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Metal scarcity issues<br />

Temporary metal scarcity<br />

Temporary supply-demand imbalances<br />

10<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

Investments in mining capacity requires cash<br />

and time<br />

Creates spikes and collapses in metal prices<br />

Speculation on the commodities markets<br />

enhances the effects<br />

Geo-political issues, based on concentrated<br />

sources, similar to oil, e.g.:<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

Rare Earth Elements (REE) in China<br />

Platinum in Southern Africa<br />

Palladium in Russia<br />

Lithium in the Andes<br />

Cobalt in DRC (Congo)<br />

1,250<br />

1,000<br />

750<br />

500<br />

250<br />

0<br />

1,250<br />

1,000<br />

750<br />

500<br />

250<br />

0<br />

1988<br />

1988<br />

1990<br />

1990<br />

1992<br />

1992<br />

1994<br />

1994<br />

Ru price<br />

1996<br />

$ / tr. oz.<br />

New application in<br />

hard disc drives<br />

Hoarding<br />

in Russia<br />

1998<br />

2001<br />

2003<br />

Pd price<br />

1996<br />

$ / tr.oz<br />

1998<br />

2001<br />

2003<br />

2005<br />

2005<br />

2007<br />

2007<br />

2009<br />

2009

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