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Global market review <strong>of</strong><br />

automotive tyres – forecasts<br />

to 2014<br />

2008 edition


Page i<br />

Global market review <strong>of</strong> automotive<br />

tyres – forecasts to 2014<br />

2008 edition<br />

July 2008<br />

by Matthew Beecham<br />

Published by<br />

Aroq Limited<br />

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© 2008 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.


Page ii<br />

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Page iii<br />

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© 2008 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.


Page iv<br />

Contents<br />

Contents<br />

Single-user licence edition............................................................................................................. ii<br />

Copyright statement.................................................................................................................. ii<br />

Incredible ROI for your budget – single and multi-user licences............................................... ii<br />

just-auto.<strong>com</strong> membership........................................................................................................iii<br />

Contents.......................................................................................................................................... iv<br />

List <strong>of</strong> figures ................................................................................................................................. vi<br />

List <strong>of</strong> tables .................................................................................................................................. vii<br />

Preface ............................................................................................................................................ ix<br />

Research methodology ............................................................................................................ix<br />

Report coverage....................................................................................................................... ix<br />

The author................................................................................................................................. x<br />

Chapter 1 Introduction.................................................................................................................... 1<br />

Chapter 2 The market ..................................................................................................................... 2<br />

Market trends ............................................................................................................................ 2<br />

Market players........................................................................................................................... 4<br />

Bridgestone ...................................................................................................................... 4<br />

Q&A with Bridgestone................................................................................................ 4<br />

Continental ....................................................................................................................... 6<br />

Cooper Tire & Rubber ...................................................................................................... 6<br />

Goodyear.......................................................................................................................... 7<br />

Hankook Tire ....................................................................................................................7<br />

Kumho Tires .....................................................................................................................8<br />

Michelin ............................................................................................................................ 8<br />

Pirelli................................................................................................................................. 9<br />

Sumitomo Rubber Industries ............................................................................................ 9<br />

Toyo Tire & Rubber Co Ltd............................................................................................... 9<br />

Yokohama Rubber............................................................................................................ 9<br />

Emerging markets................................................................................................................... 13<br />

China .............................................................................................................................. 14<br />

Hungary .......................................................................................................................... 16<br />

India................................................................................................................................ 16<br />

Indonesia ........................................................................................................................ 16<br />

Kazakhstan.....................................................................................................................17<br />

Mexico ............................................................................................................................ 17<br />

Nigeria ............................................................................................................................ 17<br />

Poland ............................................................................................................................ 18<br />

Romania .........................................................................................................................18<br />

South Africa ....................................................................................................................18<br />

© 2008 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.


Page v<br />

Contents<br />

Thailand.......................................................................................................................... 19<br />

Vietnam .......................................................................................................................... 20<br />

Investments in Western Europe.............................................................................................. 20<br />

Investments in North America................................................................................................. 21<br />

Investments in Asia................................................................................................................. 22<br />

Market shares ......................................................................................................................... 23<br />

World .............................................................................................................................. 23<br />

European markets .......................................................................................................... 24<br />

North American markets................................................................................................. 26<br />

Asian markets................................................................................................................. 27<br />

Market size.............................................................................................................................. 29<br />

Market forecasts...................................................................................................................... 31<br />

Chapter 3 Technical review.......................................................................................................... 38<br />

Defining the elements ............................................................................................................. 38<br />

Latest innovations ................................................................................................................... 39<br />

Q&A with Goodyear ................................................................................................. 40<br />

Q&A with Continental............................................................................................... 47<br />

Tomorrow’s tyres..................................................................................................................... 51<br />

Chapter 4 Manufacturers.............................................................................................................. 53<br />

Amerityre................................................................................................................................. 53<br />

Bridgestone............................................................................................................................. 55<br />

Continental Corp ..................................................................................................................... 57<br />

Cooper Tire & Rubber............................................................................................................. 61<br />

Goodyear ................................................................................................................................ 62<br />

Hankook Tire........................................................................................................................... 71<br />

Kumho Tires............................................................................................................................ 73<br />

Michelin................................................................................................................................... 74<br />

Pirelli ....................................................................................................................................... 77<br />

Sumitomo Rubber Industries .................................................................................................. 79<br />

Toyo Tire & Rubber Co Ltd ..................................................................................................... 80<br />

Yokohama Rubber .................................................................................................................. 82<br />

Appendix 1 Glossary <strong>of</strong> terms ..................................................................................................... 83<br />

Appendix 2 Tyre speed rating symbols ...................................................................................... 85<br />

© 2008 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.


