
MIT found that companies who make decisions based on<br />
data they have collected are 5 to 6% more productive than<br />
their competitors. That might not sound like much, but<br />
experts agree it can make the difference between a winner<br />
and a loser.<br />
Finally, making systematic use of information allows<br />
you to develop a much closer personal relationship with<br />
your customers, and find out what products and services<br />
they’re likely to need in the future. Sometimes the response<br />
will be not just a new product, but a whole new<br />
business model, a true example of data being used to add<br />
value. The cloud economy is here, and it is the future.<br />
24 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 25
Rubrik hier<br />
Rubrik Strategy hier<br />
“If you have a<br />
sound strategy,<br />
you have<br />
nothing to fear”<br />
How important is the cloud economy for<br />
businesses? A conversation between Martin Wittig,<br />
CEO of <strong>Roland</strong> <strong>Berger</strong> Strategy Consultants, and<br />
Internet strategy consultant Sascha Lobo<br />
26 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong>
Strategy<br />
Lobo: Do you <strong>think</strong> “cloud economy”<br />
is the right choice of words?<br />
Wittig: Yes, I do. It’s about the<br />
virtualization of business, from<br />
product development to marketing<br />
and customer support. The power<br />
of this new business economy comes<br />
from networks, and pr<strong>act</strong>ically all of<br />
this happens on servers, in the cloud.<br />
Lobo: That’s true. Apart from<br />
communication, that’s the aspect<br />
that most fascinates me: the cloud<br />
gives you almost unlimited computing<br />
power via the Internet. The idea of<br />
using my mobile phone to access the<br />
power of a supercomputer – I find<br />
that almost impossible to grasp.<br />
Wittig: But don’t forget, not everyone<br />
is as fascinated by the whole idea of<br />
the cloud as you are. I keep finding<br />
that businesses understand the<br />
advantages better if you use pr<strong>act</strong>ical<br />
examples, things like: So your company<br />
wants to run highly complex genome<br />
evaluations or other computerintensive<br />
calculation models? No<br />
problem. These days, all you need is<br />
a regular store-bought computer and<br />
an Internet connection. That gets<br />
people’s attention; they’re fascinated.<br />
Lobo: It certainly is impressive.<br />
With cloud computing, you can<br />
access extremely complex software<br />
that you’d normally have to maintain<br />
whole server farms for. You can direct<br />
computing power and software<br />
intelligence precisely where you need<br />
it, and nowhere else. And the prices<br />
are almost ridiculously cheap. You<br />
can use some of the most powerful<br />
computers on the market for a few<br />
dollars an hour.<br />
Wittig: The other important point<br />
apart from computing power and<br />
software is online storage capacity.<br />
It’s now available in almost infinite<br />
quantities, and most importantly it’s<br />
available worldwide, so all you need<br />
to access it is an Internet connection.<br />
This creates huge opportunities for<br />
businesses. At the most basic level,<br />
centralized data storage means that<br />
all employees have access to the most<br />
up-to-date information, from spreadsheets<br />
to customer data and draft<br />
documents.<br />
Lobo: Oh God, yes! You know, I<br />
don’t just have great hair, I also write<br />
books. It used to be hell comparing<br />
dozens of Word documents because<br />
no one knew ex<strong>act</strong>ly how Word’s<br />
“Compare Documents” function<br />
worked, and all the files had names<br />
like “Text_final”, “Text_final2”,<br />
“Text_REALLYfinal” and so on.<br />
Wittig: Unfortunately, that’s also<br />
been my experience. Without naming<br />
names, I’ve seen companies in very<br />
similar situations, with three or four<br />
secretaries spending all their time<br />
collating different versions of documents<br />
from different departments. And that’s<br />
only a very small example, but it clearly<br />
shows what huge potential efficiency<br />
savings there are in the cloud economy.<br />
Lobo: There is one other thing we<br />
ought to mention briefly: virtualization<br />
isn’t just relevant to businesses.<br />
Wittig: How do you mean?<br />
Lobo: In my opinion, the cloud<br />
economy is not just about cloud computing<br />
and how to make money out<br />
of it. It has lots of other aspects, like<br />
relationship networks, Facebook, etc.<br />
Wittig: So what are you getting at?<br />
Lobo: I’m talking about radical<br />
social change. Many people’s lives<br />
are being altered by what we rather<br />
blandly call social media. It’s not just<br />
a few spotty teenage Internet junkies<br />
– the average age on Facebook is 38.<br />
Social “ media is changing a lot of<br />
people’s lives – and they’re not all<br />
spotty teenage Internet junkies”<br />
Sascha Lobo<br />
Furthermore, the figures are massive:<br />
in Germany, only 23 percent of the<br />
population is <strong>act</strong>ive on Facebook.<br />
Wittig: Only? I <strong>think</strong> that’s a surprisingly<br />
high percentage. That’s almost<br />
20 million people – and they’re generally<br />
well-educated, more affluent…<br />
Lobo: Yes, when I said “only” I meant<br />
compared to other countries. In Austria<br />
it’s 31 percent of the population, in<br />
Switzerland it’s 34 percent, and in<br />
the United States the figure has just<br />
passed the 50 percent mark. It’s much<br />
the same in places like Chile, Norway,<br />
New Zealand, Hong Kong and the<br />
United Arab Emirates. In Iceland,<br />
the figure is over 65 percent, and it’s<br />
increasing by 2 percent a month. If<br />
you take out young children and older,<br />
less-Internet-savvy people, you’re<br />
moving towards digital saturation.<br />
28 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 29
Strategy<br />
Strategy<br />
Wittig: I don’t suppose you happen to<br />
know which country has the highest<br />
percentage of Facebook users?<br />
Lobo: Funnily enough it’s the Vatican<br />
state, where it’s 109 percent.<br />
Wittig: 109 percent? I would have<br />
thought that was arithmetically<br />
impossible…<br />
Lobo: It’s true, or rather it was<br />
true. It’s because Facebook calculates<br />
the figures. They look at how<br />
many users log on in a particular<br />
country and a particular month,<br />
and compare it to the official population<br />
figure.<br />
Wittig: Well, that’s statistics for<br />
you… But you’re right, social networks<br />
and all the various social<br />
media are a totally integral part<br />
of many people’s lives, particularly<br />
younger people. And because they<br />
devote so much time and energy to<br />
these platforms and social media<br />
attr<strong>act</strong>s such an incredible amount<br />
of attention, it obviously has an<br />
important marketing role.<br />
Lobo: Precisely. But I also <strong>think</strong><br />
it’s wrong to believe that if you’re a<br />
blue-chip company without a Twitter<br />
account, you’ll go bust the day after<br />
tomorrow. That’s the impression you<br />
sometimes get when you talk to<br />
Internet obsessives.<br />
Wittig: Sure, there’s a lot of hot air<br />
being talked at the moment. We’re<br />
already getting to the stage where<br />
some people regard “social media<br />
consultant” almost as an insult. But<br />
like lots of things in life, there are two<br />
sides to the coin, and strong arguments<br />
on both sides. The main thing is that<br />
when you make decisions, they must<br />
be based on sound know-how, not<br />
some vague gut feeling.<br />
Lobo: Talking of gut feelings, do you<br />
get the impression, like I do, that a lot<br />
of company managers have big issues<br />
with the cloud economy?<br />
Wittig: Partly. Of course it all depends<br />
on who you’re talking to. Finance<br />
directors often have reservations<br />
because of the potential cost<br />
implications. But when I tell them<br />
about the potential dramatic savings,<br />
using examples from our own<br />
consultancy projects, they have far<br />
fewer reservations. Sometimes, the<br />
finance people can’t spend the money<br />
quickly enough on getting hold of the<br />
IT infrastructure they need to get<br />
into the cloud.<br />
Lobo: And what do they <strong>think</strong> of<br />
social media?<br />
Wittig: The people who make the<br />
decisions often work sixty or seventy<br />
hours a week. They often don’t have<br />
any time for Facebook or Twitter – all<br />
they have time for in the evening is<br />
the business section of the newspaper.<br />
In my view, social media is about the<br />
whole culture of work. Of course it’s<br />
not the same for everyone.<br />
Lobo: I hope you’re not implying<br />
I don’t work hard enough…<br />
Wittig: It’s different for you. Twitter<br />
is part of your work, you have to<br />
have a regular presence there, and<br />
you do. But people often ask me:<br />
all this social media stuff, is it really<br />
relevant to us?<br />
Lobo: And what do you say?<br />
Wittig: Social media is relevant to<br />
a very large number of people; you<br />
mentioned the figures yourself.<br />
When you’re a business and your<br />
target market is either already on<br />
Facebook, or about to be, then of<br />
course social media is important.<br />
In f<strong>act</strong>, in these circumstances, if<br />
you don’t use social media you’re<br />
missing out on an opportunity.<br />
When I talk about target markets,<br />
I mean it very broadly; for example,<br />
most companies need a new generation<br />
of young employees, and they’re a<br />
part of their target market.<br />
Lobo: Do you ever meet people who<br />
are afraid of social media?<br />
Wittig: No one willingly admits to<br />
being afraid, but I do sometimes get<br />
the feeling that people are uneasy<br />
with it. And I can understand that:<br />
it’s a whole new world, and a lot of<br />
people <strong>think</strong> it’s out of control, and<br />
there’s a whole new set of rules.<br />
There are plenty of examples of how<br />
communication using these new<br />
media has created crises.<br />
So it’s quite natural for people<br />
to display a healthy dose of respect,<br />
sometimes even fear, but that’s not<br />
entirely a bad thing. It’s fear that<br />
stops a lot of companies blundering<br />
about like a bull in a china shop just<br />
because they want to get online as soon<br />
as possible. The right approach is to<br />
<strong>think</strong> carefully, research thoroughly,<br />
and base the whole thing on a sound<br />
“If you’re looking for someone with<br />
ten years’ banking experience, you<br />
won’t have to look too hard. But<br />
ten years of Facebook experience?<br />
There’s no such thing”<br />
Sascha Lobo<br />
strategy. In my experience, people<br />
who do that have nothing to fear<br />
from the digital age.<br />
Lobo: That’s the strategy consultant<br />
speaking. Sometimes, when I go to<br />
evening events and meet company<br />
directors, they ask me why small<br />
businesses should be involved in<br />
social media at all. My answer is<br />
brief, but it often has an effect.<br />
I tell them they could have massive<br />
communication problems, even if<br />
just one nameless former supplier,<br />
in southeast Asia let’s say, does<br />
something they shouldn’t. And before<br />
you know where you are, it’s all over<br />
the Internet, and you have to spend<br />
three weeks frantically trying to<br />
work out how Twitter works so you<br />
can limit the damage, and that’s not<br />
a good thing.<br />
Wittig: You’re not one to pull your<br />
punches, are you?<br />
Lobo: Maybe not. But getting back<br />
to the cloud: some people are afraid<br />
of cloud computing…<br />
Wittig: That’s very understandable<br />
when you’re putting highly sensitive<br />
data on the net and you encounter<br />
resistance from the compliance and<br />
risk management teams…<br />
Lobo: Precisely, which brings me<br />
to my point: security, and data<br />
security in particular, is becoming<br />
incredibly important.<br />
Wittig: Data security isn’t just<br />
becoming important now, it always<br />
has been. Computers have been<br />
networked for a long time, so in that<br />
respect it’s quite similar to the cloud.<br />
Networks need to be extremely secure,<br />
and it doesn’t matter whether the<br />
data is stored on a cloud server or<br />
your own company’s standalone PCs,<br />
which was often the case in the past.<br />
