Corporate Presentation - Avalon Rare Metals
Corporate Presentation - Avalon Rare Metals
Corporate Presentation - Avalon Rare Metals
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<strong>Corporate</strong> <strong>Presentation</strong><br />
Don Bubar, President & CEO<br />
February 7, 2011
Safe Harbour Statement<br />
Forward looking information<br />
Certain statements contained in or incorporated by reference into this<br />
presentation constitute forward-looking statements. Such statements<br />
reflect the current views of <strong>Avalon</strong> <strong>Rare</strong> <strong>Metals</strong> Inc. with respect to future<br />
events and are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions.<br />
Many factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements<br />
of <strong>Avalon</strong> <strong>Rare</strong> <strong>Metals</strong> Inc. that may be expressed or implied by such<br />
forward-looking statements to vary from those described herein should<br />
one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize. <strong>Avalon</strong> <strong>Rare</strong> <strong>Metals</strong><br />
Inc. does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update these<br />
forward-looking statements.<br />
2
Capital Structure<br />
February 7, 2011<br />
Canada - TSX: AVL<br />
United States – NYSE Amex: AVL<br />
Frankfurt- OU5<br />
Shares Outstanding 93,288,523<br />
Fully Diluted 103,508,970<br />
Market Capitalization US $630 million (S.O. @ $6.75)<br />
Recent Price Range US $4.48 - $8.20<br />
52 Week High / Low US $8.20 – C $1.89<br />
Cash Reserves<br />
C $37 million (No debt)<br />
Insider Share Position 4.1 million shares (4.5%)<br />
Institutional holdings CPP, TDAM, Front St., Excalibur, MFC Global<br />
(est. 30-40%)<br />
Middlefield, AGF , Cantara, Sentry, Chilton<br />
Employees<br />
20 (including contract staff)<br />
3
Management & Board of<br />
Directors<br />
Management<br />
Donald S. Bubar, P.Geo,<br />
President, CEO & Director<br />
Jim Andersen, C.A., C.P.A.,<br />
V.P. Finance & CFO<br />
Bill Mercer, Ph.D., P.Geo.,<br />
V.P. Exploration<br />
David Swisher, B.S. Min.Eng.,<br />
V.P. Operations<br />
Pierre Neatby, B.A. Econ,<br />
V.P. Sales & Mktg<br />
Charlotte May, <strong>Corporate</strong> Secretary<br />
Cindy Hu, CA, CPA, CGA, Controller<br />
Ron Malashewski, P.Eng (AB),<br />
Manager, Investor Relations<br />
Virginia Morgan, Investor Relations (on<br />
maternity leave)<br />
Directors<br />
Alan Ferry, CFA<br />
Non-Executive Chairman<br />
David Connelly, CStJ, CD, MBA,<br />
B.Comm<br />
Phil Fontaine, B.A., LL.D.<br />
Brian D. MacEachen, C.A.<br />
Audit Committee Chair<br />
Peter McCarter, B.A., LL.B., M.B.A.<br />
Chair Governance/Compensation ctte<br />
Hari Panday, C.A.<br />
4
Key Staff & Consultants<br />
Chris Pedersen, P.Geo, Senior Geologist, Camp Manager<br />
Martin Heiligmann, Ph.D., Project Geologist<br />
Finley Bakker, P.Geo. Senior Resource Geologist<br />
Brian Delany, P.Eng., Senior Project Manager<br />
Dezhi Qi, P.Eng. Process Engineer<br />
Rob Prasad, Senior Human Resources Coordinator<br />
John Goode, P.Eng. Metallurgical Consultant<br />
David Trueman, Ph.D., P.Geo, <strong>Rare</strong> <strong>Metals</strong> Consulting Geologist<br />
Ian M. London, P. Eng. Energy and Market Development Consultant<br />
SGS Lakefield Research, Metallurgy & Mineralogy<br />
Scott Wilson RPA Inc., Pre-Feasibility Study Independent Consultants<br />
Kaz Machida, KAY Investment, REE Market Development Asia<br />
McGill University, (Dr. A.E. Williams-Jones) Geological Research<br />
EBA Engineering, Permitting and Environmental Consultants<br />
FL Smidth, Engineering and Design, Flotation Plant<br />
Xstrata Process Support, Metallurgical Testwork Support<br />
5
Project Locations<br />
NECHALACHO<br />
Heavy <strong>Rare</strong> Earths<br />
Tantalum<br />
Niobium<br />
Zirconium<br />
Hafnium<br />
Gallium<br />
<strong>Avalon</strong> offers<br />
diversified<br />
exposure to a<br />
broad range<br />
of rare metals<br />