Page vi<br />

List <strong>of</strong> figures<br />

List <strong>of</strong> figures<br />

Figure 1: Manufacturer shares <strong>of</strong> global tyre market, 2007 (% <strong>of</strong> market value) ............................ 23<br />

Figure 2: European market shares for OE and replacement tyres for passenger cars and light<br />

trucks, 2007 (% <strong>of</strong> volume)....................................................................................... 25<br />

Figure 3: European market shares for OE and replacement tyres for medium- and heavy-duty<br />

trucks, 2007 (% <strong>of</strong> volume)....................................................................................... 25<br />

Figure 4: North American market shares for OE and replacement tyres for passenger cars and<br />

light trucks, 2007 (% <strong>of</strong> volume) ............................................................................... 26<br />

Figure 5: North American market shares for OE and replacement tyres for medium and heavy-duty<br />

trucks, 2007 (% <strong>of</strong> volume)....................................................................................... 27<br />

Figure 6: Chinese market shares for OE and replacement tyres for passenger cars and light trucks,<br />

2007, % <strong>of</strong> volume.................................................................................................... 28<br />

Figure 7: Korean OE tyre market shares, 2007 (% <strong>of</strong> volume) ....................................................... 29<br />

Figure 8: Korean replacement tyre market shares, 2007 (% <strong>of</strong> volume) ........................................ 29<br />

Figure 9: World market shares for OE tyres for passenger cars and light truck applications by<br />

geographical region, 2007 (% <strong>of</strong> volume)................................................................. 30<br />

Figure 10: World market shares for OE tyres for medium- and heavy-duty truck applications by<br />

geographical region, 2007 (% <strong>of</strong> volume)................................................................. 30<br />

Figure 11: Continental AG’s passenger and light trucks tyres sales by region, 2007 (% <strong>of</strong> net<br />

sales) ........................................................................................................................ 58<br />

Figure 12: Continental AG’s <strong>com</strong>mercial vehicle tyres sales by region, 2007 (% <strong>of</strong> net sales) ...... 59<br />

© 2008 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.


Page vii<br />

List <strong>of</strong> tables<br />

List <strong>of</strong> tables<br />

Table 1: Bridgestone’s sales by geographical region, 2003-2007 (% <strong>of</strong> net sales) ........................ 10<br />

Table 2: Goodyear’s sales by geographical region, 2003-2007 (% <strong>of</strong> net sales)............................ 10<br />

Table 3: Michelin’s sales by geographical region, 2003-2007 (% <strong>of</strong> net sales) .............................. 11<br />

Table 4: Cooper Tire & Rubber’s sales by geographical region, 2003-2007 (% <strong>of</strong> net sales) ........ 11<br />

Table 5: Hankook’s sales by geographical region, 2003-2006 (% <strong>of</strong> net sales) ............................. 11<br />

Table 6: Kumho’s sales by geographical region, 2003-2007 (% <strong>of</strong> net sales) ................................ 12<br />

Table 7: Pirelli’s sales by geographical region, 2004-2007 (% <strong>of</strong> net sales)................................... 12<br />

Table 8: Toyo Tire & Rubber’s sales by geographical region, 2003-2007 (% <strong>of</strong> net sales) ............ 12<br />

Table 9: Yokohama’s sales by geographical region, 2003-2007 (% <strong>of</strong> net sales) .......................... 13<br />

Table 10: Manufacturer shares <strong>of</strong> global tyre market 1997-2007 (% <strong>of</strong> market value) ................... 24<br />

Table 11: World light vehicle tyre sales, split by OE and replacement units, by region, 2004-2014<br />

(m units).................................................................................................................... 32<br />

Table 12: European Union light vehicle tyre replacement units (by country), 2004-2014 (m units) 34<br />