Lobo: As much as it goes against the<br />
grain, I completely agree with you. But<br />
getting back to fear of social media: of<br />
course this digitally networked world<br />
plays by completely different rules,<br />
but there are still rules and strategies.<br />
Social media is no mystery, it’s just that<br />
it’s so new that many communication<br />
processes haven’t been researched and<br />
set in stone right down to the last detail,<br />
so people approach it in a different<br />
way to other media.<br />
Wittig: How do you mean ex<strong>act</strong>ly?<br />
Lobo: Well, if you’re in human<br />
resources, you wouldn’t appoint<br />
someone with only eighteen months’<br />
experience of your industry to a<br />
managerial job. But a lot of the key<br />
developments in social media have<br />
taken place in the last year and a<br />
half. If you’re looking for someone<br />
with ten years’ banking experience,<br />
you won’t have to look too hard. But<br />
someone with ten years of Facebook<br />
experience? There’s basically no such<br />
30 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 31
Strategy<br />
thing – especially since Facebook<br />
was only created in 2004.<br />
Wittig: That just makes it all the<br />
more important not to go with your<br />
gut feelings, and operate on a sound<br />
strategic basis.<br />
Lobo: Absolutely, and interestingly<br />
this is also affecting the whole<br />
structure of businesses. There’s a<br />
whole new profession that’s grown<br />
up in the United States in the last<br />
couple of years: the information<br />
attorney. It sounds funny, but it’s a<br />
logical consequence of the openness<br />
and transparency of social media<br />
and the Internet as a whole.<br />
An information attorney has carte<br />
blanche to talk about every aspect<br />
of the business without having<br />
to ask other people or get permission.<br />
In the high-speed world of digitally<br />
networked communication, you can<br />
hardly tell someone: Sorry, I need to<br />
speak to someone in such-and-such<br />
a department, and there’s no one in<br />
until Tuesday.<br />
Wittig: Especially when it’s marketsensitive<br />
information, where you need<br />
to respond very quickly – it’s not a job<br />
for PR specialists any more.<br />
Lobo: Ex<strong>act</strong>ly.<br />
Wittig: I <strong>think</strong> it’s important not<br />
to regard social media and cloud<br />
computing as two opposite ends<br />
of the cloud economy. The whole<br />
way businesses operate, both internally<br />
and externally, is changing.<br />
If you’re a university student writing<br />
essays with other people using chat,<br />
Facebook and cloud applications,<br />
you’re not going to want to go and<br />
work for a company that still uses<br />
“Data is available in real time<br />
ex<strong>act</strong>ly when we need it: it doesn’t<br />
have to be recalculated or generated<br />
from scratch”<br />
Martin Wittig<br />
fax machines, yesterday’s technology<br />
– particularly if you’re so talented<br />
that you can pick and choose where<br />
you work.<br />
Lobo: That’s what I was going to<br />
say when I was talking earlier about<br />
being an author. I realized that if you<br />
have the right technology – we used<br />
Google Docs, which is like an online<br />
version of Word – you can cooperate<br />
in completely new ways. Until then,<br />
I thought writing was something you<br />
did on your own, but that’s not true<br />
at all. Writing with other people works<br />
very well, provided you use the right<br />
platform and everyone knows what<br />
they’re doing.<br />
Wittig: It always helps to know what<br />
you’re doing. It’s not just things like<br />
writing your book cooperatively that<br />
have been dramatically changed by<br />
cloud technology. I also <strong>think</strong> the<br />
real-time mobile Internet has a lot<br />
of potential.<br />
I <strong>think</strong> this has parallels with a<br />
management buzzword that was doing<br />
the rounds in the late seventies and<br />
early eighties: just-in-time production.<br />
It had the same big effect as the cloud<br />
economy, except this time it’s about<br />
data. Now, we have data available in<br />
real time ex<strong>act</strong>ly when we need it:<br />
it doesn’t have to be recalculated or<br />
generated from scratch.<br />
Lobo: I was just <strong>think</strong>ing about data,<br />
and particularly the f<strong>act</strong> that it’s so<br />
easily available in terms of security<br />
and the way it’s used. WikiLeaks<br />
is an obvious case in point.<br />
Wittig: Yes, of course that’s one<br />
downside of the cloud: these days,<br />
you can fit pretty much all of a<br />
company’s confidential information<br />
on a USB stick costing EUR 4.99,<br />
which means that the data can be<br />
distributed online extremely quickly.<br />
In cases like that, the rapid availability<br />
and transfer of data isn’t entirely a<br />
good thing. But cloud computing does<br />
have one security advantage: if the<br />
data is held on a central server, access<br />
control is easier.<br />
Lobo: I’m rather old-fashioned when<br />
it comes to my own personal data.<br />
My mantra, which I’m always<br />
recommending to people, is never<br />
publish anything on the net that you<br />
wouldn’t want to see on the front<br />
page of a newspaper.<br />
Wittig: Do you <strong>act</strong>ually still read<br />
newspapers?<br />
Lobo: Every day. And not just one<br />
– dozens! Not on paper, though –<br />
online.<br />
Wittig: I <strong>think</strong> that’s a very good<br />
image of digital change to end on. The<br />
old values are still relevant in the new<br />
world, but the structures are changing.<br />
32 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 33
Industry report<br />
Industry report<br />
China: coining it<br />
in silence<br />
China has some very successful Internet companies, and<br />
although it is hardly a powerhouse of innovation, some<br />
Western companies have gained a foothold there<br />
By Steven Lin, Beijing<br />
More similarities than differences: Chinese Internet<br />
companies have followed much the same path to market<br />
as their Western counterparts.<br />
34 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong>
Industry report<br />
U<br />
ntil recently, my company used<br />
Google cloud computing apps. We all<br />
had Gmail, lifelong email accounts,<br />
Google Docs for real-time word<br />
processing, and Google Calendar.<br />
Ah, what heady days they were. For<br />
a long time, I didn’t need to bother<br />
distinguishing between different<br />
versions of files; in the old days there was the final version,<br />
the final final version, the final version approved by<br />
the boss, and the version approved by the boss and the<br />
legal department. Then this process became history and<br />
the Google cloud was the state of the art.<br />
However, since March 2, 2011, we have no longer been<br />
able to rely on Google apps. Google’s servers are offline<br />
half the time, and a Chinese blogger called William Long<br />
reported that when he used Google services via a server in<br />
Hong Kong, everything worked like clockwork, but when<br />
he connected via Shanghai, the system kept blacking out<br />
for fifteen minutes at a time. As a result, our company had<br />
switched to the Chinese email provider 163.com by the end<br />
of March.<br />
Whatever you <strong>think</strong> of this policy, it favors the big Chinese<br />
Internet companies. According to 163.com’s website,<br />
its email service for companies with up to 500 employees<br />
costs EUR 7,668 a year, and each employee has three gigabytes<br />
of storage. This means that businesses are paying<br />
at least EUR 5 per year for each user and each gigabyte.<br />
By comparison, Google’s email system costs only EUR 1.30<br />
per user and per gigabyte, and Google has a more elegant<br />
user interface, integrated instant messaging, push email<br />
and the full range of Google apps.<br />
This example is symptomatic of a wider trend. China’s<br />
leading Internet companies make much more money than<br />
their international rivals, yet their quality service, infrastructure<br />
and potential for investment are poor. 163.com<br />
does not even permit users to sort emails into subject folders,<br />
similar to the Hotmail system in the 1990s.<br />
This policy also <strong>act</strong>s as a barrier to innovation. A large<br />
number of Chinese Internet companies will debut on NAS-<br />
DAQ this summer, but the flotations of Youku (China’s<br />
YouTube) and Renren (the equivalent of Facebook) are a<br />
pale imitation of the global cloud economy.<br />
One success story is Xunlei, a very popular peer-to-peer<br />
software solution. Regardless of the Internet protocol you<br />
use to download data – HTTP, BitTorrent, ED2K (eDonkey)<br />
– Xunlei speeds up transfers by bundling together unused<br />
resources on all computers connected to the network. From<br />
The 163.com email system<br />
is similar to the Hotmail<br />
system in the 1990s<br />
a Western viewpoint, Xunlei is a bad thing because it is used<br />
to distribute high-resolution pirate copies of films, TV series<br />
and music. It places a huge strain on Internet providers’ connections,<br />
and users have to put up with flashing banners all<br />
over their screens. In spite of this, it is still a popular service.<br />
Subscribers are falling over themselves to buy the company’s<br />
premium cloud service, Xunlei Offline Download,<br />
which allows them to download everything via a Xunlei<br />
server and store it there for a EUR 1 monthly fee. Each<br />
user has 1,048,576 gigabytes of storage, which effectively<br />
means it’s unlimited.<br />
Sharing is good. Or is it?<br />
Xunlei‘s peer-to-peer<br />
service is a Chinese<br />
success story – and yet<br />
to Western eyes, it‘s<br />
a bad thing.<br />
The trick behind this service is that all data downloaded<br />
by users is stored for use by other people. Xunlei’s<br />
lawyers have spent countless hours making the<br />
service look legal, but Western companies regard it as<br />
operating in a gray area. It is undoubtedly a Chinese<br />
Internet success story, but at what price?<br />
Two non-Chinese companies have quietly succeeded<br />
in establishing cloud services in the country:<br />
SalesForce.com and Amazon Web Services. Both were<br />
among China’s top ten cloud computing providers<br />
in 2010 according to the worldwide technology blog<br />
ReadWriteWeb.<br />
For the many Chinese companies selling their products<br />
directly to customers throughout the world, it<br />
makes sense to use cloud services like SalesForce.com<br />
and Amazon Web Services as invisible links in their<br />
global supply chains. These services exist without government<br />
obstruction and surveillance because they do<br />
business with other Chinese companies rather than the<br />
public, thus attr<strong>act</strong>ing little attention.<br />
The Chinese call this strategy Men sheng fa da cai,<br />
meaning “coin it in silence”. <strong>Cloud</strong> service providers<br />
seeking a foothold in the Chinese market would be<br />
well-advised to follow a similar philosophy.<br />
36 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 37
Industry report<br />
Industry report<br />
“Over the last few years, New York<br />
has become increasingly important<br />
on the Internet scene”<br />
Brad Feld, Investor<br />
How the everywhere-Internet<br />
is making real life better<br />
The technology is already in place. Now, young US entrepreneurs are<br />
looking for ways to make money from smartphones and the mobile<br />
Internet with apps designed to make users’ lives easier<br />
By Viktoria Unterreiner, New York<br />
Want a free muffin? A slice of pizza<br />
for half price? If you’re in New York and<br />
you have a smartphone, it is no sooner<br />
said than done. At Tenka.com, cafés and<br />
restaurants use special offers to lure<br />
customers into their businesses. One business is giving away<br />
100 free cappuccinos; you don’t even need to print anything<br />
out, customers simply click on the offer and show the staff<br />
Starbucks:<br />
one of a<br />
multitude of<br />
choices.<br />
Free Internet<br />
access is<br />
available<br />
almost<br />
everywhere<br />
in New York.<br />
the virtual coupon on his or her phone. So the reasoning<br />
goes, if you’ve been to the business once, you’ll be back, and<br />
ideally you’ll bring someone with you.<br />
The site also tells your Facebook friends that you’ve taken<br />
advantage of the deal, and states how many coupons are<br />
