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property guide 2009 - Domain.com.au

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APARTMENTS<br />

PREVIEW<br />

Stormy seas ahead but<br />

agents remain upbeat<br />

Watch out for beach bargains, writes Susan Wellings.<br />

IN OCTOBER last year, inner west real estate<br />

executive James Burke was studying his<br />

apartment sales figures and was almost<br />

overwhelmed by a sense of foreboding.<br />

Today, he’s looking over the prospects for<br />

<strong>2009</strong> – and feeling on top of the world.<br />

‘‘You can really feel that the vibe has<br />

changed out there,’’ he says.<br />

‘‘Everyone’s so much more optimistic. A<br />

lot of people have been trying to pick where<br />

the bottom of the market is and I think<br />

they’re all getting ready to rush in now at the<br />

same time. But that’s incredible when you<br />

think back to the mood three months ago.<br />

Then, I was feeling like suicide. The market<br />

looked terrible.’’<br />

Burke, of Callagher Estate Agents in<br />

Annandale, isn’t alone in his upbeat outlook.<br />

Many working in the unit market believe<br />

the worst is behind them and with buyers,<br />

particularly first home buyers, lured back<br />

into the market by low – and still falling –<br />

interest rates, first-time bonuses, soft prices<br />

and a distinct lack of <strong>com</strong>petition for<br />

purchases, <strong>2009</strong> is beginning to shape up<br />

quite nicely.<br />

UPS AND DOWNS<br />

Industry experts all agree, however, that the<br />

unit market will be slow to recover from last<br />

year’s lows. Many say it will only start to pick<br />

up towards the middle of <strong>2009</strong> and even then<br />

progress will be patchy.<br />

Researchers Australian Property Monitors,<br />

for instance, see most of the rises in unit<br />

prices being concentrated in the west and<br />

south-west of Sydney – the suburbs hardest<br />

hit during the past couple of years.<br />

They forecast the top-performing suburb<br />

will be Canley Vale, growing at 8 per cent,<br />

with Cabramatta, Fairfield, Edensor Park,<br />

Wetherill Park, Wakeley, Smithfield and<br />

Fairfield Heights not too far behind (see<br />

chart).<br />

On the downside, despite optimism<br />

from agents in our east and inner-city<br />

preview on page 27, the analysts forecast<br />

hefty falls in prices at the usually popular<br />

eastern beaches, with the worst-hit areas<br />

those around Bondi, Bronte and<br />

Tamarama (see chart), all predicted to<br />

drop by between 12 and 14 per cent.<br />

PREDICTIONS UNITS<br />

Best performing<br />

Suburb<br />

(% change)<br />

Canley Vale<br />

Cabramatta<br />

Fairfield<br />

Edensor Park<br />

Wetherill Park<br />

Wakeley<br />

Smithfield<br />

Fairfield Heights<br />

Glenmore Park<br />

Bankstown<br />

Botany<br />

Mascot<br />

Last<br />

year<br />

-2<br />

1<br />

3<br />

n/a<br />

n/a<br />

n/a<br />

n/a<br />

-3<br />

4<br />

5<br />

3<br />

-3<br />

This<br />

year<br />

8<br />

7<br />

7<br />

7<br />

7<br />

7<br />

7<br />

7<br />

6<br />

6<br />

6<br />

6<br />

SOURCE: AUSTRALIAN PROPERTY MONITORS<br />

The area from Double Bay to V<strong>au</strong>cluse will<br />

also remain weak, predicts Vicki Laing of<br />

Laing Real Estate.<br />

‘‘Some people there are in trouble from the<br />

falls in the stockmarket and are offloading<br />

<strong>property</strong>,’’ she says. ‘‘Watch out for some<br />

bargains there.’’<br />

In contrast, Laing believes patches such as<br />

Potts Point, Elizabeth Bay, Darlinghurst,<br />

Rushcutters Bay and Hyde Park are proving<br />

pretty much recession-proof.<br />

‘‘There’s a real diversity of stock there,<br />

from studios to $20 million properties, and<br />

I think there’s even some opportunities for<br />

price growth,’’ she says.<br />

She sees first home buyers out in force in<br />

those areas, hunting for quality studios or<br />

one-bedroom apartments up to $500,000,<br />

often <strong>com</strong>peting with investors. Meanwhile,<br />

empty-nesters and returning expatriates are<br />

tending to prefer off-the-plan buys.<br />

