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V. ASSESSING GATS TRADE IN SERVICES A. Introduction B. The ...

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Annotated Outline Chapter 5<br />

V. <strong>ASSESS<strong>IN</strong>G</strong> <strong>GATS</strong> <strong>TRADE</strong> <strong>IN</strong> <strong>SERVICES</strong><br />

In-depth discussion on how to measure trade in services by mode of supply presents links between<br />

statistical frameworks and modes of supply using clear-cut examples as well as borderline cases to<br />

show that modes of supply are asymmetrical.<br />

[question of local consumption of services by resident foreign-owned enterprises – mode 2? ]<br />

A. <strong>Introduction</strong><br />

<strong>GATS</strong> modes of supply, links with statistical frameworks, reasons for the development of a statistical<br />

framework for measuring <strong>GATS</strong> mode 4<br />

B. <strong>The</strong> <strong>GATS</strong> four modes of supply<br />

1. What are modes of supply: the <strong>GATS</strong> framework<br />

<strong>The</strong> <strong>GATS</strong> definition of services trade, modes of supply,.... including examples.<br />

[box on the commercial linkages between modes of supply, difficulties to clearly identify<br />

modes in transactions]<br />

[Local consumption of services by foreign affiliates in the host country?]<br />

[Should a box regarding the <strong>GATS</strong> definition of Mode 3 be included here – e.g. control defined by<br />

<strong>GATS</strong>?]<br />

[Shouldn't the definition of Mode 4, temporary, etc, be included here rather than later in the chapter?<br />

2. <strong>GATS</strong> mode 4<br />

Why mode 4 is a more complex issue: the need to explain the coverage of mode 4 in more detail.<br />

Defining <strong>GATS</strong> mode 4: <strong>GATS</strong> definition and the Annex, putting this in perspective of (and clearly<br />

distinguishing it from) the broader framework on movement of persons (see annex...)<br />

o What is a natural person?<br />

o Which skill levels are covered?<br />

o<br />

o<br />

What is temporary?<br />

Which categories of entrants are covered?<br />

(contractual service suppliers and independent professionals are central for mode 4, links of<br />

ICoTs and BVs with other modes of supply)<br />

o Summary (mainly box included in paper for TSG of February 06)<br />

[UNCTAD: Need to clarify mode 4 coverage: actual (i.e., what is already there/happening) and potential<br />

(what is foreseen, what could still be included?, how these categories fall within categories defined in the<br />

statistical framework?)]<br />

C. Measuring modes of supply<br />

This section will outline suggestions as to how an approximate picture of the value of transactions and<br />

other indicators by mode of supply may be built up.<br />

1. Information needs for assessing trade broken down by modes of supply<br />

Including small description in terms of breakdowns and classifications (notably services breakdown)<br />

[Are there other breakdowns that need to be added?]<br />

(a) Value of trade<br />

This is central to measure trade.<br />

(b) Needs related to market access and analysis<br />

Number of persons for mode 4, FDI for mode 3, etc.<br />

[Other needs?]


[Is it worth to mention links between modes and an ownership-based concept of trade that US and<br />

Australia have experimented with? Or might that fit better in an analytical annex?]<br />

2.Value of trade by modes of supply<br />

(a) Statistical treatment of modes of supply: difficulties and the simplified approach<br />

<strong>The</strong>re is no one-to-one relationship between sales and modes of supply of a service. A single services<br />

contract may involve a combination of modes.<br />

[Remind that it is to countries to do this exercise as not all have the same needs regarding all this. This is<br />

just a guide (e.g. Singapore).]<br />

[Do we need to revise the simplified statistical criteria in the light of mode 2 consumption of foreign<br />

firms?].<br />

(b) <strong>GATS</strong> modes of supply and EBOPS<br />

<strong>The</strong> discussion should not be limited to BPM5 items. And linked to the more detailed analysis of<br />

EBOPS items which will be included in Chapter 3. In the context of mode 4 the clear and objective<br />

criteria for recording transactions as service transactions or compensation of employees should be<br />

repeated (see chapter 3).<br />

[Given the changes in the BPM classification of services and the fact that a growing number of countries<br />

are providing more detailed trade in services statistics, should a simplified approach go into more detail in<br />

terms of services items? Should it also include a very simple approach as a first step (according to 11 + 1<br />

components)? Or should it combine both? Should also consider processing of goods]<br />

o IAM/EBOPS services components corresponding to mode 1<br />

[Should the use of statistics on wholesale margins (e.g. US experience), merchanting if estimated<br />

be mentioned?] [Shall we include more detail?]<br />

o IAM/EBOPS services components corresponding to modes 1 and 4<br />

[Shall we include more detail?] [Statements are also valid for construction. How could we<br />

combine both? Should we add more on employee/self-employed differences as included in<br />