left. This welcomes your friends to pop into the café, and<br />
word of mouth is still the best form of advertising, even if<br />
it’s on Facebook.<br />
The Tenka app was launched in New York a few months<br />
ago, and shows that online advertising isn’t just about banners<br />
all over your screen. Most of the city has free Internet<br />
access, so even if you’re in a park or on a bus you’re only a<br />
click away from a connection. Potential customers are permanently<br />
online, and social networks provide companies<br />
with completely new ways of reaching them.<br />
It’s no longer enough to have a Facebook presence. According<br />
to a study by US market researcher ComScore, Facebook<br />
already carries one third of all the country’s online<br />
advertising. Experts at BIA/Kelsey estimate that between<br />
now and 2015, ad spending on social networks could quadruple<br />
from around USD 2 bn to USD 8 bn (just over EUR 6 bn).<br />
Talent spotters go hunting in New York<br />
Silicon Valley is still the location of choice for online startups,<br />
and is also home to world-leading computer and Internet<br />
companies like Hewlett-Packard and Google. But investors<br />
and consultants are now keeping a close eye on the scene in<br />
New York, which is giving the west coast ample competition.<br />
For evidence of this, just look at investment guru Brad<br />
Feld’s iPhone. He has a keen eye for exciting startups, and<br />
owns a stake in Zynga. Zynga is the company that developed<br />
popular Facebook games like Farmville and Mafia Wars, and<br />
according to a Wall Street Journal estimate it made a USD<br />
400 m profit in 2010.<br />
Feld uses an app to record the places he’s been to since<br />
January 1st, 2009. He has visited New York 37 times, and<br />
San Francisco only 30 times. “Over the last few years, New<br />
York has become a lot more important on the Internet scene,”<br />
he says. The city is home to some of the most successful<br />
startups in recent years, including Foursquare, a way for users<br />
to pass on their current locations to friends, and Tumblr,<br />
a simpler and shorter version of blogging. Their choice of<br />
New York rather than California is significant.<br />
There is one good reason why the Big Apple (New York<br />
City) is becoming increasingly important. “Building a startup<br />
is much cheaper now than it was five or ten years ago,”<br />
says Frank Rimalovski, who manages New York University’s<br />
Innovation Venture Fund. In those days, he points out, it<br />
was mostly about developing technology, but that technology<br />
is now mature, allowing companies to put their business<br />
ideas into pr<strong>act</strong>ice at relatively low cost.<br />
“What we need now are startups with ideas to make users’<br />
lives easier,” Rimalovski says. New York is the perfect testing<br />
ground for these ideas, because it has millions of citizens<br />
of all nationalities, ages, incomes and religions crammed<br />
together in a small space.<br />
A few years ago, Internet experts decided that Second Life<br />
was the next big thing. Large numbers of people adopted new<br />
identities by creating their own avatars; American Apparel<br />
opened a T-shirt store there, Mercedes had a showroom, and<br />
Coca-Cola installed drink machines, but the experts were<br />
wrong, and the idea flopped. The avatars mostly wander<br />
around like zombies, and the Second Life boom has turned<br />
to bust. People may be spending half their time in virtual<br />
space, but they’re using the Internet for their real lives.<br />
This is changing the way advertising works and making<br />
it easier for companies to work together. Gigwalk, for<br />
instance, enables smartphone owners to earn a little extra<br />
pocket money with minimal effort. Users are asked to take<br />
photographs at their current locations. These photos can<br />
then be used for reference; for example, a food critic may<br />
want to purchase a picture of a restaurant menu, or someone<br />
may need a photo of a street sign to check the spelling.<br />
Companies can get information cheaply where they might<br />
otherwise have to pay handsomely for it.<br />
These new startups have one thing in common: they<br />
make it much easier for users to obtain and share information,<br />
and they save users time and effort in real life.<br />
38 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 39
Industry report<br />
Industry report<br />
Moroccans like this<br />
Regional differences are huge in Morocco. Western-influenced life dominates<br />
large cities, while nomadic living can be observed on the edge of the Sahara.<br />
People in these isolated locations can still access the Internet, thanks to their<br />
cellular phone networks<br />
Around 25 million cell phonES are dispersed<br />
between 32 million Moroccans. There<br />
are only 3.5 million landlines in the country<br />
but 13 million Moroccans go online regularly.<br />
Some use Internet cafés, but Moroccans increasingly<br />
rely on web-enabled cell phones. A few Moroccan<br />
companies have recognized the importance of mobile<br />
Internet for their customers and have started to use social<br />
media strategically. Méditel is a prime example.<br />
Méditel, based in Casablanca, is expanding its 3G network<br />
beyond the cities of Casablanca, Rabat, and Fes and<br />
out into the middle of the desert. This means that customers<br />
in almost every Moroccan city will have good access to<br />
the Internet without the need for an expensive fiber-optic<br />
cable network. Méditel receives technical support from Chinese<br />
telecommunications provider Huawei. This allows the<br />
North-African company to learn from experiences in China<br />
and other Asian countries where efficient Internet access is<br />
almost exclusively wireless. The next generation of cellular<br />
wireless standards and a further increase in performance are<br />
already on the agenda.<br />
Méditel is also far ahead of its competition when it comes<br />
to social media. Although market leader and rival Maroc<br />
Télécom controls approximately 50% of the mobile communications<br />
market, the company has only convinced a mere<br />
3,510 Facebook fans of its presence. Méditel, meanwhile, is<br />
the second-largest mobile communications provider, with<br />
around 33% control, but has 67,273 proud Facebook fans.<br />
These <strong>act</strong>ivities promote sales, but above all, they provide<br />
a way for Méditel to communicate with its customers, to<br />
understand them better, and to connect with them. “How is<br />
your day going?” Méditel asked on its Facebook page at 11:02<br />
am on May 10th, 2011. The first replies came within a few<br />
minutes. Rahma from Ouezzane said, “Very well!” Hicham<br />
from Casablanca stated, “Nothing new with MEDITEL, everything<br />
is normal and calm.” Samir from Tangier announced<br />
“Good, tooo muuuuch work, it’s my birthday.” Eight minutes<br />
later, Samir received a reply: “Hello Samir, Méditel would<br />
like to wish you a happy birthday!”<br />
Méditel encourages fans to inter<strong>act</strong> with targeted questions:<br />
How was your day? What is your prediction for the<br />
UEFA Champions League – Manchester United or Schalke<br />
04? What kind of cell phone do you have? Who will win El<br />
Clásico – Barcelona or Real Madrid? Directly adjacent to<br />
this conversation, fans can view information about Méditel’s<br />
new offers and promotions. Competitions, free airtime, and<br />
reduced SMS rates are all particularly well-received. “Merci<br />
Méditel!” a customer replied for everyone to see.<br />
Careful Preparation<br />
Méditel prepared carefully for its inaugural social-media<br />
campaign. Last June, Méditel launched its “Facebook Zero”<br />
promotion, a free service that allows customers to log onto<br />
the social networking site using their cell phones. This feature<br />
was open to everyone, regardless of whether they had<br />
a contr<strong>act</strong> or a pay-as-you-go SIM card. This meant that<br />
customers could find out about the new promotions that<br />
Méditel had planned in near real-time. The constant stream<br />
“Hello Samir, Méditel<br />
would like to wish you a<br />
happy birthday!”<br />
of information not only keeps customers engaged, it also<br />
generates new sales – customers are able to access reduced<br />
airtime promotions or offers on text messages immediately,<br />
and that is ex<strong>act</strong>ly what cell phone users in Morocco do.<br />
Marketing and the creation of long-lasting relationships<br />
with customers are only one side of Méditel’s Facebook <strong>act</strong>ivities.<br />
The other side is the quest for intelligent minds; the<br />
company constantly challenges customers to demonstrate<br />
creative flair, the most recent example being a competition<br />
for developers, who were asked to create original Moroccan<br />
content for Google’s Android operating system. The<br />
promotion ended on December 12th, 2010, with first prize<br />
going to Mohamed el Idrissi for an app called “Khadamat.”<br />
“Khadamat,” which translates into English as “Informa-<br />
Online thanks to mobile Internet. Moroccan service provider Méditel<br />
also uses social networking sites to source intelligent minds.<br />
tion,” provides smartphone users with up-to-the-minute<br />
news, television schedules, and train timetables. The app is<br />
precisely tailored to make everyday life easier for Moroccan<br />
users and the jury considered this reason enough to send its<br />
developer, a graduate from the University of Al-Karaouine,<br />
to Google’s I/O Developer Conference in San Francisco.<br />
These promotions create links with potentially valuable future<br />
employees and allow Méditel to strengthen its youthful<br />
image and establish a sense of community. Whether they<br />
become permanent employees or work for Méditel on a freelance<br />
or even voluntary basis, the competitions bring creative<br />
personnel to the company’s attention and, thanks to the<br />
Internet, physical distance no longer matters.<br />
Social media offers companies a platform where they can<br />
inter<strong>act</strong> with their customers and their customers can inter<strong>act</strong><br />
with one another. This facilitates the creation of new<br />
relationships, whether personal- or business-related. So far,<br />
it has mainly been young people who use the platform; social<br />
media is already a prominent part of their lives. In future,<br />
it will be the same young people who define the rules of<br />
communication and networking, and probably remain loyal<br />
Méditel customers.<br />
40 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 41
Rubrik hier<br />
Industry report<br />
Hive intelligence<br />
This is a bad time to be a market researcher. Increasing numbers of<br />
companies are cutting out the middleman and going straight to their<br />
customers for innovative product ideas<br />
Angling for ideas.<br />
Many customers have<br />
ready-made solutions<br />
for your problems<br />
– it‘s just a case of<br />
knowing how and<br />
where to fish.<br />
W<br />
hether companies<br />
like it or not, customers<br />
talk to each<br />
other about products<br />
and services,”<br />
says Josh Bernoff,<br />
an IT market specialist<br />
at Forrester<br />
Research. He is the co-author of a book entitled<br />
Groundswell, which describes the often stormy exchanges<br />
of comments and opinions on the net.<br />
Bernoff believes businesses should exploit this<br />
trend rather than ignoring it, because people who<br />
complain are often best placed to tell companies how<br />
to improve. “A lot of people have new solutions in<br />
mind and want to make a contribution,” he says. “Of<br />
course, you can’t expect all of their ideas to be feasible<br />
in pr<strong>act</strong>ice, because a lot of them come from people<br />
with no experience in product development.”<br />
That said, customer suggestions can often include<br />
some clever answers, unlike traditional focus-group<br />
research, which identifies problems but rarely offers<br />
solutions. More and more companies are developing<br />
their own forums for product ideas and suggestions,<br />
with prize competitions and votes providing an additional<br />
incentive for customers to participate. They also<br />
use the same principle internally, without involving<br />
outsiders; all it takes is a suitable infrastructure based<br />
on social networks.<br />
Bernoff, who is <strong>act</strong>ually a member of the old guard,<br />
