13.07.2014 Views

November 2001 - Course 1 SOA Solutions

November 2001 - Course 1 SOA Solutions

November 2001 - Course 1 SOA Solutions

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

35. E<br />

If X is the random variable representing claim amounts, the probability that X exceeds the<br />

deductible is<br />

∞<br />

[ ] ∫<br />

1<br />

−x −x ∞ −x<br />

Pr X > 1 = xe dx=− xe + e dx (integration by parts)<br />

1 1<br />

−1 −x<br />

∞ −1 −1 −1<br />

1<br />

2<br />

= e − e = e + e = e<br />

= 0.736<br />

It follows that the company expects ( 100)( 0.736)<br />

= 74 claims.<br />

∫<br />

∞<br />

36. C<br />

Let<br />

Then<br />

x = price in excess of 60 that the company charges,<br />

p(x) = price per policy that the company charges,<br />

n(x) = number of policies the company sells per month, and<br />

R(x) = revenue per month the company collects<br />

( ) = 60 + x<br />

( ) = 80 −x<br />

( ) = ( ) ( ) = ( 80 − )( 60 + )<br />

′( ) =− ( 60 + ) + ( 80 − ) = 20 −2<br />

′′( x)<br />

=− 2<<br />

0<br />

p x<br />

n x<br />

R x n x p x x x<br />

R x x x x<br />

R<br />

It follows that R(x) is a maximum when R ( x) 0<br />

20 − 2x<br />

= 0<br />

x = 10<br />

R 10 = 80 − 10 60 + 10 = 4900<br />

and ( ) ( )( )<br />

when R(x) is a maximum.<br />

′ = . We conclude that<br />

<strong>Course</strong> 1 <strong>Solutions</strong> 22 <strong>November</strong> <strong>2001</strong>

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!