MYANMAR

More documents

Recommendations

Info

10 C. Future Outlook 31. Adequate information on population changes is needed for formulating, implementing and evaluating development programmes. It is therefore important to have a fair knowledge of the current and Future size and structures of the popblation. A number of population projections are usually made on the basis of assumed levels and trends of mortality and fertility. Migration is ignored for it has little or no influence on growth. 32. The base year population by age and sex is derived from the 1991 PCFS. Prior to interpolation, the sample population was adjusted for uncovered areas and underenumeration in the 0-4 age group, and then smoothed for irregularties caused particularly by age misstatements. The smoothing of age-sex data was done by Strong Method using Demographic Analysis Software (DAS) package. The population pyramid for the smoothed base year distribution is presented in Figure(2). The shape of the 1990 base year population may be considered as expansive for there werd larger numbers of people in the younger ages. The projection is made by using demographic cohort component method. 33. Myanmar population has increased from 35.3 million in 1983 to 40.7 million in 1990. It is expected to increase up to 49.1 million in the year 2000 and to 68.5 million in the year 2020. The low variant United Nations' population projection for Myanmar gives an estimate of about 51.2 million in the year 2000 and 68 million for the year 2020. The estimated population and growth rates for the period, 1990 - 2020, are presented in Table 5 and the population pyramids illustrated in Figure (2). Table 5. Projected Population with Growth Ratts, 1995 to 2020 Year Population (1)00) Country Projection rate of growth (%) U.N Projection Population (000) rate of growth (%) 1990 40,786 .... 41,825 .... 1995 44,757 l.K6 4643K 2.11 2000 49,tCl 1.85 51,229 1.98 2005 537lU 1.79 55,K94 1.76 2010 58,476 1.70 60,315 1.53 2015 (C.,405 1.62 64,430 1.33 2020 68,543 1,56 ÔK,017 1.09
11 Figure (2) Population Pyramids for Selected Years 1973 CENSUS Percent of Total Populalion N 7531 1357 Ma!e Peicent Fenule MYANMAR 2Ct0 Percent of Total Population 7 5 3 1 1 3 5 7 Male Percent Female Age 30 1983 CENSUS Percent of Total Population MYANMAR 2010 Percent of To4aI Popula(iott 0 7 5 3 1 1 3 5 7 7 5 3 1 1 3 5 7 Male Pcrcent Female Male Porcent Female MYANMAR 1990 Pcrcctit of Total Populalion MYANMAR 2020 Pci-cciil ofTolal Popula6on Age 80- 70- 60- 50- 80- 70- 60- SO- 40- 20- 10- 80- 70- 60- SO- 40- 20- 10- 7 5 3 1 1 3 5 7 7 5 3 1 1 3 5 7 MMe Pciceat Fenule Male Percent
Page 1 and 2: International Conference on Populat
Page 3 and 4: PREFACE This report is prepared for
Page 5 and 6: Introduction 1. The Union of Myanma
Page 7 and 8: 3 was postponed as the country was
Page 9 and 10: 5 from rural areas to urban areas w
Page 11 and 12: 7 20. The singulate mean age at mar
Page 13: 9 past and Current Mortality 27. Th
Page 17 and 18: 13 35. The crude birth rate for the
Page 19 and 20: H. The Population Policy, Planning
Page 21 and 22: 17 (3) low population density, and
Page 23 and 24: 19 (6) To reduce percentage of unde
Page 25 and 26: 21 (3) Provision of health care dur
Page 27 and 28: 23 act as national focal point for
Page 29 and 30: 25 73. MMCWA is a huge voluntary NG
Page 31 and 32: 27 the recommendations are relevant
Page 33 and 34: 29 B. Outline of Policy Framework 9
Page 35 and 36: 31 D. Resource Mobilization 99. It
Page 37 and 38: 33 and economic development of the

MYANMAR

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

Delete template?

Save as template?