is convinced that the groundswell principle works.<br />
Companies ignore it at their peril, as they will lose<br />
ground to rivals if they fail to adapt quickly enough<br />
to customers’ needs.<br />
42 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 43
Industry report<br />
InnoCentive<br />
research community<br />
Phylo<br />
gaming with a serious purpose<br />
BMW Co-Creation<br />
fans as designers<br />
Dell Ideastorm<br />
an online suggestion box<br />
MyStarbucksIdea<br />
coffee network<br />
Salesforce IdeaExchange<br />
an <strong>act</strong>ive user community<br />
At the end of the 1990s, American<br />
pharmaceutical company Eli Lilly<br />
created an online platform that<br />
would make use of the general<br />
public’s knowledge: “InnoCentive.”<br />
Today, the platform supports<br />
international businesses and<br />
organizations by allowing them to<br />
present research and development<br />
issues as puzzles. InnoCentive<br />
calls these puzzles “challenges”<br />
and publishes them on scientific<br />
portals such as Nature.com and<br />
Academia.edu. The InnoCentive<br />
community has 225,000 members<br />
from 200 countries and – unless<br />
otherwise requested – commissioners’<br />
identities always remain<br />
anonymous. InnoCentive ensures<br />
that challenges are well formulated.<br />
“To obtain good answers,<br />
you have to ask clear questions,”<br />
explains David Ritter, InnoCentive’s<br />
Chief Technology Officer.<br />
Experts examine solutions, with<br />
winning suggestions rewarded<br />
by prizes of up to USD 1 m. The<br />
winners are not always researchers<br />
in a specific field. For instance, a<br />
retired radio frequency engineer<br />
once provided N.A.S.A. with a new<br />
model for forecasting solar <strong>act</strong>ivity.<br />
InnoCentive has published almost<br />
1,200 challenges, of which half<br />
have been solved. Since 2008, the<br />
company has also implemented the<br />
technology on an internal basis for<br />
its staff.<br />
www.innocentive.com<br />
Let’s play! Visiting the website of<br />
Montreal’s McGill University, you<br />
could be forgiven for <strong>think</strong>ing that<br />
Phylo is just another online game.<br />
Phylo players are asked to arrange<br />
rows of four different colored<br />
squares in the most congruent way<br />
possible. By solving these puzzles,<br />
Internet users are <strong>act</strong>ually participating<br />
in a much larger task.<br />
Phylo, which has been “live” since<br />
November 2010, helps McGill’s geneticists<br />
to map genetic code; the<br />
bright blocks that the Internet user<br />
arranges are intended to represent<br />
parts of the human genome. The<br />
scientists want to discover genetic<br />
sequences that are similar across<br />
species because, as they report,<br />
such sections serve an important<br />
function and, if they mutate,<br />
can cause metabolic diseases or<br />
cancer. Of course, the McGill<br />
researchers could use computers<br />
to compare the genetic sequences<br />
but this would take much more<br />
time; human intuition is far more<br />
effective when it comes to pattern<br />
recognition. Between 500 and<br />
1,000 puzzles are played each day<br />
and the scientists have already<br />
obtained more than 200,000<br />
puzzle solutions. Assistant Professor<br />
Jerome Waldispuhl will reward<br />
the best player by mentioning that<br />
player by name when the results<br />
are published.<br />
phylo.cs.mcgill.ca<br />
Munich-based vehicle manuf<strong>act</strong>urer<br />
BMW has been holding<br />
regular online idea-competitions<br />
since 2004. Last year, it asked<br />
for suggestions on the theme of<br />
“future mobility”, and 550 participants<br />
discussed more than 300<br />
ideas, including new approaches<br />
to electric cars, parking and communication.<br />
The resulting website, which<br />
BMW calls its Co-Creation Lab,<br />
is a long-term repository for car<br />
enthusiasts’ ideas. A team of staff<br />
from the relevant specialist departments<br />
is working closely with these<br />
ambitious amateurs.<br />
At the end of last year, the lab ran<br />
a competition on personalized car<br />
interiors. The entries were evaluated<br />
by a jury of design experts<br />
and automotive engineers, and<br />
the winners got to meet BMW’s<br />
designers. Most importantly, the<br />
company has promised to incorporate<br />
ideas from the lab into its own<br />
research, so the amateur designers<br />
aren’t just playing games; they’re<br />
designing the cars of tomorrow.<br />
www.bmwgroup-cocreationlab.com<br />
US computer manuf<strong>act</strong>urer Dell<br />
has learned a painful lesson from<br />
the groundswell. In 2005, there<br />
was a storm of controversy on the<br />
American blogosphere after blogger<br />
Jeff Davis loudly complained<br />
about the company’s customer<br />
service. The catchphrase “Dell<br />
Hell” caught on like wildfire, and<br />
two years later Dell began using<br />
the groundswell by setting up an<br />
open forum for customers, employees<br />
and other interested parties<br />
to submit and discuss suggested<br />
improvements to its products. The<br />
only condition was that users had<br />
to register, free of charge.<br />
Dell moderates the discussion very<br />
little, and members vote on proposals.<br />
The company evaluates the<br />
top ideas and specifies those which<br />
have been reviewed, those which<br />
are still in progress, and those<br />
which have been implemented.<br />
The most popular suggestions<br />
appear on the site’s homepage.<br />
In its first three years, Ideastorm<br />
generated some 10,000 ideas, and<br />
Dell says it has implemented just<br />
over 400.<br />
www.ideastorm.com<br />
Starbucks launched its MyStarbucksIdea<br />
platform in 2008. As<br />
with Dell’s Ideastorm, customers<br />
can submit and evaluate ideas<br />
and improvements to Starbucks<br />
products, though they cannot ask<br />
specific questions or set challenges.<br />
The forum, which is structured in<br />
the same way as a social network,<br />
allows customers to discuss such<br />
things as the possibility of introducing<br />
a 10% student discount.<br />
Another interesting suggestion<br />
was distributing a membership<br />
card on which the customer writes<br />
their favorite coffee type, so they<br />
can give the card to the barista<br />
and say, “The usual, please.”<br />
Forty “Starbucks idea partners”<br />
from various departments of the<br />
company serve as cont<strong>act</strong>s and<br />
moderators, and observers say<br />
Starbucks has already implemented<br />
over a hundred proposals. The<br />
project is also a way for the company<br />
to assess views on existing<br />
ideas, since some of the changes<br />
proposed by customers are already<br />
in the development pipeline.<br />
mystarbucksidea.force.com<br />
The San Francisco company<br />
Salesforce supplies web-based<br />
CRM software, which is aimed<br />
at businesses. With over 92,000<br />
customers worldwide, the Salesforce<br />
community has exceeded the<br />
critical mass for crowdsourcing<br />
projects.<br />
The company’s IdeaExchange<br />
platform was launched in October<br />
2006. Users can discuss the<br />
functionality of new versions and<br />
suggest improvements, and like<br />
other “ideation” platforms, others<br />
can rate the ideas to generate<br />
automatic rankings. According to<br />
the company, the site has attr<strong>act</strong>ed<br />
more than 2,500 ideas, 42,000<br />
ratings and 3,700 comments in its<br />
first six months.<br />
Many of the suggestions IdeaExchange<br />
received were implemented<br />
in a version of the software released<br />
in the spring of 2007. In the<br />
Apex Developer Network, Salesforce<br />
developers talk directly to<br />
the community to find out which<br />
new functions they believe should<br />
become the main priority.<br />
success.salesforce.com/ideaHome<br />
44 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong><br />
THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 45
Rubrik hier<br />
Industry report<br />
Average Customer Review<br />
Average Customer Review<br />
Reading<br />
the runes<br />
Some companies already know what products their<br />
customers will be buying tomorrow – even before many<br />
of the customers do. Social networks are a treasure trove of<br />
valuable information about future purchasing decisions<br />
Average Customer Review<br />
Average Customer Review<br />
Average Customer Review<br />
U<br />
ntil now, manuf<strong>act</strong>urers<br />
and retailers have primarily<br />
used historic data to plan their<br />
production and logistics. They<br />
analyze what customers have<br />
purchased, use this information<br />
to estimate future demand<br />
for their products, and organize<br />
their freight capacity accordingly. This method<br />
has considerable weaknesses; at best, looking back<br />
to the past provides a hazy picture of the future.<br />
Each day, millions of demand signals appear<br />
in social networks. Consumers chat about TVs<br />
and camcorders, blog about films and computer<br />
games, and tweet about new chocolate bars they’ve<br />
discovered on supermarket shelves. Predictably,<br />
this information leaves other customers literally or<br />
metaphorically salivating.<br />
“Over the next five years, companies that make<br />
use of these signals will achieve a significant competitive<br />
advantage,” predicts Steve Keifer, an expert<br />
at e-commerce consultant GXS, based in Gaithersburg,<br />
Maryland. His company specializes in collating<br />
data, assessing its usability throughout the<br />
supply chain and identifying potential productivity<br />
improvements.<br />
Evaluating customer preorders and wishlists<br />
on the sites of major online retailers like Amazon<br />
and Barnes & Noble is one technique that has been<br />
in use for several years. Store chains maintain upto-the-second<br />
point-of-sale figures for all their<br />
products and extrapolate these figures into the<br />
future, next weekend, Thanksgiving, or Christmas.<br />
Manuf<strong>act</strong>urers like Procter & Gamble, Kraft Foods<br />
and Kimberly-Clark adjust production upwards or<br />
downwards, and book capacity with logistics suppliers<br />
on the basis of these numbers.<br />
Unfortunately, the data is imprecise because<br />
it is based on past experience. Numerous studies<br />
have shown that a flexible and transparent supply<br />
THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 47
Industry report<br />
Industry report<br />
Local<br />
Location-based services<br />
“Companies that make use of signals<br />
from social networking sites will achieve a<br />
significant competitive advantage”<br />
The specific features of social<br />
networks can also be exploited at<br />
the point of sale. Mobile marketing<br />
specialists have been developing<br />
location-based services for some time<br />
and have taken advantage of mobile<br />
phones’ GPS modules and mobile<br />
radio location, features that broadcast<br />
their owner’s ex<strong>act</strong> location.<br />
Smartphones can be used to display<br />
tailormade advertising messages and<br />
special offers when the user is within<br />
range of a particular store. This could<br />
boost demand as long as the user<br />
<strong>act</strong>ively consents to the data being<br />
passed along, processed and used in<br />
accordance with data protection laws.<br />
The New York based IT startup,<br />
Hunch, produces personalized<br />
advertising which tailors the Internet<br />
to consumers’ needs using algorithms<br />
that predict what customers want<br />
in specific situations. The next step<br />
is to combine this technology with<br />
location-based services. “You could<br />
be walking along the street, and<br />
Hunch would know there’s a store<br />
nearby that’s the kind of place you<br />
like,” says founder Chris Dixon.<br />
This would also work beyond the<br />
street; American retail chains such<br />
as Macy’s have already equipped<br />
their store interiors with technology<br />
that allows them to precisely locate<br />
customers to within a few centimeters,<br />
meaning they can use smartphones<br />
to target specific individuals standing<br />
in front of specific shelves, provided<br />
the customer wants this information.<br />
Dixon believes there is a high<br />
probability of customers buying the<br />
products being advertised.<br />
Internet-compatible phones can<br />
also be used to plan demand in<br />
another way. Business owners<br />
often use Facebook or Twitter<br />
