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Shan glacier area decreases continuously, the annual river discharge has been growing over the last<br />
decade, mainly due to precipitation increase.<br />
The sharp change in river runoff suggests the non-linear system response. In fact, the<br />
evapotraspiration process does not respond linearly to air temperature and precipitation changes.<br />
As reported by Aizen et al. (2006d), the evapotranspiration process seems to be independent of<br />
amount of precipitations. This phenomenon is accelerated both when t<strong>here</strong> is a surplus of<br />
precipitation and when t<strong>here</strong> is a deficit of precipitation, and air temperature increases.<br />
The increase in aridity of continental interiors may cause a massive aeolian aerosol spread in the<br />
troposp<strong>here</strong>, which could affect the Earth’s heat balance and generate direct biospheric and societal<br />
impacts that extend thousands of kilometers away from the origins of dust storms. The deposition of<br />
dust on seasonal snow cover and glacier ice will decrease the albedo of these surfaces and may<br />
accelerate melting (Adhikary et al., 2002; Hansen and Nazarenko, 2004). Current glacier recession,<br />
initially considered a positive factor that increased river flow, ultimately causes the runoff to<br />
decrease.<br />
2.5.3 North America Mountains<br />
The Western Cordillera is the most prominent mountain range in North America (NA), extending<br />
from Alaska to Central America. It includes a number of ranges along the western coast (Alaska<br />
Range, Coast Range, the Cascades, the Sierra Nevada and Sierra Madres) and the Rocky<br />
Mountains, just west of the Great Plains. In these regions also, snowpack represents an important<br />
component of the water cycle in much of western NA and snowmelt generates roughly 60-90% of<br />
streamflow in western North America. Many snowmelt-fed rivers originating in western mountain<br />
ranges provide water to arid and semi-arid regions downstream, as is the case of the Colorado River<br />
basin.<br />
Important changes were observed in the NA mountain hydroclimate during the 20th century (IPCC,<br />
2007), including the decrease in snow cover above all in spring over western NA (Groisman et al.,<br />
2004) and the decline of spring mountain soil water equivalent (SWE) in western NA since 1950<br />
(Stewart et al., 2005). Another important hydrological change associated to recent warming is the<br />
tendency for precipitation to occur more in the form of rain rather than as snow (Knowles et al.,<br />
2006). Regarding NA glaciers, it is estimated that the fraction of glacier area lost in the Western<br />
United States since 1900 is on average roughly 40%.<br />
Leung et al. (2003) investigated factors determining cold season hydroclimate anomalies in western<br />
NA mountainous regions, demonstrating that t<strong>here</strong> are interactions between large scale circulation<br />
changes and regional topography. The current climate changes produce anomalies that are difficult<br />
to forecast. For this reason both the ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation) and the Pacific Decadal<br />
Oscillation models have great difficulty in simulating and predicting the MJO (Madden Julian<br />
Oscillation).<br />
The North American Monsoon system (NAM) during the warm season is of particular importance to<br />
water resources in the American Southwest. The Sierra Madre Occidental mountains of western<br />
Mexico on average receive in excess of 60-70% of their annual rainfall in June-September, as part of<br />
the NAM (Douglas et al., 1993). The mountainous terrain of southwestern North America and its<br />
juxtaposition to seasonally warm water bodies of the eastern tropical Pacific, the Gulf of California,<br />
and the Gulf of Mexico, serve as a driving component of the regional climate circulation, which<br />
helps to initiate and sustain extra-tropical moisture during the NAM (Gochis, 2007).<br />
Since 2004, a continental-scale process study called the North American Monsoon Experiment<br />
(NAME) has been operative. Its aim is to understand the NAM (Higgins et al., 2006) and study the<br />
characteristics of the precipitation-elevation relationship along the Sierra Madre Occidental<br />
Mountains from the Gulf of California coast to the Mexican Plateau (NERN; Gochis et al., 2004).<br />
Currently, further research is required to study microphysical processes and the structure of<br />
diurnally-forced terrain circulations (Gochis, 2008).<br />
Many factors condition the NA climate. For instance, drought occurrence over NA, due to a<br />
combination of remote SST influences and regional land feedbacks (McCabe et al. 2004; Schubert et<br />
al., 2004), has significant impacts on mountain environments, with reduced precipitation amounts<br />
directly impacting snowpack formation, soil moisture and streamflow. Indirect hydrologic effects on<br />
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