"Background note on <strong>GATS</strong> mode 4 measurement" (see box. 1)? and on difficulties to<br />

differentiate both in certain cases and why we would rather go for services transactions and not<br />

employment-related flows?]<br />

o IAM/EBOPS services components corresponding to mode 2<br />

[Does TSA have anything to offer in terms of a more detailed breakdown of services (linked<br />

to BPM6/EBOPS classification)?] [question of local consumption of services by resident<br />

foreign-owned enterprises – mode 2?]<br />

o An exception: IAM/EBOPS mode 3 and mode 4 transactions in construction services<br />

[Shall we say more on other types of short-term arrangements which could be considered as<br />

commercial presence (e.g. consulting, maintenance, training, technical assistance, and health<br />

care)? But probably less of an issue for the simplified approach.]<br />

o Developing practices to separately identify modes of supply information within IAM/EBOPS<br />

services transactions<br />

[UNCTAD comment to consider: <strong>The</strong> options offered appear complementary so perhaps they<br />

could be merged in some ways. Option (c) could be a good starting point but as mentioned this<br />

could be costly and burdensome. It would be helpful to gather representatives from national<br />

statistics office, company representatives, immigration officials (particularly those in charged with<br />

visa) for an exchange of information on how best to go about the process of collecting<br />

information: i.e., both substantive- and procedure-wise.]<br />

(c) <strong>GATS</strong> mode 3 and sales of foreign affiliates<br />

FATS statistics and commercial presence: sales, value added<br />

[Should this section be further developed?, e.g. +wholesale margins if estimated (see U.S: experience)]


(d) <strong>GATS</strong> mode 4 and remittances of self-employed service suppliers<br />

[Should this section include some explanation on compensation of employees in the case of selfemployed<br />

persons, i.e. to determine if an employer-employee relationship exists? Should there be clearer<br />

and precise guidelines to define if an employee-employer relationship exists?]<br />

3. Indicators related to market access and analytical needs<br />

(a) <strong>GATS</strong> modes and FDI/FATS<br />

FDI flows and stocks, other FATS variables (for mode 4 number of employees and compensation, for<br />

mode 3 number of enterprises, etc.)<br />

(b) <strong>GATS</strong> mode 4 and UN Recommendations on Statistics of International Migration<br />

[Should we extend this work and investigate how categories of interest to mode 4 could be added within<br />

this statistical framework, and how the gaps could be filled in?<br />

What would be the best source(s) for collecting information on stocks and flows of persons in the context<br />

of <strong>GATS</strong> mode 4?<br />

How can we advance the work for identifying possibilities within existing statistical frameworks and<br />

sources (UNWTO provided a proposal to add appropriate questions to the model border survey)?]<br />

[+ box on data sources for mode 4: Border and passenger surveys (interesting source to<br />

obtain overall totals); Residence permit systems: visas and work permits (more detailed but is<br />

it more complete? Should continue to investigate this, for example <strong>GATS</strong> visa); Enterprise<br />

surveys (links with data collected for BoP purposes); Other sources (population censuses and<br />

household surveys, other relevant information: sectoral statistics from ministries, professional<br />

registers and companies)]<br />

[However, the TSG agreed that data sources for these variables need to be further discussed.<br />

Input of appropriate experts is necessary to further advance this work.]<br />

(c) Other indicators<br />

quantitative indicators, etc.<br />

[How much should we provide in this section?...specific text on infrastructure services?]<br />

[Should we add a box on What happens when several members are involved in the supply of a service? i.e.<br />

with an affiliate involved to illustrate that modes of supply may be asymmetrical depending on the point of<br />

view adopted? (see the background note)]<br />

D. Summary of recommendations<br />

This is not top priority. Very difficult to establish, need for analysis for countries which have a<br />

particular interest in mode 4, etc. This section could also include a summary matrix about modes of<br />

supply and how to link to statistics in terms of both the actual measurement of trade in services and<br />

for supplementary information of analytical interest (market access information, etc.)

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