NORTH T DEPOSIT<br />
Beryllium<br />
Light <strong>Rare</strong> Earths<br />
Lithium<br />
Gallium<br />
Niobium<br />
All projects 100% owned<br />
6
Nechalacho REE Deposit at<br />
Thor Lake: Key Facts<br />
Positive pre-feasibility study completed in 2010. C$27 million<br />
invested since 2005, incl. 59,000m of drilling in 266 holes<br />
Bankable feasibility underway, fully financed, completion in 2012<br />
Large resource amenable to low cost underground mining methods<br />
Rich in heavy rare earths (20-28%), High grade subzones defined<br />
Recovery process defined at bench scale. Pilot plant in progress<br />
PFS Production model: 10,000 tpa TREO... Could be increased<br />
By-product revenues from zirconium, niobium and tantalum (40%)<br />
Environmental assessment and permitting<br />
process in progress with First Nations support<br />
Planning for N. American HREE separation plant<br />
Production start-up in 2015<br />
+C$1.0 billion estimated total capital cost<br />
7
Comparison of Anticipated<br />
Production for Major REE Deposits<br />
REE OXIDE<br />
Nechalacho Mt Weld Mountain Pass Nolans<br />
Canada Australia USA Australia<br />
(10,000 tpa) (11,000 tpa) (20,000 tpa) (20,000 tpa)<br />
Europium Eu 49 48 24 80<br />
Gadolinium Gd 371 107 34 200<br />
Terbium Tb 54 8 - 16<br />
Dysprosium Dy 271 13 - 66<br />
Holmium Ho 48 - - -<br />
Erbium Er 126 - - -<br />
Thulium Tm 17 - - -<br />
Ytterbium Yb 101 - - -<br />
Yttrium Y 1,169 41 20 264<br />
Lutetium Lu 14 - - -<br />
Total Heavies 22.20% 1.98% 0.39% 3.13%<br />
Lanthanum La 1,583 2,805 6,640 3,948<br />
Cerium Ce 3,572 5,141 9,820 9,506<br />
Praseodymium Pr 451 585 868 1,164<br />
Neodymium Nd 1,783 2,035 2,400 4,240<br />
Samarium Sm 391 250 160 474<br />
Total Lights 77.80% 98.33% 99.44% 96.66%<br />
8
Demand Growth to 2015<br />
(Source Jacob Securities Jan. 2011)<br />
9
Recent Developments in REE<br />
Markets<br />
China reduces export quotas by 35% for first half of 2011 compared to<br />
first 6 months of 2010<br />
Chinese REE exports to Japan curtailed in 2010 over territorial dispute<br />
creating global security-of-supply concern<br />
Increasing media coverage and commentary on REE supply/demand<br />
issues stimulates surge in investor interest<br />
REE prices as a group increased some 300% in 2010<br />
Molycorp signs MOU with Sumitomo for $130 million debt / equity<br />
financing, and enters magnet alloy joint venture with Hitachi <strong>Metals</strong><br />
Lynas and Sojitz Corporation announce Strategic Alliance to supply<br />
Japanese market<br />
Molycorp announces expansion plans to 40,000 tpa TREO and new<br />
equity financing plans<br />
10
Chinese <strong>Rare</strong> Earth exports from<br />
1990 to 2011 (Estimate)<br />
Gross volume versus value of exports from 1990 to 2011E<br />
Gross Volume<br />
Gross Value<br />
Volume (000's tonnes)<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
1,600<br />
1,400<br />
1,200<br />
1,000<br />
800<br />
600<br />
400<br />
200<br />
Value (US$ millions)<br />
0<br />
1990 2000 2010<br />
*Source: Research in China, China Research and Intelligence, Laurentian Bank Securities<br />
0<br />
11
<strong>Rare</strong> Earth Element Prices<br />
Source: Metal-Pages.com, February 3, 2011<br />
Prices are indicative and basis FOB China<br />
Metal Oxide Principal Uses Price US$/kg<br />
Light <strong>Rare</strong> Earths<br />
Lanthanum Oxide 99% min Re-chargeable Batteries 61.00 – 63.00<br />
Cerium Oxide 99% min Catalyst, glass, polishing 66.00 – 68.00<br />
Praseodymium Oxide 99% min Magnets, glass colorant 102.00 – 105.00<br />
Neodymium Oxide 99% min Magnets, lasers, glass 103.00 – 106.00<br />
Samarium Oxide 99% min Magnets, lighting, lasers 60.00 – 62.00<br />
Heavy <strong>Rare</strong> Earths<br />
Europium Oxide 99% min TV colour phosphors: red 620.00 – 640.00<br />
Terbium Oxide 99% min Phosphors: green, magnets 620.00 – 640.00<br />
Dysprosium Oxide 99% min Magnets, lasers 360.00 – 370.00<br />
Gadolinium Oxide 99%min Magnets, superconductors 67.00 – 70.00<br />
