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Fundraising launches in DACH Cinven grabs SLV-Group ... - Unquote

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Central and Eastern Europe<br />

unquote<br />

CEE market:<br />

Catch<strong>in</strong>g up fast<br />

The unquote” Central and Eastern Europe Congress, held this month <strong>in</strong> London,<br />

gave delegates a valuable <strong>in</strong>sight <strong>in</strong>to the reshap<strong>in</strong>g of the PE landscape postcrisis,<br />

and the new <strong>in</strong>vestment opportunities aris<strong>in</strong>g as the region catches up fast<br />

on the way to recovery. Greg Gille reports<br />

Follow<strong>in</strong>g a tough couple of years post-f<strong>in</strong>ancial crisis, it<br />

would seem that CEE countries are now march<strong>in</strong>g on to<br />

better days, and are <strong>in</strong> some respects catch<strong>in</strong>g up to their<br />

more established Western neighbours. Deal activity <strong>in</strong> the first<br />

quarter has already surpassed the whole of 2010 by a large<br />

marg<strong>in</strong>, with unquote” record<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> excess of €1bn worth of<br />

transactions – <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the €370m buyout of Polish grocery<br />

store operator Zabka Polska by Mid Europa.<br />

Confidence, while not unchecked, is back among deal-doers,<br />

as our recent survey of CEE <strong>in</strong>dustry participants <strong>in</strong>dicates.<br />

68% of respondents expect a rise <strong>in</strong> activity for the region<br />

<strong>in</strong> 2011; and at a time when LPs are said to be <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly<br />

look<strong>in</strong>g to emerg<strong>in</strong>g markets such as Asia, 78% of respondents<br />

expect LP appetite for CEE funds to stay the same or even<br />

rise slightly.<br />

Panellists at the congress highlighted that private equity<br />

<strong>in</strong> the most mature CEE countries – notably Poland and<br />

the Czech Republic – <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly shares similar features<br />

with its Western counterpart and can benefit from good<br />

<strong>in</strong>frastructure, available debt f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g, experienced<br />

management and process-driven bus<strong>in</strong>esses.<br />

Good assets therefore command multiples not unlike those<br />

seen <strong>in</strong> the UK or <strong>in</strong> France: “Valuations are high and will<br />

cont<strong>in</strong>ue to be so. More and more quality is com<strong>in</strong>g to the<br />

market and that will justify the high prices,” noted Riverside<br />

Europe Partners vice president Ludek Palata. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to<br />

the unquote” CEE survey, 45% of respondents <strong>in</strong>deed expect<br />

pric<strong>in</strong>g to stay <strong>in</strong> the 7-9x EBITDA range go<strong>in</strong>g forward.<br />

As most European GPs are set to go fundrais<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the next couple<br />

of years – and CEE players are no exception – SJ Berw<strong>in</strong> partner<br />

Sonya Pauls highlighted that CEE funds are “firmly <strong>in</strong> l<strong>in</strong>e with<br />

ILPA guidel<strong>in</strong>es” and are therefore well positioned to attract LPs:<br />

the “fund as a whole” model is the most commonly used, and<br />

corporate governance is just as strong as <strong>in</strong> the rest of Europe.<br />

That said, speakers at the congress also stressed that CEE<br />

cannot be considered as a uniform region <strong>in</strong> terms of<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestments. Some countries – notably <strong>in</strong> the Balkans – still<br />

have ground to cover before attract<strong>in</strong>g as much attention as<br />

the likes of Poland: “Some CEE countries compete for capital<br />

with GPs <strong>in</strong> France, the UK or Germany. Others have a higher<br />

hurdle to overcome,” warned Harbourvest vice-president Till<br />

Burges. Furthermore, as Arx Equity partner Brian Wardrop<br />

noted, FX risks and their impact on portfolio companies<br />

cannot be overlooked when <strong>in</strong>vest<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the region.<br />

Mark Florman, the new BVCA CEO, also urged delegates<br />

not to downplay the impact of the AIFMD and upcom<strong>in</strong>g<br />

regulation <strong>in</strong> general. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to him, smaller firms across<br />

Europe are go<strong>in</strong>g to be slowed down by the numerous<br />

processes <strong>in</strong>troduced by the directive. F<strong>in</strong>ally Tomáš Sedláček,<br />

chief macroeconomic strategist at ČSOB, warned <strong>in</strong>vestors<br />

not to overlook the importance of large deficits <strong>in</strong> most CEE<br />

countries, even if strong growth is back.<br />

Sober<strong>in</strong>g remarks aside, congress delegates rema<strong>in</strong> optimistic<br />

regard<strong>in</strong>g the potential for CEE dealflow to pick up<br />

throughout the year – and maybe steal the West’s thunder on<br />

more than one occasion. ■<br />

10 UNQUOTE APRIL 11 ENTIRE CONTENTS COPYRIGHT 2011 INCISIVE MEDIA INVESTMENTS LTD<br />

www.unquote.com/dach

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