PDF slideshow - Richard Carrier

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STAGES OF CRITICAL THOUGHT Step 1: Check the facts (check multiple sources / original sources and evaluate their reliability). Step 2: Check for biases and fallacies (your own and those of others). Step 3: Consider alternative explanations of the evidence and give them a fair test, too.
AND THAT’S WHAT IT’S ALL ABOUT Find best defenses of both sides and compare them. Consider your existing background knowledge and endeavor to acquire more of it. Rely on facts and evidence, not assumptions. Update your beliefs when evidence goes against them. Restate your beliefs as (rough) probabilities; then justify those probabilities (or change them if you can't).
Page 1 and 2: Richard Carrier, Ph.D. www.richardc
Page 3 and 4: BREAKDOWN Traditional Principles of
Page 5: TO BE A CRITICAL THINKER... CT mean
Page 9 and 10: AND ENDS WITH PROBABILITY
Page 11 and 12: TRADITIONAL CT Defense Against the
Page 13 and 14: GETTING WITH COGNITIVE SCIENCE It
Page 15 and 16: THE FUTURE OF CT The Center for App
Page 17 and 18: PERSONALITY-BASED COGNITIVE ERROR D
Page 19 and 20: BAYES’ THEOREM P(h|b) x P(e|h.b)
Page 21 and 22: The Probability of... Your Theory [
Page 23 and 24: BAYESIAN REASONING freethoughtblogs
Page 25 and 26: PRIOR Probability What has usually
Page 27 and 28: Unusual Claims Require Unusual Evid
Page 29 and 30: What evidence would we normally exp
Page 31 and 32: PRIORS & LIKELIHOODS Prior Probabil
Page 33 and 34: ARGUMENT FROM SILENCE Is the absenc
Page 35 and 36: BAYESIAN REASONING Evidence expecte

PDF slideshow - Richard Carrier

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