Yttrium Oxide 99.999% min Phosphors, ceramics, lasers 75.00 – 80.00<br />
12
Dysprosium, Neodymium:<br />
4 year FOB China price trends<br />
Source: Metal-Pages.com<br />
13
Key Applications of REE:<br />
Magnets for Electric Motors<br />
REE (NdFeB) or “Neo” Magnets reduce electric motor/generator size and<br />
weight, and improve efficiency<br />
Major applications include:<br />
Electronics (grams)<br />
Hybrid-electric cars (1-2 kg)<br />
Industrial air conditioners (500 kg)<br />
Wind turbines (0.6-1.0 tonne/MW)<br />
MRI machines (1-3 tonnes)<br />
Trend toward larger volume applications<br />
REE magnets can reduce power consumption by 50%<br />
Approximately 30% of the magnet is Neodymium metal<br />
100 Kw generator<br />
with neo magnets<br />
HREE dysprosium and terbium additions are key to making “heat resistant”<br />
magnets vital to automotive and other applications<br />
HREE phosphors key to energy efficient lighting, display screens<br />
14
Key Application of REE Magnets<br />
in Wind Turbines<br />
New GE 4 MW wind turbine<br />
uses a 90-ton generator<br />
with 2-3 tons of NdFeB<br />
permanent magnets to<br />
eliminate the need for a<br />
gearbox, reducing breakage<br />
and energy loss<br />
Permanent magnet<br />
generator (PMGs) make the<br />
whole assembly (nacelle)<br />
lighter weight allowing<br />
higher tower<br />
Already planning to build 10<br />
MW size turbines<br />
Red stickman (approx. 6’ tall) shown to demonstrate scale. The wind<br />
turbine blades on this 4MW model are 176 foot long.<br />
Photo: Popular Science / GE<br />
15
Niobium Production<br />
Giant Araxa deposit in Brazil (CBMM) produces 80% of<br />
world supply (150,000 tpy Nb2O5)<br />
Nechalacho is now the 3 rd largest deposit in the world and<br />
will produce 1,700 tpa Nb 2 O 5 as by-product<br />
Demand increasing for main use in High strength low alloy<br />
(HSLA) steels as use of HSLA steels is expected to double<br />
in next few years<br />
Traditional markets in architecture, ships, bridges.<br />
Increasing use in automotive... Reduces the weight of the<br />
vehicle and improves fuel efficiency.<br />
$9 of Nb = 100kg less weight = 1 litre of fuel savings per 100km<br />
16
Zirconium Production<br />
Primary zirconium production mainly from zircon sands in<br />
Australia and South Africa (1.5 million tpa zircon)<br />
China imports zircon sands and is the only global producer<br />
of Zirconium Oxychloride (ZoC) the basic chemical<br />
feedstock for producing Zr metal and other chemicals<br />
China increasing ZoC consumption, applying export taxes<br />
Zr Metal critical for nuclear reactors as fuel cladding<br />
Many emerging uses:<br />
Hemodialysis treatment (zirconium phosphate)<br />
Solid Oxide Fuel Cells (yttrium stabilized zirconia)<br />
17
Thor Lake: Project Location<br />
Flotation plant<br />
at Thor lake,<br />
shipping of<br />
concentrate by<br />
barge to<br />
hydromet plant<br />
at Pine Point.<br />
Concentrates<br />
shipped by rail<br />
from Hay River<br />
to Separation<br />
Plant<br />
18
Nechalacho REE Deposit:<br />
Diamond Drill Hole<br />
Location Map<br />
North-South<br />
Section<br />
Tardiff Lakes Area<br />
Airstrip<br />
West Long Lake Area<br />
19
Nechalacho REE Deposit<br />
N-S Composite Section (looking west)<br />
Tardiff Lakes Area Indicated resources<br />
170m<br />
Upper LREE Zone<br />
Hole 154:<br />
1.88% TREO<br />
with 20.5%<br />
HREO over<br />
20.0 metres<br />
1590m<br />
Basal HREE Zone<br />
Averages 30 m thick, 2%<br />
TREO, 20% HREE<br />
Hole 70: 1.90% TREO<br />
with 32.6% HREO<br />
over 6.0 metres<br />
Drill Hole with<br />
Basal Zone<br />
Intercept<br />
20
Nechalacho Deposit: NI 43-101<br />
Resources Updated Jan. 27, 2011<br />
Tonnes<br />
(millions)<br />
%<br />
TREO<br />
%<br />
HREO<br />
%<br />
HREO/TREO<br />
% %<br />
ZrO 2 Nb₂O₅<br />
ppm<br />
Ta 2 O 5<br />
TREO<br />
equiv<br />
Basal Zone<br />
Indicated 57.49 1.56 0.33 20.72 2.99 0.40 396 2.01<br />
Inferred 107.59 1.35 0.26 18.97 2.83 0.37 354 1.77<br />