apps to announce where they are<br />
at a particular moment. The Dutch<br />
airline KLM recently launched a<br />
campaign with the location-based<br />
service platform Foursquare, another<br />
ingenious example of what you can<br />
achieve by combining smartphones,<br />
geolocation, and the Internet.<br />
KLM encouraged its customers<br />
to log in to Foursquare with their<br />
smartphones while waiting for their<br />
flights, and Foursquare then reported<br />
their location to KLM’s server.<br />
Passengers who added “#klm” to<br />
their tweets, telling followers that they<br />
were about to take off on a KLM flight,<br />
received a personalized gift from<br />
the airline; personalized because<br />
KLM had viewed their social media<br />
profiles.<br />
One passenger was flying to Mexico<br />
to help build houses for the homeless.<br />
He received a care package including<br />
grape juice and ointment for muscle<br />
pain. Another passenger was on the<br />
way to a social media conference,<br />
and received tickets to The Social<br />
Network, David Fincher’s multi-Oscarwinning<br />
film about Facebook founder<br />
Mark Zuckerberg.<br />
These aren’t gimmicks, they show the<br />
kind of things you can accomplish<br />
by blending social media and<br />
smartphone location data. The<br />
outcome is often quite unexpected,<br />
and in a world that’s blasé about the<br />
possibilities of new technology, the<br />
unexpected counts for a lot.<br />
chain is a key success f<strong>act</strong>or in responding<br />
quickly to consumers’ whims before<br />
they change their minds.<br />
Some of the most useful information<br />
comes from analyzing website page<br />
visits. Amazon’s recommendation lists,<br />
which compare previous purchases and<br />
downloads with other users’ profiles<br />
to suggest suitable products, generate<br />
increased demand. This method exploits<br />
the impulse-buy f<strong>act</strong>or, like placing<br />
candy bars beside a grocery store<br />
checkout. Although this method works<br />
to a point, it is still not possible to plan<br />
demand with any great precision.<br />
Learning from demand signals<br />
Social networks, with their millions of<br />
demand signals, may be the solution<br />
to this dilemma. Google’s Insights for<br />
Search service provides an idea of the<br />
priceless information lying untapped on<br />
the net in the form of detailed statistics<br />
on search terms. For example, how<br />
often is a word Googled and in which<br />
countries and regions do customers<br />
search for specific products? It shows<br />
that movies that go on to win Oscars<br />
receive significantly more searches in<br />
the months preceding the awards than<br />
the movies that don’t.<br />
“You could use Insights for Search<br />
to do your capacity planning,” explains<br />
Yossi Matias, the head of Google Labs<br />
in Tel Aviv. For example, an electronics<br />
retailer could look up the number and<br />
Steve Keifer, E-Commerce Expert<br />
frequency of searches about a new tablet PC to decide how<br />
many they should stock in specific branches or regions when<br />
the product is launched.<br />
Another example is the German sports goods manuf<strong>act</strong>urer<br />
Adidas. They now carry out most of their marketing<br />
campaigns online and in social networks. When it launched<br />
its They Are All In campaign in mid-March of 2011, it uploaded<br />
a series of expensively produced videos to YouTube,<br />
and then kept a close eye on the resulting comments.<br />
The company’s IT manager Jan Brecht records “likes” and<br />
“shares” on social networks, and measures the buzz his films<br />
generate by evaluating mentions on Facebook, Twitter, blogs<br />
and other networks. One of the things Adidas is trying to<br />
find out is what people <strong>think</strong> of its products, and thus to<br />
determine how many of them to make.<br />
Buzzmetrics, a monitoring service from market research<br />
company Nielsen, also puts social media under the microscope.<br />
Its software filters out mentions of specific companies,<br />
brands and products from the random consumer hubbub<br />
of blogs, forums and newsgroups. Buzzmetrics then tracks<br />
this buzz over time, and analyzes its demographics, in effect<br />
listening to the new, constantly expanding, online audience<br />
that has flourished alongside the established media.<br />
Internet users no longer rely solely on recommendations<br />
in special-interest magazines; they hunt for like-minded<br />
people’s experiences on the net. <strong>Special</strong>ist journalists are<br />
still gatekeepers and repositories for information, but their<br />
roles are reinforced by social media. In 2010, a Gartner survey<br />
found that the majority of consumers now rely, at least<br />
partly, on opinions expressed in social networks when they<br />
make purchasing decisions.<br />
No data protection issues are involved because the information<br />
is statistical and anonymous, published by users<br />
themselves. However, caution is advised when individual<br />
profiles are created from multiple data sources and used to<br />
talk to customers.<br />
At present, there is no way of incorporating signals from<br />
social networks directly into the collaborative business intelligence<br />
systems that control modern supply chains. “In<br />
theory, it’s technically possible,” confirms Nari Viswanathan,<br />
a logistics specialist at the Aberdeen Group. However,<br />
there are pr<strong>act</strong>ical hurdles to be overcome; social networks<br />
are not in the proper format. In f<strong>act</strong>, they have no format<br />
at all. Unfortunately, they are huge, unstructured piles of<br />
information that lack basic, necessary classification.<br />
“You need a new kind of logic to understand this tangle<br />
of data,” explains Lothar Wieske, who is responsible<br />
for innovation management at the IT service provider for<br />
the Deutsche Bahn logistics group. In the logistics sector,<br />
today’s business intelligence systems use traditional databases.<br />
Every item of data must be identically structured and<br />
clearly identifiable, or the system will not work.<br />
Wieske says that the cloud-based file system used by<br />
Google and Amazon is an example of the new generation of<br />
distributed databases similar to Apache’s Cassandra, which<br />
was originally developed by Facebook and specifically designed<br />
to handle social media data.<br />
Meanwhile, e-commerce companies are producing the<br />
first web-based demand forecasts using data which is already<br />
structured, such as wedding lists and customer preorders.<br />
Even online configurators, such as the kinds used for<br />
cars and fitted kitchens, can be used to extr<strong>act</strong> information<br />
about purchasing intentions. Potential customers typically<br />
play around with several different versions, colors, and materials<br />
before deciding which product to buy, says Robert<br />
Byrne of Terra Technology. “This is another way in which<br />
manuf<strong>act</strong>urers determine demand trends.”<br />
These systems will initially be used for complex, expensive<br />
products, like the car manuf<strong>act</strong>urers’ online<br />
configurators. Byrne has already held talks with vehicle<br />
manuf<strong>act</strong>urers who want to use the software, and this is<br />
just the beginning.<br />
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Industry report<br />
A friend<br />
in need<br />
Using social media to provide customer service is cheaper, quicker<br />
and more efficient than traditional methods. If done properly, it can<br />
create a new dimension in consumer relations – a dimension that<br />
goes far beyond mere problem-solving<br />
Customers helping customers: Committed<br />
social network users are increasingly taking<br />
over companies‘ own support roles.<br />
P<br />
roblems with products are a major<br />
topic of conversation on blogs, forums<br />
and other websites. Increasingly, consumers<br />
are finding that other Internet<br />
users can offer not just a shoulder to cry<br />
on, but solutions to these problems. Today,<br />
resourceful businesses are drawing<br />
on online communities’ accumulated<br />
knowledge to provide customer support, sometimes externally<br />
and sometimes on their own websites.<br />
One particularly successful instance is the Korean electrical<br />
and electronics group LG, whose customer service<br />
department collected a series of frequently asked questions<br />
from its online forum and published the answers<br />
in a blog. It took just 47 posts to solve the problems of<br />
30,000 customers.<br />
“The cost per user was around USD 12 c,” says customer<br />
service expert Bernhard Steimel of Mind Business<br />
Consultants. “If the majority of customers cont<strong>act</strong>ed the<br />
company’s hotline, it would cost a lot more.” Steimel has<br />
carried out a study of customer service using social media,<br />
and he can see why LG’s virtual support service has been<br />
so successful.<br />
“When people buy electrical goods, they often have<br />
questions about how they work. Also, there are a lot of en-<br />
thusiasts who help others just for the kudos. LG states that<br />
70% of its support queries are now answered by external<br />
bloggers or community members, with the remaining 30%<br />
being handled by the customer service department.”<br />
LG is not the only company to use the “customers helping<br />
customers” principle. Internet businesses such as Apple<br />
and Google do the same, providing much of their customer<br />
service via cloud-community sites.<br />
Only a small number of users make their knowledge<br />
available to others on the Internet. In 2006, the Danish web<br />
design expert Jakob Nielsen formulated the law that now<br />
bears his name – 90% of people are passive readers, 9% occasionally<br />
post contributions, and only 1% are truly <strong>act</strong>ive.<br />
These super-users are important sources of knowledge,<br />
and companies need to get them on their side. Steimel<br />
recommends providing them with first-hand information<br />
and keeping them constantly informed about new products.<br />
LG, for example, sends these users to trade fairs at its<br />
own expense. Using his or her pr<strong>act</strong>ical experience of the<br />
products, these users can provide important input into the<br />
process of using and improving them.<br />
Self-help replaces call centers<br />
Heike Simmet is a professor of business studies at Hochschule<br />
Bremerhaven, specializing in marketing manage-<br />
“70% of support queries<br />
are answered by external<br />
bloggers or community<br />
members, with the<br />
remaining 30% being<br />
handled by the customer<br />
services department”<br />
Bernhard Steimel, Service expert<br />
ment. She says customer service is shifting away from<br />
call centers and towards web-based self-help. “Some<br />
companies have adapted to changing demand by offering<br />
many different ways of cont<strong>act</strong>ing them: moderated<br />
question/answer sessions, support chat, customer service<br />
blogs, Twitter accounts for service queries, wikis,<br />
forums, customer portals and communities operating<br />
on the mutual help principle.”<br />
The only loser in all this is the telephone; in the future,<br />
people will call customer service hotlines only if<br />
they need to speak to a human being or require a premium<br />
service. This shift is partly the result of younger<br />
users’ changing patterns of communication. Today’s<br />
digital natives make fewer phone calls and talk to one<br />
another using social networks and smartphones. The<br />
new generation of hardware can also provide information<br />
about users’ locations so that customer support can<br />
be personalized and targeted.<br />
Offering customer service via social networks is also<br />
essential because it signals a willingness to engage in<br />
dialogue. It is important to keep this promise to avoid<br />
the risk of annoying customers; indeed, if it works, both<br />
sides benefit. Customers get a warm, fuzzy feeling because<br />
their problems are resolved quickly, and they then<br />
tell their online friends.<br />
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Rubrik Industry hier report<br />
Industry report<br />
Initially, a successful social media presence has few<br />
tangible benefits, although it improves the company’s<br />
image and brand recognition and offers opportunities<br />
to provide a better quality of service. Further down the<br />