Table 13: World medium- and heavy-duty truck tyre sales, split by OE and replacement units, by<br />

region, 2004-2014 (m units) ..................................................................................... 35<br />

Table 14: World tyre sales (all applications) split by OE and replacement units, by region, 2004-<br />

2014 (m units)........................................................................................................... 36<br />

Table 15: Amerityre’s Arcus tyre <strong>com</strong>pared with run-flat tyres........................................................ 54<br />

Table 16: Bridgestone’s tyre operations worldwide, 2008............................................................... 55<br />

Table 17: Goodyear’s tyre sales by operating segment, 2002-2007 (m units) ............................... 63<br />

Table 18: Goodyear’s worldwide tyre sales, OE and replacement, 2003-2007 (m units) ............... 64<br />

Table 19: Goodyear’s North American Tire sales, OE and replacement, 2003-2007 (m units)...... 64<br />

Table 20: Goodyear’s European Union Tire sales, OE and replacement, 2003-2007 (m units)..... 65<br />

Table 21: Goodyear’s Eastern Europe Tire sales, OE and replacement, 2003-2007 (m units)...... 65<br />

Table 22: Goodyear’s Latin American Tire sales, OE and replacement, 2003-2007 m units) ........ 66<br />

© 2008 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.


Page viii<br />

List <strong>of</strong> tables<br />

Table 23: Goodyear’s Asia Pacific Tire sales, OE and replacement, 2003-2007 (m tyres) ............ 66<br />

Table 24: Goodyear’s strategic business units, 2008 ..................................................................... 67<br />

Table 25: Goodyear’s tyre-related facilities by country, 2008 ......................................................... 68<br />

Table 26: Hankook Tire production facilities worldwide, 2008 ........................................................ 72<br />

Table 27: Michelin’s production sites worldwide, 2008 ................................................................... 75<br />

Table 28: Pirelli tyre plants worldwide, 2008...................................................................................77<br />

Table 29: Sumitomo Rubber Industries’ net sales and operating in<strong>com</strong>e, 2006 and 2007 (JPYm) 80<br />

Table 30: Toyo Tire & Rubber Co Ltd’s sales by business segment, 1998-2007 (JPYm) .............. 81<br />

Table 31: The Yokohama Tire Company Ltd’s tyre-related facilities in Japan, 2008...................... 82<br />

Table 32: Tyre speed rating symbols (mph/km/h)........................................................................... 85<br />

© 2008 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.


Page ix<br />

Preface<br />

Preface<br />

Research methodology<br />

This <strong>report</strong> is intended to provide an overview <strong>of</strong> the road tyre industry,<br />

providing top-level market fitment, volume and value forecasts through 2014.<br />

Our forecasts are not extrapolative but dependent on the underlying drivers <strong>of</strong><br />

supply and demand. Our forecasts are largely based on interviews with the<br />

author’s extensive international network <strong>of</strong> industry contacts. This allows us to<br />

consider and explain the meaning and implications <strong>of</strong> industry events, rather<br />

than <strong>of</strong>fer simple description based on in<strong>com</strong>plete data.<br />

Our approach is divided into two distinct methodologies:<br />

○ qualitative interviews – these are generally opinion-based, which aim<br />

to build knowledge about future tyre market trends and <strong>com</strong>pany<br />

strategies; and<br />

○ quantitative interviews – typically fact-based, focused on establishing<br />

market values, shares, and volumes.<br />

Our research typically concentrates on applications for light vehicles which<br />

include all cars, light trucks and the various cross-over vehicle styles such as<br />

sports utility vehicles and people carriers. These vehicles collectively account<br />

for about 96% <strong>of</strong> the global vehicle build.<br />

Our market forecasts are set out by region, i.e. the European Union, Eastern<br />

Europe and Russia, North America, Asia, Africa, South America, Middle East<br />

and the Gulf, and the rest <strong>of</strong> the world. For the purposes <strong>of</strong> <strong>this</strong> <strong>report</strong>, the<br />

European Union includes Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France,<br />

Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain,<br />

Switzerland, Sweden and the UK.<br />

Report coverage<br />

In <strong>this</strong>, the fifth edition <strong>of</strong> <strong>this</strong> <strong>report</strong>, just-auto reviews the key market drivers<br />

for road tyres, and updates the market analysis. Following our market overview<br />

in Chapter 1, just-auto’s product fitment forecasts in Chapter 2 predict in some<br />

detail how the OE and replacement market for passenger car, light truck,<br />

medium- and heavy-duty truck tyre market will evolve in the European Union;<br />

© 2008 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.