Upper Zone<br />
Indicated 30.64 1.48 0.15 10.26 2.10 0.31 192 1.86<br />
Inferred 119.29 1.26 0.13 10.15 2.41 0.35 209 1.66<br />
Total Inferred 226.88 1.30 0.19 14.33 2.61 0.36 278 1.71<br />
Prepared initially from 2009 data by Scott Wilson RPA for Technical Report filed July<br />
29, 2010. Updated for 2010 drilling by Finley Bakker, P.Geo., Sr. Resource Geologist<br />
Mineral Resources based on following price assumptions: US$21.94/kg TREO,<br />
US$3.76/kg ZrO2, US$130/kg Ta2O5, and US$45/kg/Nb2O5 and are estimated using<br />
a Net Metal Return cut-off value of CAN$260/tonne. (CAN:USD FX $1.11/$1.00)<br />
21
Basal Zone Indicated Resources at<br />
Various NMR Cut-offs<br />
updated Jan. 27, 2011<br />
Undiluted grades<br />
INDICATED<br />
NMR CUTOFF<br />
Tonnes<br />
(Millions)<br />
TREO<br />
%<br />
HREO/TREO<br />
%<br />
% %<br />
ZrO 2 Nb₂O₅<br />
ppm<br />
Ta 2 O 5<br />
TREO<br />
equiv<br />
≥$260 57.49 1.56 20.72 2.99 0.40 396 2.01<br />
≥$400 39.79 1.77 22.15 3.41 0.45 448 2.28<br />
≥$600 14.67 2.19 24.68 4.22 0.53 552 2.80<br />
≥$700 7.26 2.43 25.97 4.64 0.58 621 3.10<br />
Notes<br />
1.CIM definitions were followed for Indicated Resources. An exchange rate of 1.11 was used.<br />
2. HREO (Heavy <strong>Rare</strong> Earth Oxides) is the total of: Y 2 0 3 , Eu 2 0 3 , Gd 2 0 3 , Tb 2 0 3 , Dy 2 0 3 , Ho 2 O 3 , Er 2 0 3 , Tm 2 0 3 , Yb 2 0 3 and<br />
Lu 2 0 3. TREO (Total <strong>Rare</strong> Earth Oxides) is HREO plus: La 2 0 3 , Ce 2 0 3 , Pr 6 0 11 , Nd 2 0 3 and Sm 2 0 3<br />
3. Prepared from 2009 data by Scott Wilson RPA detailed in Technical Report filed July 29, 2010 and updated for 2010<br />
drilling by Finley Bakker, P.Geo.,Sr. Resource Geologist<br />
4.Mineral Resources are estimated using price forecasts for 2014 for rare earth oxides prepared early in 2010. Some of<br />
these prices are higher and some are lower than current prices. The prices used are the same as in the June 14, 2010<br />
disclosure.<br />
5. A cut-off NMR grade of $260 Can was used for the base case. NMR is defined as “Net Metal Return” or the gross in<br />
situ value of all the payable rare metals in the ore.<br />
6. ZrO 2 refers to Zirconium Oxide, Nb₂O₅ refers to Niobium Oxide, Ta₂O₅ refers to Tantalum Oxide, Ga2O3 refers to<br />
Gallium Oxide.<br />
7. TREO equivalent % is calculated using the weighted average value per kilogram of REE divided into the total NMR of<br />
the rock taking into account metallurgical recoveries<br />
22
Prefeasibility DCF Model:<br />
Opportunity Analysis<br />
Pre-Tax Analysis (in millions)<br />
Optimization Initiative Action IRR NPV @ 8% NPV @ 10% NCF<br />
Scott Wilson, RPA Cashflow Model Base Case 14% 428 246 2,091<br />
Eliminate 3 year Production Ramp-Up Complete 20% 714 505 2,530<br />
Utilize Increased Resources for<br />
selective mining of high grade in first 5<br />
years<br />
In Progress 23% 866 643 2,759<br />
Buy-out 3% NSR* In Progress 24% 927 695 2,893<br />
Alternative Energy Initiatives In Progress 24% 943 709 2,930<br />
Eliminate working capital in base case Complete 26% 987 754 2,930<br />
BFS** Contingency at 10% In Progress 28% 1,048 812 2,999<br />
OVERALL TOTAL All 28% 1,048 812 2,999<br />
*NSR – Net Smelter Return<br />
**BFS – Bankable Feasibility Study<br />
23
Nechalacho REE Deposit<br />
Conceptual Development Plan<br />
Mine Portal<br />
Vent<br />
Barren Rock Dump<br />
Long Lake<br />
Tailings Pond<br />
Underground Mining<br />
Upper Zone<br />
Basal Zone<br />
Tailings Storage<br />
Mining underground room & pillar/long-hole stoping<br />
2,000 tonnes per day (tpd), (lower rate during start-up)<br />
Flotation processing to produce mineral concentrate<br />
Hydrometallurgical treatment of mineral con in plant south of GSL<br />
Production of 10,000 tpa mixed REE oxides for separation elsewhere<br />
Market capture less than 5% of est. 2014 TREO global demand<br />
Operating Costs: $267/tonne inclusive mine, mill and hydromet<br />
CAPEX estimate in PFS: $900 million<br />
24
NECHALACHO METALLURGY<br />
Metallurgical testing at SGS Minerals Lakefield<br />
