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PUBLIC EXPOSE - Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa, PT.

PUBLIC EXPOSE - Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa, PT.

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Market outlook<br />

• In the last four months of 2009 domestic demand was robust and rebounding.<br />

By having positive rebound on the latest domestic cement consumption, we<br />

forecast domestic demand to grow by 6% in 2010<br />

• Current and continuing benign inflation outlook, low interest rate and stable<br />

currency environment are the key drivers to boost the construction activities<br />

• The housing shortage is still one of the catalyst for cement demand. The<br />

Indonesian Real Estate Association estimates Indonesia needs 800,000<br />

houses a year to cater to the 4 million net increase in population.<br />

• Strong consumptive nation, e.g half of population is at age 25 years or below,<br />

along with fast growth urbanization<br />

• The trend of a stronger residential market than the infrastructure or high-rise<br />

building still continues in 2010, but we expect some higher proportion of bulk<br />

cement (about 25~30%) after the Governmental infrastructure projects are<br />

executed<br />

• Continuing IDR appreciation will help costs of production structure since more<br />

than 60% costs in USD equivalent<br />

17

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