Page x<br />

Preface<br />

Eastern Europe and Russia; North America; Asia; Africa; South America;<br />

Middle East and the Gulf; and the rest <strong>of</strong> the world from 2004 through to 2014.<br />

This chapter includes exclusive Q&A interviews with senior executives <strong>of</strong><br />

Bridgestone, Continental and Goodyear. An updated review <strong>of</strong> new product<br />

developments is presented in Chapter 3, while Chapter 4 provides brief<br />

pr<strong>of</strong>iles <strong>of</strong> the major manufacturers, namely Bridgestone, Continental, Cooper<br />

Tire & Rubber, Goodyear, Hankook Tyres, Kumho, Michelin, Pirelli, Sumitomo,<br />

Toyo Tyres, and Yokohama.<br />

The author<br />

Matthew Beecham has more than 15 years’ experience <strong>of</strong> researching, writing<br />

and analysing market and technical trends in the global automotive<br />

<strong>com</strong>ponents industry. Since 2000, he has served as an associate editor for<br />

just-auto. In addition to tyres, he authors a range <strong>of</strong> global auto <strong>com</strong>ponents’<br />

market research reviews, including batteries, braking systems, coatings,<br />

clutches, cockpits, driver assistance systems, door modules, electric motors,<br />

engine cooling systems, exhaust systems, front-end modules, fuel injection,<br />

fuel tanks, glazing systems, ignitions, interiors, lighting, mirrors, ro<strong>of</strong> systems,<br />

shock absorbers, spark plugs, rotating electrics, tyre pressure monitoring<br />

systems, wheels and wipers. Matthew’s freelance assignments have included<br />

working for AT Kearney, McKinsey, Kuwait Institute for Scientific Research,<br />

Motorsport Industry Association, Motor Industry Research Association and the<br />

Economist Intelligence Unit. He has also written for magazines including Car<br />

Graphic (Japan), JAMA (Japan) and <strong>Auto</strong>motive Engineer (UK). He was<br />

awarded a PhD in automotive technology transfer from Cranfield University.<br />

© 2008 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.


Page 1<br />

Chapter 1 Introduction<br />

Chapter 1 Introduction<br />

Although only one-quarter <strong>of</strong> road tyres are specified and bought by the<br />

vehiclemakers, <strong>this</strong> segment <strong>of</strong> the market is significant as it drives technical<br />

development and has a major influence over the aftermarket. Indeed, the<br />

popularity <strong>of</strong> sports utility vehicles (SUVs), minivans and cross-over vehicles<br />

has prompted manufacturers to redesign their tyres. In terms <strong>of</strong> innovation, the<br />

accent remains on improving tyre dimensions, weight, rolling resistance, noise,<br />

and fuel efficiency. Interest in run-flat tyres is another major focus <strong>of</strong> research<br />

and development. In an exclusive interview with just-auto, Franco Annunziatto,<br />

managing director <strong>of</strong> Bridgestone’s technical centre in Rome, told us: “Car<br />

manufacturers continually improve their technologies, and we as tyre<br />

manufacturers have to move with them. Current demands are for lower rolling<br />

resistance tyres, with lower pass by noise, with no reduction in wet grip<br />

properties, and with adequate riding <strong>com</strong>fort level.”<br />

© 2008 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.