Under supervision of John Goode, P.Eng, Consulting Metallurgist<br />
Flotation bench scale testing complete<br />
Concentrate with REE, Nb, Ta, Zr at about 5X concentration<br />
REE content approx. 10%, present recoveries: 80-85%<br />
Gangue minerals (silicates, etc.) ~40% of concentrate<br />
Mini-pilot flotation plant (4-5 tonnes) trial in progress at XPS<br />
Hydrometallurgical flowsheet defined (90% TREO recovery)<br />
“Cracking” of minerals complete<br />
Separation procedure for REE, Zr, Nb, Ta designed<br />
Mini-Pilot plant work to begin when flotation work complete<br />
Feasibility Study Pilot Plant work on 30 tonne sample (H2 2011)<br />
25
Planning for HREE Separation<br />
Plant in North America<br />
No large scale heavy REE separation capability outside China at<br />
present. Customers want an outside China separation solution<br />
Scoping Study by SNC Lavalin assuming S. Ontario location<br />
CAPEX estimated at C$345 million (+/- 35%) for 25,000 tpa<br />
HREE separation plant<br />
Sized to accommodate additional supply from other producers<br />
Delivered cost of reagents accounts for 90% of OPEX<br />
Locate plant near sources of HCL and caustic soda<br />
Review of potential sites in progress<br />
Consider partnership opportunities<br />
26
Schedule to Production in 2015<br />
Thor Lake<br />
Project Schedule<br />
Aboriginal Engagement<br />
Pre-feasibility Draft Document<br />
Draft HydroMet Flowsheet<br />
Final Pre-feasibility Report<br />
Project Description Report<br />
MVLWB Prescreening Process<br />
MVEIRB EA Process<br />
Ministerial Approval<br />
MVLWB LUP/Water Licensing<br />
Flotation Plant Pilot Testing<br />
HydroMet Plant Pilot Testing<br />
Bankable Feasibility<br />
Final Designs & Financing<br />
Project Construction &<br />
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015<br />
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4<br />
Bankable Feasibility Study Budget<br />
Sept. 1, 2010 to Aug 31. 2012= $40.5 million<br />
Cost Estimate for Feasibility Study = $43 million<br />
Project Start-up<br />
Sales & Market Development<br />
27
First Nations Community<br />
Engagement & CSR<br />
Community information<br />
sessions and site visits<br />
Aboriginal Training<br />
First Aid, Driller Helper<br />
Employment at site<br />
40% Aboriginal<br />
Business development<br />
Major contractors with<br />
Aboriginal ownership<br />
Ice road haulage, airstrip<br />
Wind power evaluation<br />
Helped start a new core box<br />
business with Deninu Kue<br />
Signed MOU (Negotiation<br />
Agreement) with YKDFN<br />
28
Competitive Advantages with<br />
other emerging REE producers<br />
Relatively Advanced<br />
5 years down a 10 year development timeline<br />
Prefeasibility Study Completed<br />
Allows company to enter into discussions with customers about off-take<br />
Metallurgical Flowsheet Determined<br />
No issues with contaminants and good recoveries confirmed (75%)<br />
Significant By-product revenue indicated (Zr, Nb, Ta)<br />
Heavy <strong>Rare</strong> Earth Enrichment Marketing Opportunity<br />
No other advanced projects have all the heavies to offer<br />
First Mover Advantage is Key<br />
First to market will capture available market share<br />
Only room for a handful of new producers “first come, first served”<br />
29
REE COMPARABLES:<br />
Market Capitalization<br />
Normalized to TREO Resources<br />
Company<br />
Market cap<br />
US$ Millions<br />
Million tonnes<br />
TREO*<br />
US$/tonne<br />
TREO<br />
Molycorp $3,773 1.3950 $2,705<br />
Stage<br />
Production /<br />
expansion<br />
Lynas Corporation $3,213 1.1640 $2,760 Construction<br />
<strong>Rare</strong> Element Resources $441 0.55 $803 Prefeasibility<br />
Quest <strong>Rare</strong> Minerals $341 0.551 $619 Prefeasibility<br />
Arafura $403 0.8400 $480 Feasibility<br />
<strong>Avalon</strong> <strong>Rare</strong> <strong>Metals</strong> $519 4.298 $121 Feasibility<br />
(Market data and FX as of January 26, 2011)<br />
* Based on published information/reports<br />
