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Possible Impacts of the Enhanced Fujita Scale on United States ...

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y approximately 40% in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> 2000s. Given <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

relative c<strong>on</strong>sistency in previous years, it seems<br />

unlikely to be <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> meteorological origin.<br />

The EF-scale era is short in durati<strong>on</strong>, but two <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> three years since 2007 provide values closer to<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> l<strong>on</strong>g term average. Preliminary indicati<strong>on</strong>s are<br />

that 2010 will be as well given that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>re have been<br />

more EF4 tornadoes this year than in eight <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

years since 2000.<br />

3. CONCLUDING SUMMARY<br />

The change to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> EF-scale has had an impact <strong>on</strong><br />

damage assessment practices for tornadoes. Those<br />

changes, however, have taken place in a background<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> relatively large interannual variability in tornado<br />

intensity distributi<strong>on</strong>s. In particular, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> years just<br />

prior to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> adopti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> EF-scale were<br />

characterized by historically low numbers <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> str<strong>on</strong>g<br />

and violent tornadoes, likely as <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> result <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> changes<br />

in subjective assessment practices. As a result, it<br />

appears possible that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> adopti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> EF-scale<br />

with its more structured assessment procedures has<br />

led to a slight increase in assessed damage, perhaps<br />

leading to distributi<strong>on</strong>s approaching those seen in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

1975-1999 era.<br />

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS<br />

The SPC Science Support Branch and Warning<br />

Coordinati<strong>on</strong> Meteorologist Greg Carbin made various<br />

forms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> data available. NSSL and SPC supported<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> computati<strong>on</strong>al resources for this work. Steve<br />

Weiss (SPC SOO) provided very helpful review and<br />

suggesti<strong>on</strong>s.<br />

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