Page 2<br />

Chapter 2 The market<br />

Chapter 2 The market<br />

Market trends<br />

The tyre market is divided into two sectors: OE and replacement. OE tyres are<br />

defined as those supplied to vehicle makers to be fitted to new vehicles while<br />

replacement tyres are those which are fitted subsequently. Car and truck tyres<br />

are clearly the most widely used types <strong>of</strong> tyre, based on total value <strong>of</strong> sales.<br />

There is a wide range <strong>of</strong> both car and truck tyres designed to serve different<br />

purposes.<br />

Although brands have always played a part in tyre marketing, they have<br />

assumed much more importance in the last decade with the emergence <strong>of</strong><br />

global players, and the acquisition <strong>of</strong> a portfolio <strong>of</strong> existing brands as a result<br />

<strong>of</strong> the takeover <strong>of</strong> other firms. The increasing segmentation <strong>of</strong> the car market<br />

has led directly to a much more <strong>com</strong>plex segmentation <strong>of</strong> the tyre market.<br />

There has always been a price differentiation, with the luxury vehicles having<br />

more expensive tyres fitted and, conversely, the smaller utility vehicles fitting<br />

economy tyres. With the advent <strong>of</strong> specialist vehicles such as super sports<br />

cars, sports utility vehicles and minivans, <strong>this</strong> has led to specialist tyres being<br />

developed for them, usually at above-average prices. This is particularly the<br />

case for the OEM market, where the increasing sophistication <strong>of</strong> vehicle<br />

design has led to specific tyres being designed for specific vehicles, but it is<br />

also true <strong>of</strong> the replacement market. There is a tendency for the OEM brand to<br />

be specified for replacement tyres for any vehicle, but for some specialist<br />

vehicles <strong>this</strong> be<strong>com</strong>es almost obligatory, as there are very few makes <strong>of</strong> tyre<br />

designed for some low-volume vehicles.<br />

Tomorrow’s tyre market is expected to be led by the ultra high-performance<br />

(UHP) tyres which <strong>of</strong>fer enhanced driving control, run-flat tyres which ensure<br />

safe driving even in the event <strong>of</strong> a flat tyre, and ultra fuel efficiency tyres which<br />

improve fuel efficiency. In particular, with the rapid growth <strong>of</strong> the hybrid vehicle<br />

market, the tyre industry has recently been concentrating on developing fuel<br />

efficient products.<br />

Other factors impacting on tyre design include increased chassis development.<br />

In addition, the larger number <strong>of</strong> car segments have led to an increase in the<br />

© 2008 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.


Page 38<br />

Chapter 3 Technical review<br />

Chapter 3 Technical review<br />

Defining the elements<br />

Tyres remain a key technology within chassis engineering. Quite apart from<br />

the fact that vehicle grip and handling behaviour ultimately depends entirely on<br />

the physics and mechanics <strong>of</strong> what happens within the four tyre contact<br />

patches, the tyres also make significant contributions towards determining ride<br />

<strong>com</strong>fort (since the tyre contributes up to xx% <strong>of</strong> the total spring rate), internal<br />

and external vehicle noise, and economy.<br />

An important distinction in car and truck tyres is made between bias tyre<br />

construction and radial tyre construction. Radial-ply tyres have long since<br />

be<strong>com</strong>e the norm for light-duty vehicle use. Bias-ply tyres are now only fitted to<br />

motorcycles, bicycles, excavating machines and industrial and agricultural<br />

machines. Michelin first introduced steel-belted radial tyres in Europe in 1948.<br />

Radial tyres are so named because the ply cords radiate at a xx degree angle<br />

from the wheel rim, and the casing is strengthened by a belt <strong>of</strong> steel fabric that<br />

runs around the circumference <strong>of</strong> the tyre. In radial tyres, the ply cords are<br />

made <strong>of</strong> nylon, rayon or polyester. The belt-over-wrap <strong>of</strong> a radial tyre uses less<br />

tread distortion under load and more sidewall distortion. The advantages <strong>of</strong><br />

radial tyres include longer tread life, better steering characteristics and less<br />

rolling resistance, which increases fuel consumption. On the other hand,<br />

radials have a harder riding quality, and since they are technologically more<br />

<strong>com</strong>plex than bias-ply tyres, they are about xx% more expensive to make<br />

when volumes are <strong>com</strong>parable. Because <strong>of</strong> their construction, radial tyres<br />

require a different suspension system from that used by cars designed for<br />

bias-ply tyres.<br />

Tyres are classified according to the respective requirements <strong>of</strong> various<br />

vehicle types and sizes, and operating conditions. The essential data – tyre<br />

dimensions, load ratings, specified inflation pressures and authorised speeds –<br />

are standardised in the interests <strong>of</strong> interchangeability in the following seven<br />

tyre categories:<br />

○ engine-driven, two-wheeled vehicles – motorcycles and motor<br />

scooters;<br />

○ passenger cars;<br />

○ light-duty trucks – including delivery trucks;<br />

© 2008 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.