30
Some objectives for 2011<br />
Update of Nechalacho PFS Economic Model by mid-year<br />
Attracting a consumer or consumers as strategic partners and<br />
entering into off-take agreements<br />
Advancing feasibility study work especially pilot plant work and<br />
planning for HREE separation plant<br />
Concluding First Nations Participation Agreements<br />
Expanding our investor audience internationally and in the Clean<br />
Tech community (CSR Road Map 2011)<br />
Increased Research Analyst coverage<br />
Advance East Kemptville and Separation Rapids projects and<br />
begin generating other new rare metals projects<br />
31
18 Month Price Chart<br />
China export policy<br />
Media Coverage<br />
China reduces export quotas<br />
NYSE Amex Listing<br />
CIBC Financings<br />
Dines Letter<br />
Resource expansion<br />
and PFS news<br />
32
Vision Statement<br />
To be the leading integrated supplier of technology metals<br />
and minerals for a more sustainable world.<br />
Mission Statement<br />
Maximize shareholder value by being the first to market<br />
with a new supply of heavy rare earths, by providing<br />
superior customer service and by being a leader in socially<br />
responsible mineral production.<br />
34
<strong>Rare</strong> <strong>Metals</strong>: Key Enablers of<br />
Clean Technology<br />
<strong>Rare</strong> earth elements (“REE”) such as Neodymium, Terbium<br />
and Dysprosium; & other rare metals such as Lithium,<br />
Gallium, Indium (+Tin), Niobium, Tantalum, Zirconium<br />
Creating new materials such as thin films (solar) and high strength<br />
magnets, the key to energy-efficient electric motors<br />
Renewable energy: solar power, wind turbines, nuclear power<br />
LED lighting, rechargeable batteries, light weight aerospace alloys<br />
Hybrid and electric cars (30 kg REE in aggregate)<br />
35
What are <strong>Rare</strong> Earth Elements?<br />
Light REE:<br />
La = Lanthanum<br />
Ce = Cerium<br />
Pr = Praseodymium<br />
Nd = Neodymium<br />
Sm = Samarium<br />
Heavy REE:<br />
Eu = Europium<br />
Gd = Gadolinium<br />
Tb = Terbium<br />
Dy = Dysprosium<br />
Ho = Holmium<br />
Er = Erbium<br />
Tm = Thulium<br />
Yb = Ytterbium<br />
Lu = Lutetium<br />
Y = Yttrium<br />
Neodymium, Dysprosium, Terbium and Europium in highest demand<br />
36
Key Facts About <strong>Rare</strong> Earth<br />
Elements or “REE” … 1<br />
Widely dispersed, but rarely concentrated; only found as a<br />
group, often with uranium & thorium. Deposits are not rare.<br />
Typically concentrated in alkaline intrusive rocks<br />
(carbonatites) or peralkaline granites (Thor Lake)<br />
Many different ore minerals: bastnaesite, allanite, monazite.<br />
xenotime, eudialyte, fergusonite, zircon<br />
In most deposits, light rare earths “LREE” are far more<br />
abundant than heavy rare earths “HREE”; LREE typically<br />
comprise 98-99% of resource...HREE far more valuable<br />
REE must be recovered as a group and sequentially<br />
separated; HREE cannot be selectively extracted<br />
37
Key Facts About REEs… 2<br />
REEs are not commodities; Like industrial<br />
minerals, requirements are customer specific<br />
Expensive to recover... Hydrometallurgical<br />
concentration and separation in large plants with<br />
enormous capital requirements (+$1 billion)<br />
There is no custom refining capacity outside China<br />
<strong>Rare</strong> Earths enjoy several unique properties<br />
making them indispensable to modern technology:<br />
Magnetic, Optical, Catalytic, Chemical, Electrical,<br />
Metallurgical and Nuclear<br />
38
Each REE deposit has its own<br />
unique, (constant) distribution<br />
<strong>Avalon</strong>’s Nechalacho deposit is richer in HREE<br />
100%<br />
90%<br />
80%<br />
70%<br />
60%<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
Mt Pass<br />
Molycorp<br />
Baiyun Obo<br />
Baotou<br />
Mt Weld<br />
Lynas<br />
Nolans<br />
Arafura<br />
Nechalacho<br />
<strong>Avalon</strong><br />
39
Comparison of Anticipated<br />
