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13 - People.stat.sfu.ca - Simon Fraser University

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Lecture <strong>13</strong>: Method of Moments<br />

To estimate p parameters solve<br />

¯X = E θ (X)<br />

X¯<br />

2 = E θ (X 2 )<br />

. .<br />

X¯<br />

p = E θ (X p )<br />

Essentially always consistent.<br />

Did Gamma(α,β) example.<br />

Used as starting points for Newton-Raphson.<br />

To solve g(θ) = 0 begin with initial value θ 0 and iteratively define<br />

( −1g(θ<br />

θ (k+1) = θ (k) − Dg(θ )) (k) (k) ).<br />

Here Dg is the p ×p matrix with i,jth<br />

∂g i (θ)<br />

∂θ j<br />

.<br />

Richard Lockhart (<strong>Simon</strong> <strong>Fraser</strong> <strong>University</strong>) STAT 801=830 Statisti<strong>ca</strong>l Inference Fall 2012 1 / 3


Lecture <strong>13</strong>: quadratic approximation to l<br />

Two term Taylor expansion of l about ˆθ:<br />

[ ]<br />

2 l(ˆθ)−l(θ) ≈ (θ− ˆθ) T I(θ 0 )(θ − ˆθ)<br />

where minus the second derivative matrix has been replaced by the<br />

Fisher information matrix.<br />

Worked on large sample theory of above evaluated at θ = θ 0 .<br />

Began with X ∼ MVN p (0,Σ) and showed<br />

X T Σ −1 X ∼ χ 2 p.<br />

Then started general theory of quadratic form:<br />

X t BX = (AZ) T B(AZ) = Z T QZ<br />

where Q = A T BA and AA T = Σ.<br />

Write Q = PΛP T where P is orthogonal (PP T = P T P = I) and Λ is<br />

diagonal. Columns of P are eigenvectors of Q and diagonal entries of<br />

Λ are eigenvalues.<br />

Richard Lockhart (<strong>Simon</strong> <strong>Fraser</strong> <strong>University</strong>) STAT 801=830 Statisti<strong>ca</strong>l Inference Fall 2012 2 / 3


Coverage in the text<br />

Method of moments in Chapter 9.<br />

See “course notes” on web pages <strong>13</strong>0-<strong>13</strong>1.<br />

Richard Lockhart (<strong>Simon</strong> <strong>Fraser</strong> <strong>University</strong>) STAT 801=830 Statisti<strong>ca</strong>l Inference Fall 2012 3 / 3

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