line, it can save money and result in increased customer<br />
loyalty and sales, as the LG example shows.<br />
Knowing what people are saying about you<br />
People don’t just talk about companies and their products<br />
on the companies’ website. They do it everywhere<br />
on the Internet, so businesses must pay close attention<br />
to what people say about them. This will give companies<br />
a picture of how they are perceived, and will also<br />
enable them to be more pro<strong>act</strong>ive about identifying and<br />
sorting out customer problems.<br />
“Computer programs can do 60–80% of the work,<br />
but the rest has to be done by humans,” says Bernhard<br />
Steimel. Not every forum post requires an immediate<br />
response. The communication systems provider Avaya<br />
has found that of every 1,000 posts about the company,<br />
300 are customer-service-related and only 50 require<br />
<strong>act</strong>ion. Well-trained employees can resolve customer<br />
problems discovered in this way, and this is excellent<br />
for the company’s image.<br />
“Companies have created<br />
pages on Facebook,<br />
Twitter and the like<br />
without realizing that<br />
people regard social<br />
networks as a customer<br />
service outlet and want to<br />
post questions there”<br />
Bernhard Steimel, Service expert<br />
Avaya is unusual in adopting this watching brief. Most<br />
companies’ social media <strong>act</strong>ivities – assuming they engage<br />
in any – are handled by the companies’ sales or public relations<br />
departments. “Companies treat their customers to a<br />
monologue on Facebook, Twitter and the like,” says Steimel.<br />
“They don’t realize people regard social networks as a customer<br />
service outlet and want to post questions there.”<br />
Companies that are <strong>act</strong>ive on these platforms can expect<br />
a lot more feedback than they had in the past, and some of<br />
it will be negative. If you ignore or reject criticism, people<br />
won’t like you. One recent and painful example was Henkel,<br />
the Düsseldorf-based consumer goods group, which invited<br />
Internet users to help design a dish detergent bottle and<br />
vote for the best entries. The most popular designs, not<br />
surprisingly, were the most unusual ones, and they simply<br />
did not suit the brand’s image.<br />
Instead of taking this possibility into account when<br />
planning the competition, or quietly hoping everyone<br />
would forget about the results, Henkel decided on a more<br />
aggressive strategy. They questioned the results of the vote,<br />
appointed a jury to choose the winners, and backpedalled<br />
on their promise to use the winning designs. Members of<br />
the community were irate, and the competition did the<br />
company’s image far more harm than good.<br />
One highly successful example of a Web 2.0 company<br />
is Zappos, the United States’ leading online shoe retailer.<br />
Zappos places a very strong emphasis on communication,<br />
transparency and customer service in every area of<br />
its business. It offers a 365-day per year product return<br />
guarantee, live chat, 24/7 customer service, and every employee<br />
up to and including the CEO is <strong>act</strong>ive on Twitter.<br />
The company creates a sense of authenticity by treating<br />
its customers as individuals and encouraging them to talk<br />
to any employee at any time. This kind of openness works<br />
best when the company has a flat hierarchy.<br />
The technology has been in place for a long time, although<br />
the solutions still need some fine-tuning. Marketing<br />
professor Heike Simmet says the biggest challenge is<br />
upgrading the current technology to web 3.0 to retain<br />
control of the rising tide of data and process the results<br />
more accurately. For example, monitoring software needs<br />
greater semantic precision. She believes there is also a<br />
great deal of potential for improving the interfaces between<br />
the different channels and making information<br />
about customers more readily accessible while still protecting<br />
their privacy. Customer service isn’t just about developing<br />
close relationships with customers; it also needs<br />
to operate efficiently.<br />
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Rubrik hier<br />
Rubrik Services hier<br />
Learning<br />
to listen<br />
Many companies have separate marketing,<br />
public relations and investor relations<br />
departments, but these boundaries are being<br />
blurred as social media and changing lifestyles<br />
demand integrated communication<br />
54 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 55
Services<br />
Services<br />
P<br />
ublic relations is not my job. I’m<br />
a marketing person,” an employee of<br />
an international technology company<br />
stated anonymously. There is a degree of<br />
uncertainty behind his confident facade,<br />
which may be why he preferred to remain<br />
anonymous. Perhaps it’s better that way.<br />
With an attitude like that, he may not<br />
have much of a future in the social media age. At the very<br />
least, he needs to learn a lot more about new ways of communicating.<br />
Until now, public relations departments have engaged<br />
in one-way communication with customers, employees,<br />
investors and the media. Marketing has used similar oneway<br />
communication methods, telling people about new<br />
products, services and offers, while mostly working in a<br />
vacuum with little hint of people’s interest. There is a lot<br />
of talk, but little dialog.<br />
Today, the process is starting to become two-way. Many<br />
of the people who use social networks, blogs and forums,<br />
and people who ask for product advice and recommendations,<br />
are the very individuals that companies want to<br />
dialog with. They can share information and opinions in<br />
both directions without requiring much in the way of infrastructure.<br />
They can discuss things in public, with no one<br />
telling them what they can and cannot say, apart from a few<br />
gatekeepers – a role long occupied by journalists. People<br />
can follow the debate passively, or they can <strong>act</strong>ively steer it<br />
in a specific direction.<br />
The challenge facing public relations, investor relations<br />
and marketing departments is identifying the channels of<br />
communication most commonly used by each target group,<br />
monitoring these closely, and, ideally, playing an <strong>act</strong>ive<br />
part. Ultimately, this could affect the whole way in which<br />
organizations structure themselves.<br />
Playing by the rules<br />
The ability to engage in dialog and manage your brand’s<br />
reputation is a key qualification for this new role. However,<br />
it is also important to play by the community’s rules.<br />
Companies that set up Facebook pages and blogs must<br />
be aware that they are using platforms whose rules are<br />
determined largely by individuals. They must be direct,<br />
honest and responsive in their communication. If people<br />
on these sites ask questions, they expect prompt answers,<br />
just as they would when conversing face to face. If you’re<br />
inflexible, or your social media presence is static and boring,<br />
you won’t meet their expectations and your reputation<br />
will be tarnished.<br />
If nothing changes on your site for weeks on end, or it’s<br />
just a bulletin board for press releases, you’re breaking the<br />
rules of social media.<br />
So far, some of the most vibrant dialog has come from<br />
ICT companies. The U.S. cable network operator Comcast<br />
uses multiple Twitter channels to keep in touch with customers’<br />
needs. Deutsche Telekom uses Twitter and Facebook<br />
accounts to provide fast, simple answers to questions.<br />
The easy answers are posted where everyone can see them,<br />
while complex issues requiring a more detailed or personalized<br />
response are dealt with by email or passed on to the<br />
relevant department.<br />
Twitter has two big advantages, its low cost and user<br />
friendliness. However, the posts are quite short and Twitter’s<br />
timeline format is not very organized, a shortcoming<br />
that can only be partially resolved by setting hashtags.<br />
Blogs provide a more lasting record, but also require<br />
greater commitment. Daimler AG uses a corporate blog to<br />
engage in debate with anyone who’s interested, but more<br />
importantly, to share information. “Blogging is the most<br />
authentic form of communication,” says the group’s social<br />
media manager, Uwe Knaus, adding that his company was<br />
one of Germany’s early blog-adopters, debuting an online<br />
forum in 2007. Research has shown that users have a great<br />
deal of confidence in information when it comes from ordinary<br />
employees.<br />
Knaus says the blog also features guest posts, such as a<br />
post by Greenpeace regarding environmental issues. Some<br />
300 employees blog about a total of 15 subjects covering the<br />
entire range of Daimler’s operations. Most of the material<br />
they post is not the kind you’ll see in traditional media,<br />
“The key to success in<br />
the social networking<br />
era is to encourage<br />
employees to take personal<br />
responsibility outside<br />
of the hierarchy”<br />
Bill George, professor at the Harvard Business School<br />
“The blog means we can talk to everyone in the community<br />
about the specific subjects they’re interested<br />
in.”<br />
All of this could backfire, however, if employees<br />
write about their jobs and their employer and also talk<br />
about their personal lives. Companies that are heavily<br />
quoted by the media need to adopt new rules so that<br />
carefully planned messages from the investor relations<br />
department do not conflict with comments from employees<br />
in other areas of the business.<br />
Many managers fear a loss of control if they allow<br />
their staff to engage in open online communication<br />
because they cannot monitor everything that is being<br />
said. This concern may be unjustified, and censorship<br />
can bring problems of its own. If you say things on the<br />
Internet, you automatically become a part of the public<br />
debate, and sooner or later people will criticize you.<br />
The online community does not always behave fairly,<br />
nor is it completely unpredictable when you abide by<br />
a few ground rules, just as you do offline. Be willing<br />
to listen, use the right tone, respond appropriately, be<br />
honest, and don’t make promises you can’t keep. Set<br />
down clear guidelines about what people can and cannot<br />
say, particularly on investor-relations issues.<br />
“The key to success in the social networking era is<br />
to encourage employees to take personal responsibility<br />
outside of the hierarchy,” says Bill George, professor of<br />
management pr<strong>act</strong>ice at Harvard Business School. Internal<br />
and external social networks are breaking down<br />
traditional communication structures, he says. “Classic<br />
middle management is becoming less important in the<br />
current economy.”<br />
What matters more is carefully selecting and training<br />
employees who tweet, blog and chat in their company’s<br />
name. They must be well informed, be able to<br />
respond quickly, and be given reasonably free rein.<br />
They don’t have to come from the marketing or communications<br />
department; specialist skills gained in one<br />
area of the company may be a valuable asset to other<br />
parts of the business.<br />
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Services<br />
Seller’s market<br />
The next generation of workers will grow up with online social networks. With<br />
specialist skills in increasingly short supply, recruiters will have to be more<br />
pro<strong>act</strong>ive in searching the Internet for employment candidates. A candidate’s<br />
virtual relationships can reveal a lot about their employability<br />
tial employees on Facebook and other social networks, and<br />
even get staff from other departments to help in their quest.<br />
On the SAP Twitter channel, for example, “Marcelo”<br />
writes that he’s looking forward to carnival weekend in São<br />
Paulo, and mentions in passing that there are lots of vacancies<br />
at SAP Brazil. “If you know any good, talented people,<br />
send them to us,” he tells his readers.<br />
On a minute-by-minute basis, other employees from the<br />
group’s various offices and departments talk about their personal<br />
achievements, give updates about projects, conferences<br />