Production for Major REE Deposits<br />
(tpy)<br />
REE OXIDE<br />
Nechalacho Mt Weld Mountain Pass Nolans<br />
Canada Australia USA Australia<br />
(10,000 tpa) (11,000 tpa) (20,000 tpa) (20,000 tpa)<br />
Europium Eu 49 48 24 80<br />
Gadolinium Gd 371 107 34 200<br />
Terbium Tb 54 8 - 16<br />
Dysprosium Dy 271 13 - 66<br />
Holmium Ho 48 - - -<br />
Erbium Er 126 - - -<br />
Thulium Tm 17 - - -<br />
Ytterbium Yb 101 - - -<br />
Yttrium Y 1,169 41 20 264<br />
Lutetium Lu 14 - - -<br />
Total Heavies 22.20% 1.98% 0.39% 3.13%<br />
Lanthanum La 1,583 2,805 6,640 3,948<br />
Cerium Ce 3,572 5,141 9,820 9,506<br />
Praseodymium Pr 451 585 868 1,164<br />
Neodymium Nd 1,783 2,035 2,400 4,240<br />
Samarium Sm 391 250 160 474<br />
Total Lights 77.80% 98.33% 99.44% 96.66%<br />
40
China Dominates Global REE<br />
Production<br />
China currently produces<br />
over 95% of global REE<br />
supply<br />
China now imposing export<br />
quotas and tariffs on REE<br />
New non-Chinese supply<br />
sources needed to maintain<br />
balance<br />
Supplies of key HREE from<br />
China (Y, Dy, Tb) will remain<br />
tight with potential for a<br />
complete export ban<br />
Japan totally reliant on China<br />
for supplies<br />
Mountain Pass era<br />
Yet, Chinese companies are actively<br />
trying to acquire additional REE<br />
resources around the world.<br />
41
South China Ionic Clays:<br />
World’s Primary Source of HREE<br />
Low grade, but relatively easy to<br />
recover by in situ or vat leaching<br />
Uncontrolled, primitive methods<br />
causing environmental destruction<br />
Government now curtailing<br />
production for cleanup<br />
50% of mines unlicensed,<br />
Government crackdown initiated<br />
Spring 2010<br />
In 2008, one-third of total volume<br />
exported was reportedly illegally<br />
smuggled out of China<br />
Estimated to be less than 15 years<br />
of reserve life<br />
This abandoned mine in Guyun Village in China<br />
exhausted the local deposit of heavy rare-earth<br />
elements in three years. Source: NY Times<br />
42
Nechalacho REE Deposit:<br />
Recent Project History<br />
2005: Acquisition of 100% interest for $300,000 in shares<br />
2006: Compilation work, mineralogy begin community consultation,<br />
recognition of heavy rare earth potential<br />
2007: Scoping study, exploration drilling and $16 million equity<br />
financing (Research Capital)<br />
2008: Delineation drilling and 43-101 resource estimate, community<br />
engagement and begin metallurgical studies and work on PFS<br />
2009: Definition drilling, hydrometallurgical testwork environment,<br />
market studies $17.5 million financing (CIBC)<br />
2010: Definition drilling, begin EIA process<br />
June, 2010: Completion of Prefeasibility Study<br />
Expenditures to date: over $27.0 million<br />
43
Global REE Deposits Ranking<br />
HREE-rich Nechalacho deposit now ranks as the second<br />
largest REE deposit in the world, after Bayan Obo and the<br />
third largest Niobium deposit in the world<br />
Nechalacho has the highest proportion of the more<br />
valuable HREE (over +20% in Basal Zone portion)<br />
Deposit<br />
% TREO<br />
Contained<br />
tonnes<br />
TREO<br />
%<br />
HREO/<br />
TREO<br />
Contained<br />
Tonnes<br />
HREO<br />
Bayan Obo, China 3.9% 56,900,000 2% 1,138,000<br />
Nechalacho, Canada 1.5% 3,050,000 15% 457,000<br />
Kvanefeld, Greenland 1.0% 2,150,000 14% 301,000<br />
Mountain Pass, USA 9.2% 1,840,000 1% 18,400<br />
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Emerging REE Magnet<br />
Applications<br />
Tidal Power Generation Turbines<br />
Being installed in Nova Scotia and B.C. in 2010<br />
100 MW potential in Nova Scotia<br />
Permanent Magnet Hydro Power Generators<br />
A 4MW generator contains 1 tonne of Nd magnets<br />
Electric Bicycles (EB)<br />
300-350 g Nd Magnets per EB<br />
20 million EB sold in China in 2009<br />
Sales forecast to grow 30 million EB pa = 9,000 tpa Nd magnets<br />
Magnetic Refrigeration<br />
Uses alloys of gadolinium magneto-caloric effect<br />
