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GHG Protocol for Project Accounting - Greenhouse Gas Protocol

GHG Protocol for Project Accounting - Greenhouse Gas Protocol

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Key <strong>GHG</strong> <strong>Project</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> Concepts<br />

2.11 Valid Time Length<br />

<strong>for</strong> the Baseline Scenario<br />

Generally, the farther out into the future one tries to project<br />

“what would have happened,” the more uncertain this<br />

projection becomes. For this reason, a particular baseline<br />

scenario or per<strong>for</strong>mance standard should be valid only <strong>for</strong><br />

a finite period of time <strong>for</strong> the purpose of estimating baseline<br />

emissions. After a certain period, either no further<br />

<strong>GHG</strong> reductions are recognized <strong>for</strong> the project activity, or<br />

a new (revised) baseline scenario or per<strong>for</strong>mance standard<br />

is identified. The length of this period may vary,<br />

depending on technical and policy considerations, 1 and on<br />

whether baseline emission estimates are dynamic or static<br />

(see Figure 2.2). The valid time length <strong>for</strong> the baseline<br />

scenario of each project activity is determined in<br />

Chapter 10, as a prelude to quantifying <strong>GHG</strong> reductions.<br />

2.12 Dynamic Versus Static<br />

Baseline Emission Estimates<br />

Baseline emissions are often estimated using an emission<br />

rate, relating <strong>GHG</strong> emissions to the production of a<br />

product or service or to a certain period of time.<br />

Baseline emission rates may be dynamic or static. Static<br />

baseline emission rates do not change over time, while<br />

dynamic baseline emission rates change over time.<br />

A static baseline emission rate is most appropriate <strong>for</strong><br />

<strong>GHG</strong> projects that are substituting <strong>for</strong> existing plants or<br />

technologies where it can be reasonably assumed that<br />

basic operating parameters will not change over a certain<br />

time period (see Figure 2.2a). In contrast, dynamic baseline<br />

emission rates are better suited to <strong>GHG</strong> projects that<br />

are part of a system that changes significantly over time<br />

(see Figure 2.2b). Two types of <strong>GHG</strong> projects that may<br />

require dynamic baseline emission rates include:<br />

• Electricity supply projects—The baseline emission<br />

rate may be based on displaced generation sources<br />

that are expected to change significantly over time.<br />

• LULUCF projects—The baseline emission rate may<br />

change over time to reflect the changing growth<br />

patterns of carbon stocks in trees.<br />

2.13 Equivalence of Products and Services<br />

Nearly every project activity will provide products or<br />

services in the context of some broader market <strong>for</strong> them.<br />

There<strong>for</strong>e, if the project activity were not implemented,<br />

it should be assumed that the market would have<br />

provided a quantity and quality of products or services<br />

equivalent to what the project activity would have<br />

produced. 2 This is particularly true when a <strong>GHG</strong> project<br />

is small relative to the market in which it operates (i.e.,<br />

its presence or absence will not affect market prices).<br />

This concept of equivalence has broad application in the<br />

quantification of <strong>GHG</strong> reductions. For example:<br />

• Identifying secondary effects (Chapter 5)—If a<br />

project activity reduces the production of a product or<br />

FIGURE 2.2 Dynamic and static baseline emission rate estimates<br />

BASELINE EMISSION RATE<br />

L = end of valid time length<br />

<strong>for</strong> the baseline scenario<br />

BASELINE EMISSION RATE<br />

TIME<br />

L<br />

TIME<br />

L<br />

FIGURE 2.2a: Static emission rate<br />

FIGURE 2.2b: Dynamic emission rate<br />

Baseline emission rates may be dynamic or static. Static baseline emission rates do not change over time, while dynamic baseline<br />

emission rates change over time.<br />

14<br />

CHAPTER 2

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