and training sessions, and just happen to mention vacancies<br />
that they know about.<br />
Sean MacNiven, head of social media at SAP, has developed<br />
a Twitter tool for the company’s human resources<br />
department. “Personal posts by employees arouse people’s<br />
curiosity,” he says. “Tweets from a company reach them on<br />
a completely different level to images, videos or brochures,<br />
because they show the people behind SAP.”<br />
In the cloud economy, workers become ambassadors<br />
for their companies. This represents a major business opportunity.<br />
Drawing on your employees’ personal networks<br />
is a great way to identify new talent, says Graeme Martin,<br />
director of Glasgow University’s Centre for Reputation Management<br />
through People. It also gives you a more authentic<br />
picture of your business. “If you support enthusiastic bloggers<br />
and Facebook users in your company, you’re signaling<br />
your willingness to engage in dialog through the social media.”<br />
Businesses that ban their staff from using the Internet<br />
or otherwise exclude them from social networks can lose out.<br />
Finding the face that fits: Your next new<br />
recruit could come from Facebook.<br />
Employees lose their sense of attachment to an organization<br />
they feel is keeping them on a tight leash.<br />
That said, human resources managers are increasingly<br />
being required to gently monitor and guide their employees’<br />
<strong>act</strong>ivities on social networks. “They could end up with<br />
a new and strategically important role as community and<br />
reputation managers, responsible for establishing a positive<br />
employer brand on social networks and managing communication<br />
between employees and potential applicants,” says<br />
Tanya Bondarouk, associate professor of social innovation<br />
in operations and human resources management at Twente<br />
University in the Netherlands. She believes most HR departments<br />
have a long way to go before effectively fulfilling this<br />
crucial role, “They still have a lot of work to do.”<br />
“Personal posts by<br />
employees arouse people’s<br />
curiosity”<br />
Sean McNiven, SAP-Head of Social Media<br />
In the coming years, human resources managers will<br />
wave goodbye to several traditional recruiting tools.<br />
Job ads in the newspapers, application forms submitted<br />
via mail, glossy brochures at university job fairs,<br />
even online vacancy lists with cont<strong>act</strong> phone numbers<br />
and email addresses, will all gradually be consigned to the<br />
garbage can of history.<br />
Increasingly, the hunt for expertise is being played out in<br />
social media. “LinkedIn, Facebook, Twitter and blogs are a<br />
vast pool of talent that human resources managers can take<br />
their pick from,” says James Durbin, a self-styled social media<br />
headhunter from Missouri. “Companies looking for staff<br />
need to <strong>act</strong>ively approach potential applicants and engage in<br />
ongoing dialog with them.”<br />
If you want to filter out the right people from millions<br />
of blogs, Facebook profiles and Twitter accounts, and get<br />
them interested in what you have to offer, you need to understand<br />
the principle behind these complex networks of<br />
social relationships.<br />
Simply maintaining a presence is not enough. “Recruiters<br />
must learn to understand the expectations of these sites’<br />
users,” Durbin says. In social media, that means finding<br />
authentic ways of establishing personal cont<strong>act</strong> and willingness<br />
to engage in two-way inter<strong>act</strong>ion.<br />
Social media headhunters search sources on the net<br />
where experts engage in debate; sources which may include<br />
blogs, newsgroups, Twitter, and reviews on Amazon. They<br />
identify candidates, obtain recommendations, talk to poten-<br />
58 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 59
Services<br />
Services<br />
“<strong>Cloud</strong> computing:<br />
It’s important to form your<br />
own picture”<br />
Angelika Ruppel is an information scientist at the Fraunhofer Institute for<br />
Secure Information Technology in Munich. She is well aware of the security<br />
concerns regarding cloud computing, and recommends a few precautions<br />
Expert<br />
Angelika Ruppel<br />
Information scientist<br />
Angelika Ruppel works<br />
in the Secure Services<br />
and Quality Testing<br />
Research Division at<br />
the Fraunhofer Institute<br />
for Secure Information<br />
Technology in Munich.<br />
She is currently designing<br />
security solutions for cloud<br />
computing systems in<br />
the telecommunications<br />
sector, and is responsible<br />
for launching the institute’s<br />
cloud security laboratory.<br />
Research has shown that one in five<br />
companies fail to exploit the potential<br />
of cloud computing because they are<br />
concerned about the lack of data<br />
protection. Are they right to worry<br />
about this?<br />
I understand their concerns. Businesses<br />
must be aware that cloud services do<br />
involve major security risks. As with<br />
traditional IT applications, businesses<br />
are concerned about availability, and<br />
data being deleted or falling into the<br />
wrong hands.<br />
Another problem is that cloud<br />
computing systems reduce user<br />
transparency as far as security and<br />
availability risks are concerned, and<br />
they also create new vulnerabilities. For<br />
example, hackers can pose as consumers<br />
to access other consumers’ data.<br />
So you’re reducing your level of<br />
security just by using the cloud?<br />
Not necessarily. Even today, small and<br />
medium-sized companies often don’t<br />
have the ability to draw up detailed<br />
security guidelines. They don’t have<br />
the know-how or the employees<br />
they need, and cloud services with<br />
standardized security levels can<br />
<strong>act</strong>ually make companies like these<br />
more secure. Implementing adequate<br />
security mechanisms is one of the cloud<br />
provider’s core responsibilities.<br />
We can also assume that cost savings play<br />
a part, particularly for large companies<br />
utilizing cloud services. If providers try to<br />
offer these services as cheaply as possible,<br />
there’s a theoretical risk that this will<br />
come at the expense of security.<br />
How can the security risks of cloud<br />
systems be minimized?<br />
<strong>Cloud</strong> systems are very complex. They<br />
consist of many components and services<br />
working on different levels, so a wide<br />
range of individual security aspects need<br />
to be taken into account. A business<br />
must carry out a detailed analysis<br />
of their infrastructure, applications,<br />
platform, management and compliance.<br />
If you want to use cloud services, you<br />
need to draw up a checklist of questions<br />
for potential providers.<br />
What would such a list look like?<br />
There are many different f<strong>act</strong>ors<br />
that must be clarified. In terms of<br />
infrastructure, for example, how will<br />
you secure the building where the<br />
computer is located? Will you have video<br />
surveillance? It is also important to<br />
know how the data will be stored on the<br />
virtual machines.<br />
One of the key questions as far as<br />
applications are concerned is the method<br />
for keeping meeting minutes. Are<br />
messages encrypted? Who has access to<br />
what data, when and how? A lot of these<br />
questions don’t become clear until you<br />
know specifically which cloud services<br />
you’ll be using.<br />
You therefore need to look at all the<br />
relevant areas before drawing up a<br />
questionnaire and using it as the basis<br />
for the process.<br />
If that’s only the basis, what else do you<br />
need to take into consideration?<br />
<strong>Cloud</strong> services usually have to be<br />
integrated within an existing IT system<br />
that already has its own security<br />
strategy. You should also meet with<br />
the cloud provider first. It’s a highly<br />
automated business, and you can no<br />
longer necessarily assume that there’ll<br />
be any human inter<strong>act</strong>ion, but it is still<br />
important to take a close look at the<br />
cloud provider and get a clear picture<br />
of their computer centers, employees<br />
and procedures. It’s also a good idea to<br />
agree on a single point of cont<strong>act</strong> for any<br />
problems or emergencies.<br />
One very important issue is network<br />
infrastructure protection. <strong>Cloud</strong> services<br />
are often provided via the Internet,<br />
so you need standardized firewalls,<br />
encryption and redundant network<br />
connections. All of this might sound a<br />
bit banal, but these are very important<br />
questions to ask if you plan to place<br />
sufficient trust in the provider.<br />
You should also find out how long the<br />
service has been on the market, whether it<br />
“Using cloud services can sometimes<br />
<strong>act</strong>ually increase security”<br />
has many customers and whether there<br />
have been any problems in the past.<br />
Are there any industry standards or<br />
quality marks guaranteeing a high<br />
level of security?<br />
Security reports and certificates can<br />
give you an idea of how secure a cloud<br />
computing system is, but you need to<br />
check which processes are monitored<br />
by an external company and how<br />
these are implemented by the cloud<br />
provider. Some providers <strong>act</strong>ually award<br />
certificates to themselves. One good idea<br />
is to use the provider’s basic services,<br />
some of which they charge for. That<br />
usually allows you to achieve a good<br />
level of security, but there should always<br />
be a security certificate showing that<br />
the provider’s basic services have been<br />
externally audited.<br />
As a cloud user, how much influence do<br />
you have over the industry-standard<br />
service level agreement?<br />
Service level agreements (SLAs) set<br />
down all of the parties’ rights and<br />
obligations. Very few cloud companies<br />
draw them up in consultation with<br />
the client; in most cases they’re simply<br />
presented as a fait accompli, so they<br />
need to be subjected to careful scrutiny.<br />
After all, you’re talking about important<br />
things like service availability.<br />
SLAs also lay down compensation for<br />
security problems and specify who should<br />
be informed if the worst-case scenario<br />
occurs. You can also reach special<br />
agreements for this. For example, most<br />
providers perform unencrypted backups,<br />
so if you want a higher level of security,<br />
this should be stated in the SLAs.<br />
60 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 61
Essay<br />
The rain dancers<br />
Over the years, the Internet has lurched from one over-hyped “next big thing”<br />
to another. Is the cloud economy anything more than a nebulous catchphrase?<br />
By Thomas Vašek<br />
Since the dawn of humanity, people have danced around fires<br />
muttering incantations to the gods, trying to summon dark<br />
clouds, soft rain and rich harvests. Today’s data cloud serves a<br />
similar purpose. Many people expect it to bring pennies cascading<br />
from heaven, making them and their businesses rich – preferably<br />
overnight and with minimum effort. They are the rain dancers<br />
of the cloud economy; people who put their trust in miracles and<br />
technological mantras rather than in economic common sense<br />
and sound business models. When everyone else is running in the same direction, it’s<br />
worth pausing for a moment to ask why.<br />
The dotcom crash of ten years ago was caused by the herd instinct. The rain<br />
dancers of the time offered airy-fairy business models with little basis in reality,<br />
fueling expectations that drove share prices sky-high. The clouds disgorged not<br />
wealth but disappointment. Similarly, in 2008, blind faith in derivatives based on<br />
subprime loans sparked a global financial crisis.<br />
This teaches us a very simple lesson: the more virtual a business is, the more<br />
searching our questions must be regarding its products, its customers, and how<br />
much value it adds.<br />
Anyone who believes that social networks are the future should remember the<br />
burst bubbles of the recent past. Just a few years ago, the rain dancers said MySpace<br />
was a license to print money, claimed Second Life represented the marketplace of<br />
the future, and assured us that blogging was the new media revolution. None of their<br />