Worst performing<br />

Suburb<br />

(% change)<br />

Bondi<br />

North Bondi<br />

Bondi Beach<br />

Bronte<br />

Tamarama<br />

Waverley<br />

Crows Nest<br />

Northbridge<br />

Queen's Park<br />

Greenwich<br />

Naremburn<br />

St Leonards<br />

Wollstonecraft<br />

Artarmon<br />

Last<br />

year<br />

-2<br />

7<br />

-8<br />

10<br />

25<br />

-11<br />

-16<br />

7<br />

3<br />

37<br />

4<br />

-1<br />

8<br />

4<br />

This<br />

year<br />

-14<br />

-14<br />

-14<br />

-12<br />

-12<br />

-12<br />

-11<br />

-11<br />

-11<br />

-11<br />

-11<br />

-11<br />

-11<br />

-11<br />

SOME OFF-THE-PLAN<br />

OFF THE BOIL<br />

But sales in new or yet-to-be-built<br />

apartments aren’t doing well across the<br />

board. In Pyrmont’s Jacksons Landing, for<br />

example, there are reports a number of<br />

apartments have <strong>com</strong>e back on the market<br />

from buyers deciding not to settle bec<strong>au</strong>se of<br />

recession fears. Developers Lend Lease have<br />

retrenched 130 staff amid speculation a lack<br />

of confidence is behind delays in releasing<br />

the next stage of the <strong>com</strong>plex.<br />

Out west in Homebush Bay, the site of two<br />

large apartment developments – Mariners<br />

Cove and The Waterfront – local residents are<br />

trying hard to distinguish their patch from<br />

the rest of Homebush, where some<br />

developers have long been trying to sell their<br />

stocks of off-the-plan units. They’re lobbying<br />

24,000 fantastic<br />

reasons to buy<br />

your first home<br />

NOW!<br />

Brand New<br />

Homes from<br />

$335,000<br />

$311,000<br />

Choose from a huge variety of new<br />

Mirvac homes at 7 great locations<br />

COMPLETED & OFF THE PLAN from $335,000<br />

Spring Farm Ayre<br />

Woodcroft Edgewood from<br />

Mt Annan Lakeside from<br />

Glenfield Panorama from<br />

Auburn Ashgrove from<br />

ON<br />

DISPLAY<br />

3 2.5 1<br />

from<br />

$335,000<br />

$340,000<br />

$345,000<br />

$355,000<br />

$437,500<br />

Spring Farm Ayre<br />

Glenfield Panorama<br />

Middleton Grange<br />

Parkbridge<br />

Auburn Ashgrove<br />

4 2.5 2<br />

HOUSE & LAND PACKAGES from $370,610<br />

ON<br />

DISPLAY<br />

from<br />

from<br />

from<br />

from<br />

$369,000<br />

$450,000<br />

$490,000<br />

$580,000<br />

Woodcroft Edgewood from<br />

Spring Farm Ayre from<br />

Mt Annan Lakeside from<br />

Glenfield Panorama from<br />

Auburn Ashgrove from<br />

ON<br />

DISPLAY<br />

3 2.5 2<br />

$340,000<br />

$345,000<br />

$359,000<br />

$365,000<br />

$449,500<br />

www.mirvac.<strong>com</strong><br />

Marli<br />

3 2.5 2<br />

Spring Farm Ayre from $372,300<br />

Woodcroft Edgewood from $417,300<br />

Glenfield Panorama from $417,300<br />

Knightsbridge 4 2.5 2<br />

Spring Farm Ayre from $434,510<br />

Woodcroft Edgewood from $479,510<br />

Glenfield Panorama from $479,510<br />

Magenta 4 2.5 2<br />

Spring Farm Ayre from $459,680<br />

Woodcroft Edgewood from $504,680<br />

Glenfield Panorama from $504,680<br />

Woodcroft Edgewood<br />

5 Bellminer Street<br />

Woodcroft<br />

9831 6066<br />

Leumeah Grandview<br />

15 Northam Road<br />

Leumeah<br />

4627 4536<br />

Mount Annan Lakeside<br />

Cnr L<strong>au</strong>rina St & Aristida<br />

Circuit, Mount Annan<br />

4648 0823<br />

Auburn Ashgrove<br />

Cnr Raglan Road &<br />

Princeton Circuit, Auburn<br />

9645 6322<br />

Spring Farm Ayre<br />

Minorca Circuit<br />

Spring Farm<br />

4647 1411<br />

Glenfield Panorama<br />

Glenfield Road<br />

Glenfield<br />

9824 3222<br />

Middleton Grange Parkbridge<br />

Middleton Drive<br />

Middleton Grange<br />

9607 8144<br />

† Conditions Apply. All photographs and illustrations indicative only. Mirvac Homes Pty Ltd. Builders Lic No. 101738C. MIR9889_1143-06<br />

* The First Home Owners offer is only available for customers eligible for The First Home Owner Grant Scheme (FHOGS) by the NSW Government and the First Home Owner Boost from the Australian Government. This bonus is not available in conjunction with any other offer.<br />

10 THE SUN-HERALD PROPERTY GUIDE <strong>2009</strong> DOMAIN.COM.AU

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