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The effect of afforestation on water infiltration in the tropics, as ...

The effect of afforestation on water infiltration in the tropics, as ...

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Afforestati<strong>on</strong> <strong>in</strong> a broad sense<br />

Literature Search<br />

Low tree density<br />

• Permanent agriculture<br />

• Agr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>orestry<br />

• Short fallow shift<strong>in</strong>g<br />

cultivati<strong>on</strong><br />

• Gr<strong>as</strong>slands<br />

• Savann<strong>as</strong><br />

• P<strong>as</strong>tures<br />

Higher tree density<br />

• Agr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>orestry<br />

• Plantati<strong>on</strong> forests<br />

• Successi<strong>on</strong> to ”climax”<br />

forests<br />

Datab<strong>as</strong>es used (30-11-2005):<br />

• Web <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Science (1986-2005)<br />

• BIOSIS Previews (1989-2005)<br />

• CAB Abstracts (1973-2005)<br />

Search syntax:<br />

• Land uses from <strong>the</strong> objectives<br />

• Syn<strong>on</strong>yms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>in</strong>filtrati<strong>on</strong><br />

Selecti<strong>on</strong> criteria<br />

Total search hits (3001 references)<br />

-Outside <strong>tropics</strong><br />

Title<br />

-Not a comparis<strong>on</strong> between any <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong><br />

specified land uses<br />

References<br />

from experts Abstract<br />

-Not a field experiment/treatment<br />

-Articles not available<br />

Articles from library<br />

-Not <strong>in</strong> English or French<br />

-Flawed designs/methods<br />

References lists<br />

-Means, N and SD not possible to estimate<br />

Meta Analysis (20 references <strong>in</strong>cl. 64 comparis<strong>on</strong>s/experiments)<br />

Meta analysis is<br />

Us<strong>in</strong>g data from several studies to have a<br />

higher number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> observati<strong>on</strong>s to get a<br />

more secure mean with higher c<strong>on</strong>fidence.<br />

(resp<strong>on</strong>se means, number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> observati<strong>on</strong>s and variance needed)<br />

Meta analysis is used for<br />

A global mean treatment <str<strong>on</strong>g>effect</str<strong>on</strong>g> for a larger<br />

set <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> criteria or a mean for a more<br />

specific treatment.<br />

More sound than ”study wote c<strong>on</strong>t<strong>in</strong>g” <strong>in</strong><br />

narrative reviews<br />

Resp<strong>on</strong>se ratio and 95% c<strong>on</strong>fidence <strong>in</strong>terval for <strong>in</strong>dividual<br />

experiments and <strong>the</strong> grand mean (LnR = Ln(After/Before)<br />

Grand mean<br />

Agr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>orestry<br />

Resp<strong>on</strong>se ratios and 95% c<strong>on</strong>fidence<br />

<strong>in</strong>tervals for meta analysis<br />

(times <strong>in</strong>cre<strong>as</strong>e <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>filtrati<strong>on</strong> by <str<strong>on</strong>g>afforestati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g> and agfr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>orestry)<br />

Afforestati<strong>on</strong><br />

Studies<br />

Exp.<br />

mean<br />

Resp<strong>on</strong>se Ratio<br />

(after/before)<br />

lower CI upper CI<br />

Afforestati<strong>on</strong> 2 8 3.8 2.7 5.5<br />

Agr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>orest 2 6 1.9 1.7 2.8<br />

Subtotal 4 14 3.2 2.4 4.7<br />

2

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