Page 53<br />

Chapter 4 Manufacturers<br />

Chapter 4 Manufacturers<br />

Amerityre<br />

Amerityre Corp was founded in 1995 as American Tire Corporation. The first<br />

products developed and sold by the new <strong>com</strong>pany were polyurethane foam<br />

tyres based on the <strong>com</strong>pany’s proprietary chemical formulation technology.<br />

Since the tyres were fabricated using a closed-cell polyurethane material, they<br />

could never go flat. Thus, the <strong>com</strong>pany has registered the Flatfree trade mark<br />

for <strong>this</strong> product. These tyres are currently fitted to a variety <strong>of</strong> applications,<br />

including bicycles, wheelchairs, lawn and garden products, and golf carts. In<br />

1999, the <strong>com</strong>pany changed its name to Amerityre Corp and continued<br />

development <strong>of</strong> its Flatfree technology.<br />

In 2001, Amerityre developed polyurethane elastomer pneumatic passenger<br />

car tyres that were able to be driven for xx miles without air pressure and with<br />

several holes in the sidewalls. These tyres did not incorporate conventional<br />

tyre reinforcement materials, such as beads, belts and plies. Buoyed by <strong>this</strong><br />

innovation, the <strong>com</strong>pany’s engineers then developed a system for integrating<br />

these reinforcement materials in its Elastothane tyres. This system, dubbed<br />

the Arcus Run-Flat Tire, is designed to operate at normal air pressure, yet<br />

continue to perform normally for up to xxx miles without air. These Elastothane<br />

products include tyre fill, solid tyres, <strong>com</strong>posite tyres and pneumatic passenger<br />

vehicle tyres. In April 2004, Amerityre <strong>com</strong>pleted testing to Federal Motor<br />

Vehicle Safety Standard (FMVSS) xxx <strong>of</strong> its so-called Arcus design passenger<br />

car tyre and in November 2007 <strong>com</strong>pleted testing to the new FMVSS xxx<br />

specification.<br />

Since <strong>com</strong>pleting <strong>this</strong> testing, the <strong>com</strong>pany says it has begun discussions with<br />

<strong>com</strong>panies that are interested in licensing its technology, providing them with<br />

<strong>sample</strong> tyres. The <strong>com</strong>pany states: “While <strong>com</strong>panies evaluate <strong>sample</strong> tyres,<br />

we will focus on finishing the design and development <strong>of</strong> the manufacturing<br />

equipment required to produce the polyurethane road tyre in <strong>com</strong>mercial<br />

volumes. We are discussing the construction and installation <strong>of</strong> a pilot<br />

manufacturing facility capable <strong>of</strong> demonstrating <strong>this</strong> production capability with<br />

potential strategic partners.”<br />

© 2008 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.


Fax order form<br />

Product Ref Report Title Price (£ / $ / €)<br />

Name:<br />

Company Name:<br />

Address:<br />

Post / Zip code:<br />

Telephone no:<br />

Fax no:<br />

Email address:<br />

VAT number:<br />

(if applicable)<br />

Purchase order number:<br />

(your ref)<br />

How would you like to pay for your order? Please <strong>com</strong>plete the details below<br />

Payment method:<br />

(please circle)<br />

Which currency would you like to use?<br />

(please circle)<br />

Visa<br />

Mastercard<br />

AMEX<br />

Pr<strong>of</strong>roma invoice<br />

£ - GBP<br />

$ - US dollars<br />

€ - EUR<br />

Credit card number:<br />

Credit card expiry date:<br />

Name on credit card:<br />

Security code on credit card:<br />

Please fax <strong>this</strong> form to: +44 (0)1527 577 423<br />

Aroq Ltd , Seneca House , Buntsford Park Road , Bromsgrove , Worcs , B60 3DX , UK .<br />

Tel: Intl +44 (0)1527 573 600 , Toll Free from US: 1-866-545-5878<br />

www.just-auto.<strong>com</strong>

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