Commercialization within 1-2 years<br />
45
City of Yellowknife<br />
Population: Approx. 20,000<br />
46
Zirconium Use in Dialysis<br />
Zirconium Phosphate can be used<br />
for home dialysis treatment.<br />
The benefits of home dialysis:<br />
No time-consuming trips to hospital<br />
More frequent treatments possible,<br />
to mimic natural kidney function.<br />
More mobility possible for patients<br />
Less costly for government<br />
Individual consumption of ZrO2 equivalent<br />
is 1lb per treatment, with 3 treatments per<br />
week or potential demand of 7,000 tonnes<br />
per year ZrO2 to treat 100,000 patients<br />
Nechalacho will produce 18,000 tpy ZrO2<br />
47
Estimated Total Project<br />
Construction Capital Costs<br />
Activity<br />
Total Capital Cost<br />
Estimates<br />
(CAD $ 000’s)<br />
Nechalacho Mine 99,607<br />
Thor Lake Process Facility 173,165<br />
HydroMetallurgical Plant 316,602<br />
Primary Project Component Cost 589,374<br />
Project Engineering, Procurement,<br />
Construction and Management<br />
80,657<br />
Contingency @ 22% 144,503<br />
Sustaining Capital 73,000<br />
Reclamation & Miscellaneous 12,200<br />
Total Project Capital Costs 899,734<br />
Operating costs over the<br />
18 year life of the project<br />
are estimated to average<br />
CAN $267 per tonne of<br />
ore mined or $5.93 per<br />
kilogram of product<br />
Based on Diluted<br />
Probable Mineral<br />
Reserves of 12.0 million<br />
tonnes of 1.71% TREO,<br />
3.18% (ZrO₂), 0.42%<br />
(Nb₂O₅) and 0.042%<br />
(Ta₂O₅)<br />
Probable Reserves will<br />
increase with continued<br />
drilling, also extending<br />
the mine life.<br />
48
Prefeasibility Study:<br />
Summary of Financial Analysis<br />
Financial Analysis Pre-Tax (CAD$) After-Tax (CAD$)<br />
Internal Rate of Return 14% 12%<br />
Net Cash Flow $2.1 billion $1.5 billion<br />
Net Present Value @ 5% $826 Million $540 million<br />
Net Present Value @ 8% $428 million $236 million<br />
Net Present Value @ 10% $246 million $97 million<br />
Financial model developed by independent consultant Scott Wilson RPA<br />
Assumes 100% equity financing basis<br />
Covers mining, mineral concentration, hydrometallurgical processing and all<br />
related infrastructure on an 18 year operating schedule<br />
CAD/USD exchange rate used was CAD$1.00 = USD$0.90<br />
Expected revenues are based on the following price assumptions in USD per<br />
kilogram: TREO = $21.94, ZrO₂ = $3.77, Nb₂O₅ = $45.00, Ta₂O₅ = $130.00<br />
49
Nechalacho Geological Model<br />
Evolving<br />
Blachford Lake Peralkaline<br />
Intrusive Complex, NWT<br />
Biotite<br />
Granodiorite<br />
Grace Lake Granite<br />
Two-<br />
Mica<br />
Granite<br />
Caribou<br />
Lake<br />
Gabbro<br />
Whiteman<br />
Lake Quartz<br />
Syenite<br />
Leucoferrodiorite<br />
Hearne Channel<br />
and Mad Lake<br />
Granites<br />
Model Section<br />
T-Zone<br />
Thor Lake Syenite<br />
Interpreted Geometry<br />
in Cross Section<br />
A unique example of a layered<br />
Peralkaline intrusive complex,<br />
with the upper, rare metal-rich<br />
part of the system readily<br />
accessible for mining.<br />
50
Nechalacho Deposit<br />
Basal Zone REE Mineralogy<br />
Heavy REE Minerals<br />
20μm<br />
Fergusonite Y, HREE (Nb,Ta) O 4<br />
Zircon Zr (HREE) SiO 4<br />
Fergusonite<br />
Zircon<br />
REE distribution in fergusonite:<br />
Light REE Minerals<br />
Bastnaesite (LREE) F CO 3<br />
Allanite (LREE,Ca,Y) 2 (Al,Fe) 3 (SiO 4 ) 4 OH<br />
Synchisite Ca (LREE) (CO 3 ) 2 F<br />
Monazite (LREE) PO 4<br />
REE Y La Ce Pr Nd Sm Eu Gd Tb Dy Ho Er Tm Yb Lu<br />
Oxide % 29.0 0.30 4.40 1.70 15.6 10.4 1.60 14.3 1.80 9.80 1.20 4.10 0.70 4.40 0.70<br />
51
Nechalacho eudialyte pseudomorphs<br />
now consisting of replacement<br />
zircon & fergusonite compared with<br />
primary Illimaussaq eudyalite<br />
Hydrothermal alteration has performed the first stage the first stage of processing<br />
Nechalacho HREE mineralization:<br />
Eudialyte pseudomorph<br />
Illimaussaq: Primary euhedral<br />
Eudyalite (pink)<br />
52