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Domestic This - Horace Mann School

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International<br />

the Iraq War<br />

the threat of Iranian nuclear<br />

community’s fatal blunder<br />

be devastating to any chance of reversing<br />

the tide of mounting Iranian influence<br />

that is leading much of the Middle East<br />

in a radical direction. Iran would become<br />

an imposing superpower with nuclear<br />

weapons in its hands.<br />

The current policy towards Iran is to<br />

attempt to isolate the country with severe<br />

economic sanctions. The United States<br />

and Europe have led economic sanctions<br />

which forbid countries and companies<br />

from selling nearly all goods and services<br />

to Iran and from dealing with Iranian<br />

businesses, banks, or other financial institutions.<br />

Russia, China, and a handful<br />

of left-leaning nations have refused to<br />

honor these sanctions, with Russia being<br />

responsible for selling Iran nuclear power<br />

technology used to operate its enrichment<br />

activities.<br />

Will sanctions work? Iran has indicated<br />

some willingness to reopen discussions<br />

about its nuclear program, but has<br />

done so before, primarily to delay further<br />

action by the West, and there is little indication<br />

that sanctions will compel Iran<br />

to abandon its nuclear ambitions. The<br />

general record of sanctions, as it happens,<br />

is not promising. Sanctions have proven<br />

ineffective when they are not enforced by<br />

all countries.<br />

Opposing the iron-fisted control of<br />

the radical clerics, President Ahmadinejad,<br />

and the Revolutionary Guard forces<br />

that keep them in power is a moderate<br />

and widely popular democratic movement<br />

spearheaded by leaders like Akbar<br />

Hashemi Rafsanjani. The 2009 Iranian<br />

presidential elections, which were most<br />

certainly fixed, ignited widespread, violent<br />

demonstrations throughout the<br />

main urban centers fueled by a hatred of<br />

the radical government and longing for<br />

true democracy. It was widely believed<br />

that Iran was on the verge of a second<br />

civil war, one that would remove the<br />

radical clerics and Ahmadinejad from<br />

power. The Revolutionary Guard, however,<br />

crushed the rebellion and swiftly<br />

imprisoned, tortured, and, in many cases,<br />

executed its moderate leaders.<br />

Notwithstanding the military repression<br />

of democratic movements in Iran,<br />

there is reason to believe that Iran will<br />

follow a historically common pattern.<br />

The democratic forces might someday<br />

change the direction of the country. Russia,<br />

China, and Eastern European countries<br />

are all states which have transitioned<br />

towards market-based economies and<br />

more democratic political systems, albeit<br />

ones that do not match the democratic<br />

principles of Western nations. Yet, given<br />

the force of Iran’s army and the repression<br />

of liberties and democratic ideas by the<br />

Revolutionary Guard and the clerics, any<br />

such ideological evolution might take decades<br />

or even centuries to unfold. Unfortunately,<br />

when it comes to Iran, we have<br />

immediate problems to resolve.<br />

Iran has already tested advanced<br />

missiles, is capable of delivering weapons<br />

across borders, and appears to be<br />

developing nuclear armaments. With the<br />

prospect of nuclear weapons in the hands<br />

of a radical Iran looming in the foreseeable<br />

future, it is incontestable that the<br />

world must consider the employment of<br />

military force to halt such a development.<br />

Allowing the radical Iranian regime to<br />

stockpile nuclear weapons is not a viable<br />

option. HMR<br />

Iran has refused to cooperate<br />

with the International Atomic<br />

Energy Agency, an international<br />

body monitoring<br />

nuclear power, since 2008<br />

smh<br />

2010 United Nations<br />

Resolution 1929 harshens<br />

economic and diplomatic<br />

sanctions on Iran<br />

globalresearcher<br />

2009 Presidential elections<br />

in Iran, which were<br />

likely manipulated, cause<br />

controversy<br />

zimbabwemission<br />

The <strong>Horace</strong> <strong>Mann</strong> Review | Issue 4 15

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