forecasts has come to pass. MySpace ended up as an entertainment site, Second Life<br />
is suffering from a bad case of waning popularity, and while blogs have their uses,<br />
they don’t often create millionaires.<br />
Summoning clouds: But you<br />
must know how to use the<br />
rain of data when it arrives.<br />
62 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 63
essay<br />
essay<br />
“There will always be those who put their trust<br />
in miracles and technological mantras rather<br />
than in economic common sense and sound<br />
business models”<br />
Today, suddenly, we’re told that it’s all going to be different.<br />
The rain dancers insist that the cloud economy will<br />
revolutionize business and society. Information technology<br />
is going virtual, with hard-disk space, computing power<br />
and software all migrating to the Internet. We have no idea<br />
where in the world these services are, and we don’t care as<br />
long as they’re available when we need them. We add new<br />
droplets to the cloud, telling the world more about ourselves<br />
every time we save data, do a Google search, or inter<strong>act</strong> on<br />
Facebook or Twitter.<br />
It sounds like an attr<strong>act</strong>ive prospect. Businesses can suck<br />
data from the cloud whenever they need it, and if they steer<br />
it in the right direction, it will rain profits on their heads.<br />
The trouble is, it’s not going to be like this.<br />
The rain dancers confuse opportunities with solutions<br />
and new technology with new business models. We know<br />
from past experience that bubbles burst when they’re overvalued.<br />
These services are realistically worthwhile, but many<br />
people ascribe more value to them than they <strong>act</strong>ually deserve.<br />
For example, Facebook’s meteoric rise would appear<br />
to imply that social networks are worth their weight in gold<br />
– but what if this value is an illusion?<br />
Facebook, Twitter et al. let you stay in touch with hundreds<br />
of people, find out what makes them tick, what kind<br />
of things they’re into, and whether they’re single or spoken<br />
for. They foster the illusion of real, meaningful friendships,<br />
but in truth these superficial connections come together and<br />
drift apart like cumulonimbus on a summer day. Our attention<br />
is a limited resource, and simultaneously keeping<br />
up with hundreds of Facebook friends, reading tweets and<br />
emails and watching videos is a very limited form of inter<strong>act</strong>ion<br />
with the outside world. Endlessly checking others’ updates,<br />
listening to their unremitting vacillation and turning<br />
down friend requests from total strangers can be stressful.<br />
The old web has devalued digital content, which has had<br />
dramatic consequences for the media sector. The new web<br />
could erode the value of social relationships. Brand-strategy<br />
guru Umair Haque has written in his blog on the Harvard<br />
Business Review website that just as banks traded in subprime<br />
loans before the recession, so social websites are trading<br />
in subprime relationships today.<br />
This is just one person’s opinion; however, if relationships<br />
on Facebook et al. are as valuable as they’re made out to be,<br />
users and advertisers should be willing to shell out good<br />
money for them, and they are not. In theory, social media<br />
should have made advertising obsolete, because people can<br />
find out which products are the best by tapping into the<br />
hive intelligence, but they haven’t. Social media agencies are<br />
mushrooming, but for all their rapid growth, the networks<br />
still have difficulty selling advertising – which means their<br />
entire survival is at stake.<br />
While Facebook has sold over USD 1 bn worth of advertising<br />
in the past year, this is still only a fr<strong>act</strong>ion of what Google<br />
earns from its precision-targeted search-based ads. Facebook<br />
is being forced to develop a steady stream of new tools and<br />
advertising formats to make more effective use of “social<br />
graphs”, the networks of relationships between its users.<br />
However, this is causing a dilemma. On the one hand,<br />
Facebook needs to earn more money from advertising. On<br />
the other, it risks being regarded increasingly as a marketing<br />
platform, rather than a place to forge new relationships.<br />
Rampant commercialism was one of the reasons for My-<br />
Space’s decline, and Facebook attr<strong>act</strong>ed users’ wrath in 2007<br />
by introducing its notorious Beacon function. If a user made<br />
an online purchase, details were automatically sent to their<br />
Facebook friends without said user’s consent. The community<br />
saw this as an abuse, and the ensuing storm of protest<br />
led the company to withdraw the feature days later.<br />
In the long term, such blunders could damage trust<br />
among the Facebook community, as well as causing largescale<br />
data leaks. Social networks bring people together, but<br />
they are not marketplaces or marketing tools in the traditional<br />
sense. Of course, they have been used for successful<br />
marketing campaigns; Starbucks, for example, gave vouchers<br />
for cups of coffee to its Facebook friends, and many other<br />
companies schmooze fans with promotional gifts, but if you<br />
use the site solely as a form of cheap advertising, you are<br />
really missing the point.<br />
The author<br />
Thomas Vašek<br />
was the founding editor<br />
of the German edition<br />
of Technology Review,<br />
the innovation magazine<br />
published by the<br />
Massachusetts Institute of<br />
Technology, and went on<br />
to edit P.M. Magazine. He is<br />
now a Munich-based author<br />
and journalist, writing for<br />
such publications as Die Zeit<br />
and the business magazine<br />
brand eins.<br />
Social media provides a new forum for talking to people, identifying<br />
their needs and getting your message across. This should not<br />
be a top-down, I-talk-you-listen process as it was with the old web;<br />
rather, it should be a partnership of equals, with the primary focus<br />
being genuine dialog rather than simply achieving a return on your<br />
investment. If you just try to sell things to your Facebook fans, you’re<br />
doomed to fail and could even damage your brand by devaluing your<br />
posts and turning your customer relationships into a virtual Tupperware<br />
party. If there is a social media bubble, and it bursts, the<br />
fault will lie not with new technology, but with companies that confuse<br />
Facebook with customer-relationship management software.<br />
The influential Cluetrain manifesto of 1999 pointed out that<br />
markets were conversations. To an extent, this has always been true<br />
and it is just as true today. Social networks are virtual spaces in<br />
which businesses can conduct conversations – no more, no less. It<br />
is in these conversations that their lasting value lies, and the bubble<br />
will burst if companies use questionable methods in an attempt to<br />
control and monetize these networks.<br />
To succeed in the cloud economy, you must be able to listen,<br />
particularly when people are saying things you don’t like. Ironically,<br />
the value of social networks lies precisely in the f<strong>act</strong> that they also<br />
generate negative feedback which companies must respond to. If the<br />
cloud simply becomes a means to a quick profit, it will unleash not<br />
gentle showers of money, but a damaging storm.<br />
Humans are social creatures. We want to share our knowledge<br />
and interests with others, and companies and brands can and must<br />
take advantage of this; this must, however, be a substantive debate<br />
based on a commitment to real relationships. Without these, in spite<br />
of its technological potential, the cloud economy will remain a misty<br />
abstr<strong>act</strong>ion.<br />
Having a few thousand Facebook friends or Twitter followers is<br />
one way of engaging in this debate, but dialog is not a popularity<br />
contest, and your number of friends is not the sole indicator of how<br />
much customer loyalty you enjoy or how attr<strong>act</strong>ive your brand is.<br />
A conversation is not just about liking or not liking someone else’s<br />
Facebook post. A customer relationship is not simply a Facebook<br />
friendship, a real customer is not just a drop in an ocean of data,<br />
and doing business successfully in the cloud economy is anything<br />
but a rain dance.<br />
64 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong> 65
Imprint<br />
Publisher<br />
Martin Wittig, CEO<br />
<strong>Roland</strong> <strong>Berger</strong> Strategy Consultants GmbH<br />
High Light Towers, Mies-van-der-Rohe-Str.6<br />
D-80807 Munich, Germany, Tel.: +49 (0) 89-9230-0<br />
Directors<br />
Dr. Katherine Nölling, Matthias Sturm (V.i.S.d.P)<br />
Editorial Advisory Board<br />
<strong>Roland</strong> <strong>Berger</strong> Strategy Consultants<br />
Publishing Company<br />
Axel Springer AG<br />
Axel-Springer-Str. 65, 10888 Berlin, Germany<br />
Tel.: +49 (0)30 2591-74718, Fax: +49 (0)30 2591-74710<br />
newbusiness@axelspringer.de, www.axelspringer.de<br />
www.<br />
USD 1 trillion<br />
Estimated value of intellectual property stolen by hackers each year.<br />
1 in 10<br />
Internet users have experienced hiring issues because of social networking content.<br />
152 million<br />
The number of blogs on the Internet.<br />
USD 6 billion<br />
Amount the Pentagon spent on computer security in 2009.<br />
.com<br />
Management (New Business)<br />
Frank Parlow, Lutz Thalmann<br />
Chief Editorial and Concept<br />
ergo Unternehmenskommunikation GmbH & Co. KG<br />
Sebastian Düring (responsible), Santo Pane<br />
Authors<br />
Michael Naumann, Sylvia Schaab, Christian Schreiber, David Selbach,<br />
Prof. Dr. Björn Bloching (Munich), Steven Lin (Beijing),<br />
Viktoria Unterreiner (New York), Thomas Vašek (Munich)<br />
Design<br />
Re<strong>think</strong> GmbH<br />
Brian O’Connor, Helge Hoffmann, Henrike Noetzold,<br />
Andrea Schumacher, Jana Hallberg, Jennifer Bressler<br />
Illustrations<br />
Jörg Block<br />
Photography<br />
Oliver Mark<br />
Production<br />
Olaf Hopf<br />
Image Editing<br />
Prepress WELT Group<br />
Printer<br />
Firmengruppe APPL, aprinta Druck GmbH<br />
Senefelderstraße 3-11, 86650 Wemding<br />
76% of users do not have children. 74% have<br />
a college degree or above. 1% of users are<br />
responsible for 34% of site’s traffic.<br />
LinkedIn has over 100 m members.<br />
YouTube has an estimated<br />
92 Billion page views each<br />
month.<br />
YouTube has 490 m unique users.<br />
50 million<br />
The average number of Tweets<br />
sent per day in 2010.<br />
182% Increase in number of mobile Twitter users over 2010.<br />
22.5% of users accounted for about 90% of all <strong>act</strong>ivity.<br />
Twitter has 300 m registered accounts.<br />
Copyright<br />
The contents of this magazine are protected by copyright law.<br />
All rights reserved.<br />
Notice<br />
Opinions expressed in the articles of this magazine do not<br />
necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.<br />
Do you have any questions for the editor or the editorial team?<br />
Would you be interested in learning more about studies by <strong>Roland</strong> <strong>Berger</strong> Strategy Consultants?<br />
Just send an email to service@<strong>think</strong>-<strong>act</strong>.info<br />
Page 22-23 Jason Schmidt/trunkarchive.com, Page 25 Courtesy<br />
<strong>Roland</strong> <strong>Berger</strong>, Seite 34 – 35 Ian Teh/VU, Page 36 – 37 Mark<br />
Leong 2010/Redux/Laif, Page 38 Agentur Focus, Page 41 Getty<br />
Images, Page 47 PR, Page 52 – 53 George Cogan/Gallery Stock;<br />
Picture Credits<br />
Fotex; Manfred Horvath/Anzenberger, Page 58 – 59 Michael<br />
Constantin/PaloAlto/Corbis; Kurt Krieger/ Fotoagentur Wolfram;<br />
plainpicuture; F1Online, Zoonar, Page 60 PR, Page 62 Kirk<br />
Mastin/Aurora/Laif, Page 65 PR<br />
every 60 Seconds<br />
users send 230,000 Messages, update 95,000 Statuses, write 80,000 wall posts,<br />
tag 65,000 photos, share 50,000 links, and affirm or disparage them all<br />
with half a million comments.<br />
In 2010,<br />
7.9 new accounts<br />
were registered every second. Facebook has approximately 680 million users.<br />
66 THINK:Act <strong>Cloud</strong> <strong>Economy</strong> <strong>Special</strong><br />
Ressources: fastgush.com, onlinemba.com, youtube.com, royal.pingdom.com, sysomos.com, blog.kissmetrics.com, socialbakers.com,<br />
fastcompany.com, wallblog.co.uk, blog.linkedin.com